speaking third will be george perkovich who's the v.p. for studies at the carnegie endowment and also runs carnegie's nonproliferation program. george has written a very fine book on india's nuclear weapons program and his most recent book is abolishing nuclear weapons which i just think just came out. and for cleanup is dan blumenthal who's a resident fellow here in aei in asian studies. dan was the senior director in the office of secretary of defense for the office handling china, taiwan and mongolian affairs and is a long time serving member on the u.s.-china economic and security commission. since we only have about an hour, i've asked our panelists to speak for about eight minutes, which should leave us plenty of time for follow-up questions and discussion. but again, as danny said when we do turn to questions, please identify yourself and try to make it a question. so if that is an introduction, susan, you're up. >> good morning. i'm pleased to be here with a distinguished panel and certainly with the american enterprise institute,