we have assembled an a-list panel, gaven smith is a climateologist, josh marks is ceo of mass flight, edwinamerica's future, contributor for msnbc. gaven, let's start with you. for all of us shivering our behinds off, what is the science here? >> it's wintertime. we have a number of really cold fronts come through this year. mostly associated with meandering of the jet stream. you can see it on the weather maps. you get this big dip going down. that's bringing cold air down from canada and the arctic where it normally sits and bringing it down to us. >> is that what is making this year so unusual? >> we've had an unusual set of patterns. but it's not that unusual. new york city in decades past has seen much, must have worse. 1934, we got down to minus 19 fahrenheit. we've seen far more snow. if you actually look at the statistics, on average, the winters have been getting warmer. so this is a bit of an aberration going against the trend. but it doesn't keep you any warmer. >> it's that darn groundhog. he saw his shadow. now how much longer of this? >> slightly more reliable than small ferre