jonathan: franklin templeton set the same thing to us recently. blerina uruci echoing some of that. citi looking for 4% year and on fed funds. tom: this is still not in the market, a set of people looking for a term all right about percent. it is not priced in. jonathan: talking about rate cuts next year and some are saying that is premature. tom: the gdp number will be a big mystery. i like what we heard earlier, there is a gap between fed meetings where you get a lot of data. our affiliate in canada, 8.1% inflation. jonathan: downside surprise. on the month they hiked 100 basis points. timing. these are numbers we have not seen in a long time. likewise, the u.k. tom: can i note, curve inversion breaking down, breaking evermore inverted, except for one day? jonathan: the whole curve is shifting lower. the 10-year is down more. tom: sub 2.95. we don't get economic data here. 8:40, i guess we missed that. jonathan: what are you looking for? we had mortgage applications earlier this morning. soggy. coming up, catching up with troy, talking about markets. he thinks there is more volati