earlier, i spoke with anna ashton of political risk consultancy firm eurasia group, who explained theact of restriction on supply chains. these two particular minerals are not the most widely used, they are not the ones that the united states and other countries are the most reliant on china for, they're not the hardest to get, but i think it's important to keep in mind that if china had put these sorts of restrictions on refined lithium or cobalt or something like that, it would be much more impactful than gallium and germanium. so china has intentionally selected ones that it can use to send a signal. they are clearly important to the semiconductor industry, but they are fungible, they can be swapped out for other things in many instances are supplied by other places. so it is not going to create a crisis for the industry. where do you see this ending between the us and china? i don't know if it will ending, i think we will have a ramp up in tech competition between the us and its allies and china. and china seeking to peel away those allies, because they are important trading partn

earlier, i spoke to anna ashton from political risk consultancy firm eurasia group, and she explainedrt of reach the order could have. it is not as restrictive as it could have been, certainly not as restrictive as the rumours suggested it would be when the administration first announced announced it was considering something like this. you know, it really only targets new investments into chinese firms, and only chinese firms that derive more than 50% of their revenue from sensitive sectors like ai, quantum computing, and advanced semiconductors. and that is far more narrow than we could've seen because last october, the administration talked about a broader range of industries that were national security sensitive and would require either export controls or some sort of investment restriction, or both. as michelle mentioned, businesses get a say in this — what kind of reaction are you expecting from american companies? well, american companies that have been investing in these will not like this and will push back, and try to seek implementation that is as narrow as possible. it'll

i'm joined now by ian bremmer, founder and president of the political risk consultants, eurasia group want to get right to the question of your reaction. he had set up to that mutiny attempt that yevgeny prigozhin was a dead man walking. i guess you're not terribly surprised by hearing this. tell us a little bit about the kremlin and how they handle people who are considered their enemies. we know a lot of people that have been incarcerated and assassinated for taking for more minor steps against the kremlin and putin personally, so the fact that yevgeny prigozhin was allowed to walk away free after being called a traitor directly on to state airwaves by president putin, a traitor to the russian nation, it is pretty clear at the time that the deal cut with putin was not worth the paper it was printed on. and that he wasn't going to be allowed to work for long because one very important point here is none of this in the world's democracies had ever seen how putin would behave, the master strategist, the great chess player, how he would behave when he was truly pushed against a wall. th

earlier, i spoke to anna ashton from political risk consultancy firm eurasia group, and she explainedave been, certainly not as restrictive as the rumours suggested it

tom: saving the show right now with your eurasia group.ar ai article in foreign affairs magazine with china and their corporate affairs at eurasia group. anna ashton joins us. what do you think of the chinese coverage? it is a cottage industry right now for people like you. there is like five articles a day. i feel like i have to read. what am i missing? what do you see in your china analysis that is not in the zeitgeist right now? >> hmm. so, i wish there were only five articles a day that i had to read. [laughter] it definitely has become something of a cottage industry. i think the interesting thing that is happening right now really is this -- that the biden administration have been pursuing this summer. i know that is not new and something people have had every reason to see. i think the fact that it is being carried out by the biden administration at this time when we are headed into a presidential election year, i had expected a couple of years ago that by now, there would be nothing but competition to be the most hawkish on china.

yu, host of the spectator�*s chinese whispers podcast, live from the summit in south africa is eurasia groupf i can come to you in johannesburg, do you get any sense that these five are pulling in the same direction?— same direction? that is a very interesting — same direction? that is a very interesting question _ same direction? that is a very interesting question and - same direction? that is a very interesting question and the l same direction? that is a very i interesting question and the best way to answer that is they are all coming from different places, so it is difficult to go in the same direction when there are different personalities and views on the alliance itself. as the insert said, there is a very clear framing from russia and china for this to become a very powerful counterweight and counterforce to the west, but there is much less enthusiasm and appetite from india and south africa for that. ~ ., ., , that. who would it benefit if there is a big expansion? _ that. who would it benefit if there is a big expansion? might - that. who would it benefit if there is a big expans

eurasia told the brics group that the expansion of iran's interactions and relations with the member countries of these organizations is one of the duties of safra. sharif relations should be strengthened in the martyrdom operation of a palestinian in the west bank . in the west of allah, there was an attack and he himself was martyred by the hands of the workers. hazaret wasim, the spokesman of the hamas movement, said that the operation in the west bank against the occupiers and settlers carrying this clear message from the workers has no security in the palestinian land. last night, four zionist soldiers, including an officer, were killed. bomb explosion in the route of armored vehicles in nablus were wounded and the lives and also bulldozers of the zionist military were targeted with molotov cocktails . the palestinian operation was a reaction to the settlers' attack on nablus, the occupation was surrounded by the palestinian sea of ​​hamon and the clashes. 56 palestinians were injured. a large number of people were injured in the capital of gabon. by holding a rally in support o

eurasia and the brics group to expand interactions and he emphasized iran's relations with the member countries as one of the duties of the mullah's trip and emphasized on the implementation of the documents signed after the agreements reached. regarding the visit of foreign minister amir abdollahian in the meeting with the syrian prime minister in this country and his syrian counterpart, and tehran's continued efforts , he emphasized the sovereignty and territorial integrity of syria. the government of syria has become to meet and discuss new areas of cooperation between tehran and damascus in various economic sectors . we agree to pursue the agreements of the presidents. the joint commission of iran and syria, the first islamic president of iran , should be held in tehran in the near future. the meeting of amir abdullahian with the children of his syrian counterpart it was the first day of the visit of the head of the foreign policy department of the islamic republic of iran to isis. after the period of bilateral negotiations, they announced to the journalists that they discussed a

frankly, you know, eurasia group doesn't see that in the near term.h is struggling. they need investment. they need to do better courting foreign investment. what most military analysts tell us is that the chinese military doesn't yet have a reliable capability to take and hold taiwan. we don't think that will happen in the near term. is that something that the companies are worried about? yes. >> why is president xi seeming to emphasize ccp ideology over gdp growth and market forces and all of the strides made at 25 times increase in gdp? only as we keep pointing out, not even to a high-income country yet. it seems they have pulled back on things that were working. why? what does that get him ideologically? >> i think some of this, joe, is xi jinping is steering china through a transition, an economic transition, which has been expected and the leadership knew was coming. no matter what policies in place, there would still be challenging, economically, for china right now because of the demographics and because of the fact they are at that place wher

talk with kathy is ambassador phil reeker, who is partner and lead of the europe and eurasia practice at albright group here at wilson. he is the chair of our global europe, now retired from state department. ambassador reeker was chargÉ d'affaires at the u.s. embassy in the united kingdom and was acting assistant secretary of state for europe eurasia. before that, before he retired from the foreign service, he was secretary blinken's senior advisor for caucasus negotiations. and before that, of course, many other postings, ambassador to macedon and civilian deputy and policy advisor to the commander of the u.s., european command based in germany. so i think we have all the europe knowledge here on the. so welcome to this conversation we're going to talk about some of the issues that highlights in her book and. have a have a fun discussion today. thank you for joining us. so cathy i'm going to open it up with talking about all those firsts that i was i was mentioning you were the first eu high representative foreign and security policy. and when i think about that at time, you had to actually define th

group by the end of this year. the idea that between the countries eurasia, for the sake of freedom, we will start working from tomorrow with zero to one hundred tariffs in the legislative field, since the agreement signed by all the members accepted that they are the children of their own country , we will change the legal infrastructure, standards, rules and regulations of the import regulation book, which time it will take time, it will become clear that it must be done, the day of the set documents, which is definitely another global experience , all countries are going in this direction, the country that succeeded in that country, and this era will be a transition, including to strengthen it, but it is still in the time to summarize the fruit of it. the agreement was reached and did not reach the stage of implementation let's be in the government of mr. ghaffari, your last health, and in the program, there will be a lot of talk about the new world order, the paradigm shift that you mentioned, we will implement these changes in this position, what will be our position and our presence in this agreement. now it beca

eurasia council's centre. you're watching bbc news. we are live with the breaking news that the paramilitary leader of the wagner group has been killed in rosenberg joins us. we are getting these reports of russian media, reporting that prigozhin was among the people on this plane, we can confirm he was on the passenger list, we can't confirm he was on the plane, just talk us through that. he was on the plane, 'ust talk us through that he was on the plane, 'ust talk us through math through that. that's right, and that's important _ through that. that's right, and that's important to _ through that. that's right, and| that's important to emphasise, through that. that's right, and - that's important to emphasise, there is still a lot we don't know about what happened. the circumstances of this crash, we know according to the russian aviation agency, we know that mr prigozhin was on the list of passengers for this flight. we know no more than that. we don't know the circumstances of the crash, but interestingly this happened two months to the day since the start of the wagner mutiny. if you go back to june and the remarkable events, where

eurasia program at chatham house, keir giles. this is what he next for the he believed was next for the wagner group. >> question as to what happensrcraft , the were on this aircraft, the indications are going stronger, were on this aircraft, the indi it'sons are going stronger, were on this aircraft, the indi it's still|re going stronger, were on this aircraft, the indi it's still notioing stronger, were on this aircraft, the indi it's still not 100%;tronger, but it's still not 100% confirmed. then what happens confirmed. but then what happens to everybody else? that was in the group and all of the wagner group and all of their commanders, their intermedi commanders, because as an because this was as an organisation that has was already going to be deeply upset at how they've been treated by the russian state and those efforts by the state to either integrate them into the army or exile them to belarus. don't seem to have been particularly successful. what's going to successful. so what's going to happen with and also successful. so what's going to happthis with and also successful. so what's going to happthis broadth and also su