melissa: fadel gheit and many other top experts agree that any type of supply disruption in the straitf hormuz could become a global nightmare. >>> well you think you know the definition of multitasking. i can tell you it takes a lot of leadership and organization to keep 4,000 sailors and marines in sync on an aircraft carrier. tail hooks, catapult, helicopters hovering up ahead is all directed from the ship's tower. next is the one-on-one with the uss enterprise boss, the melissa: welcome back to the special edition of morn any, "oil's dire strait". i was one of few journalists given unique opportunity to stay overnight on the uss enterprise in the persian gulf. i was able to get perspectives of men and women serving on the front line in the region and high above deck in the ship's tower i spoke to commander or mini boss as he is known, doug keane about iranian threats to close the strait. these threats put the u.s. military and our crucial oil supply in danger on a daily basis. you are right here in the heart of all of the tension. you hear constantly from iran and they're threateni

joining me oppenheimer and company senior oil analyst fadel gheit. thanks so much for joining us. if the iranians did follow through on their threat to close the strait, what is your bet what would happen to the price of oil that instance? >> they can try but can they actually do it? the answer is no. the probability would be very low. basically if we have any military action in this part of the world one would expect the crude oil prices would rise very sharply but it will be very short-lived because of why the fundamentals means oil prices should be close to 80, not close to 100. melissa: let's flesh out a couple things you said there. when i was talking to the commanding officer and as well as everybody out there in the strait they had different answers as to how long they thought the iranians would be able to shut down that little 13-mile route there in the strait of hormuz. i think they would be able to do it for some short period of time, but the conflict as you know would roil oil markets. traders need the smallest excuse to bid up the price of oil, you know that. >> yeah,