. >> joining us now, conservative here francis maude, he served in the house of commons for more thanars. and alongside him, simon derrick. let's begin with you, frances -- francis. --this is the base case francis: it is still speculation, we do not know what the outcome will be. this is what the exit poll said in 2015, and that turned out to be a majority, albeit a very slim majority. that may turn out to be where we are. there are some very odd things here. i know it is a boring how much right thing to wait. on -- odd this exit polls adjusting the s&p losing significant numbers in scotland, and labour doing so well. my expectation was, we were not going to do brilliantly and london, perhaps in the southeast. theacross the middle and north of england and scotland we were making significant progress. pollsters have had lots of things to deal with, different crosscurrents, the old rules do not apply anymore. we need to wait and see some actual results. i would not all exclude at this stage that this does turn out to be a better outcome. it will not be a landslide, clearly, unless somet