you well know as a historian several decades ago the problem is in this interconnected age most of eurasia and the southern hemisphere nations are on to this game and know that he's basically there to either scare or intimidate or at the very least confuse these so-called adversaries so tear her on moscow beijing islam abide ancora this point most nations know that trump is basically there is a placeholder while the people that are actually in charge are scrambling and actually sweating out of nervousness because the stakes have never been higher geopolitically or macroeconomic li trans-atlantic li and i should mean that you mentioned israel i mean it seems to me you know what this flurry of attacks attacking 3 countries in the region in rapid succession obviously this has to do with bibi netanyahu his reelection hopes because of the i guess he's not elected he faces jail time so he's easy as this is pretty important stuff here but it seems to me also he's trying to keep donald trump's attention keeping his attention on the region which all of us on this program and most people watching th

due to the bed and wrote initiative we using this term eurasia meaning this huge duration lead for the 1st time again and not only and only jewel to china's influence this is happening so china is getting ever more global which as i said it is very normal consequence of china's major economic rise and how do the expansion and those economic goals how do i swear with efforts to control pollution and comply with the requirements of the paris climber's agreement well. the success of china comes with a certain cost and the pollution you mention is one aspect of this cost is not the only one they have a number of serious huge problems the chinese government has to deal with not only globally with the united states or with europe but also domestically it is social inequality it is pollution it is the job market the list is unbelievably long the challenges for that for china's government enormous but no one has to tell china's government that leadership pollution is a serious problem and environmental protection is something you should take care of they know and thousands of people because it

can gel seen a consulting fellow on russia and eurasia at chatham house. thank you so very much for joining us i apologize for the confusion. at the start of interview but i think have certainly. your message loud and clear coming through. on the issue between russia and france thank you so very much anti defeats on into patients. sixty alive from paris the around back group has bolles says they have. in their possession an israeli drone. that they shot down in southern lebanon the incident is the latest escalation between. israel and the toronto at group. it comes a week before israel the set to head to the polls inin a re staging ofof lat spring elelection. monday so the latest escalation between lebanon's hezbollah and israel. anti anti around back group claimed to hahave shot down ann israeli unmanned aircraft outsidide the southern town. of crimea. the israeli ministry for its part denied the claim saying that a small surveillance drone had crashed. a legal resident in the area describe the scene. and then what i'll do we had they down to driving when

here he's the executive director of the eurasia so what krissy initiative an international n.g.o.s that promotes democracy and human rights in eastern and central europe for good to get the perspective from ukraine but try and get him back for no let's continue to focus on the president trump and the trumpet ministration bar and senior iranian government officials from entering the u.s. there's a directive came on the same day president hassan rouhani spoke at the u.n. general assembly. negotiations on tehran's nuclear program as long as american sanctions stay in place. as this reports. his speech was closely watched by friends and rivals looking for an indication that iran is willing to talk to the u.s. but the president has a low honey made it clear he won't meet president donald trump as long as the u.s. continues to impose sanctions model a bit more. they call us to negotiations when they run away from treaties and deals our response under sanctions is negative iran's leader has called on regional neighbors to join an alliance to secure freedom of navigation in the strait of homers

eurasia group came up with an updated base case.ly elections. most likely in november rather than before the october 31 deadline. there is increased speculation to angles is going hard for a deal. probabilitythat low for a deal to two primary reasons, the distance between london and brussels remains too great on the backstop issue for there to be substantial progress ahead of the council meeting. even if boris johnson did get a deal agreed to with brussels, we have low confidence he will be able to get it through the commons. torys lost several members. us. kathy fisher with things get soft. poor prices ugly in china. prices ugly in china. we see the dup with the beginning of an amendment. when you frame investment, when you look at investment, there is this foundational thing that life goes on after brexit. do you still have that? >> yes. i think that is part of what we are seeing. investors are getting more realistic about the situation. they recognize interest rates are not magic bullets. changes the way things have been operatin

mijk you very much indeed, rahman, eurasia group managing director of europe. vonnie: let's get a check on markets with abigail doolittle. abigail: take a look at major averages in the u.s., well off the highs, perhaps on those china comments from president trump. the s&p 500 and the dow up ever so slightly. earlier, the s&p 500 up more than 0.5%. in the u.k., the ftse 100 down 0.5% on the u.k. supreme court overturning the suspension of parliament, a real blow to boris johnson. brent crude down 1.7%. investors not liking saudi arabia putting out the thought that their supply will truly be back online. another place we are seeing movement off of that supreme court decision, the british pound the dollar gaining 0.4%. it is really the month of september that stands out, up more than 2.5%, on pace for its best monthly performance since january. said we couldly see the pound going higher. that is certainly true in the month of september. we have apple trading higher on that overweight that vonnie was talking about with jeffries, bullish about the prospects on 5g. w

there's one big constant nantz called our eurasia from the mediterranean sea to the sea of japan, from russia to sing polar and-1/2 that's asia. there's no dispute about what is aches. the fact is the last 10, 10, 20 years we have been focuses on asia as if it's china and china revs all asia and children is only a third of the asian pop legislation is, only half of asia's gdp and other asian countries glowing faster than china and the middle east, saudi arabia, turkey, israel, these countries are geographically in asia, and more and more they are gravitating towards the rest of asia and away from the west economically and even strategically. >> steve.in your book you make the 1970s which i lived through and work at the white house -- as a great team. people were happier then, is that true? >> i don't -- i would say the 1970s was a transition period and wasn't a great time, not because you were working in the white house. but in fact -- this is apropos what mark said, it was during the 1970s that our economy gap to become very uncompetitive for a variety of reasons and was as a result o

eurasia group has joined with vontobel holding on what comes next. an exclusive review of what they found, we're joined by ian bremmer of eurasia group and dr. zeno staub, head of vontobel. withe consumed right now the impeachment. connect these two things. to what extent is what we're seeing in washington going to affect the longer-term relationship with china? >> the likelihood of getting a deal with the chinese had gone way down over the last two month and the chinese government has now decided they're going to wait until the next election. the fact trump is going to be consumed, not just distracted, with internal impeachment, the fight of his life, means the bandwidth to actually get something meaningfully done with internal one-on-one xi jinping has gone from low to open to small. david: let's go to the three scenarios you see developing in the most likely from your point of view is basically an extended dispute with china. a second one is we work with our allies to try to bring something about. the third is a deal. >> the least likely. david: b

who thinks the opposite so this is arrant but acosta he's the assistant director of her russia and eurasia program at the fletcher school of tufts university and here's his idea. the recent protests in russia have been touted as some kind of turning point in russian domestic politics by many experts but there's little indication at least not yet that any real changes are coming the protesters love growing in number are still no match for the government the authorities remain unwavering and have responded with mass detentions and propaganda according to the levada analytical center whose approval rating has sunk to as low as 64 percent this year and approval for the government has dropped to around 39 percent but the kremlin has faced similar public sentiment back in 20132000 baht there is little reason to believe that 2019 will be a watershed moment for the system so yeah i actually want to bring you back in here on that point because he says these protests might be significant but nothing from italy. yes so 1st just going back to the previous discussion as to say a night you know it's bee

who thinks the opposite so this is eric bana kosky he's the assistant director of her russia and eurasia program at the fletcher school of tufts university and here's his idea. the recent protests in russia have been touted as some kind of turning point in russian domestic politics by many experts but there's little indication at least not yet that any real changes are coming the protestors while growing in number are still no match for the government the authorities remain unwavering and have responded with mass detentions and propaganda according to the levada analytical center whose approval rating has sunk to as low as 64 percent this year and approval for the government has dropped to around 39 percent but the kremlin has faced similar public sentiment back in 20132000 baht there is little reason to believe that 2019 will be a watershed moment for the system so yeah i actually want to bring you back in here on that point because he says these protests might be significant but nothing from italy. yes so 1st just going back to the previous discussion as the n.s.a. and i you know it's

no water in the washroom or i eurasia.at the khazan leafy shattered we let the world who are in a woman shell than the water. and when one blue yes sure of the meaning then me what do more angel. feel. how little for. what paul lawrie. as a locust salata for obama massa hot sun law and not that the shore i. find some creek kennedy a member of parliament father husband and poet. impart to our syrian mar by any listen you overcame obstacles to become a successful invent. a. wolfie on a sound you don't mind is out of need while if you have my. stuff up to run it down for c d's should not be an. allotment sees i'll bring a little county i live to use. mouse on all of the field of insanity you'll be out of washington. then say to really know someone you must walk a mile in their shoes. follow in their footsteps as they forge their way in the water. al-jazeera shares these personal journeys. inspiring stories of people persevering on their chosen path. witnessed documentaries on al-jazeera. this is a really fabulous news from on

who thinks the opposite so this is arrant but acosta he's the assistant director of her russia and eurasia program at the fletcher school of tufts university and here's his idea. the recent protests in russia have been touted as some kind of turning point in russian domestic politics by many experts but there's little indication at least not yet that any real changes are coming the protesters love growing in number are still no match for the government the authorities remain unwavering and have responded with mass detentions and propaganda according to the levada analytical center whose approval rating has sunk to as low as 64 percent this year and approval for the government has dropped to around 39 percent but the kremlin has faced similar public sentiment back in 20132000 baht there is little reason to believe that 2019 will be a watershed moment for the system so yeah and i actually want to bring you back in here on that point because he says these protests might be significant but nothing frontals. yes so 1st just going back to the previous discussion as then to say and i you know it'

someone who thinks the opposite so this is arrant but of cops he's the assistant director russia and eurasia program at the fletcher school tufts university and here's his idea. the recent protests in russia have been touted as some kind of turning point in russian domestic politics by many experts but there's little indication at least not yet that any real changes are coming the protesters while growing in number are still no match for the government the authorities remain unwavering and have responded with mass detentions and propaganda according to the levada analytical center whose approval rating has sunk to as low as 64 percent this year and approval for the government has dropped to around 39 percent but the kremlin has faced similar public sentiment back in 20132000 baht there is little reason to believe that 2019 will be a watershed moment for the system so yeah i actually want to bring you back in here on that point because he says these protests might be significant but nothing from italy. yes so 1st just going back to the previous discussion as the n.s.a. and i you know it's bee

all right we're now joined live by earl rasmussen who's the executive vice president of the eurasia center earl thanks for being with us here on r t international. so the summary of trump's call with the ukrainian president has now been released and he did in fact asked zelinsky to look into joe biden's dealings is this evidence of illegal conduct that we're looking at. personally i do not think so and. we know we've got a situation over there i think mr biden publicly during a correlation. on television televised. basically boasted about. about the pressure that he put on the port of genco to relieve and fire the. that the time the prosecutor there who was looking into the bruce money holdings which just happened coincidentally mr biden son was employed by so i i you know there's some shady dealings going on there definitely some pressure was put on by mr biden threatening to uphold a $1000000000.00. of loan guarantees. i think it's perhaps it was an optimal for mr trump to actually mention it but i think it's something that ukraine should do and it's something that needs to be looked int

comment or who tries to do just that this is so if you are the senior program manager for europe and eurasia at freedom house here in the u.s. and here's her take on what these protests are about i think what we're seeing at the core of these protests is a reaction of indignation thousands of people are being legally told that the opposition candidates that they want to see on the ballot for the moscow city legislature are not allowed to run and therefore potentially represent the citizens so what's coming up next the election day is this sunday september 8th it's going to be a true test for the electoral system ahead of big girl election for the parliament and we need $21.00 and for the president 2024 so yeah there she explains it pretty clearly there but can you give us the backstory to why some of these candidates wouldn't be allowed to run. gray yeah and so the issue kind of began earlier in the summer when a group of oppositionists tried to register to be candidates for the selection and it started out registration they are obligated to collect nominations signatures because they're run

now we're in the washroom or i eurasia toomer i have to learn to see at the khazan in fee shot of thelet the one who are in a woman shell than the other. and when what i'm doing yes should all be mean then me why do more. and feel. how little for 2. what bill lawry. as a locust samata for obama massa hearts of law and not that the short. faisel 3 kenedy a member of parliament father husband and poet. impart to our syrian mar by any listening overcame obstacles to become a successful invent. a. bill fiamma of sun news says the money is out of need while and few of mine. stop to run it down from the scene of these. scenes on the brain until. you learn to use. a mouse and all of the feel of insanity you'll be out of washington. and new political sitcom after 27 years of dictatorship in the loop this problem that we have can we overcome it huge challenges here looks at the new democracy and ethiopia's fast changing political landscape through the stories of 4 divests ethiopians know them or simply this is my studio where i shoot the sitcom. my ethiopia on al-jazeera. tibetan culture a dan

thing which is that asia is a continent, europe is a continent, there's one big continent called eurasia. europe shares it with asia. they are two regions but asia, two thirds of it, mediterranean sea to the red sea all the way to the sea of japan, from russia to singapore to india, that is asia. there is no dispute about what is asia. the fact is the last 10, 15, 20 years we've been focused on asia as if it is just china and china represents all of asia and china is only one third of the asian population. half of asia's gdp and other countries growing faster than china and much of what we call the middle east, saudi arabia, turkey, israel, these countries are geographically in asia and more and more they are gravitating towards the rest of asia and the way from the west economically and even strategically. >> in your book you make the 1970s which i lived through and worked in the white house is a great time because he made it sound like people were happier. is that true? >> i would say it was a transitional period and it wasn't a great time, not because you were working in the white hou

now we're in the washroom or i eurasia tumor i have to learn to see it at the end because zach leafyshattered the let the world who are in a woman shell than the other. one what i'm doing yes sure i mean then me why do more angel. feel. how little for 2. what bill lawry. a look is samata for obama massa hearts of law and not that the short. faisel 3 kenedy a member of parliament father husband and poet. impart to our syrian mar by any listen you overcame obstacles to become a successful invent. a. biffy on some you see the money is out of the landed few of mine. stop to run it down from the c d's jump in on me and. let me seize on the little brain i'll continue. to use. mouse on all of you feel out of insanity you'll be out of washington. to strengthen the good you have to shore do good all the more with your game still fight against corruption. destroy news hero which heroes like know who are bad who refuse to $15000000.00 brian the achievement of heroes like him to showcase by the international ace award it shines a light on these heroes because the best way to fight a darker use t

previously senior director of united states national security council stuff for russia ukraine and eurasia with us on skype from huntington west virginia we thank you very much for your time sir. whose decision to. step down is that just one of those situations where you would say his position has become untenable given the circumstances i would say untenable but given the fact that he's likely to have to testify before congress about a deposition move next week he probably wanted to avoid creating a situation in which this activity would be a distraction from important u.s. efforts to try to bring about peace and eastern ukraine where russia is prosecuting a war of aggression but he's well he was right in the middle of it wasn't he i know he was doing this technically on a volunteer basis but he was in. the middle of all of this country of this conflict of the things which the 2 leaders were discussing. with regard to trying to find a solution to the word use a new grand you're correct is right in the middle of it with regard to giuliani it appeared what he tried to do was help move the d

alumni of that program, high school students, high school aged students from 21 countries of europe, eurasia and central asia have participated in this program . one of them is a fellow, he is from the country of georgia and was a flex student in texas in 2014. as a student in texas he got straight a's. it was in the jazz band. it was homecoming prints. he went back to georgia and applied to the us naval academy and was accepted so you'll go back to georgia with an in-depth understanding of the united states and american culture and values and he will be as my military college say force multiplier for us georgia relations. so that's the power of alumni and the second is the evergreen nature of some of our programs and many of our eca programs back decades. the international visitor leadership program was established years ago next year. and it's one of the most prestigious and valued change programs we have. many participants and this has gone on with business leaders and so forth, the program remains the same as it was 80 years ago. we bring groups of people to the united states and let the

eurasia group senior analyst jeffrey wright. thanks very much for joining us on that story. still to come, with president trump set to meet japanese prime minister shinzo abe on wednesday, we will ask japan's former ambassador to the u.s. about the chances of a trade deal. next,en: and up thompson's eyes central banks have inoculated markets against most types of risks. that is just ahead. this is bloomberg. ♪ kathleen: this is "daybreak asia ." i am kathleen hays in new york. sydney.am paul allen in the decline in u.s. consumer confidence this month as the latest data sets adding to the gloomy global outlook. in the past few days, we have had downbeat numbers from japan and germany. incoming ecb president christine lagarde says an outright contraction is unlikely despite one significant risk. lagarde: it is not in the baseline to have a recession. that said, it is mediocre growth. of,s at risk because essentially, one major threat, which is, you know, the trade war that we see. us now is global head of economic and investment research at -- wealth management , marie owens t

national security analyst and former deputy assistant secretary of defense for russia, ukraine and eurasiawant to read you a little bit of the nbc report on this resignation. it says in the complaint that marked the impeachment inquiry a whistle-blower said that the day after trump's july call with ukraine president volodymyr zelensky, kurt volker traveled to the capital to meet with the leader. it alleges that volker went to kiev to guide the ukraine officials on how to handle trump's demands to look into hunter biden's nearly five years as a member of the board that mansion ukraine's natural gas producer. i understand you know mr. volker. was he involved in this plan to try to dig up dirt on joe biden's son hunter? >> joy, i can't say that i know exactly what ambassador volker, kurt's involvement was. i will say he is an outstanding, upstanding professional, consummate professional and i actually believe what the whistle-blower wrote was that he was trying to do damage control. that is what i know of the man. he cares about american democracy and he cares about ukrainian democracy and i