storming these particular states well in truncates you know he's barnstorming states like florida michigan pennsylvania and these are really states that he won especially michigan pennsylvania that he won by race at the margin back in 216 that are key these are the key battleground states that most analysts say that he will need to win in order to win the election he is losing a lot of ground in a lot of these states especially over his handling of the coronavirus pandemic. and states where biden has really broaden his lead in a lot of ways in places like michigan for instance. by. and there's even starting to to you know look like a viable candidate in places like georgia north carolina places that were unthinkable back in 2060 traditional red states traditional red states we are seeing biden's. somewhat though in key states like florida and north carolina so so we're really seeing these 2 candidates is really coming down to the wire and they need to turn out every single vote because if there's anything that 2016 taught is it is that truly every vote counts indeed the former vice president joe biden

. >> a lot of attention is on the results of six swing states, arizona, florida, michigan, pennsylvania, wisconsin and north carolina. those difficult-to-call states are essentially the tipping points and often decide who wins the electoral college. >>> the two candidates appeared in public on the crucial day. >> we're doing very well in florida. we're doing very well in arizona, and i think we're going to have a great night. we're going to have great night. >> biden visited his family graves in the state of delaware before addressing supporters in his birth state of pennsylvania. >> -- i'm running is -- update about today, and that is uniting this country. we have to unite the country. we can do it. >> police are on guard for possible arrests no matter what the election results might be. stores and businesses in some part of the country are taking precautions for potential looting or other violent attacks. at the bottom of your screen, 270 electoral votes. president donald trump has spent much of the campaign lauding his achievements in office. let's take a look back at four eventful y

president of the united states take a look around the country, you see arizona, wisconsin, florida, michigan, pennsylvaniaorth carolina, all of them have joe biden at 50% or above leading, the tightest one there, north carolina 47-49%. that is joe biden below 50% there. and close to the margin of error here which is 1.7% so that is as tight as it gets in the state of north carolina the good news for on joe biden is he has more options here of paths to 270 electoral college votes than donald trump does >> and if i can jump in here, you look at the polling data, and there are a couple things to remember number one, when i started to really dig into these numbers a couple months ago and we were planning for this trip, two things stuck out to me number one, if the poll only asked you between two candidates, it will be skewed because there are other candidates in many of these states and then you go into the numbers on the third parties and it is truly remarkable i said at the begin of the road trip and i'll say it again, in 2016 between michigan, wisconsin and pennsylvania, donald trump's margin of victory wa

is why are they barnstorming these particular states well because of these states like michigan pennsylvania florida. well not so much florida but definitely michigan and pennsylvania are states that trump won by racial thin margin back in 2016 and without these states going to it's hard to see how he really comes back and wins this election you know there are also states where bitin continues to hold the lead in the race has been fairly stable in. favor for the past weeks and months although even in states like georgia north carolina we're starting to see you know traditionally very conservative republican states where the demographics really have shifted become younger. voters of color that are really not very big fans of trump so we're starting to see there a shift and by favor that set the bidens lead is narrowing in some key states like florida north carolina still very tight so you know it. you know frankly i hear you talking and i know people listening to you have probably seen the ghost of 2016 because people were saying that hillary clinton was up to and then in the waning days it started t

is why are they barnstorming these particular states well because of these states like michigan pennsylvania florida are a while not so much florida but definitely michigan and pennsylvania are states that trump won by racial thin margin back in 2016 and without these states going to it's hard to see how he really comes back and wins this election you know there are also states where bitin continues to hold the lead in the race has been fairly stable and by favor for the past weeks and months all those even in states like georgia north carolina where starting to see you know traditionally very conservative republican states where the demographics really have shifted it become younger. voters of color that are really not very big fans of trump so we're starting to see there a shift and by favor. that settled by elite is narrowing in some case states like florida north carolina still very tight so you know it. you know frankly i hear you talk and i know people listening to you are probably seeing the ghost of 2016 because people were saying that hillary clinton was up to and then in the waning days it

anywhere between a small and a solid biden lead in all of those key swing states, florida, pennsylvania, wisconsin, michiganplain what it is that you think is going on? >> well, or you know, i hate to start off the program agreeing with michael moore, but i think i have to. i mean, michael moore came out today and is talking about the fact that people support trump tend not to want to talk to pollsters, and that is exactly what i've seen. people are hesitant to go on record and to say where they are. the people have been chastised, people have been, you know, cancel culture and all this stuff that's going on. and people are kind of keeping their politics to themselves. and they're being very much undersampled, and especially the way these polls are done. with a live call, you have what's called the social desirability bias which is the tendency of a person to give an answer that they think will look, have them look best in the eyes of the person asking the question versus the actual truth. gerry: pollsters say they've corrected that, a a lot of them do internet polling, they saw they've corrected for that,

2016 when he really kind of came from behind to overtake clinton and it was safe like michigan pennsylvania florida where he won by fairly slim margins in some gays racial race or thin margins that helped kerry trying to the white house remember though clinton was a very very unpopular candidate many people who voted for obama and no weight in 2012 turned around in 2016 and voted for trump biden it's not that candidate he's a lot more popular bestially in the broad spell where the obama biden administration back when you know helped save the struggling auto industry. he's known as a you know a working class president or a candidate and so this means that you know he's also up against a president who is historically unpopular in a lot of ways who has very low disapproval rates he's whitely been criticized for his handling of the current pandemic of race relations and this means of biden is now competitive also in traditionally conservative states like georgia like north carolina where demographics have really changed you know the endemic of black lives matter protests that i just mentioned you know

facilities for ballots, after reports of a mail slowdown including in key battlegrounds like michigan, florida and pennsylvania. to make sure no ballots are left behind. the postal service not meeting the 4:30 deadline but saying it will finish the sweep before the polls close. and tonight, all eyes on a key voting bloc. suburban women, who four years ago helped the president win, but in 2020, polls have shown joe biden is doing better among suburban women. >> i think our country is -- is suffering right now. very much. it's important to me that the change happens now. >> reporter: but chrissy voted for trump four years ago and she voted for him again today, saying she thinks he's the stronger candidate. >> i just see that he's moving our country in a better way. >> reporter: and the secretary of state expects the mail-in ballots will be counted by friday. if a ballot is postmarked by today and arrives by friday, it will be counted. however, any ballot that arrives after 8:00 p.m. tonight will be separated from the rest, just in the case there are any further legal challenges. david? >> yes, but authorities in

his campaign is making appearances today in the key battleground states of ohio, michigan, florida, carolina and pennsylvania. earlier, he thanked supporters of his cheltenham home is going to, pennsylvania. >> i know you will be here all night and you will see tremendous results. >> if you elect me i will be in american president. the red states, blue states, it is the united states. >>> vice president mike pence spoke with the president's final campaign rally last night in michigan. and democratic vp challenger kamala harris was out on the campaign trail in the midwest >>> in palm beach, florida melania trump cast ballot. despite the mask mandate in the county, melania trump did not wear a mask upon arrival or after she left her polling place. >>> the elections office in custer county stayed busy with the study stream of voters. our kpix 5 john ramos asked what issues were important . >> reporter: sometimes we note the reasons for the decisions we make and other times it is a gut feeling. we asked voters what issues may have been driving their choices. outside this martinez polling place we found one in le

as you look at this map i wanted to keep an eye on florida, on texas, on wisconsin, on michigan, on ohio, and pennsylvaniaight now, at the moment, president trump is ahead in both florida and texas. also, wisconsin and michigan, and ohio. vice president biden is ahead in pennsylvania, again, a long night ahead, but at the moment, biden ahead with 129 electoral votes to president trump. >>> voters are turning out to cast their votes in person, and you still have another hour here in california, tom vacar in california tonight, tom, were there lines? obviously a lot of people had already voted but where there lines today? >> reporter: indeed, there were lines but not the big lines you would expect. that has a lot to do with the way marin county votes, usually by mail, or they at least vote early. by yesterday at 75 percent of the votes were already in, 75 percent, the registrar tells me that by this evening they were seeing 90 percent of the vote, one of the highest vote totals in the country and it has always been very high in marin. now, that's two things, good news for registrars but there is also a lot

some of those states include florida michigan ohio, arizona and of course pennsylvania. now as far as electoral votes go florida has 29 michigan is 16, ohio has 18 arizona has 11 and pennsylvania has 20 now biden wins florida for example, he'll pick up 29 electoral votes bringing him up to about 2.46. another win in a state like pennsylvania for example would give them another 20 votes putting him under a handful of electoral votes away from winning the race with president trump. it looks like heat up to win everything in the south including texas, florida, georgia and north carolina again this map. it was previously filled the map cleared on its own so i can't show you visually what this means but if that were to happen trump would have 224 electoral votes which is still not enough for him to win. so then heat up to move up to some of the northern states hypothetically speaking if trump worded than win ohio. it would bring his count up to about 242. and you would then only need at least another 28 votes to win so you can see based on the polls and these estimates the dif

where the election will likely be won, seen a lot of talk about this, arizona, florida, michigan, minnesota, wisconsin, pennsylvania, georgia, the president not in the states today having made more than a dozen appearances in three days. he is with his support team in arlington, virginia, today. so we await his comments but just to give you a breakdown, those eight states that i mentioned bring in 127 electoral votes. pennsylvania the all-important as you know with 20 in florida with 29 so those are the couple of areas we have been watching them on one of the candidates watching it from the ground, the president of the united states at the campaign headquarters for his bid for reelection. i want to bring in john roberts who was standing by. are you with me? >> i'm here watching the video coming in from arlington this morning or this afternoon, rather, got home late last night so forgive me for a little time compression. >> harris: forgiven completely. >> we got the two-minute warning a while ago so things are a little bit delayed but just some observations from the campaign trail and this is something that we saw i

president trump, 14 rallies, 72 hours, you see a lot of places, five in pennsylvania, four in michigan, two north carolina, iowa, georgia, floridak at joe biden's, two in michigan, one in pennsylvania, the biden camp saying the team will fan out across all four corners of pennsylvania. no scheduled events as of yesterday. robert, you call this last minute trump push desperate and say it's not going to work. why? >> look, we've already had 85 to 90 million people that have voted already. the idea that you'll have a last minute swing is a 1980 m model, particularly given we're dealing with the coronavirus, the flu season coming in. many americans have already voted. in addition, vice president biden has the advantage of having surrogates, being able to put kamala harris in atlanta today, put barack obama in other states of. president trump has not not notf gotten other republicans that are campaigning on his behalf. i don't think that's enough to pull i'm across the finish line given what the nation has gone through. todd: we have a new number just in, 91,000,655 and change thousand, i mean, that is intense, that is something that

difficult and florida the biggest piece but all of them are necessary if he keeps this thing in order so he can get over rick's place in pennsylvania. >> unless he can pick up a michigansin. >> right. >> you're right. i think to me florida is the one you look at. the earliest one we get votes from. miami-dade is different than four years ago. it may be a place donald trump i think he will do better than he did four years ago. it will be because hispanic vote there in we might pick up a congressional seat in miami-d e miami-dade. >> cuban venezuela area and socialist area. a lot of the republican means on conservative media we are talking about the immigrants from these countries are passionate and i think one of the reasons you're seeing oddly enough that trump is doing well among immigrants because immigrants who have had this experience with socialism are very concerned about what they are seeing from the democratic party. >> i think why trying to tar biden in something he is not a big part of the strategy. what is interesting there are some troubling size in miami-dade but then in broward county you're seeing a massive outpour. there's some constituencies we don't

crucial battleground states that will decide the election including arizona, florida, michigan, north carolina, pennsylvania and wisconsin. >> we're tracking each candidate's road to 270 electoral votes. the number, of course, needed to win the presidency. >> another big story, who will control the united states senate? a handful of races will determine that question. we're watching them all. >> so polls have just close in the six states with 60 electoral votes. let's get right to it. you see right now, georgia is too early to call. >> let's go to south carolina. there is a big senate race as well as the presidential. too early to call. we're waiting for the vote there. and the president will easily carry indiana, the home state of vice president mike pence. and let's look at virginia. it is too early to call. however, our projection is that it is a biden lead at this hour. >> let's look at kentucky. right now, too early to call. you see the first numbers we're getting of the night. vermont is too early to call. and let's look at how all this takes us on the road to 270 right now. you can see, donald trump

more populous states have more meaning places like florida with 29, pennsylvania with 20, michigan was6, and wisconsin with 10 or crucial. let's go to one of those states. we are live in miami, florida. whoever wins florida is guaranteed a road to the presidency. that's where the candidates spent a lot of time in the past weeks. it has an older population, a big latino community. what does it look like in florida right now? >> essentially, to give you some background, you have to think of this state as a microcosm for the entire nation. all of this people you just mentioned, they represent the demographics of the whole country which is why the candidates spent so much time down here. the history of florida and presidential elections are very intertwined. there have been monumental decisions made here in the past. with 29 electoral votes, it's a huge jump toward to 70. the headline from florida is that 9 million people in florida have already voted. in 2016, the entire tally was not .5 million. the poles have not closed yet. that shows you the level of engagement and the polls have show

biden leads in florida, pennsylvania, michigan and arizona. we begin our coverage with what to expect as the votes are tallied tomorrow. >> reporter: nearly 100 million votes have already been cast. with the pandemic prompting a lot of mail in ballots, experts say there is a good chance that we will not know a winner on election night. president trump and joe biden focus on midwestern battleground states. both holding rallies in pennsylvania where the race is tight. biden urged voters in his native state to get their ballots in. >> the power to change this country is in your hands. i don't care how hard president donald trump tries, there is nothing, nothing that will stop the people of this nation from voting. >> reporter: about 700,000 of the 3.1 mail-in ballots requested in pennsylvania are outstanding. president trump stump near scranton on a tour with rallies in north carolina michigan and wisconsin. >> i think we will do well in wisconsin. just like we did four years ago. >> reporter: trump who won them wisconsin with fewer than 23,000 v

well, first of all, when you look at arizona, michigan, wisconsin, florida, pennsylvania, and you ask ask voters today, who do they think will do a betterjob of getting us will do a betterjob of getting us out of our economic mass close to covid, in all six of those states, joe biden actually leads donald trump. and so a lot of this new territory around the economy is changing because americans understand we will not get the economy back on track if we don't get covid under control. the other reality is that we have been dealing with taxes in america under this administration where the very wealthy and the biggest corporations have rewarded over and overand overagain, corporations have rewarded over and over and over again, while we have a president who wants to cut social security and medicare. and so the biden campaign, which has set the market $400,000, can raise enough revenue to make sure we are moving money into state and local governments have to balance their budgets and are really struggling because of covid, we can move money into couege covid, we can move money into college

florida, it's not determinative. but, boy, does it get a lot harder. the two states i would watch. i'm with gloria. florida, pennsylvania, wisconsin, michigan. but i would, also, add iowa and north carolina for -- for a couple reasons. they're both very competitive, at the presidential level, right? but they, also, both have really competitive senate races. we haven't talked about it but the battle for the senate majority is going to be a huge story line, later today, and the rest of the week. >> will we know senate? >> i think we will, yes. >> we might. >> without the two georgia races? >> well, remember, georgia, if no candidate gets 50%, it's a runoff in january. >> right. >> so, we may not. but i think there's at least a 50-50 chance we will. and i will tell you, if you see a sweep, if democrats win north carolina and iowa in the senate. or if republicans win both, i think that's going to tell us a lot about where it's headed. if republicans win both, they may hold the majority. if democrats win both, i think they are going to win the senate majority. if it's split, chris, we may be waiting until january to see how they pan out. >> that'

guess it's a rough night for the president because if he loses same voters in florida he'll lose them in pennsylvania and michigan but if trump wins by a healthy margin in florida it sends a message that he will do well in pennsylvania and michigan. you can see indications on which way the momentum is going. neil: for example, i'm covering in fox business and i've already told people it would have record ratings never seen in history of man and people prove me wrong. mick, that was a bad joke on my part but always good seeing you mick mulvaney, budget director, much, much more, i want to go to reggie love. the former barack obama personal aide. you know, it's good to have you, back, reggie. obviously when the campaign brings out the big guns and that's in the form of barack obama, he can certainly galvanize the crowd, he's been doing his part to get a lot of attention to joe biden. but the thing about former president obama is his success and for popularity has translating of those he's supporting and campaigning, hillary clinton 4 years ago, are you worried joe biden now? reggie: look, i think that, you know, if

for america, which means i'm voting for joe biden, and if you live in minnesota, pennsylvania, georgia, michigan, florida, or arizona, i encourage you to vote and if you have a friend that lives there, tell them to vote. cheers to the 2020 election. >> sean: wow. the arrogant elite. see what's happening here? the american people, chumps as joe calls us clinging to our -- all on the ballot tomorrow, safety, security, law and order, higher taxes, amnesty, open border, united sanctuary states of america, independence or dependence, higher taxes, radical leftist judges packing the courts, power grabs like we've never seen before or as joe says not only are we chumps but ten to 15% of people who are just not very good people and then he goes on to say millions of us chumps are just dead people. that's why anti-fracking activists went to pennsylvania. no wonder democrats are in a panic tonight. to educate me the stupid american people, that she knows best for us, will lose millions of high paying career jobs. quick look at the posters, then mark live in tonight but mostly the president, will be back to him in

michigan this time around. it was one of five states that the president visited on his last full day of campaigning, logging nearly 2,500 miles from florida, north carolina, pennsylvania, michigan, and wisconsin on that final day. the president, while in pennsylvania, talked about a supreme court ruling that will allow that battleground state to accept ballots, mail-in ballots, after election day. >> what a ruling. what a ruling. what a horrible thing that they've done. do you know that puts our country in danger? >> reporter: meantime we saw joe biden going to church. he's off to scranton, pennsylvania, and then a couple of stops in philadelphia trying to get some last-minute votes in another state that was a narrow trump victory four years ago. joe biden in his final event will rally in pittsburgh talking about the balloting and how it's important for people to protect the vote and make sure all the votes are counted. >> i don't care how hard donald trump tries, there's nothing, nothing he can do to stop the people of this nation from voting no matter how he tries. >> reporter: so we will be watching what happens tonight as the polls close. we know the president is

a series of about five states, hurdles he has to get over, before he can get to michigan, pennsylvania, wisconsin. floridaas, georgia, ohio. and he only has a lead of a point or two in any of these states if that. in terms of being able to see the writing on the wall, i do not think this will be a terribly late night. host: you are recently at the six.com about faulty assumptions on which the trump campaign rested. what are you saying here? guest: there are a number of things that the trump folks thought would happen that didn't. and because of that, we are in a very different place. they thought the economy would just continue to be roaring along all the way through the reelection. instead we had that little detour with the coronavirus. second, that the coronavirus would not be bad or would be gone quickly so that the economy could come back. i am not saying that the economy is a headwind facing the president like you might normally if you had a downturn during an election, but it is a loss of a tailwind. the main reason to support him would have been, i think, the strong economy. you take that out from

key events this weekend are in battleground states including pennsylvania, michigan, florida and right here in north carolina. while the speeches touch oa wide-range of topics, one of the they want to know more about is climate change. we will have an in-depth report on that from here in north carolina, along with reporting onhe billions spt on advertising this election year, both coming up right after the news summary. ♪ from the lakes of minnesota, to the hills of tennessee ♪ >> sreenivasan: it's the final weekend push in the 2020 campaign season. president trump plned four stops in pennsylvania today, starting in bucks county, jus north of philadelphia. e keystone state was crucial to the president's 2016 win and is aocal point for both campaigns. ♪ ♪ former vice president biden campaigned with former president barack oma in michigan today, at a drive-in rally in flint and anotheplanned for detroit. tomorrow, biden will be in pennsylvania, starting in philadlphia for a souls to the polls event. president trump plans rallies in five states tomorrow. with three days left to election d

our time and the florida panhandle and parts of michigan and pennsylvania it will be 5:00 p.m. when the polls close. michigan, arizona and wisconsin will close at 6:00 and polls in iowa will close at 7:00 and, again, these references are all pacific time. >>> okay, now my turn i think. this morning the average of national poll show that joe biden is leading with eight points but we all need to remember that is not how elections are won in this country, they are won using the electoral college. that means tonight it all comes down to a few states. jobina at the live desk with more on where both candidates are going to be as those results come in. >> the biden campaign in delaware and president trump plans to have 400 people at the white house. both candidates are confident about their chances at the ballot box. in their closing message, joe biden and his running mate senator kamala harris as new cases increase in nearly all 50 states. >> we're going to beat this virus. we're going to get it under control and the first step, the first step to beating this virus is beating donald

2016 where essentially came from behind in over till kill or clinton it was states like michigan pennsylvania florida where he won by fairly slim margins that helped you know carry into the white house but also keep in mind hillary clinton was a very unpopular candidate many people voted for obama in 2008 in 2012 and turned around in 2016 and went for trump biden is not hillary clinton who is a much more popular candidate is actually in the rust belt states where a lot of people seem as a much more relatable candidate a working class candidate who helped save the auto industry during the financial crisis which is one of the key industries in that area more disapprove of trump. then approve or disapprove of truck that approve of him you know he is highly unpopular president which also plays to in biden's favor specially trucks handling of the endemic over race relations and that means that by now even has a shot at winning you know traditionally conservative states like georgia like north carolina part of the. that is because demographics have changed but also because of the pandemic black lives matte

florida, i think we will know the answer very quickly. at the same time, if donald trump does better-than-expected, is able to have some good showings in florida, pennsylvania, wisconsin, michiganand elsewhere, we could be in this for quite a few days, if not weeks. if we get into the territory of recounts, where this ends up becoming adjudicated in the courts, it could be quite some time until we know the outcome. alix: how do you look at the senate race? it looks like that could drag on into january, particularly in georgia, where you have one race and the retirement of another senator. how do we understand how that is going to walk us forward to any fiscal stimulus and the u.s.? thomas: those are all great questions. we do have something in the u.s. we refer to as coattail effects. that means a lot of the down ballot races in the senate and the house are very much contingent on what happens at the top in the white house. if donald trump is not doing well, that certainly bodes well for the democrats picking up the house, sweeping the house, and potentially even getting the senate. whether that would be more resolute give a decision on stimulus, it is tough to say. joe has pro

2016 where essentially came from behind in over till killer clinton it was states like michigan pennsylvania florida where he won by fairly slim margins that helped carry him to the white house but also keep in mind hillary clinton was a very unpopular candidate many people voted for obama in 2008 in 2012 and turned around in 2016 and went for trump biden is not hillary clinton he's a much more popular candidate is actually in the rust belt states where a lot of people seen as a much more relatable candidate a working class candidate who helped save the auto industry during the financial crisis which is one of the key industries in that area more disapprove of trump. then approve or disapprove of truck that approve of him you know he is highly unpopular president which also plays to in biden's favor specially trump's handling of the endemic of race relations and that means that biden even has a shot at winning you know traditionally conservative states like georgia like north carolina part of that is because demographics have changed but it also because of the pandemic black lives matter protest for

florida, north carolina, texas, georgia. biden wins wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania. if he cracks the sunbelt, then you're heading to landslide territory. secondly, we know a lot about the early vote. there's no question that donald trump has to win election day decisively. now, he did that in florida in 2016 where hillary clinton did quite well in the early vote. so if you're the biden campaign and democrats, you can't let up the gas. they won't. you have to have good enough election day turnout tomorrow. but donald trump enters election day in almost all the battleground states significantly behind. what's curious to me, lawrence, he seems like he thinks he's going to lose the election. he's saying the only way i can win is to steal it and ask the supreme court to stop counting votes. i can't imagine that's a huge amount of incentive for the people. he needs a massive turnout tomorrow. you really won't know what happens there until, as steve kornacki said, we start seeing real votes being counted in north carolina, in georgia, and in florida. and once we see the res

given to either candidate more populous states have more meaning that places like florida with 29 pennsylvania with 20 michigan with 16 in wisconsin with 10 are absolutely crucial so let's go to one of those states al jazeera and the gallagher is live for us in miami florida who are explaining whoever wins florida is guaranteed a road to the presidency and that's why the candidates both spent quite a lot of time in florida in the past week it's also a very interesting state an older population a big latino community what is it looking like in florida right now. well are essentially to give you some background you have to think of the state as a kind of microcosm for the entire nation all those people you just mentioned they represent the demographics of the whole country which is why all the candidates spend so much time down here in the history of florida and the history of presidential elections very intertwined there's been some monumental decisions made here in the past but with 29 electoral college votes it's a huge chunk towards that budget number of 270 now the headline from florida today is that 900000

the race and the president actually taking leads in a lot of the key states, florida, north carolina, pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin, arizona, polls in recent days showing the president pulling ahead in the states and it's what we've always seen in ours. we are at the point in the race where polls are not what we look at, we are looking at actual votes, people have cast their votes in the tens of millions, we can look at that data and see where those votes are coming from, whether they are democrats or republicans and we know that in early voting period the democrats opened up a pretty big lead which is what everybody expected but then every single day that has past, the president has chipped away at the lead and the democrats have absolutely not hit the mark. joe biden has not gotten enough votes in the bank to overcome the gigantic wave of support that's going to come from president trump's voters actually on election day. we have so many votes still in the tank that are going to come on tuesday, the lead that joe biden has posted in most states, it's virtually gone and where he still is hanging onto s

same with pennsylvania, michigan, florida it looked like a toss—up may be a slightjoe biden advantageld trump is going to win florida by it looks like three percentage points for that when you talk about how close florida normally is, that is a blow up florida normally is, that is a blow up in that state. georgia we knew it was going to be close, georgia is close. north carolina look likejoe biden had an advantage there for some it looks like donald trump is going to win narrowly they are. there was also the national polls that showjoe biden with close to a double—digit lead maybe 8% lead, right now it is looking like maybe a fourth percent lead. still millions of more votes overall. they are still counting a lot of balance. and still counting a lot of balance. and still could have to wait for california which is a gold mine for democrats for all of those ballots to be counted to see exactly how big a popular vote when this is going to be forjoe biden. but i think there is going to be a reevaluation based on these polls and see how they once again underestimated donald trumps strength

been won by biden but you have the very close races in georgia, in north carolina, in michigan, in florida, in pennsylvaniaould you imaginehat would happen if there wasn't a pandic? election,gedy of this regardless of what the outcome ends up being, iit was ever this close at all. for months, for years democrats have accurately described trump country, asthe someone whhas undermined every norm, who has caused a grt deal of hardship on specifically,istorically marginalized communities, and someone who has done little at all to stem off the worst effects of this global health pandemic. i'm health perective and economic perspective. and yet here we are, we start to dig a little deeper, you see what is going on. this was an election and the democraticarty w clear t put near a -- neoliberalism on the ballot. joe biden was a candidate who bragged to his dors that nothing would finally change. the plan toly -- marginalize the left and to be clear about the fact he did not feel like he needed to reach out and do that kind of outreach. and specifically, he felt in the way that bernie sanders really excelled when it

absentee balloting in early vote for republicans in key states like arizona, north carolina, florida, pennsylvania, michiganmocrats really had an advantage in the first day or so. i would not say the democrats heard about mailing voting and they invested attentive money in it, go look it up they invested a ton of honey and the mailing voting but the president invested in people, we have 2.5 million volunteers, that is more than the 2.2 that president obama had in 2012, and matters to him and president trump, people knocking on your door making those phone calls, giving you the information on how to cast your vote in this is very unusual 2020. i think people are missing one more thing, biden, even present obama had become so unbelievably unbearably negative. they cannot finish a sentence without saying trump, trump, trump, 15 times. what your vision next, trump, it is so bizarre, president obama has cashed in hoping change in americans look for president trump, they see the joy in the job, he loves his job, he loves his country, he loves his people and he wants to continue. also voters want you to earn their

the president will visit five states from florida to michigan. pennsylvania'selectoral votes are shaping up as really critical for the president and for joe biden despite being down in the polls, donald trump says he feels good about tuesday. >> the numbers the way i look at them in pennsylvania, i don't think we're going to have to worry about it too much. okay? and florida. and ohio and lots of others. north carolina is looking pretty good. did you see that? this is no longer the fake suppression polls. wisconsin is great and we won it last time, and we had a poll come out. i'm up one and down one and even. this crazy stuff, but it's within this area. i think we're doing much better than that. i think we're way ahead. >> joe biden is focussed on what people are -- consider the blue wall, typically leans democratic but trump blew through that four years ago. barack obama joined biden saturday in michigan and warned democrats not to repeat the mistakes of 2016. >> these shouldn't be republican or democratic values. it's what our parents taught us. they're not w

postal service to inspect several processing facilities in swing states including pennsylvania michigan and florida and i'm saying will do to ensure that no man about it is left uncounted while with more on the atmosphere generally before the elections has chemical. polls have already been opened for a number of hours here in new york city now around the country we're seeing the along the lines outside of the polling places here in new york and we're not seeing that as much because early voting has taken place and now we're already getting some initial reports of fraud there are some individuals according to the new york post who have been caught voting under the names of deceased people now new york state is you know a stronghold for the democratic party so it's unlikely that the results are going to be affected very much by any potential fraud here but regardless that initial fraud is being reported furthermore are the police of new york city are on standby anticipating protests from a number of different groups if the election results do not go their way here in new york we've also got store own

pennsylvania, florida, michigan, a little dash in ohio but, again that florida and pennsylvania, wheree the deal, and there are other towns for president trump if i was being contrarian, watch minnesota, watch new hampshire for trump or let's see whether biden can run the tables in georgia, but what both of the campaigns are really the most focused on in these closing hours are florida and pennsylvania. >> michael smerconish, no predictions. >> out of that game, he told us. >> exactly. because people are voting. 100 million people already have and a few million more today. what's the point? we'll know within a few hours, but i want to know your electoral canary in the coal mine. what sign are you looking for tonight to tell you things are going a certain way? >> it's entirely possible i'm a guest on "new day" on friday and we're still talking about pennsylvania. i think it's equally if not greater likelihood that florida, georgia, north carolina, ohio, just work your way up the eastern seaboard and then go to ohio. they all close 7:00 or 7:30 eastern standard time tonight. john king co

florida thank you very much. so we're we're waiting on georgia we're waiting on north carolina we're waiting on pennsylvania we're waiting on michigan we're waiting on wisconsin texas interestingly enough novato i would have thought would have come in by now i don't understand still what's going on in nevada and arizona seems to be the fox news dispute do we give it to trump or do we take it away from top i guess fox news has decided that those who give it can take it away whatever dream do you know that it's not a bad fall into fox news wow i never would have imagined i could have to leave bringing you into this conversation now as things are shaking out what do you think and well i'm thinking we would know a lot more right now we would have

pennsylvania, one of two events he has planned there today. president trump is in iowa, one of five states he's visiting. the others are michigan, north carolina, georgia and floridaould help decide the winner. we start in pennsylvania where the biden campaign is putting all their chips on the table. the company campaign team will be in that state tomorrow. mj lee is joining us from philadelphia. tell us more about the emphasis on pennsylvania. >> reporter: we are seeing how in these final 48 hours pennsylvania is really the focus of the biden campaign. we just saw the biden motorcade pull up to the baptist church behind me, so we have see the former vice president any minute now. the biden campaign also just announcing how the campaign will be fanned out across the spire state of pennsylvania tomorrow. listen to this. biden will be in beaver county with union and labor leaders tomorrow. also a drive-in event in pittsburgh with the african-american community, then end the final day in pittsburgh, which is symbolically pont. you may require that his first campaign event was also in pittsburgh. a lot of symbolic important, and of course political important, the camp

michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania, north carolina, arizona and florida. in this column you have the president's margin of victory four years ago. you can see in the first three it was less than a percentage point. in this column we have our polling average from fivethiryeight, joe biden on top in every single one of those six states. what's changed since the last debate? some things have changed. minimal, but there have been changes. let's talk about where joe biden has increased his lead in the polls. michigan and wisconsin, part of that blue wall for democrats. in north carolina and arizona the polls have tightened a bit. joe biden has come down a little bit, but minimal. in pennsylvania and florida there has been change. joe biden has come down a point in each state. you mentioned our poll out today, donald trump on top in florida. in pennsylvania joe biden is on top. republicans always say a lot of the polls were wrong four years ago. >> nate silver, what's your forecast? >> we have trump with a 10% shot and biden with a 90% shot. things happen fairly

florida. i will be in pennsylvania. i was in michigan. north carolina, i'm going there after i leave here.hat i don't need to tell georgia, but i will just remind us all. all over this country -- and in particular since 2013 -- almost two dozen states put in place laws designed to make it difficult for us to vote. you know here in georgia they were purging the voter rolls. we have seen in texas how they were picking up drop boxes. they put a thing in texas -- one dropbox per county. i was in harris county, where houston is, 4 million people live there. they have one dropbox. in states they are saying if you do a mail-in ballot, have to put it in one envelope, then you are supposed to seal that, and put it in another envelope, but in some places you've got to make sure somebody else signed it? trying difficult. to make it there were even messing with the post office. the post office. i mean, the nicest people work for the post office. and so, we have got to ask, why do you think so many powerful people are trying to make it so difficult for us to vote? and i do believe the answer is because

hitting hard in the battle grounds of florida, pennsylvania, ohio, minnesota, michigan, wisconsin, nevadaiably red texas. and team trump is outpespending democrats in georgia, north carolina, iowa and arizona in the closing week. >> while american cities burn, joe biden and kamala harris fan the flames. >> reporter: trump's most aired ads continue pushing hard on the fear factor suggesting biden's tax plan will wreck the already staggering economy. >> small businesses pay more. 5 million jobs lost. >> you'll get a tax raise. >> an economy in ruins. >> biden's explanation? both campaigns are playing hard for seniors. biden saying he'll make health care more accessible, cheaper. >> put it plainly, trump's plan would wipe out social security. >> their plan is too dangerous for seniors like us. >> reporter: ads will make any difference unless they can move people to actually cast a vote in this bitter contest. maybe one reason why biden is running some ads simply explaining to people how they can do that, how they can get their ballot registered. no matter whom they are voting for. >> tom for