only 30% in gallup say they are satisfied with the direction of the country.tatus quo message is not a message that's going to sell very well. >> i think romney could have been bolder in the campaign. >> i heard that. >> bill: monday night football thing come on. mr. rove. two democrats respond to mr. rove. i wonder who they will predict. later hume, krauthammer and can i del kate middleton. >> bill: impact segment tonight. of course both parties are predicting victory tomorrow. that's what always happens. joining us now from boston, democratic consultant here in new york democrat and fox news analyst kirsten powers. you just listened to carl rove, right? >> um. >>um did his prediction make you sad? you can tell i'm wiping away the tears from my eyes. look, i think that people are looking at the polls in completely different ways. carl is looking at sort of the public polls and things. they are weighted the wrong way. you can't really rely on these. i'm more in the other camp. i'm going on the idea that i think these polls have been pretty consistent across th

only 30% in gallup say they are satisfied with the direction of the country.tatus quo message is not a message that's going to sell very well. >> i think romney could have been bolder in the campaign. >> i heard that. >> bill: monday night football thing come on. mr. rove. two democrats respond to mr. rove. i wonder who they will predict. later hume, krauthammer and can i del kate middleton. -- caddell. all warning up in the bullpen coming up. where others fail, droid powers through. introducing the new droid razr maxx hd by motorola. now more than ever droid does. experience thehas your ticket pressure-relieving comfort of tempur-pedic, and sleep risk-free with sleep train's 100-day money back guarantee. get 36 months interest-free financing: no down, and no interest for 3 years. plus, get free same-day delivery. sleep train's 100-day money back guarantee, interest-free financing, and free delivery? that's the ticket! sleep train's ticket to tempur-pedic is on now. ♪ sleep train ♪ your ticket to a better night's sleep ♪ >> bill: impact segment tonight. of cou

me might find out in gallup, gallup at points at mitt up five and six and seven points.ee where he shows you up tomorrow morning. >> greta: i don't know why any one is paying attention to the national polls right now. i'm only paying attention to colorado and ohio and pennsylvania and florida, wisconsin. >> if mitt romney is going to win let's say gallup by five points then states you and i aren't even talking about, minnesota and others, they come into -- if he has a big wave going then a number of the other states come into play and the even states probably tip over. but all of the polls i'm seeing rasmussen, they all have it even. washington post, mitt s down one. and the energy enthusiasm have got the to make up for that. >> greta: i can't even imagine what these two men are going through. >> well, you know, as i say you take a look at mitt and he looks like i have done the best i could. in is a great country. and it is in the lap of the gods if you will. and that sense, didn't you get that from watching him in the the closing remarks. he is very tired you can see th

let's watch and see what the gallup says tomorrow. gallup has been out of commission since sandy hit the east coast. they went back into the field late last week and they will finish polling tonight and release it tomorrow. see what the likely voter number says among gallup. when we last saw it, i believe it was four points at 51-47 and we will see where that is. >> sean: do you you think sandy had impact? i guess we will find out in the gallup poll because governor romney was 50% for 15, 16 days in a row before they stopped. interestingly there was a moment where i think the president got a little momentum because he went in and looked all presidential. if you look at long island and new jersey and new york if you want to get gasoline, it is four hours wait. people without electricity. people freezing. no -- really no government presence. >> and look, american people are seeing this. we are likely to -- it took a couple of days to bake in the positive. it will take a couple of days to bake in the negative. >> sean: may not show up in

only 30% in gallup say they are satisfied with the direction of the country. status quo message is not a message that's going to sell very well. >> i think romney could have been bolder in the campaign. >> i heard that. >> bill: monday night football thing come on. mr. rove. two democrats respond to mr. rove. i wonder who they will predict. later hume, krauthammer and [ lisa ] my name's lisa, and chantix helped me quit. i honestly loved smoking, and i honestly didn't think i would ever quit. [ male announcer ] along with support, chantix is proven to help people quit smoking. it reduces the urge to smoke. it put me at ease that you could smoke on the first week. [ male announcer ] some people had changes in behavior, thinking or mood, hostility, agitation, depressed mood and suicidal thoughts or actions while taking or after stopping chantix. if you notice any of these stop taking chantix and call your doctor right away. tell your doctor about any history of depression or other mental health problems, which could get worse while taking chantix. don't take chan

we will find out in the gallup poll. romney was 15 percent for 15, 16 days in a row before they stopped. interestingly there was this moment where the president got momentum because he looked presidential. if you look at long island, new jersey and new york if you want to get gasoline it is four-hours wait. people without electricity people freezing. really know governmental presence. >> the american people are seeing this. a took a couple days to wabake the positive. whatever minor advantage he received during it will be washed away. the biggest advantage he had was intangible. it took attention away from the campaign and discussion from debt and deficits and spending and joblessness and anemic growth. >> talking about revenge verses how governor romney asking to do what's best for the country. we have seen several moments during the campaign where he said something spontaneous. he is not a happy warrior. used to be the party of hubert humphrey and jfk. the instinct would have been to take the booing of the crowd and tu

has 7 point edge on national basis according to gallup and pew interesting swing. obama led mccain this time four years ago by 15 points according to gallup or by 19 points according to pew. so it's been a 22 or 26 point swing in the republic's favor. >> they get this from exit polling. how do they get the data. >> try to read by party registration. x number of democrats. >> bill: they have to have that on the ballot. >> on a lot of the states not all of them. >> bill: their projection is that romney is winning by how much. >> 7%. that's on a national basis. and then when you drill down on specific wing states it differs, some polling of actual vote in nevada and iowa that shows president obama is doing better than mitt romney in those states and those are the states that going to decide the election. >> i think that's because and this is karl rove speaking now not me more democrats ordered voted early than republicans. bret baier will be anchor next tuesday. >> november 6th. >> bill: give you a jump on it for everybody. 19 million. romney ahead by 7% in new york.

rasmussen and gallup, rasmussen conservative. gallup we said all along they were not right.ber one? it was a tie. public policy polling and daily kos. this is going to macon serve active heads explode. they were the most accurate. ok? now, at least to the credit of some of the republicans, they have admitted what fools they were. >> well, i'm not going to say bluntly we were wrong but karl rove a whole group of is frankly misunderstood what was happening in the country. >> they had a very good ground game and played offensive ball the entire time. >> i plead guilty. i goofed, made a mistake. i undercounted the minority turnout and women and young people. >> bill: oops! ok, at least they admit it. the guy who won't? nate scarborough who said nate silver is a joke. oh right be he got 50 out of 50 right. so here's nate silver on the daily show. >> what was surprising to me is that before the election, people who were not just predicting romney will eke it out in ohio, to come to that conclusion, you are a little out of touch. >> with reality. elbow of the day nate silver? there

my favorite from nate silver when he said four out of five dentists recommend something gallup is theentist. >> eliot: that's exacterly right. getting one of those phone calls is like a trip to the dentist. tina dupuy and eric boehlert, thank you both for your time. >> thank you governor. >> eliot: it may not have been a great election year, but message of the lgbt were thrilled with the results. yet the fight- fight-free equal you had goes on. everywhere. >> clarksville is a small town on the tennesse/kentucky boader and it is a really great place to raise a family. my name is lloyd allard i was a chief officer in the special forces, i was in the army for 23 years. i have made 1400 parachute jumps. well, my experience in the military was varied. i spent a lot of time in iraq, a lot of time in kuwait. i did two tours in iraq and i decided it was time to do something different with my life. i saw little caesars as a way to give something back to my family. the little caesars veterans program provides financial support and equipment when you open your store. the little caesars veterans

the editor in chief for gallup which showed mitt romney with a wider lead than other polls admits gallup might have overestimated the get-out-the-vote efforts. >>> it's time for a geography quiz. put on your thinking caps. what is the name of this country? all right. if you said mexico, then you were wrong. our neighbors to the south actually go by the official title estados unidos mexicanos which is often translated as the united mexican states. but felipe calderon is making one last attempt to change the name to just mexico. >>> finally, you weren't the only one tweeting out thanksgiving pictures. cindy mccain grabbed this picture of her husband john mccain. he's in the green cap getting ready to deep fry a turkey. and then florida senator marco rubio is showing off his bird. this is his bird ready to eat. the obama campaign tweeted this black and white picture to mark the holiday showing a much younger first family. and that is your morning dish of "scrambled politics." >>> investors had the day off for thanksgiving, and the ones who aren't out shop having to go back to work today. th

so, gallup has a poll showing romney winning the early voting by five pnts.y, think on this, republicans have pretty much caught up. >> tom: are you sure you are calling it for romney? you are making a strong argument about people showing up early, fred? >> republicans aren't afraid to go out to the polls on election day, november 6th for all the reasons tucker said. look, getting out an early vote isn't you can come as close to matching it. i think romney has done that. then there is the numb that the romney vers have an advantage on which will get them out on election day. >> that was huge in 2008 but not necessarily now. are we going to have a late nighter, tucker, or is this going to be 1980 where we know pretty early? >> anybody who deterred from voting by rain, shouldn't be voting in the first place. srl, we shouldn't prevent those people by law, i don't want you choose meig government. i hope it rains. it will weed out the fools. i'm not going to make a prediction as to the eventual outcome because i will be held canable and i didn't go to into journal

the latest polls, gallup has romney up by one. washington post has obama up by 3 but the sample was skewed the democrats and we got the latest revenues and poll numbers. romney by one, 49-48. 1 twenty million votes will be cast today. it has already begun and "varney and company" is beginning right now. stuart: it is tuesday, november 6th, it is election day. since it is the most critical day of lee year, charles payne is joining the company early. special treat. the mainstream media is pulling for president obama saying signs point to an obama victory but these pictures tell a different story. for the second straight night a packed crowd for mitt romney. thousands attend romney, his wife, kid rock, romneys were overwhelmed with emotion after a long standing ovation. contrast that with these pictures from president obama in ohio. he spoke to a half empty arena in columbus even though he was joined by bruce springsteen and jasey. mitt romney's campaign is quietly confident. the romney campaign's internal polling has romney ahead in

which was gallup and rasmusse rasmussen. but nonetheless, the state polls were accurate.ollsters out there. you did a good job and hit it on the money. when people say you were off and got it wrong. >> eric: you forgot one. fox news was on it as well. they went with d-6 and d-7. everybody said really? >> kimberly: fox news. i'd like to correct you. we have covered all of the polls on this show. as we do. >> greg: many polls. >> dana: ask greg. >> kimberly: polli tabis. >> bob: say this to you. one more thing. ♪ ♪ >> kimberly: time now for one more thing. the election is over but the show has something special. >> bob: i would like to congratulate voters who stood in line, some very close places after the polls closed. you did magnificent job exercising the right to vote. the other thing in the one more thing, eric and i had a bet about this election. in the spirit of bipartisan, i don't think you need to wear this. >> dana: c'mon! looking forward to this all day. >> kimberly: what are you running for office? >> dana: that was the only thick i wanted to see. >> bob: i don'

even romney ahead in one of them. >> gallup had plus one -- gallup called it a tie but they had romneyweeks during october, romney was up 4-6 points which essentially produces a landslide in the electoral college. i hope people are going to remember what gallup did. this is becoming an every four-year circus and a joke. >> bill: yes. thank you. >> gallup has serious problems! and they don't seem serious about correcting them! >> bill: well and the media doesn't seem serious about ignoring them. >> it is the gold standard. the name gallup, it is the gold standard. but look, if they had stuck with the four to six this would have been their second 1948. >> bill: wow. oh really. that bad. >> absolutely. absolutely. >> bill: you know, across the board, i mean i was looking this morning, most -- i recall it reputable people have -- in their prediction have obama up in the electoral college. do you think the popular vote as well larry? >> i think so. i don't know what it will end up being. maybe a point. maybe a little bit more than a point. you know, i'm guided not just by polls. we have --

that's why gallup is different from the rest. you have to answer several questions to be classified as a likely voter by gallup. most of these polls, are you going to vote, yes. he's a likely voter, in the mix he goes. what is constituted at the polls today and in the final vote may be very different than those polls. thattess don't mean that the polls are wrong, it just means they may not be predictive. megyn: brit hume was saying earlier you may have an unenthusiastic voter, as long as he votes you don't care. you're part of the fox news decision desk and we joke about it but it's a serious responsibility. and i mean this is it. americans have been watching this so closely, so many millions of americans care deeply about what is going to happen tonight. walk us through what the evening is going to be like for you as the data come in. >> reporter: i think this is important for you as you're telling america this story and i think it's important for folks at home to remember this. early in the night we'll get the exit polls starti

now you don't like gallup? >> bob: when it was debate?rior to election. >> greg: andrea, what is it like for candidate to watch the results go on i ran for judge in high school and won by 30, 40 votes. what do they do in they have to act like they'll win. >> andrea: right. exactly. it's very stressful. waiting is the hardest part. romney campaign prepared only one speech. but writing a concession speech was hard. on one campaign, the political director walked in and i had both speeches. which one? it wasn't the one that the candidate wanted. that is the worst. >> greg: didn't you run for governor of ferry visit in the forest? >> dana: i won it handily. it wasn't a contest really. who would run against me? in the fairy village. what were you doing -- what is the student counsel judge do? >> greg: in charge of arranging the dances between the schools. all guys school so you organized dances with notre dame. don't let me finish this story. go ahead. >> bob: no. no. i want you to finish the story. but i want to make a point. never mind. never

gallup has it 49-48 romney.ear politics average of recent national polls has the president ahead by a little more than half a point. just ahead, karl rove and joe trippi break down the final electoral map and offer their prediction. the tug of war over ohio landed two men, not joe and carl, president obama and governor romney in shouting distance in the state capital. chief political correspondent begins our coverage from columbus. >> romney hit four states, tossup in the poll and the map to 270 electoral votes. >> we could begin better tomorrow, tomorrow and with the help of people in florida that will happen. >> first stop, florida, with shot at the president to shore up lead that dwindled. >> cared more about the liberal agenda than repairing the economy. did obamacare create new jobs? >> no! >> latinos are big in florida. and nationwide romney hoped to poll in 30s. he's been in 20s for months. first of two stops in virginia, lynchburg. >> get everyone we know out to vote tuesday. every voter get out. >> then

you talk about the gallup number, today the cbs/"new york times" numbers came out. states, obama leads by one. in ohio, he leads by five. in virginia, he leads by two. this momentum by romney is all concocted and the press fell for it. dais i didn't call on you but you -- >> dana: i didn't call on you but you went anyway so i'll take the last word. one poll that came out yesterday that was interest, the national public radio teamed up resurgent republic to talk about the independent voters. if we go back eight months ago on the program to say what will matter in the election, independent voters. democrats vote for democrats. republicans vote for republicans. we have a group. gallop said 40% of the people identify independents now. there is an 8-point swing for independents in favor of romney. it happened right after the first debate if denver. 51-39%. they will have more detail out of the npr public tomorrow. it can tell you this. guess what? tomorrow in his column, karl rove in the "wall street journal" column, he will make prediction on the election turn-out. >> b

it's a usa today gallup polls and shows that romney and open are tied at 48%. with that said, here's how each one is closing out. >> our work is not yet done. the fight goes on. [ applause ] >> our fight goes on because this nation cannot succeed without a growing thriving middle class and strong ladders. >> if you believe we could do better and if you believe america should be on a better course and if you're teared of -- tired of being tired, then i'd ask you to have the for real change. i won't waste any team complaining about my predecessor. >> so, kelly, no real surprise that the running mates are on the campaign trail, the running mates' wives. we heard from the romney campaign, they want to keep the energy going. his team announced last-minute stops and finally, kelly, president obama travels here to click later on tonight. >> all right. tory dunnan thanks for that live report. we will see you tomorrow. >> and staying with the political theme, we're talking about the other running mates, the candidates' wives. michelle obama and ann romney have higher ap

said gallup showed ford up a point. it cost him. people said wait a minute the psychological factor. people went in the booth saying wait a minute. i forgot i'm punishing ford for nixon and that's why i'm going to vote carter. the problem now, say there's people with buyers remorse saying i'm not ready to reward the president. half the battleground state vote is in. it's in. it's already happened. colorado, florida, north carolina, iowa, nevada. more than 50% of those states have voted. let's say there's a buyers remorse at the end going wait a minute i don't want to reward this incumbent just yet. that vote's gone. >> i don't know if mass psychology works quite the way it did. the country's pretty divided as we said. communication is more fragmented. people speak discreetly to their own particular group. so the sort of crowd psychology notion of the past may or may not work. we'll find out tomorrow night. that's the faith that the romney people have. they're going on faith more than numbers in most of these places. >> and pennsylva

gallup says this is the first result against government healthcare since 2000. head of the postal service says the agency can be $8 billion in the black each year. if it's allowed to cut retiree healthcare fund payment and eliminate saturday mail delivery. patrick donahoe notes the agency is losing $16 billion a year right now. money can't buy happiness and it apparently isn't doing much for government communication either. plus, what happened when a popular tourist town said no to a famous method of raising money? grapevine is next. ♪ (announcer) when subaru owners look in the mirror, they see more than themselves. so we celebrate our year-end with the "share the love" event. get a great deal on a new subaru and 250 dollars goes to your choice of five charities. by the end of th, our fifth year, our total can reach almost 25 million dollars. it's a nice reflection on us all. now through january 2nd. [ male announcer ] it's that time of year again. medicare open enrollment. time to compare plans and costs. you don't have to make changes. but it never hurts to se

he was 4 points ahead in rasmussen's national poll, 6 in gallup likely polling. to oust obama are present. he doesn't have an energized base. everybody says, the key to this is voter turnout, the republicans are energized like they have never been in my lifetime. therefore, the election's over, if you look at it on that factor alone. >> we have looting and troopers who should be helping people who are being called to gas stations because there is no gas in the northeast. patience is running thin. people are running out of food. obama's in vegas. obama's on the campaign trail. i bet this comes back to bite him. >> you are shaking your head. >> no, look, eighteen, he has done everything -- he has been out there, put money out there. you know, energized the federal government to throw money in and-- >>> oh, okay. obama is good at throwing money at everything -- we don't have it -- >> but let me get to the real problem. the real problem is going to be in pennsylvania. if in philadelphia, there is a lower turnout because of the storm, if pennsylvania's really getting

a "usa today" gallup poll of 12 battleground states finds the race to be a dead heat. today president obama and mitt romney are off on an intense final day blitz of those critical day states. susan mcginnis is in washington with more. good morning. >> reporter: good morning. this is it. these two candidates have one more day to make their introduce misses, attack each other, they got to be tired but looking at them over the weekend they are still going strong. president obama did a little dance in cincinnati where stevie wonder introduced him. also in ohio mitt romney talked about the president's chances of winning. >> it's possible but not likely. >> reporter: the candidates have been burning up jet fuel crisscrossing the country. on sunday president obama was in new hampshire, florida, ohio and colorado. >> i know a bunch of you already voted. but if you haven't, there's still time. >> reporter: today he'll hit more swing states with ohio, wisconsin and iowa before heading home to chicago. >> after we've been through together, we can't give up now. >> reporter: mitt

on the eve of the democratic convention, the gallup did a poll. 65% of americans said they wanted henry wallace as vice- president. drew men who wanted wh were the party leaders. in the 1944 convention, after wallace makes is important speech, there is a great demonstration in favor of him. before he could get his name in the nomination, he would be back on that ticket -- pepper got 5 feet from the microphone before the party bosses shut down the convention that night. 5 feet, had pepper got in there and wallace become vice president, instead of truman, there would have been no atomic bombing and possibly no cold war. had there been no cold war, the whole history would have been so fundamentally different. but history can be different. it was the people who were pushing wallace against the bosses. tavis: issue #2, you all changed --the story line or tryo get more truth out of the storyline, who was promulgating the cold war. all the movies tillich one way, mr. stone. you tell it another way -- all the movies tell it one way, mr. stone. you tell it another way. >> yes, the british play a

i'm not sure i buy into the gallup numbers. it's not just what happened with sandra. this is where the republicans completely miscalculated. it was the susan g. komen stuff where women said, time-out. this is our health. this is not for politics. also, the tone and tenor and lack of respect and the nature of the conversation that was happening, not just at the federal level but at the state level saying, you know those shifty women, they'll use rape as a loophole if we let them. i think women were really offended and felt like, wait a second, if you can't trust me to make these decisions how do you know you really trust me as secretary of state or as a ceo. i actually think that women have -- look at the waitress moms the president has a huge advantage because for women these issues, we're integrated. it's all integrated. it's economic, it's social, it's our civil rights. i think women take a different view. as sandra was saying, though, there is that gap between married women and what i prefer to say as unmarried women other than single women. some of us are a little

it does show that the burden is on republicans if there is a move over the fis kwcal cliff, rightw gallupnd pew said republicans will be the ones taking the blame. >> nancy pelosi insists that raising tax rate for the rich is going to happen. let me show you this. >> we've seen talk about a possible compromise that would leave rates the same but cap deductions for high-income earners. is that something that's acceptable? >> no. >> not at all. no way. >> well, no. i mean, the president made it very clear in his campaign that there is not enough -- there are not enough -- what you just describe is a formula and a blueprint for hampering our future. >> heather, do you think the republicans will back down on this kind of insistence by the president backed up by pelosi and the democrats? >> i think there's real reason for hope. i think that the president soundly won the election, that the democratic senate got more progressive with people like elizabeth warren with sharon brown beating back hundreds of millions of dollars in special-interest corporate money from likes like the chamber. so i th