e.u. economy on the whole is alive and well the european central bank says in its year end report business in the euro zone has been growing for four and a half years creating seven million jobs these evenings it's monetary policy of interest rates near zero percent and an extensive bond buying program has helped the e.u. recover from the two thousand and eight financial crisis and is now helping the sponson of the economy the central bank does not anticipate a change in policy anytime soon. so no surprise there then but how long can or will the e.c.b. stick to its guns are not joined in the studio by professor ansgar becker and that he agree is the e.c.b. monetary policy working at first glance this seems to be the case if you look at growth rates a consumption investment just stimulated maybe about international factors as well so the main target is not hit by the central bank look at inflation expectations but very low still at about one percentage points if you look at core inflation that is inflation without energy prizes foot prices and some forecasts are saying and it needs to be zo

e.u. economies roselle i thought to the u.s. trade secretary and they were concerned that was saying the u.s. tax reform bill as it was proposed a week ago might contravene global fath taxation rules now looking at the bill as it has been polished is that in fact the case i think it may well be the ministers are referring to a fact that you know the united states like many other. countries is a signatory to tax treaties and is also signed up for frameworks that committed to you know a system of rules in this case this latest tax bill which was just rammed through congress contains measures that penalize some kinds of transactions internationally that is totally outside the scope of of those rules and you know i think they have a legitimate concern but my concern is more general which is that this is going to set off as it already is doing in this letter an enormous amount of. international tax competition we're going to have countries fighting with each other and competing for lower and lower tax rates what you're really talking

e.u. agreement, we're really showing something of an upper bound. because the u.s. is 20% to 25% of the global economy. the e.u. is about the same size. doing a 1-1 trade deal with the u.s. is much easier than doing multiple trade deals with multiple countries, especially with multiple large countries. and i think we've just seen an example of that with trudeau's trip to china and his desire to start free trade negotiations with china. and the ultimate failure of that attempt. so a global britain idea would be many years and probably not really duplicate the size of the u.s. economy. so we start with those scenarios. then get into the calculator. underlying all of those scenarios are assumptions. what would staff i haves -- tariffs look like in a ttip scenario? what would tariffs look like in a u.k.-u.s. free trade agreement? we have to make assumption about what they might look like in the future. what would nontariff barriers look like? how much higher would then than they are now? we can't say that our assumptions are correct. we make reasonable assumptions based on available data. so what the calc

e.u. had given china's special attention in a report on how its economy is distorted by the state omen. the report by the e.u. makes irresponsible remarks about china's economic development fabricates excuses and develops discriminative and just restricted to measures towards china it doesn't mention its own acts that violate rules this way of comedy using double standards is really hypocritical hewing. the report states that beijing excerpts a decisive influence over the allocation of resources and influences prices in a very significant manner it further defines that selling product for export at the load a message prices is considered dumping the e.u. sees such dumping in chinese exports of steel aluminum chemicals and ceramics. and on that note business update. social media. business website dot com i'll be back in the next hour with even more business although until that. lawyer. culture. a hair. super. super food stylish style icon. lifestyle you're. going to. live to surf. danger lurks in the water. and. not only me. but. the victims i mean with you troubles all gastric troubles.

e.u.'s top five economies it back saying donald trump's tax cut plans may distort international trade. protests are a common sight at these conferences but they're not the only ones upset with the w t o the united states was once a big proponent now under president donald trump it is more of a skeptic well all members agree that the w t o needs improving the u.s. is threatening to pull out altogether a sentiment made clear by u.s. trade representative robert slight ties a who presented a veiled critique of china in particular we cannot sustain a situation in which new rules can only apply to a few. and that others will be given a pass in the name of self proclaimed development status far from the usual trade wrangling with china this was an attack on the w t o itself with the e.u. seeking to strike a more conciliatory note. so we need to have a clear objective in mind for the european union this is to preserve and to strengthen the rules based multilateral trading system and for its to thrive it has to develop it is not perfect but it's the best we have and we have achieved great thing

e.u. will impact the country's economy bread's it minister david davis told parliament such an analysis wasn't needed until later in the divorce process the comments are likely to inflame criticism of the government negotiations with brussels have stalled in recent days over the status of the irish border a man has appeared in court in london on suspicion of plotting to kill british prime minister to resign may prosecutors say that the islamist plot involved an attack on her official residence one other man was arrested in connection with the case security officials believe it is the ninth islamist plot thwarted by british police this year a state of emergency has been declared in parts of southern california where firefighters are battling severe wildfires one hundred fifty thousand people have been ordered to evacuate the biggest blazes in ventura county northwest of los angeles and has spread over eighty kilometers nearly to the pacific ocean one day after russia was banned from competing in the twenty eighteen winter olympics four states doping the kremlin says that it will take time to co

e.u. had given china's special attention in a report on how its economy is distorted by the state omen. the report by the e.u. makes irresponsible remarks about china's economic development fabricates excuses and develops discriminative just restricted in measures towards china it doesn't mention its own acts that violate rules this way of calmly using double standards is really hypocritical hewing the report states that beijing excerpts of decisive influence over the allocation of resources and influences prices in a very significant manner it further defines that selling product for export at below domestic prices is considered dumping the e.u. sees such dumping in chinese exports of steel aluminum chemicals and ceramics. for fifteen minutes of business for you next hour sir thank you so much dan we're going to turn now to unicef germany because each year it grants its photo of the year award to an outstanding image depicting the living conditions of children around the world this year's winner is a sad testament to the hundreds of thousands of children who are the innocent victims of

e.u. will impact the country's economy breaks it minister david davis told parliament that such an analysis wasn't needed until later in the divorce the comments are likely to inflame criticism of the government negotiations with brussels have stalled in recent days over the status of the irish border diesel gate has cost votes wagon millions in fines and recalls but so far the executives of the company well they have not been punished well now in the u.s. where the scandal was uncovered v.w. manager oliver schmitt has been sentenced to seven years in prison most v.w. executives based in germany well they haven't even lost their jobs. oliver schmidt will be the first german v.w. manager to be imprisoned for his role in the emissions scandal he admitted that he knew about the software manipulation and lied about it to u.s. authorities he characterized himself as a scapegoat acting on behalf of management that didn't help him much in court but as part of his guilty plea prosecutors agreed to drop most of the counts for the time being one of the schmidt will be the final u.s. conviction in the

e.u. will impact country's economy minister david davis told parliament that such an analysis wasn't needed until later in the divorce process the comments are likely to inflame criticism of the government negotiations with brussels have stalled in recent days over the status of the irish border a man has appeared in court in london on suspicion of plotting to kill british prime minister theresa may prosecutors say that the extremist islamist plot involved in a bomb attack on her official residence one other man was arrested in connection with the case security officials believe that it is the ninth plot police have courted this year. french rock icon johnny holiday has died from lung cancer at the age of seventy four known as the french elvis holiday helped popularize rock'n'roll in francophone world helping himself one hundred million records in a fifty year career. he will be missed by many of his fans now to a day after russia was banned by competing in the twenty eighteen winter olympics for state sponsored doping the kremlin says that it will take time to consider its response twenty

e.u.'s top five economies hit back saying donald trump's tax plan the cuts rather may distort international trade . protests are a common sight at these conferences but they're not the only ones upset with the w t o the united states was once a big proponent now under president donald trump it is more of a skeptic while all members agree that the w t o needs improving the u.s. is threatening to pull out altogether a sentiment made clear by u.s. trade representative robert slight ties or who presented a very old critique of china in particular we cannot sustain a situation in which new rules can only apply to a few and that others will be given a pass in the name of self proclaimed development status far from the usual trade wrangling with china this was an attack on the w t o itself with the e.u. seeking to strike a more conciliatory note. so we need to have a clear objective in mind for the european union this is clear to preserve and to strengthen the rules based multilateral trading system and for its to thrive it has to develop it is not perfect but it's the best we have and we have ach

e.u. will impact the country's economy breaks it minister david davis told parliament such an analysis was not needed until later in the divorce the comments are likely to inflame criticism of the government negotiations with brussels have stalled in recent days over the status of the irish border. russian president vladimir putin says he will run for reelection next year he made the announcement while visiting car factory workers today opinion polls suggest that putin would comfortably win the election he's maintained popularity among russians despite economic hardships and rising tensions with the west scootin is credited with for longing stability in the country he's effectively been in power since two thousand when he first became president. let's listen to the moment that president putin announced his decision to run again. by civil rights to a bunch of. disputes in the. mites couldn't find a better place and moments when i'm stressed thank you for your support and your spicy poems about us i will be running as a candidate for the post of president of the russian federation. by the me

e.u. had given china's special attention in a report on how is economy is distorted by the state omen. the report by the e.u. makes irresponsible remarks about china's economic development fabricates excuses develops discriminative just restraint measures towards china it doesn't mention its own acts that violate rules this way of calmly using double standards is really hypocritical shewing. the report states that beijing excerpts a decisive influence over the allocation of resources and influences prices in a very significant manner it further defines that selling product for export at below domestic prices is considered dumping the e.u. sees such dumping in chinese exports of steel aluminum chemicals and ceramics. apple has admitted that the performance of phones is slowed down by the company and develop a primate labs published data that appeared to show slow performance in the i phone success and seven models as they aged apple acknowledged this software takes measures to reduce power demands which can have the effect of slowing the process so the problem stems from the fact that ol

e.u. deal with japan is something the u.k. will not profit from do you think it's an accident that was announced today and what does it mean for the use economy. i don't think this was on purpose you know. i don't think that the e.u. would be so short sighted and small minded to do that to make to create the timing or make the timing of this deal with japan so that the u.k. can get to feel that it's missing out it's just that trade deals like the one with japan also the other important trade deal between the european union and medical sort of the latin american common market which is currently being struck take a lot of time and they're both deals are just about to be ready to be signed of course they are important deals you just mentioned what the in-situ chief estimates how much germany might benefit from the trade agreement with japan. and of course it's something that people here in the financial center in germany germany and frankfurt are welcoming convert now the first step towards bragg's it is taken what do investors expect will negotiate a trade deal now we as difficult as the initial divorced or. well it's probably going to be more

e.u. will impact the country's economy british minister david davis told parliament such an analysis wasn't needed until later in the divorce process the comments are likely to inflame criticism of the government negotiations with brussels have stalled in recent days over the status of the irish border. hundreds of nigerians were flown home from libya on tuesday as the u.n. steps up efforts to fly migrants out of the country the move follows an outcry over reports that migrants they're hoping to get to europe are instead being sold into slavery it is estimated that more than four hundred thousand african migrants are stranded inside libyan detention camps. well here in germany a new report on human rights in the country has highlighted the plight of refugees it's an issue at the heart of how germany is dealing with a recent influx of migrants that reached its peak in the summer of two thousand and fifteen now the government will have to respond to the report to make sure that all of those under its jurisdiction are being treated fairly. refugees in germany the laws inscribed in glass next t

but they had a huge drop in the pound and a falling economy. the e.u. look at -- what do you see driving inflation? it seems to me, when this happens, it will be so gradual, i would assume it is hard to get any big move to make a lot of money in in that trade. nader: i agree. when you look at the inflation trends itself, it is a worst-case scenario. when you look at leading indicators of inflation like the growth and pmi surveys, relationship between growth and inflation overtime, all of those and strongrowth, synchronized growth will be inflation. likely experience a sudden growth and inflation. i would not be surprised. at the same time, it is expectations. the market expectation is that we will not achieve the 2% target in 10 years' time. the complacent expectations are enough to disturb the market. kathleen: good point. we see how low the 10 year is in the u.s., 2.34%. many think it should be at least 3%. is there trade with more oomph potentially for equities? or does it have more oomph for bonds? which asset class do you like, and what part of the

e.u. is ten percent and in places in southern europe it's twenty thirty forty percent the place is an economic disaster despite a recent little blip up growth in a few economies the fact is the promise of the e.u. is simply not being fulfilled the likelihood is that it will fall apart in the next ten years rather than transform itself into a european superstate of any kind. when not there's also announced his plans is that there was a constitutional treaty was drafted it would be presented to the member states and those who are against it will simply leave the e.u. what do you think of such an even i was amazed the proposal it's very democratic you do. that was completely undemocratic of you doing except to point blank what i'm proposing could germany you'll get kicked to the european union that really probably would disapprove and. john europe is going through so many problems right now with from bragg's it to the migrant crisis don't you think a bit of unity might help to solve them well it's i mean we talk about germany i think it would be difficult to say that germany's the meltdown to be honest with you they certainly are going to have problems forming a

e.u. what will 2018 bring for brexit negotiations and the u.k. economy? we speak to a former boa -- boe policymaker, denny blast flower. in saudi arabia, the government crackdown on corruption could alter the economy for years to come. we had life to the middle east to check on the health of the saudi economy and the rest of the region. the marketscheck of about 30 minutes into the last trading day of 2017. abigail doolittle is here. little movement so far. abigail: fractional moves for the major averages on the last trading day of 2017. sherry was just mentioning, very consistent with what we have been seeing all week, heading into the new year holiday, a long holiday weekend. toders taking the day off some extent, week off even. the s&p 500 up about 20% on the year. best year since 2013. a bit of a break for the major averages. we have weekly gains except for the nasdaq. the nasdaq taking a bit of a best yearbreak on the week, wity small decline. dragging down the day, we have technology. micron allon, and lower. apple, there is news they are apologizin

e.u. can play in the world and it's true the is growing faster than the u.s. or japan or latin america at the moment do you mean population wise not to the economy and he spoke about the role there for the e.u. play as a pole for stability and we see that at the moment people are coming knocking on the door in brussels for the trade deals. people are coming to talk to brussels about climate change in the lead that we've been giving on climate change including of course representatives of various states and cities across across the us but he also underlined the need for europe to be willing to step up and play a security role in the future and therefore i think it's very welcome that we've taken some decisions to build the capabilities that would be needed for europe to play that role on security and on defense what do you mean specifically what could well we've we've just taken some decisions that twenty three of the of the member states of undertaken commitments to build capabilities in the defense field and we've come for military use of military capabilities and we've come forward with some plans for funding that and helping the member states to build those cap

e.u. . and it's time to turn around the struggling economy that's the message from zimbabwe's new president and his address to the nation. has president has threatened to cut off financial aid to countries that vote in favor of a draft united nations resolution against his decision to recognize jerusalem as israel's capital the general assembly will hold a rare emergency special session on thursday at the request of arab and muslim countries mike hanna reports from the u.n. security council staff pose with the secretary general for an annual photograph is called then it's business as usual in the chamber like most other member states those represented here unwilling to comment publicly on the extraordinary letter sent by u.s. ambassador nikki haley ambassador did you receive the letter from the haley about the. many letters and the majority view apparently summed up by one representative who was willing to comment on our position in this case has been very clear we had the opportunity to express ourselves in the security council so so that's our very strong prince principled position. swede

e.u. partly because they have this huge balance of payments surplus. with with the british economy so i think that one of the things that is going to be required over the coming period is for the e.u. to be careful not to be too demanding to be willing to compromise and to see the things and respond of you at least to some recent extent because if i think if they don't i think there's a huge desire in the u.k. to reach an agreement to have a viable way ahead for the next fifty years but i don't think the british people prepared to do is to accept any terms however bad to achieve that and i think the european union needs to realise that that's the case. nina we've got one minute i wonder if i can get you to weigh on that leaving without the deal the would be perhaps worse for the e.u. . breck's it is it's basically a damage control exercise so no deal brax it is good for nobody but the idea that somehow it be more damaging to the e.u. than the u.k. is ridiculous and this is off the case is often made to me you know we sell well we buy so much more from the e.u. and i'm german i talk

pan-european minister instead who would oversee both finance and the economy the idea will be discussed in depth on december fifteenth when e.u. leaders gather for a euro summit and now let's get back to bit coin and bring in one of the experts on the subject peter schiff the c.e.o. of europe acetic capital peter thanks for joining us i assume you're the one guy who knows exactly why we've just busted thirteen thousand and you'll explain this all all to us go right ahead. i don't know if people would think consider me an expert in crypto currencies in fact a lot of people think i know nothing about them and they claim that's why i don't believe in their ultimate potential i do believe that what we are witnessing is a gigantic speculative bubble why is the price going up people are buying right i mean that's was always going to drive the price up and you have a lot more people buying now and i think it's kind of across the board you have a lot of individual interest you have taxicab drivers who are putting small amounts of money into crypto currencies and then you have some institutional investors who are investing now substan

government has been struggling with a weak economy and unemployment's now it's having to find jobs for nearly a arrived refugees the problem has been made worse because some e.u. nations have refused to resettle some of them but one group thinks refugees could help grow creases economy as well as leave reports. language class for this group of refugees in northern greece jason from it live in syria has decided to seek asylum here they all need greek anyway because they'll be here for months or even years so slow is the bureaucracy. jason said he wants to study and maybe become a hairdresser. but he's open to suggestions for work. across this country similar scenes are happening the rest of europe has decided the greece can cope more or less greece has got a big problem the economist on the whole more than forty percent youth unemployment and at the same time greece is having to deal with the brunt of the refugee influx and the european quota system for sharing them out has fallen apart completely so is the big question if there's not enough jobs for greeks then what to expect refugees to do. in the absence of any other bright ideas some people here have decid

e.u. those here say brags it will have a negative impact on france's economy i'm afraid it is a bad thing our first customer for france is the u.k. we actually have a twelve billion pounds positive balance between the two countries so anything which would impact the economy in the u.k. will impact our economy. is a new france for many bosses choosing paris isn't only about breaks it it's also about france's new president who sees innovation as the key to economic growth mark or has done a revolution. in the software will. but. you know very rarely a group where for falls it's still molten one year until britain officially exits the e.u. but the uncertainty of what will happen after is likely to see more businesses like this across the english channel natasha butler al-jazeera paris the second phase of voting in local elections has been going on in the indian state of gujarat is being seen as a test of popularity for prime minister narendra modi who has spent weeks campaigning in his home state the slow slowing economy as well as the introduction of a new tax structure are some of the main

e.u. . those here say briggs it will have a negative impact on france's economy i'm afraid it is a bad thing our first customer for france is the u.k. we actually have a twelve billion pounds positive balance between the two countries. so anything which would impact the economy in the u.k. would impact our economy. is a new france for many bosses choosing paris isn't only about breaks it it's also about france's new president who sees innovation as the key to economic growth mark or has done a revolution and it's a soft revolution but he's clearly engaged in a very very crude way for false it's still more than one year until britain officially exits the e.u. but the uncertainty of what will happen after is likely to see more businesses like this across the english channel natasha butler al-jazeera paris it's six months since one of the worst fires in modern british history a memorial service is being held in london to mark the deadly fire in grenfell tower which killed seventy one people members of the royal family the prime minister and emergency service personnel who work the night of june

famous no we jim king crabs and just like the economy as a whole he relies heavily on the european union. more than eighty percent off and always exports are to e.u. member states and one of the key advantages are shared standards. i don't need to spend a long time explaining to my european customers of open meaning because they are looking for exactly the same with and presenting if i go from there are third floor was the sort of realize there are some other issues for the european market is a very important market for us because they're close on your descent. but there's a price for norway's access to the e.u. market which britain might be unwilling to pay for the free movement of labor norway's government however sees it as a huge benefit. actually noways one of the countries having the largest portion of foreign labor from the countries in the way and we depend upon. the workers and labor force from from other european countries so this is actually important for us and there are other potential perks with its arrangement norway is not part of the customs union that means it can unlike member states strike its own trade deals something that br

e.u. agreements, really showing the u.s. is 20% to 25% of the global economy, it used the same size, doing a one trade deal with the u.s. is much easier than doing multiple trade deals, especially with multiple large companies and i think we've seen an example of that was trudeau's trip to china and his desire to start free-trade ingratiation's with china and the ultimate failure of that attempt. the global britain idea would be many years and probably not delete duplicate the size of the u.s. economy. so we start with the scenarios. .. >> okay i disagree with you with those nontariff barriers under the eu free trade agreement will rise by 5% relative to what they are now. we will have nontariff barriers they will be 0%. can program that to a custom scenario and the model will calculate the results for four different aggregates. what will u.k. trade look like? look at that nontariff barriers for services that are major barrier of the u.k. they are services exports that is where the trade surplus is and the trade deficit. so you can say what will the u.k., u.s.

e.u. is very much a part of that economy, are even more ambitious. by 2025, all new cars sold in norway must be emissions free. moving on to japan, the world's fourth largest car market. it has more electric charging stations than gas station -- stations. india announced that all new cars sold there by 2030 must be electric or hybrid vehicles. so with the entire world moving towards cleaner, newer technology and innovative vehicles, why does this automotive lobby group, the auto alliance, suddenly want to renege on the promise its members made to the american people to raise and abide by those cafe standards? we should hope that our business leaders would be honorable enough to keep their word. that's a fairly basic proposition. but if the future of the industry lies with ever more fuel-efficient cars, hybrids, electric cars, fuel-cell cars, why would the auto industry in america be furiously lobbying the trump administration to go backwards, breaking your word to go backwards doesn't seem to make sense, even from a business point of view. electric v

e.u. city come on the mayor of london you know london has the seventh strongest economy in europe and city khan is basically saying look by a majority so it's seventy percent london's didn't want bricks that so she's going to have to resell something that is so difficult to sell anyway. yeah absolutely and then it is absolutely crucial for cherries in may that she treats the four constituent parts of the u.k. as a single entity that there's no way that they can possibly have different rules for northern ireland or scotland or wales that don't apply to the whole lot and so it certainly seemed that the idea of the to biggest possible concessions northern ireland which would be remaining in the single market is completely off the table because that's what the d.p. wouldn't accept they simply couldn't accept northern ireland being more similar to the republican it would be to the rest of the u.k. so this has been a real issue that reason make it up to do not process you know what we talked a lot about the break to tears in her cabinet and what they might be prepared to accept but there is abso

economy and the political backdrop but as i say, certainly for the e.u.'re so zone more widely as well. vonnie: wonderful stuff. please come back and visit us ubs. john wraith, at let's check in on the first word news with taylor riggs. taylor: some terrifying moments in new york today. police say a man wearing an explosive device set off inside the times square subway station and is under arrest and being treated for burns. three other people were also hurt. the suspect is identified as a 27-year-old. bill de blasio called it an attempted terrorist attack, the subway station where the bomb went off is the busiest in the city. the u.s. treasury secretary steve massachusetts nuchen released the tax plan and said it would generate $1.8 trillion in additional revenue over 10 years and would be enough to pay for the tax cuts. congress' official scorekeeper said the cuts would add almost $1 trillion to the deficit. the largest of those wildfires in southern california is now moving north. hundreds have fled their homes in santa barbara county. so far the fire

e.u. it also has implications for the gig economy. well. >> we are able to rent out parts of our homes, rooms in existing homes. -- they are not subject to the tame kind of the scrutiny, rules and regulations that companies, like hotels, like bed-and-breakfasts, are subjected to. we do not have to meet the same requirements. aredo wonder whether there going to be other countries in the world, whether parts of the e.u. will say individual home renters need to be subjected to the same rules and regulations as the marriott. saying uberresting, is a taxi company, then airbnb is considered a hotel now. thank you, joining us from san francisco. apple said to have a plan to combine iphone, ipad and mac apps as early as next year. it will cut the workload of software developers. will they find a single application that works on all three devices? our technology reporter mark gurman broke the story. >> that makes so much sense -- why did they not do it earlier? >> it makes a lot of sense, part of the long-term initiative to make their ios devi

e.u. to suspend his country's polluting. zimbabwe's new president makes fixing the economy his number one priority in the state of the nation speech. though they are very warm welcome to the program we begin in the united states where president don't trump is due to speak to his huge lead just lots of victory which will live for the biggest overhaul of the u.s. tax system in thirty years earlier the u.s. house of representatives gave the one point five trillion dollar tax reform bill its final approval when i was passed a president to be signed into law republicans have praised the bill which will repeal pots it will bomb a care but a recent poll suggested fifty five percent of americans who called was it. well the bill slashes the corporate tax rate from thirty five to twenty one percent as of jan january the farce and it ends tax advantages for companies that move overseas income tax rates and inheritance tax will be reduced for most people those starting over half a million dollars a year will experience higher tax deductions but these provisions are temporary ending in twenty twenty six now the bill's expected to add on

e.u. deal with japan is something the u.k. will not profit from do you think it's an accident that was announced today and what does it mean for the use economy. i don't think this was on purpose you know. i don't think that the e.u. would be so short sided and small minded to do that to make to create the timing or make the timing of this deal with japan so that the u.k. can get to feel that it's missing out it's just that trade deals like the one with japan also the other important trade deal between the you part european union and medical sort of the latin american common market which is currently being struck take a lot of time and they're both deals are just about to be ready to be signed of course they are important deals you just mentioned what the in-situ chief estimates how much germany might benefit from the trade agreement with japan. and of course it's something that people here in the financial center in germany germany and frankfurt are welcoming. now that the first step towards bragg's it is taken what do investors expect will negotiate a trade deal now we as difficult as the initial divorce or it's probably going to be more di