everything else, guesswork. we can't do much with just guesswork except get in trouble.o many of you want to get in trouble because periodically you want to be right. this point is very important. because of electronic trading you can move too fast and often many do. learn the whole story. if this is really a great opportunity, you will not miss it by taking time to inform yourself, believe me. before you do so, be sure you know what to look for and what matters. you might want to have a grid of what all the analysts have been saying about what is about to occur. that way you won't be fooled by the first move which could be taken by people who are less informed than you are, and they are less informed, believe me. and most important understand that the headline for many companies' earnings doesn't even tell you how the company is doing on those key metrics. within oil, what are you looking for? production growth, not earnings per share. with hotels, what are you looking for? revenue per route, not earnings per share. airlines, revenue per seat mile, not earnings per shar

. >>> very good morning, eliminating the guesswork is there a math formula out there that predicts thearriage age are we talking 20 's, 30's, 40's. the number may surprise you? also, ahead this morning helping local teens, look their best for the prom, all for free? from dresses, accessories to make up, special boutiques of these girls, look and feel fabulous. >>> but first we are track ago this storm system, good morning sue. >> today is pretty tranquil, it is very bright, so much so that we put sunglasses on budd which very warm stocking cap. only wind chills in the teens right now and it looks good but we re 23 degrees and feels like 17 with wind chills in the teens almost every where else. feels like 10 in mount pocono this morning. we have cold air in place, we are expect ago this major nor'easter to arrive late, late tonight with heavy snow, some locations ending up with a foot or more north and west of the city but there will be some mixing with sleet and rain especially south of the city and wind, 45, to 50 miles an hour, with higher gusts possible especially at the shore, so w

from g what we president bush's travels, from president obama's travels, a lot this is informed guesswork, we can know if it stays on this going to be a number for president trump's ravel that is going to potentially wildly exceed president obama's travel. just crunching numbers. you know, this is not something has been at there complaints from one side and not the other. this is something that was times during president obama's travels and continues to be discussed. you know, it is ntriguing to see groups like udicial watch that discuss president trump's travel, that file freedom of information on the and elaborate costs. they are interested in president trump's travels, too. is all coming from the same federal budge thaet we all pay into. o i think it is important to keep an eye on how much of the public money is going to money , how much public is going to travel for the service travel to behoove the president's business. issues that se are are going for the next four years and if president trump is to continue to say that he budget and about the running it like a well-oiled machine, r

an answer to me on the float of the house of commons, david davis said it would be engaging in a guessworkhree weeks ago, saying david davies warned members of the cabinet that no deal was a possibility and we should begin to plan for it. so it looks as though work was starting. who would've been implicit work anyway, but we need —— we think this work these to be over. it's notjust by the government are prepared itself for no deal. individuals and businesses need to understand what the consequences are and to be in a place to aim off and make their own judgment about how important it is for them to plan for that. and in our report, people can see some of the detail and some of the advice we commission. david davis has said on television this morning that there isa television this morning that there is a plan in place, but hasn't given any detail of what is in it. are you suggesting that this should have been started a while ago, and that it's a bit late to start now? we we re it's a bit late to start now? we were pointing out before the referendum itself that there was quite a possibility

and you have a very large low skill guesswork. we don really had in the united states. it's a big improvement. here's the thing. let's face it canada has a tiny fraction of the population that we do. they underscore the idea that maybe this is the way to go particularly in the future. the idea of bringing in more unskilled workers is going to be a disaster for the artificial intelligence world. what we need to do is have the hope crushing bearers at the lowest levels of our society. first for our own people and then secondly if we have a matrix that they have to walk through they should be able to access the system themselves. they don't want to be judged by the color of their name. we give it away to what it really is. something that we had had pushed back in this country. the notion that immigrants don't learn english in the united states is also false. just one more point i want to make. and not set it by washington dc. it is an improvement but we can't have washington dictate exactly the types workers. from , from rochester to the hudson valley, from albany to utica

this is a democrats problem democrats refuse to have guessworkers. >> music is playing. >> it's work. >> welcome back. time to find out what we missed from andy at the red eye news desk. >> matt, i agree sessions had to recuse himself. i don't like jeff sessions and i think democrats are over their skis. you are a perfect three for throw. that's amazing, i don't think it's happened before. you said you don't think the trump campaign was doing anything nefarious with the russians. i like that now the ambassador is now a russian spy. >> yes. there are many theories about this. the head of the spying operation in any russian embassy overseas is not the ambassador. thembassador, sits up here. sure he's interested in collecting information like they all are. let's get our terms correct. you know, again, who knows i'm all for the investigation. investigate away. the senate committee, house committee, fbi. follow it wherever it may lead. most of the crap now is noise from anonymous sources and speculation. that's never helpful. push that out of the way. investigate. enough of the crap. >> i

i don't think you can lump all of the guessworkers or low skilled workers into the same pot and say, if you had this benefit, you would clearly do well. heather is making a good point that part of the problem is the education system and you can't blame all of the problems of our education system on immigrants. there's, you know, this is a multipronged issue that you have to consider from a number of different. >> immigrants, acknowledging folks with low parental incomes have a somewhat harder time with academic achievements than families of high parental income. is that paifair? >> i think generally, that's a fair characterization and also, i believe that texas does not deny benefits to children, so they are still able to get chip benefits if they need them. they're still able to get the lunch programs if they need them. i mean, that should theoretically impact some of their ability to succeed, but as somebody who is from texas and who spent some time in krcorpus christy and my family is there, my great grandpa was there and judge for decades. a lot of the successes they've seen ther

communities and local governments secretary after the address and asked if the obr's forecasts were just guesswork given the uncertainty around brexit. >> what is important here, first of all, these are independent forecasts. these are not government forecasts. the independent obr takes all the information that's available to everyone. secondly, brexit is something, of course, that has challenges. it will have opportunities, too. thirdly, other countries in the g-7, the g20, other major developed economies are facing significant challenges. what i would say is even with the challenges of brexit lying ahead, the obr still believes that britain will grow at a faster rate than any other g economy this year. >> donald trump's revised travel ban will face its first legal challenge after the state of hawaii requested that a u.s. court issue an order hauling the initial order. this replaces trump's initial order issued at the end of january. >>>irates have p fallen by 35% because of trump's travel ban. it was too early to tell what the impact of the revised order would have. this as emirates warned that

there is more, when you say things that shock the american people, are you saying that sort of as guessworkying that because at this time you are aware of information that would not shock the american people? >> i'm saying it in terms of mr. have contact with the russian t ambassador. his blaming president obama for essentially creating -- directing a criminal act, against himself and the american people. look, laws have been created since president nixon to stop any president from issuing these types of directives, so i think that mr. trump's remarks against president obama were very unfortunate. and for me, proudly represents the congressional district and who comes from the department of homeland security, as a police officer i'm deeply disappointed that mr. trump is fanning the flames of disillusionment with the american people and the intelligence community. >> so on this issue of wiretapping, when you talk about what president trump has alleged that president obama said he wiretapped him, the former national intelligence representative as you are well aware said they have no knowledge

. >> eliminating guesswork there is a math formula out there that predicts the perfect marriage, age. so think about when you got married or engaged now, because this number, may surprise you. >> or not yet married, right? pressure. speaking of marriage, weddings , happy occasion but some people taking part in the big day may not be so excited here what most bride made admit they hate. >> we would like to help our local teenagers look a nation important for prom. from the dresses to the accessories to the great make up there is a special delays you can go and you can look and feel fabulous. >> love to see the smiles. of course we're talking about the big storm heading our way. largest snowstorm of the season, it is not saying a lot we have not had much. it is overdue. time to come. so steve keeley, you have been at shop rite. i'm loving this checking in with people all morning to see what they are buying. >> well, even the singles are swarming here to the grocery store so parking lot is pack and now sea gulls are doing their prestorm parking. look at the back there. look at yellow sho

out and out guesswork. that is perfectly permissible on an opinion show. at the same time, she is claiming a great scoop, talking about how proud she is having broken the story. she broke the story and one might argue that while she broke the story, she broke a lot of wind at the time. [laughter] >> martha: all right. in terms of the other stuff that is going on that we talked about at the top of the show, we are about to hear from president trump about 30 minutes from now we expect. he is under a bit of pressure on this health care deal. he's got -- she's being tucked in both directions. how do you think this will go, brit? >> we are nearer the beginning than the end of this process. my thought would be that we have a long way to go. the bill, if they can get this bill as it now is shaping up through the house, which is not at all clear they can come up they have some chance, it is not going to fly in the senate. the senate has to make adjustments. even if that happens, they will have to work out a compromise between the house and senate versions and then

last time we had to do some guesswork to where the whole brexit negotiation would take place.o you think they have a few more clues to justify making changes to the underlying assumptions? maybe not any material change. >> at the end of the day it's about the public announcements going forward. it will all probably go into the piggy bank of the chancellor rather than just be given away. the rainy day fund, we've all got one of those. this is a gilt market four years later. what we have is foreign affairs redeeming, they reduce the gilt holdings by the most in three years. i grant you there was a big redemption in january that light up late into this. if the numbers get better in the u.k. and the fiscal side is getting better, how do you look at the gilt market in the global perspective and for the global ambassador? great question. there is the long-term and short-term view. having a plan b is important. it's all about the budget, which means it's all about supply and the supply side is important in the short-term. i think this may be as good as it gets. , itk the demand side

you can't base your opinions on guesswork, speculation, hypothesis that this is a muslim band.not rhetoric. >> is it overreach. >> this is definitely activism. you look at the four corners. number one, does he have the authority to create this executive order to restrain aliens for coming into the country. absolutely, unquestionably, that's what the law is. number two, you look at the language but they say this is discriminatory but how can it be discriminatory when you are focused on the six countries that had already been selected by the obama administration that had increased scrutiny in terms of visas coming into the country, and even mr. session said, ultimately of those six countries, there were 300 individuals that had terrorist leanings from oh six countries. given all of that, how can you possibly say this is an anti- muslim band. rick: is clear they will fight back and take this to the supreme court. listen to what kwiatkowski said. >> it's absurd that one federal judge has the ability to override the constitutional authority of the president. there are three branches

this is just guesswork but i do think we're going to hit street estimates around $130 share earnings.that earnings are going to come through. if that's the case, maybe this thing could run to 20 times, 130 times, $130. >> which gets us to where on the s&p. >> 2600. >> around that level. maybe ten-year yield backs up higher than people think, 3 1/4, 3 1/2. >> jim, they could raise rates every meeting for the next 20 meetings and we'd be back to 4%. we've been in this deflationary where everybody is worried around the globe and no inflation in japan for 20 years. we could be filling this up for the next three or four years trying to get some actual inflation. how could it happen by the end of this year? i think you're nuts. >> joe, joe, i'm not suggesting the bull market ends this year. >> i'm just talking about interest rates and inflation getting to the point where they would be worrisome. we've been down here for so long. >> we have lived -- >> here is somewhat my concern about what could happen on the inflation fear. we've got a lot of inflation indicators right on the cusp. core in

well, what we would hope would come out of the meeting, i will be at the meeting, so it won't be guessworking collaboratively to help reduce our deficit. steve: when you say working by the rules, that involves a second executive order that the president is going to sign today, that has to do to strengthen the anti-dumping rules because china and other nations put their products out on the international market at a much lower rate and we can't compete with that. >> what the second order -- you're right but what the second order actually does is it corrects the problem we've had in collecting the anti-dumping duties. there are $3 billion worth of duties that have never been collected because they set up straw man importers that don't have any financial substance. so by the time the case ends, there is nobody there against whom you can assess the fine. steve: let's get the money. >> what these orders will do, letters of credit or insurance company bonds or cash to be put up so that there will be someone against whom we can actually levy the fine. steve: great. ainsley: secretary ross, thank y