the boss of yara - international speaking with our business correspondent, emma simpson.sion — that's according to the united nations. some have warned it could be the biggest refugee crisis this century. so what impact could that flow of refugees have on the european countries that are welcoming them? joining me now is zsolt darvas, senior fellow at the brussels—based think—tank bruegel. of course, we should say, first of all it is so inspiring to see how many neighbouring countries have been prepared to welcome people who are fleeing the conflict in ukraine. yet, inevitably questions turn to the impact such an influence would have on neighbouring economies. what is your assessment of the work that will need to be done to support people fleeing conflict? in will need to be done to support people fleeing conflict?- people fleeing conflict? in the cominu people fleeing conflict? in the coming days. _ people fleeing conflict? in the coming days, it's _ people fleeing conflict? in the coming days, it's an _ people fleeing conflict? in the | coming days, it's an enormous burd

he's been talking to our business correspondent, emma simpson, who began by asking him about the cost seen. 0n—farm costs have been rising since last summer. feed, fertiliser and fuel. and we've been paying ourfarmers more money to cover that. unfortunately, the cost of farming has increased so much because of the ukraine crisis that the cash flow on farm is negative and farmers, as a result, are producing less milk. are farmers breaking even? farmers are not making money at the moment, and they're having to make some very important decisions on how much feed they buy, how much fertiliser they buy to grow the feed for the future. how big is this drop in production, then? so, uk dairy farmers have been growing production, producing more for about the last seven or eight years, but in the last six months, that has gone the other a way. in february, farmers produced 2%, less and in march, it's 4% less. so, the direction of travel is going the wrong way. so, what are the implications of that, then? a shortfall of milk? what we need to do is we need to make sure farmers�* costs are covered

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emma simpson, bbc news, aylsham.ut to fuel duty, increasing the threshold at which you start to pay national insurance, and changes to universal credit. but, with prices set to rise even further, the charities we spoke to say they can only see demand for their help increasing. and also, people who would traditionally have given to charities are also feeling the pinch themselves. charities are also feeling the pinch themselves-— charities are also feeling the pinch themselves. these are people who have never— themselves. these are people who have never struggled _ themselves. these are people who have never struggled in _ themselves. these are people who have never struggled in this - themselves. these are people who have never struggled in this way i have never struggled in this way before. they are now seeing the effects of all of this. a perfect storm coming together and hitting their budgets. i was talking to the lady on the till in the supermarket a couple of weeks ago and she said from way she looks at the baske

its chief executive was speaking to our business correspondent, emma simpson, just hours before the russianfarmers. that in turn would have a direct impact on the coming harvest. this is something that we're concerned about and we're consequently looking at alternative sources of nutrients. presumably this situation could push food prices up even further, couldn't it? that has already happened. we saw the un food price index hit an all—time high back in early february. half of the world's population gets food as a result of fertiliser. that is it for now. we could now go back to the ukrainian border. many people are still trying to flee ukraine, among them 700 indian students, but other have managed to cross the border to poland and some have made their way back to india. the bbc coresspondat divya arya has been speaking to them shejoins me now from poland. some of the students, what they have been saying to you, can you take me through it? there is a lot of— you take me through it? there is a lot of trauma _ you take me through it? there is a lot of trauma amongst i you take me through it?

its chief executive was speaking to our business correspondent, emma simpson, just hours before the russiana fertiliser shortage, then? there's certainly a risk for that. these are very integrated global supply chains and trade flows, and any disruption to that could delay deliveries and then not be available at the right time for the farmers, which in turn would have a direct impact on the coming harvest. so this is something that we're concerned about and consequently, we're looking at alternative sources of nutrients. presumably, this situation could push food prices up even further, couldn't it? yes. and that has already happened. we saw the un food price index hit an all time high back in early february. half of the world's population gets food as a result of fertiliser. american express has followed visa and mastercard in announcing it's suspending operations in russia in response to the invasion of ukraine. the payment giants account for about 90% of credit and debit card transactions outside china. now russian banks are looking to china for an alternative. 0ur correspondent nick mar

he's been speaking to my colleague emma simpson. that has already happened. and if that's removed from the field, for some crops, they will drop by 50% in the first season. so it's a vital part of food security for the whole world. do you think we could be heading for a globalfood crisis? yes, so, for me, it's not whether we are moving towards a global food crisis, it's how large the food crisis will be. the wholesale price of wheat hit a record high last week and it could go even higher. that's because overnight, ukraine's government introduced rules to control the export of wheat, as well as corn and sunflower oil. ukraine and russia account for around 30% of global wheat exports. the uk grows most of its wheat so we're much less reliant on eastern europe for it but that does not mean that britain is shielded from any global price hikes. the global price hikes. other thing to mention is if the price the other thing to mention is if the price of wheat goes up, potentially the price of bread, on top of high petrol prices and household energy bills, the squeez