from firstame to us commerzbank.oking at the first deficit supply in six years and that could push prices higher. you have a drought in thailand and it's the most -- the second most important sugar exporter. and you have el niÑo and other things creeping around that could affected as well. betty: and copper? alix: it is looking at it biggest drop since january, but analysts said it should drop another 24% before companies say i'm closing up shop and cannot afford to do this. that is a lot. betty: that is a lot. thank you so much, alix steel, on commodities. now taking a look at top stories of this hour, average long-term mortgage rates in the u.s. time.d for the second the average rate on a 30 year fixed rate mortgage declined to 3.90% from 4.04% a week earlier. fixed rate mortgages moves from o 3.2%.rcent to 2 -- thr signs that rent hikes have slowed down in new york, l a, and washington. and the lawsuit filed by the nfl players union over the tom brady case has been moved from minnesota to new york. the union is su