elaine garzarelli is president of garzarelli capital. welcome back, always nice to see you. >> nice to be here. >> tom: what makes you so confident in higher stock prices with all the uncertainty that remains? >> well, basically, my indicators for the stock market are bullish. they're at 76% level. and they need to go down to 30% for a major bear market. we're down below 43% for 10 to 15% correction. and basically there are economic cycle, monetary valuations, and sentiment. and those are the four categories of my indicators. so it's fundamental for the most part. >> tom: i want to ask you about oil in a moment. last fall the last time you were on with us you were bullish and your indicators were as well. you were looking at the time at the sm for above 1300. we're above that now. so do you have a price target in mind? >> for earnings for this year, assuming that oil prices stay where they are now, which is pretty high, i have 94 for sp earnings, and for next year i have 102.50. so if you just multiply a 15 multiple by that, which is con