joining us on the phone is the number one rated energy analyst, doug terreson of evercore isi.d to speak with you. i appreciate you calling in. after chevron, i don't know how optimistic i should be about exxon. what's the answer to that question? >> well, you shouldn't be overly optimistic in first half, but therein lies the opportunity as well. and i think investors are focused on three things right now. and, you know, one is that the major retrenchment phase that everyone is undergoing, they're slashing their operating and capital costs because big oil wants to cover dividends and smaller ones want to survive. secondly, in pass down terms, we had major consolidation with the big oil creating value by purchasing smaller entities and that's important because that's often a marker for bottoms and commodity industries like this one. and finally, scott, it starts and ends with oil prices. last week we had enthusiasm created on rumors of cooperation between saudi arabia and russia. but there are a lot of obstacles to that outcome. we're optimistic than others might be, that a brea