. >> i'm jim falk, thank you so much for being with us this afternoon. joining us is dr. ellen carol, dubois, i'm so pleased that the conversation will be be lee cullum, a dear friend and special friend and supporters of the world affairs council. let me remind you that you can purchase a copy of suffrage by going to dallas's independent bookstore and please be sure to type in the code dfw world, and you'll get 10% off, not just on

. >> justice thomas falk? questions.o >> justice breyer? >> i have no questions, thank you. >> justice alito? >> suppose a judge says this after a sentencing hearing, i don't think this minor who committed this crime a month short of his 18th birthday is transiently amateur. i think this person is highly intelligent and very mature. i can't say that after 25 years in prison he can't be rehabilitated if he is released after 25 years, he will commit other crimes. what is the judge to do in that situation? >> we think that is a legitimate thing for a judge to say. what the judge is saying is that

the ten-year yield we've been falk begun it a lot today, tut hitting its highest level. let bring in bill baruch of blue line trade how hoy do you think it's going to go? >> 1.25 is in the cards. i'm bearish on treasury prices, bullish on the yield have been for over a month this is an intermission in the longer term narrative. what we've seen last week, a lot of volatility in equity markets. usually get a safe haven bid no safe haven bid. treasury prices edged lower despite that going into the election, coming out of election you think there's going to be less uncertainty. that means more safe haven selling. guess what though? washington is going to come back together and get fiscal policy done and print more debt, infrastructure spend being putting more supply out there and more pressure on treasury prices yields go higher and guess what, too. question 1 and qe2 and qe3 after massive stimulus saw the top in treasury prices. massive stimulus, that's already priced in right now. i think there will be a path of least resistance, lower for

and this is that op, the opus the modus operandi of this latest assassination of most, and most, and falk resodded, resembles exactly the incident that took place in tehran. a week before i was, i arrived there 10 years ago. we just do have to say on the program. there's no certainty at run this killing us to start is what we're reporting on all through the hour though. just another point, maybe before we let you go, you've been very good with your time. and there were some reports that the israeli military had been ordered to prepare for a possible u.s. strike against iran. you know, those headlines were coming to increasingly in the last, at a little while, before trump leaves office. what can you take from those reports? what do you, what's your, what's your take on that? well, just as the israelis used and the americans use plausible deniability in all these cases and the israelis needed the israelis nor the americans denied in this case, to my knowledge that they had a hand in this does make a bowl incident they, they like to. they like to put additional pressure on the come on a cou

. >> reporter: but in north georgia, trump supporter keith falk is suspicious about the president's lead that evaporated. >> it almost seemed like they were waiting to see how many votes trump had, and then they would count the rest to make sure biden had just enough to pull it out. >> reporter: today, the president tweeted, "where are the missing military ballots in georgia?" they're actually in the state about to be counted, up to 8400 of them. they could be the president's best, last hope here. i want to underscore a point that ed o'keefe made earlier tonight about georgia's ballot, which includes two u.s. senate seats now held by republicans. this state is about to become the hub of the political universe because both those seats seem headed for the super bowl of runoffs in january. potentially at stake, norah-- control of the u.s. senate itself. >> o'donnell: you're going to be opening up a new bureau there for us, mark strassmann, thank you. now to the coronavirus pandemic. the u.s. has now recorded more than 100,000 new covid cases for the third straight day. thursday saw a record

. >> i'm jim falk, thank you so much for being with us this afternoon. joining us is dr. ellen carol, dubois, i'm so pleased that the conversation will be be lee cullum, a dear friend and special friend and supporters of the world affairs council. let me remind you that you can purchase a copy of suffrage by going to dallas's independent

. >> i'm jim falk, thank you so much for being with us this afternoon. joining us is dr. ellen carol, dubois, i'm so pleased that the conversation will be be lee cullum, a dear friend and special friend and supporters of the world affairs council. let me remind you that you can purchase a copy of suffrage by going to dallas's independent bookstore and please be sure to type in the code dfw world, and you'll get 10% off, not just on suffrage, but for any books that you find that will be in your shopping cart. i want to give special thanks to our director, maise hiken for being a sponsor of the program and so much thanks to the league of women voters in dallas for being our promotional partner. and to keep up with our programs, go to dfw world.org, or if you missed a program, you can go to our you tube channel and it won't surprise you that the way to find our channel there is to type in dfw world. as i mentioned, lee is indeed a special friend of the world affairs counsel. she is the host of a terrific program on kera. it's called ceo, where she interviews global business

. >> well, first of all, i think today's rally is more of a head falk.is substantially overvalued and is headed lower. look what's happening to the regional banks. that index is down almost 7% on the day. that really tells the story. and look at the russell 2000, it's negative. t not participating in this rally. that's what -- liz: yeah, but it had a huge runup yesterday. >> yeah. it's good that the, that the senate is going to stay in republican hands, but unfortunately, that's not enough to save the economy from higher taxes, big increases in government spending, more regulation that will be issued by the president on buzzes and much larger -- on businesses and much larger deficits. this is bad for the economy, it's inflationary, it's bad, it's bad for stocks, it's worse for bonds. i agree with your other guest -- liz: in which way? >> people need to get out of the dollar, look at some of these emerging markets outside the united states, look at commodities, raw materials, precious metals, inflation hedges and non-u.s. investments are the way to go, an

but falk about what you're seeing. >> well, mrs. 305 as you know better than most, this state is very close. this year will likely be no exception, polling showing joe biden with a slight edge but even those polls within the margin of error. you have voters who supported donald trump peeling off, wife voters, women voters, seniors. at the same time you have this large latino electorate, 17% of the electorate. you have cuban-american republicans who are largely skeptical of donald trump in 2016, a lot of those voters have returned home. you also have puerto ricans, one of the largest two subgroups within the latino electorate in the state telling joy that today you had former president obama making a pitch directly to them, talking about the president's handling of hurricane maria, the response there. while, of course, these are not single-issue voters that is, of course, an animating issue for them. joy, the thing i'm seeing here on the ground that i didn't fully appreciate reading and watching the polls was how much fear and anxiety is really motivating this electorate, whether it's

holding up signs that now they have walked more than 30 falk's out of times square and we're with them the whole time and it's been remarkable seats because as they're walking through. the streets of new york city people that are in their businesses people that are in their apartments and people that are having late lunch at outdoor patio as are all getting up and clapping chanting and cheering them on as they move down through that city. it just shows you how important that young people were in this election the black lives better movement that was really fueled on the streets by young people and how. it was so important for the fight in an harris campaign but bottom line is we've seen in credit for. going to incredible signs people holding signs saying i'm proud to be an immigrant other people holding signs saying we will be back in the pair's climate accord and others saying your fire in reference to donald trump so this is certainly a scene of celebration happening all over new york city it should come as no surprise new york city is overwhelmingly democratic city and so in that se

. >> justice thomas falk? questions.o >> justice breyer? >> i have no questions, thank you. >> justice alito? >> suppose a judge says this after a sentencing hearing, i don't think this minor who committed this crime a month short of his 18th birthday is transiently amateur. i think this person is highly intelligent and very mature. i can't say that after 25 years in prison he can't be rehabilitated if he is released after 25 years, he will commit other crimes. what is the judge to do in that situation? >> we think that is a legitimate thing for a judge to say. what the judge is saying is that the penological justifications for life without parole have not collapsed in the distinctive attributes of youth. the court is identifying an uncertainty about the future. i think everyone agrees that the burden can be placed on the defendant to show a lower sentence as possible. --t is uncertainty itself saying the process is wrong. >> i don't understand the question, suppose the defense brings in a dozen highly qualified psychologists who say we thi

it's rare that we have so many >> hashry, can i ask, we've been falking about arizona.ennsylvania. what's going on in nevada? i know we saw a new clark batch drop, and that went well for biden, which i think made a lot of people believe, okay, we have a sense of the universe now. clark is the biggest democratic county. clark is obviously where the democratic stronghold is in the state. it's 70-plus percent of the vote, largest county in the state. what's your sense of what's outstanding there, and what's that going to mean for joe biden, who on net right now is up by about 22,600 votes? >> yeah, i wouldn't be surprised if that lead grew. we know in all the states the vote by mail has trended much more democratic than the election day vote, and i honestly think that biden's margin is going to grow there. in my opinion of the four states that are even out, i feel most confident about biden's chances in nevada not just because of the vote that's out but because his lead is largest there. >> is there proof of the theory that the reason that this early vote is going so again