as many as 40 have gone in already to graham brady, been to sir graham brady, have been told two seniorsenior sources. another six went in over the weekend in the wake of lyons and defecting , of course. and then defecting, of course. and then that the over the comments that the row over the comments by donor about diane abbott, by the donor about diane abbott, he is some danger tonight . he is in some danger tonight. the odds of penny mordaunt becoming leader have been slashed by major bookmakers. people look at her and think, well, is she the answer? but for many on the right she's a blank canvas. it'd be like theresa may. no one knows what she really thinks about some key tory areas , but is someone tory areas, but she is someone who labour fears the who the labour party fears the most, and i think that most, i think. and i think that right a massive week right now this is a massive week for rishi sunak. unexpectedly, he's seeing the party 22 on wednesday. there should be some better economic news, but i think people are defecting and moving away from him. the herd is moving away fro

graham brady?point is it's secret, but i am not going to add to the speculation. i don't recognise the vast majority of the stories that have appeared in the press over the last over the weekend. it seems to me a complete frenzy , particularly from the right wing press. look, the party's in a really , really difficult a really, really difficult position. the polls very position. the polls are very clear. know we've got an clear. we know we've got an enormous task, but i would think back to 2 or 3 years ago when, unfortunately , boris johnson was unfortunately, boris johnson was toppled. now we can all have a, an argument about whether he was an argument about whether he was a good prime minister or not, but he had a mandate. he won an election. he elected the election. he was elected by the conservative party members . and conservative party members. and unfortunately, that getting rid of set us on of boris johnson did set us on a path of this constant questions over leadership , and obviously over

no confidence letters sent graham brady , letters sent to graham brady, the chairman of 1922 committeeps who decide of backbench tory mps who decide on who becomes the next tory leader . but on who becomes the next tory leader. but who on who becomes the next tory leader . but who better to on who becomes the next tory leader. but who better to ask than usual host of this program, sir jacob than usual host of this program, sirjacob rees—mogg, than usual host of this program, sir jacob rees—mogg, who than usual host of this program, sirjacob rees—mogg, who had this to say earlier ? well, i'm this to say earlier? well, i'm sorry not to be with you this evening personally in person, and i am grateful to sir christopher hope for stepping in to the breach. >> but i'm literally voting now in the rwanda divisions to send back to the house of lords, to the unelected chamber its objections to a scheme that will help us secure our borders and make sure that people have no incentive to come here illegally because they won't be able to stay. but what i wanted to talk about most of all was the lead

graham brady, the man of the grey suit has been in to see the prime minister.e resignation of lee anderson, senses handling of this affair, is it started to move against him? it affair, is it started to move against him?— affair, is it started to move against him? affair, is it started to move auainst him? .., , against him? it could be. the mood amonust against him? it could be. the mood amongst conservative _ against him? it could be. the mood amongst conservative mps - against him? it could be. the mood amongst conservative mps has - against him? it could be. the mood| amongst conservative mps has been gloomy for some time. you have some mps and conservative members of staff to wonder if it's best to rip off the plaster and call a general election, so goes the argument to stem the potential losses. i still say the majority view is one of keeping going until the autumn on the basis that something might turn out. also the economy might be in a slightly better position. plenty of conservatives are realistic about the general election, 20 are pretty much convinc

that may not stop the letters of no confidence going into sir graham brady , into sir graham brady, especially as expected, after the local elections , those after the local elections, those results are really very bad indeed. so what could happen is there could be a vote of no confidence in the prime minister, but there's no clear person to take over from him. and according to this poll, a lot of the people that would ultimately like his job, people like penny mordaunt, james cleverly, grant shapps and look set to lose their seats and worth. one quick note i think about the reform party. there's been a lot of talk about them and how high they are going in the polls. this poll projects that they would get 8.5% of the vote behind the liberal democrats. however they stand to do huge damage to the conservative party. they also say that if some sort of deal was done with them, as happened with the brexit party back in 2000 to 2019, that the conservatives rather than getting 98 seats, would get 150. so it looks likely that the conservatives are going to be, frankly, eaten alive by labour on the lef

confidence to the 1922 committee chairman, sir graham brady. the tories facing electoral oblivion according to the polls, do they stand any chance of turning the ship around with me now is the former labour minister, ivor capun former labour minister, ivor caplin . ivor, of course you were caplin. ivor, of course you were one of those people who saw the ascendancy of new labour in 1997. d0 ascendancy of new labour in 1997. do you feel that we're for on a similar course as that famous landslide . famous landslide. >> hi tom, it's always good to see you. and i have to say this very clearly. you know, not a single vote has yet been cast in a general election. and that means that for the labour party, whilst we're ready for a general election , we can't be complacent election, we can't be complacent at all. that's. that would be very , very wrong for us to be very, very wrong for us to be like that. and i see this as a very different election than the 1 in 1997, i think 97. there was different economy. there was, you know, very well , well, a you k

one rebel tell told me as many as 40 could now be lodged in the safe graham brady , the safe of grahamvote of no confidence in rishi sunak. if that happens , goodness me. that happens, goodness me. >> so we're very close to that threshold. if that mp is correct, of course, it's all shrouded in secrecy , so we never shrouded in secrecy, so we never truly know that number. but i think the rumour mill whirring after that very brief meeting with the 1922 committee last week and the one with graham week and the one with sir graham brady what about all of brady as well, what about all of this surrounding penny mordaunt? i heard from her i mean, have we heard from her because she's been used? is she by a wing of the party to try and sort of bring the force, a leadership election? but actually she hasn't been consulted on this and actually could it pave the way for suella braverman? we've seen grant shapps on manoeuvres as well. lots of people saying this might be moment. it's a brutal be his moment. it's a brutal game, isn't it? politics >> well, it really is. i mean, penny mordaunt to her pr

the other option is that sir graham brady may lead a delegation to see rishi sunak. in parliament, they are looking forward to tomorrow at 5:00, when tomorrow afternoon at 5:00, when the is expected to address the pm is expected to address members the 1922 committee. members of the 1922 committee. that kind of backbench union of tory backbenchers , and try and tory backbenchers, and try and convince them why he's the guy to party through until to take the party through until the expected november general election . but it is difficult election. but it is difficult times. i think the problem the party has got is they are so far behind, 20 points behind they are to replacing leaders are used to replacing leaders who aren't working that's who aren't working and that's why is happening why the chatter is happening right now about mr sunak. even though seem crazy , i though it might seem crazy, i mean utterly crazy to many viewers and listeners of gb news in westminster, it seems like an opfion in westminster, it seems like an option them . option for them. >> wow. no desp

>> i mean, look, let's face it, graham brady is the only one that knows.i mean, i when i last calculated because people that knows. but i mean, i when i last cilculated because people that knows. but i mean, i when i last cilcultmy because people that knows. but i mean, i when i last cilcultmy becalin people that knows. but i mean, i when i last cilcultmy becalin lotsple that knows. but i mean, i when i last cilcultmy becalin lots ofe since i put my letter in lots of people coming up to me telling me, oh, we've done the same. well on you . and got in well done on you. and i got in my of telling me my count of people telling me that was over 30. but this was weeks ago , so i think we must be weeks ago, so i think we must be nearer to 40 now and then if you i mean, it could be that you accidentally trigger a no confidence vote and then the vote itself, even if wins, it vote itself, even if he wins, it could be sort of fatal, because when a prime minister is challenged close to challenged this close to a general of course you general election, of course you h

many letters of no confidence sunak have confidence in rishi sunak have been submitted to sir graham brady of the brady, who's chairman of the 1922 backbench committee. well, political commentator andy williams joins us now. >> very good morning to you, andy. so a summer election if it's called it would be very rare indeed wouldn't it. >> it would be. and i think it reflects the fact rishi sunak, that there is no good time for him to call an election. now, there's been speculation for a while about whether it was going to be may, and i know that . i to be may, and i know that. i think, stephen, you were pretty keen on the may idea, or at least he thought that it might be. may. i think the best strategy for the prime minister is name the date now, because the speculation this the speculation about when this is going be is going to go on is going to be is going to go on and and on until we have an and on, and on until we have an election date. i'm pretty confident that it's going to be in the autumn, in in the autumn, probably in october or november, but it's october or in november, but it's

sir graham brady. but if they trigger a no confidence vote in may.ened, which will damage them further , if he chose to walk further, if he chose to walk away. well, i can't see it happening, but if they had somebody, who would they put in place? because there is no agreement for who best bet agreement for who their best bet would penny mordaunt agreement for who their best bet would to penny mordaunt agreement for who their best bet would to be penny mordaunt agreement for who their best bet would to be the 'enny mordaunt agreement for who their best bet would to be the person.ordaunt agreement for who their best bet would to be the person who's1t seems to be the person who's feared by labour, but it feared most by labour, but it looks she's probably set to looks like she's probably set to lose maybe kemi lose her seat. maybe kemi badenoch may still be there, but she's not necessarily that popular with floating voters, so it's absolutely a nightmare for them. and some conversations now about, if rishi sunak tries to go for a summer election, people

is it true that there have been a flurry of no confidence letters sent in to graham brady in relations very shortly. but britain's shortly. but first, britain's migrant to new migrant shame plunges to new depths as a family run haulage firm is fined 66 grand after six men snuck back of their men snuck onto the back of their lorry in france. ed rogers, director of em rogers transport, is absolutely fuming with the government and slack border force after being slapped with a huge fine and doesn't understand why hardworking british businesses are being punished for our shamefully leaky borders. i'm very pleased to say he joins me now. thank you very, very much could we just very much and could we just explain a little bit, maybe to our viewers and listeners exactly what has happened here then? so illegal immigrants have been getting into your lorries and you're being fined . and you're being fined. >> yeah. evening, patrick. yes. that's correct , we're just going that's correct, we're just going about our sort of normal. normal working practices, and in this example , one of our drivers

you've got meetings with got you know meetings with graham you've definitely graham brady.inister today brandon yesterday. armed forces minister today brandora yesterday. armed forces minister today brandora of yesterday. armed forces minister today brandora of yezjumping there's a load of them jumping off aren't they. yeah off the ship aren't they. yeah there definitely definitely there is definitely definitely something going. >> it's called crisis. it's called it's called what called panic. it's called what do we do now. it's called headless chickens . headless chickens. >> those are those are the main rishi sunak rishi has the ultimate red button. he says, if you oust me, i call a general election tomorrow and it's within his power. and do most tory mps want to have a general election tomorrow? i think a lot of them would rather wait, so i don't. whilst these letters will keep coming in, i don't think there'll be enough to reach the threshold because of threshold because most of them won't lose their won't want to lose their jobs earlier than they have to. >> i mean, ye

organised graham the organised by graham brady, the last the pm last easter surprise, the pm needs. gloria that i present here with gloria de piero pmqs live 12 to 1 every every time parliament's sitting for we asked, didn't we? i for pmqs, we asked, didn't we? i asked i think esther mcvey , asked i think esther mcvey, should penny mordaunt become leader? and here's what she had to . to say. >> her chance to become the leader. win. so you leader. she didn't win. so you know that's where it is. goes to bed.so know that's where it is. goes to bed. so penny won't be the leader. it's rishi sunak. however, we those ten however, when we did those ten rwandan votes the other night, we there for as vote we were there for hours as vote to all the conservative mps and they him, except they fully supported him, except for those disgruntled ones. so if vote of if there was a vote of confidence in rishi sunak, he'd won win country mile . won by win by a country mile. >> and there we have it. that's mcvey being for giving a bit of a nonsense chat there mcvey being for giving a bit of a penny nons

are up to about 30 conservative mps who might have sent in a letter of no confidence in him to graham brady, he will be worried that these china hawks on the backbenches and some in the cabinet as well, they're an organised group and they could pose him a lot of difficulties in less . he shows that he is in less. he shows that he is listening to what they're saying. it could be that he decides now that the moment has come to declare china a threat officially, even if he doesn't back up that language with actions, would that be enough for this group of conservative mps? it's not clear, but it would be a big step in the right direction. >> okay. thank you very much, olivia. >> mps have been urged to consider compensation for the women affected by state pension changes in an open letter to the house of commons leader penny mordaunt, that's after a petition calling for compensation was signed by more than 30,000 people. former chair of the waspi campaign group, hilary simpson, joins us now. hilary simpson, joins us now. hilary good morning to you. how bad are things, hilary and do you think peo

also the fact that he's having these behind closed these meetings behind closed doors with sir graham bradymittee, who are responsible for moving prime ministers on when they've had enough. >> it's it's a big shopping >> it's a it's a big shopping list of task for rish, isn't it? is weakness ? i mean, i'd like is it weakness? i mean, i'd like to think that he's you know, he said the of downing to think that he's you know, he said thate of downing to think that he's you know, he said thate trying owning to think that he's you know, he said thate trying to ning to think that he's you know, he said thate trying to bring street that he's trying to bring accountability and decency and all . and i think all these things. and i think that's true on a personal level. maybe thought that he maybe he just thought that he could his office and could sit down in his office and work long list of work on this long list of problems productivity problems of our productivity problems of our productivity problems got in problems of the war we've got in europe of the energy problems that these that we're facing