nato and ex-minister of defense of the united kingdom of great britain and northern ireland george robertson. so, i quote the bloomberg agency. robertson claims that despite his russia-friendly rhetoric, trump as president of the united states actually strengthened american defenses and increased contributions to nato. direct speech. now in the absence of progress on the field. battle in russia, putin seems to have only to wait until the election of donald trump, who he hopes will conclude some dirty deal to end the war. but even that strategy, if you can call it that, is flawed, robertson said. the republican members of the us congress were here in the uk and they were very keen to make it clear that this strategy is flawed and during his time in office, contrary to his rhetoric, trump...sent missiles to poland, increased nato funding and significantly strengthened the power of its own armed forces, and therefore it begins to look like another miscalculation by the kremlin, - explained the former secretary general nato, mr. robertson. he was the secretary general of nato until 2004. well, l

nato and ex-minister of defense of the united kingdom of great britain and northern ireland george robertson. robertson claims that despite his russia-friendly rhetoric, trump as president of the united states actually strengthened american defenses and increased attention.

george w. bush, 41% in 2000. the greatest margin was bob dole in 1988, who edged out pat robertson by about 12%. one thing you will note is one thing that george w. bush in 2000 and bob dole in 1988 both have in common, neither went on to win new hampshire. bob dole didn't win the nomination in 1988. one other thing i will be looking for tonight is the turnout. record caucus turnout was in 2016 for the republicans. it was about 187 thousand. republicans was hoping to get north of 200,000 tonight. they thought they could achieve that easily because so many people register ed as republicans. because of the forecast with some of the temperatures, looking at temperatures of minus 14 in sioux city, minus 14 in des moines. low, low temperatures. it could depress the turnout. if it's a lot lower than 187,000, you might hear team talk about enthusiasm issues with the republican party. maybe it would not be there. how does ron desantis want to do in second place? it would be evangelical voters in the northwest here. the darker the county, the higher percentage of evangelical voters. a different map to nik

dole beat robertson and robertson and george hw but she went on to be president, beaten by 13 points. to imagine -- and we are talking about this earlier -- there's not a lot of time between now and new hampshire. can someone develop momentum between now and there? as we were upstairs having dinner, you are saying, i'm not sure. especially when a person you've got to overcome his donald trump. if he's able to take this momentum and compete if not win in new hampshire, they are setting ourselves up for the largest general election campaign the nation has ever seen, and to dana's point, people think our politics, border, schools, our workplaces, places of worship are broken, and they want to see someone who can fix it. not to be a savior, the figure out how to fix it. that's going to be the person that wins the presidency. >> bret: and the legal troubles for the former president have only supercharged is based on the voters here in iowa. brit, really quickly. >> brit: it kind of remains to be seen whether there's a conviction on one of these counts. i don't want to forge any guesses as

you go back to 1988, you have televangelist pat robertson beating the sitting vice president of the united states. george h.w. bush. i went back last night and looked at the news coverage. "l.a. times" quoted young george w. bush saying, "we got whipped." they did. but we're going to be reading a lot of exit polls. people will be saying, "oh, my god." no doubt, the republican party nationwide is not the party of reagan anymore. not even close. not even the party of george w. bush. but this is a radical, in many ways, a radical electorate if y. again -- >> oh, the exit polls. >> again, they have set up, once again, donald trump, their weakness candidate, to go to the general election. a great night for donald trump given the fact that desantis wasn't pushed out of the race and haley wasn't pushed out of the race. so these two continue splitting the anti-trump vote in half, and donald trump loves that. >> you're exactly right. donald trump could not have asked for a better scenario than last night, for the obvious. he won by 30 points, which is where he was polling. as you say, the close race between ron d

robertson. historically, however, iowa has been a poor predictor of the eventual gop nominee. bob dole, who won iowa, did not win the gop presidential nomination in 1988. george h. w. bush did. he s the distant third place finisher in iowa that year. since 2000, the winner of the iowa caucuses has only become the entual republican presidential nomee once. that's when george w. bush won the state. mike huckabee won in 2008, with rick santorum in 12, florida senator, i'm sorry, texas senator ted cruz, you got a victory over trump in 2016. but none of them became the nominee. a victory this time around it's going to be a comeback of sorts for trump. it will be the first time that he will compete in an election of any sort since he lost the 2020 presidential contest. inciting the january six insurrection, and was indicted on 91 criminal charges. a victory will signal his official return to electoral politics, even as his own eligibility to run for office is under review by the supreme court. trump also wants to wrap up the nomination as soon as possible in order to avoid a prolonged primary battle, so he could shift his attention to the general election and his m

robertson, 25. that's the biggest margin. in 2000, what's the biggest share of a vote in iowa. 2000, george w. bush got 41% when he beat steve forbes by 11 points. again, trump could beat that margin record, could beat that vote share record. all of the polling has been suggesting that, and frankly, if he doesn't clear those two thresholds that's probably a disappointment for his campaign. those seem like modest thresholds given where the polling has been. other things we can show you, the race for second place. nikki haley and ron desantis, it seems like a race for second place. haley in the final poll catching desantis. she had been running in third place. core strengths, we'll show you how this translates into the map. the recipe in modern republican caucuses in iowa has been you win the evangelical vote, you win iowa. mike huckabee did it in 2008. rick santorum did it in 2012. and ted cruz did it against donald trump in 2016. why did donald trump lose iowa in 2016? because he lost the evangelical vote. the evangelical vote in 2016 was nearly two-thirds of every vote cast. 64% of caucusgoer