of seats in parliament merkel is largely expected to build her coalition with the pro-business f.t.p. party and the green party or let's bring in our panel who all join us from berlin today detract long hours of retired german ambassador and former permanent representative to the e.u. to alston bena as director of the global public policy institute and bethany alan abraham ian as a contribution writer for foreign policy magazine welcome to you all and best of one caliph i could start with yours the chancellor angela merkel's christian democrats have won a fourth term but given this is their worst electoral result in the post-war era you know since my nine hundred forty nine they're down eight point six percent from the last election result just how bad her sweet a victory is this. well it is after all is certain the limited triumph. for the fourth time she is going to be in charge of the government of this country and that's quite an achievement or the other hand the largest government consisting of a coalition between christian democrats and social democrats has been clearly outvoted by th

absolutely terribly as far as previous elections are concerned then we have the left party the greens and the f.t.p. all smaller parties which have managed to get more than five percent of the vote which guarantees them a spot in the bundestag now for the f.t.p. it's particularly interesting because they did miss out on that opportunity in twenty thirty nine so this is a great comeback for them coming in strong a ten point seven percent of that vote and of course a party we're all talking about the alternative for germany the rightwing populist party here managing a strong thirty. percent making them the third largest party in the bundestag and of course they also missed out on that opportunity in twenty thirteen but they went back regrouped got so it's not just in the european parliament but they've also been able to secure thirteen out of the sixteen representation that you need in the state in the state governments here in germany and so this is how the numbers are looking and cumulated believe the other parties have been able to get five percent of that vote so this is the general vote will be

bar was thirty eight year old the leader of the f.t.p. party back from the wilderness they're expected not to do as well as they have tonight so he's going to be very happy all the ladies always describe him as being the most handsome of course not was tony much when he crossed who's with me will come to him in a minute in the studio i'm glad merkel no speaking not a good night further let's listen then over this is translated to. thank. you. ladies and gentlemen. we don't need to beat about the bush obviously we'd of hoped for a slightly better result that goes without saying yet that's what we must not forget that behind us we have an extraordinary challenge in parliament and that is why i am very pleased together with you to say that this city chick objectives of the election campaign if been achieved we are the strongest political party is the c.p.u. c.s.u. . it is our job to form a government and no government can be formed against or without its. thank you. thank. you with with . in the one thing that is for me first of all. i would like

is you and the f.t.p. party also the s.p.d. and of course we will find that them and the coalition agreements depending on how the end that will be reflected in the will not have an impact on that merkel's major rival martin so also said that forming a coalition with merkel is not an option and that his s.p.d. party will go into opposition. you also have political but we used to have politics without debate without discussion on that so it was my. politics and it's important to put into it the role of the opposition in german parliament is an important one dystrophy it's a responsible role so we issue for the next plenty of debate an opposition now means that perhaps the most likely option is the so-called jamaica coalition as it goes forward in alliance with the pro-business free democratic party and the green party where they got their differences to development are playing away from the council they went to m.m.a. where hundreds of protesters have gathered in the city of dresden for an anti is. there for us. this is widely r

the left party the f.t.p. which are liberals the green party and also potentially now being thrown into the mix the suggestion that the right wing party the a.f.d. will gain seats for the very first time in this election although all of the parties have said that they will not form a coalition with the a.f.p. well it's have a look now at some of the possible coalition partners that could rule germany over the next four years. german parties really emerge with a solid majority from the elections so when it's over they try to make friends. after having tried hard to undermine each other's policies during complaining but the good news is for the politicians you can always say sorry we can't keep our election promise because our coalition partners. which is not good news for the voters though might ask what was the point when you basically get a program that you didn't vote for. there is no guarantee that what you ever vote of would like to have any. politics there really turn out there is no guarantee. the electio

has become the third strongest party and it fights the european union and openly supports a nationalist ideology. the f.t.p. the liberal rule of law party with the european spirit is the clearest opponent of the f.d.a. . the greens traditionally cater to well educated other nights that the other likely candidate for the governing coalition we are to party and the election results proves me right that is fighting against climate change so we've got a clear policy for de carbon ization i cannot enter a coalition second we're pro european that means no anti european policy we have the green party that's impossible for us and the first point is just society so this is the framework and if we see moving towards our direction we are ready to take over responsibility. the question of the hour is what will work for all of the possible coalition partners the business focused f.t.p. is likely to struggle to find common ground with the greens pro environmental platform german chancellor angela merkel would have an easier time with one partner like the far right alternative for germany but that's and they've merkel an

stream parties were the big losers this time around the left party in the greens each gained about half a percent the winners this evening the f.t.p. up almost six percent that's the pro-business party here in germany and of course the far right populist a.f.d. up over eight percent this evening. so what does all of this mean for germany and for the world for some analysis i'm going to head over the table now talk with our parliamentary correspondent christopher spring day. it's great to have you here in the studio it's a big night for germany it looks like the political landscape has changed and we see those projected figures one of the takeaways from as elections there are loads of takeaways sara i'm going to give you for first of all chancellor merkel is paying the political price for open border policies back in twenty fourteen win over a million refugees were allowed to enter germany the country is still divided over how well over over whether that decision was correct and over how to deal with those refugees how to integrate them that's the first one the second one is the social democrats are in a desperate situation it's li

parties that were fighting each other in the campaign will now have to cooperate. that abate over an immigration act might become especially challenging the business friendly f.t.p. and the green party wanted the conservative c.d.u. c.s.u. parties oppose it environmental protection might be another issue the green party wants a fast brown coal face out the f.t.p. does not in fact they might become the most complicated coalition talks in decades . we have a lot self work to do now not only in berlin but also between the sea as you and the c.d.u. to find common ground for exploratory talks. playing itself into one all parties involved are aware of that but most of them look like they're keeping their cool. my motto is strength lies in peace it's in the semi it for us who let there be some peace and quiet reflection first. isn't moment enough cause we are now moving quietly into a complicated situation. but that complicated situation seems to be the starting point to forming a coalition because the social democrat s.p.d. has announced they will go into opposition following their election defeat. and german voters prefer that sixty three percent support the s.p.d. goi

parties that were fighting each other in the campaign will now have to cooperate. the debate over an immigration act might become especially challenging the business friendly f.t.p. and the green party wanted the conservative c.d.u. c.s.u. parties oppose it environmental protection might be another issue the green party wants a fast brown coal face out the f.t.p. does not in fact they might become the most complicated coalition talks in decades . we have a lot self work to do now not only in berlin but also between the sea as you and the c.d.u. to find common ground for exploratory talks for years on your playing itself in the one all parties involved are aware of that but most of them look like they're keeping their cool. sides my motto is strength lies and peace it's in the semi it for us who let there be some peace and quiet reflection first. isn't woman enough cause we are now moving quietly into a complicated situation. but that complicated situation seems to be the starting point to forming a coalition because the social democrat s.p.d. has announced they will go into opposition following their election defeat. and german voters prefer that sixty three perce

and germany is a liberal f.t.p. party has ruled out joining a post-election coalition with chancellor angela merkel as if she supports france's plan. ans to integrate the eurozone economies merkel spend sunday questions from children in berlin polls indicate a christian democratic party is almost certain to retain power in next sunday's election but not expected to win enough votes to govern alone the f.d.p. is usually seen as a natural coalition partner but has taken a hard line on francis plans to overhaul the eurozone and with uncertainty about which direction the u.s. is moving in many countries are looking to germany for that stable global leadership now germans are still very wary of backing up their political power with military spending lawrence he has. deep in the forest west of berlin nato is wargaming again one of its members has been attacked there are casualties and all the other states have joined in to help tend to the wounded the exercise is called vigorous warrior which hardly invokes the sort of fire and

has become the third strongest party and it fights the european union and openly supports a nationalist ideology the f.t.p. the liberal rule of law party with the european spirit is the clearest opponent of the a f d. the greens traditionally cater to well educated other nights that the other likely candidate for the governing coalition given the i know it was abstraction you'll accept the invitation to talk but he will stick to our opinion we want to change the country and we're not in politics in order to have power. we are doing politics because we want to change something we can't have a government without an idea about how to deal with climate protection and. every other option just won't work with the green party. the question of the hour is what will work for all of the possible coalition partners the business focused f.t.p.'s likely to struggle to find common ground with the greens pro environmental platform german chancellor angela merkel would have an easier time with just one partner like the far right alternative for germany but that's a move machall and every other german party has ruled out

so-called jamaica coalition with party colors blood for the c.d.u. yellow for the f.t.p. and green for the greens of course jamaica's national flag so how would this fit into german politics. they know how to stay cool in jamaica black yellow and green are the colors of the flag in germany these colors represent the most likely incoming coalition conservative c.d.u. the greens in the pro market f.t.p. people here aren't quite as cool as in the caribbean. but germany can be colorful to a floral bouquet for the chancellor despite the hammering the voters gave her c.d.u. i'm going to merkel is still in charge and it's down to her to form a new coalition. her first call is on the greens and the free democrats. but what about the f.t.p. in jamaica judging by the colors of the thais the party chiefs may be open to the idea. but they won't join forces with merkel without a revamp of education and business policies and the digital drive. we want to redirect politics reaching a new turning point and if that's not possible then place is in the opposition. opposites you want. to ma

party the f.t.p. which are liberals the green party and also potentially now being thrown into the mix the suggestion that the right wing party the a.f.p. will gain seats for the very first time in this election although all of the parties have said that they will not form a coalition with the a.f.p. you know one of the things about coalition government and that's because it's incredibly unlikely that the c.d.u. all the s.t.p. will gain an absolute outright majority here in germany is that all these parties campaigned on a particular platform in this election period we'll have to then get together and decide what they can win and what they can throw out in terms of their own agendas which means that party political platforms that particular voters may have voted for could actually end up on the chopping block and not actually be part of the next german election and that could be a surprise to some voters well it's have a look now at some of the possible coalition partners that could rule germany over t

f.t.p. and the green party. and then but this is this is also for the first time we have something collision like that it will definitely be you have to be a three party coalition and it will be take a long time i guess to get all these partners had one table just put away for a second half because i have just been handed the result of one of the exit polls that has emerged after the votes close to forgive me if i read it thirty two and a half percent for the christian democrats that is a long way down given that previous showing in twenty thirteen around forty percent the social democrats is all are you saying twenty percent that is one of their worst if not the worst result they have ever suffered in germany since world war two then you have the left party the far left party. i'm from the old communist party on the nine percent of the vote the free democrats call the liberals in this country a party which angela merkel might might well wish to form a coalition with that she could if she had the numbers there a

f.t.p. you should switch parties. ask myself why am i doing this. for. i had. to holler for a popular comedian urge viewers to give their second vote which is cast for a political party instead of a single candidate to the free democrats even if the conservatives and f.t.p. can get fifty one percent there in but it won't work without the f.t.p. that. the democrats wanted enough votes to continue sharing power. no more of this from is itself to either naturally we didn't mention that the second vote is crucial to the distribution of seats in parliament we told voters they could use their first vote to choose the party they normally voted for but i wouldn't be hurting that party if they gave us the second votes of god. he voted after. the christian democrats strategists were not pleased with this idea. come sneak and we didn't agree to it and as the election approached we were upset about losing second posts to the f.t.p. we couldn't figure out what to do about it i mean ambush it was like an old vilhelm bush story about kids playing with matches and for a story

f.t.p. really is a pro european party they are for the e.u. they are for developing the new institutions trying to make this whole thing work even better and they all said to us don't worry about that this will not be a problem if there really is a coalition there will be other problems alright other problems to look forward to max hoffman there for us in brussels thanks very much you're watching news live from berlin still to come on our program a vote of a different time is underway today in iraq fast as the country's corresponding want to take some big step towards independence more on that for you coming up on the program. but first the political uncertainty here in germany following the election as financial traders on edge ben has that story usually germany's considered an island of stability and there is some continuity following the elections without holding on to the position of course the world's most powerful woman but she now faces the tough task of building a coalition government that could take awhile the euro a german bond yield

f.t.p. the free democratic party with ten percent that seems unlikely coalition partner for christian lind the thirty eight year old who heads the party's already praised the return of his party to the poll just comment on the possible coalition every started to guess though remains also like that again going to stand left behind to eight now for the main tea party's base just a father was to reserve back and world war it's incredible isn't it a good vote for the s f t p so with polling stations now close very close to enough to go the party is preparing to give news conferences what actually does most of it but peter all of us at the free democratic parties he joins us now live peter i've lost track of the f.t.p. spoken yet or not i'm sure it's a christian listener earlier on. yes christian linda has spoken he received a raucous reception from what is continuing now is fairly subdued celebration here at the free democrats headquarters here in central berlin a lot of thought going into this next now what goes on in those. negotiations very tough negotiations that a stalling. almost immediately

parties particularly the greens and their party base who are not isn't easy asked about these ideas about the jamaica idea for example and it's not just the f.t.p. that they have problems with it's also the c.s.u. keep a very insistent party of america's christian democrats so i think there are all kinds of difficulties in that kind of a constellation ok we talked at length about which to which coalition germany should get in your opinion which coalition is germany going to get on something i would say conquer that. i think would make a. grand coalition to be one for the grand coalition thank you very much for joining us with that. i'm sure about the german election just. told. was in the german resistance. she helped prisoners of war and was an agitator against the nazis. for this she was executed at the age of twenty two. and the short life of an extraordinary woman. certain. death. is fun banks resistance to the knots in fifteen minutes. to w.'s program guide to the highlights. the whole. dot com highlights. the two thousand and seventeen beethoven c'est gone from september of two october first. she's long been a symbol of hope in syria. i t

parties particularly the greens and their party base who are not isn't easy asked about these ideas about the jamaica idea for example and it's not just the f.t.p. that they have problems with it's also the c.s.u. keep a very insistent party of miracles christian democrats so i think there are all kinds of difficulties in that kind of a constellation ok we talked at length about which who which coalition germany should get in your opinion which coalition is germany going to get on something i would say thank you. i think would make a. grand coalition to do one for the grand coalition thank you very much for joining us with that. next week to talk i'm sure about the german election outcome just. killing in the name of the law in the philippines president his war on drugs. dealers drug users and innocent bystanders are dying in the crackdown. but the majority of the population supports their president's records. how are his policies affecting the country. they're looking. to turn to his moron. is to say. this is the dummies come to life somebody but the right to our correspondent is in central istanbul and we have our political force here in the

parties particularly the greens and their party base who are not isn't easy asked about these ideas about the jamaica idea for example and it's not just the f.t.p. that they have problems with it's also the c.s.u. people very interested party of america's christian democrats so i think there are all kinds of difficulties in that kind of a constellation ok we talked at length about which school which coalition germany should get in your opinion which coalition is germany going to get one from the i would say grand coalition i think would make a. grand coalition to do one for the grand coalition thank you very much for joining us with that. next week i'm sure about the german election they'll come. home. and brad has that bronc the makeup artist magic. to. negotiate ships are here casts a spell on. with her. body. and thirty minutes on t.w. . make your store t.v. even smarter with a d w four small to. what you want when you want it up to date extraordinary. depth you decide what's on find out more w dot com smart t.v. . to seventeen beethoven c'est gone from september in a top job or first. she's long been a symbol of hope in syria. i try to help

shows now however the interesting thing goes to show you which would be the third party it's likely believed to be the f.t.p. to free democratic. the so-called liberals more libertarians the liberals. i would suspect that will be the junior of the three parties in the coalition. stands a pretty good chance let's be honest of winning a fourth term as chancellor but she still has a critics you know she gets heckled from time to time of the voters not grown weary of their over what's been a fairly lengthy twelve years in office. well i think what it is. the fact is i was the teflon chancellor i mean you know she could teach so many blared a thing or two she gets away with not believing the which she says people just go along with it partly because to spin a lack of a coherent position you know mr schultz what he had to huge boost when he came in and people got to know him they thought well no we don't want that. and now for the new looks like there will be an actual opposition in parliament in the form of the a.f.p. . of course the christian democrats could still dominate a coalition but nothing's set in stone

f.t.p. in the green party. or do you think there might be a minority government with changing majority as well first of all perhaps i could say that i am rather sad when i think that the good work that we did in the coalition has been characterized in this manner i believe we achieved a great deal for our country in the difficult situations and it works well together i think i safely state that now in terms of the numbers there are two options for forming new. video in your. coalition in terms of the numbers you finish your sentence let me finish line perhaps so in terms of the numbers it would be enough there are a number of options and so the question that mr van put the responsibility that each of us has at this table is not as a theoretical issue it's a very practical one. and the thing is germany needs a government and i'm pleased that there are at least two. options well and you're a little deprived. don there is there is well. we went into the election saying that this c.s.u. will push for the chance to

parties. for dialogue both with the f.t.p. and the greens but also with the. p d because it is important that. stable good government i heard by the f.t.p. saying but we should still. remain in touch with those parties and you know the federal. leadership agreed on this. then we talked about the next elections it's coming in less than three weeks it's the state election in lower saxony we will be very active there so that based on the results yesterday. to. start so that and i just i just become. the premier of lower saxony so we had you know. many discussions. like point but also some shadowy points however apathy it was very constructive or the way we talk was very constructive and the at the theories that we. have responsibility for the future of this country. having embellished the situation for us. the s.p.d. root out the grand coalition. to what extent will you try and avoid new elections and what are the upper limits in the coalition contract of course i will have discussions with the see as you and i'm. confident that we find solutions we will act toge

f.t.p. in jamaica judging by the colors of the thais the party chiefs may be open to the idea. but they won't join forces with merkel without a revamp of education and business policies and the digital drive. we want to redirect politics reaching a new turning point and if that's not possible then place is in the opposition. opposites you want. to make a won't happen without the greens they scored better in the election than they did for years and going into coalition talks they know what they want. not about power for power sake we want a clear signal concerning climate protection we need to see a turnaround in this direction germany has set a clear goal to reduce c o two emissions. jamaica in germany the cd years be variances to party the c s you will need to be on board they might be hard to persuade says research analyst nico siegel but it's not impossible of course it depends on how the c.s. using included in the package could become a problem there's also the question of how many concessions the f.d.p. is willing to make as far as the voters are concerned there are no hur

party in the in alice this process of what went wrong here. she did so going forward we're looking at a coalition and the most likely coalition being that the c.d.u. with the f.t.p. and the greens now i heard her say that there are in the exporter talks with those two parties but also with the asp a day who have also who've actually ruled this out. yes basically what i'm going to michael said here is that she would start exploring the potential for talks with all of those potential coalition partners including the social democrat she said she of course recognized that there'd been a clear signal that the s.p.d. wants to go into position this time around but that looking at those results there is a responsibility to also talk to the sister democrats as a potential coalition partner clearly we also got the signal here that not much is going to happen basically for the next three weeks when we see rather crucial regional elections in lower saxony which will the be the first test of these results here in the region and that we would then see in negotiation process here in germany that ends up actually being almost like a legal document i mean it's not legally valid

who are left party we've got the green party there's the f.t.p. and there is of course the f.t. this is an election that they are hoping to gain seats in and the suggestions are that they could actually be the. formal position in the next parliamentary session here because all of the other parties have forming a coalition with them now there is one thing to be said about coalition government and that is no matter what the parties have come during this election period if they form. together they are likely to have to draw up a new coalition agreement a pavement road map for the next year and as a result of that many of the policies that they say that they will guarantee if they're elected into office could fall by the wayside not a surprise for many people in germany who are used to coalition governments but obviously it can also be an excuse for governments to say well we couldn't do this because the guys we went into government with said they didn't agree with that well let's have a look now at some of the options available for germany's next coalition government . german parti

needs someone to bond with and this is totally over open who this will be even be the green party it will be. the f.t.p. this is a liberal so this is open and this will really make a big difference and even she tries here to be diplomatic or since she's very aware that she's going to be did an x. chancellor but she said like what's going to happen the next four days although the polls are saying in any surveys are saying that she's going to be the next chance we can see who is having a very high numbers nevertheless she still keeps on saying let's just wait until sunday which is again mrs merkel and maybe that's part of why people like you are she tries always to say humble and to me don't underestimate and stay like i'm very relaxed and let's wait and there's etc so whoever the coalition partner is won't be there yesterday the alternative there's very limited clear remark i'm not going to build i'm not going to work with the media and i would say if he and this is a huge challenge to germany it will be a member of the parliament the first time in history and it's actually possible that they will be th

down there at nine percent the greens eight point nine percent that's the environmental party the pro-business f.t.p. ten point six percent and the far right a d. thirteen percent all of the other smaller fringe parties were put together in gray there are four point nine percent of course you need five percent to get into germany's so none of those parties will to be on course we can also take a quick look at the gains and losses this will show you how things have changed in comparison to the last election four years ago. so just some context for our viewers who maybe don't remember quite what happened last time we can say that this time around americans conservatives have lost over eight percent as have the s.p. days the s.p.d. excuse me germany's mainstream parties are really suffering based on these projected results the left party up half a percent as are the greens the pro-business f.d.p. gaining almost six percent there and in blue you see the big winners of the night the i have a that's a populous party that's up eight point three percent so what does all of this mean for germany and for the

f.t.p. the green is not your party there's no change there's no chance of you being able to go into the coalition is there no it was never meant from their side and it was never meant for all of us so your opposition we're opposition are we meant to be opposition and opposition i swear you is as hard as being in the in the government is not not much more easy is it going to be more of a bun fight so to speak over there is going to be now with so many dissenting voices against one another is it going to be harder to get things done than it was before. the main point is to change the public opinion. for example the wars for example the action of the of the nato they are we we must work together and i think the premium part that would be it is social democracy on the street in the public to work against that's that's why our danger coming from germany again and that's much more dangerous than everything which happens in the in the parliament. ok dr day to day from the chairman left and i think thank you for coming in so i think you're going to thank you thank you very much. ok well. pick apart more

f.t.p. count very happy face is that. the left party an interesting situation being since the celebrations here and not speakers when you look at the face of what's come out of those polls. the closing of the polls in germany the suggestion that they did actually slightly increase their vote from eight point six to eight point nine percent rule those are of course just predictions at the moment unfortunately that may not resonate in the seats that actually can see them lose some seats so this is. just in that the sixty four seats they had in the last general election may go down of mine from bali visits to fifty nine and that's because the provincial representation system there is here in germany and what's really interesting for dealing here is that and difficult for them is that they go from being the issue of position in the blue star to being the sixth place polity because they seems that the smaller parties if we take the s.p.d. and the c.d.u. out of the mix the a.f.p. the greens stealing our war on the f.t. feel full sort of for m

parties. for dialogue both with the f.t.p. and the greens but also with the. p. d. because it is important that. stable good government i heard about the f.t. piece saying but we should still. remain in touch with those parties and you know the federal. leadership agreed on this. then we talked about the next elections it's coming in less than three weeks it's the state election in lower saxony we will be very active there so that based on the results yesterday. to. start so that parent i just i just become. the premier of lower saxony so we had you know. many discussions. like a point but also some shadowy points however apathy it was very constructive or the way we talk was very constructive and the at the thirty's that we. have responsibility for the future of.

the block but he might not find the support he needs in germany one party in coalition talks here a skeptical of micron's plants and f.t.p. officials says the problem in europe is not a lack of public funds but the lack of reform. and speaking of french german ties zeman says confirm the deal to join forces with france's alstom to make a huge european trained builder the government there is privately encouraging the deal which analysts say is a change of tact the focus is now no longer on protecting french business but about creating a european powerhouse after all the competition from abroad is fierce. the fusion between siemens and alstom is on track to create a new european giant in the train building business. in the near future the german i.c.e. and the french t.g.v. will come from a single manufacturer siemens wants to bring its entire train division in return for a fifty percent cut of the new firm which will be based in paris but they're not doing it entirely of their own free will they're not. sure the real construction and signposting market is in a state of advanced consolidation the chinese group c. r. c. is