hadley: right. following a series of adjustments, but yes. >> cbo has spent much of the time doing legislation and how it will affect the budget and economy. the new president is promising a lot of regulatory changes that typically do not quantify. do you dos office, things like reversing environmental regulations, a pipeline that had not been approved previously -- can you generally speak as to what kind of effect that would have on the economy? dir. hall: it is hard to speak on that sort of thing, because regulatory effects can vary so much by the type of regulation and the change in post. so it is hard for us to anticipate too much before we have to see what some of the proposals are. you are right. it would not have set, necessarily, our estimates. it might lead us, at some point, to think about updating our baseline. looks like it will -- if it looks like it will have some sort of effect. but we are long way from that now. >> but generally speaking, --htning -- lightning lightening the regulato

hadley: i will take this one. so, the reason we brought down the estimate is mostly because of the additional information about the program behaving. we expect in the long-term that medicare spending is going to return to the rate of growth that is more similar to what we have experienced over previous anddes that over the short lower times of growth that we had recently. anything you'd like to add? i would say that while we did bring medicare down a little bit , in terms of the percentage of total programs, it isn't a very large change. and it is mostly based on slightly lower spending in 2016. >> devices? the detail weet .eed to delve into that more discrete detail. >> question about your baseline. the president's budget will be delayed. how will that affect your baseline? do what the budget committees want us to do, essentially. they want us to do our analysis, we will do that. if the president chooses not to submit a budget, there is probably something budget committees will want to do to help them in their wo

hadley joins us on the phone from dubai. hadley, as more time passes, as this manhunt goes on without a resolution, what is the feeling amid the frustration towards the government when it comes to perhaps a lack of security preparedness, failings within the intelligence services? >> i think it certainly speaks to the fact that so many people in turkey today are feeling incredibly uncertain. they're uncertain about the security of the country, uncertain about the future of the country, of course i'm referencing the fact that the country's periresident has deci to extend state of emergency powe powers, he wants to increase his presidential powers, have a stronger hand when it comes to the security of the country, nobody seems to be feeling that except those basically chased out of government positions, out of positions within the school system in turkey. the government today claims those responsible for the coup attempt last summer. questions about the regular turkish citizen today about what the government can do and question

hadley joins us now from davos as well. hadley, you've been talking to people about what's going on in saudi. >> we have. we spoke earlier today with saudi arabia's fips minister. it was his first big interview since becoming finance minister. i said what is the challenge coming forward? he said he is optimistic and the imf is optimistic that they can cut the budget deficit. i also had a chance to speak with his royal highness. i asked him about his relationship with the united states and i asked him will donald trump make all the difference? >> we've been friends with the united states for a long time. we've had our ups and downs. we've had our disagreements. but we always stuck together on the important issues. in the middle east the important issues, in my view, are peace and prosperity. this is a message that mr. trump has been promoting, what he wants to do for america is to have peace and prosper pity. our foreign minister put it succinctly yesterday when he said mr. trump's stand on re-evaluating the relationship wit

hadley heath manning, independent women's forum senior policy analyst.adley, we have an academic dispute about voter fraud and whether non-citizens are voting or not. there are two studies, a couple of studies have been mentioned. one by pew and the other by the journal of electoral studies. i want to put up a quote from the first one, this appears to be one that the president was appearing to, professor jesse richmond and date ernest from old dominion university put this together. they say more than 14% of non-citizens in both 2008 and 2010 samples indicated they were registered to vote. that is 14% of non-citizens voting. our best guess based on extrapolations, is that 6.4% of non-citizens voted in 2008. 2.2 non-citizens voted in 2010 but then there is another study. and this is brian schaefer from university of mass. he says results we show are completely accounted for very low frequency measurement error. likely percent of noncitizen voters in recent u.s. elections is zero. it is looks like dispute that may be figured out, right? >> well of course it

. >> reporter: enter school principal tim hadley, who knows about cancer. >> my mother had cancer. mother-in-law had uterine cancer. my grandfather didn't finish his battle against cancer. it was something that resonated deeply with me. >> reporter: notice that principal hadley has a tight haircut, too. that's because when he heard what was going on, to make a point, he called an assembly and went under the razor. in fact, he had jackson do the job. the point was made. >> probably the number one principal ever. >> reporter: now, jackson's papa is next for the full head haircut, as soon as he's feeling a little better. but knowing what just happened, the story of jackson's haircut has got to help. john donvan, abc news. >> so tonight, we salute jackson and mr. hanley for being "america strong." "gma" first thing in the morning. david muir right back here tomorrow night. i'm tom llamas in new york. have a great evening. good night. looks like we're still a man short. not anymore. gus! the second most famous groundhog in pennsylvania. let's hit the ice. whoaaa! take the shot! (buzzer)

you heard hadley. she spoke about the oil picture right now.seem to be a focus for some investors. >> it adds to the recipe of where global growth will be going or not going. we think global growth will be decelerating, hence in the short run we're somewhat constructive on oil for the time being and in the intermediate to long term, we're pretty much bearish on oil. we think there's going to be additional production in the u.s. will come online and that will start -- the demand curve will moderate a bit and you'll start to see lower lows. >> ever since trump won, it has been decupeling from the price or where we were this time last year. where are we in the trump trade? >> i do believe that to be the case. i believe you're going to have to see tax breaks come through from washington as well as capital improvement plan from washington d.c. we don't think that's going to happen until the later half of this year. but none tthelesnonetheless, va7 times with growth rates where they are on global basis, we would be much more balanced in the portfolio

here i want to embrace a report that the atlantic council has done, secretary albright and steve hadleyhere the outline not a crisis of the middle east, but a crisis from the middle east where you have extremism and migrants exported, again undermining europe. we can deal with that in the short term. a has to be dealt with in the long term with our allies, redoubling and deepening our relationship with allies in the region. means our traditional sunni allies and then working over the long term to tap with secretary albright and steve hadley bradley's as a very promising tendencies in the middle east as well. finally, in the last point is china. if russia is the biggest threat short term to global system, china could be a threat over time to the global system, but it's also a stakeholder now and has this huge amount at stake right now. we can't put herself into conflict with china if we want the global system to be reinvigorated, to adjust and to survive. we have to do do it together with china. along those lines i think with a double down our relationship with our allies in the far east

and then working over the long term to tap what secretary albright and steve hadley rightly saw as some very promising tendencies in the middle east as well. entrepreneurshi entrepreneurship, something that can point to prosperity. and finally china. if russia is the biggest threat short term to the global system, china could be a threat over time to the global system. but it's also a stakeholder now, and it has a huge amount at stake right now. we can't put ourselves into conflict with china if we want the global system to be reinvigorated, to be readjusted and survive. we have to do it together with china. along those lines i really think we then have to double down our relationships with our allies in the far east because if we're strong with our allies, with japan, with south korea, with others, we will be able to have a much more positive relationship with china. so those would be my three. u.s., europe, middle east, china, asia. >> thanks very much. and senator cotton, i want to go to you on this. what do you sense donald trump's priorities will be? we've all seen tweets, we've al

. >> but when principal tim hadley heard about how jackson was being treated he decided to take action had thyroid cancer. i have a mother-in-law who had uterine cancer. i have a grandfather who didn't finish the battle against cancer. and it was something that resonated deeply with me. i know so many people that have gone through what jackson's going through. i mean, to be a young man and find out that a family member has potentially a life-threatening illness it's a difficult thing to handle. >> and so principal hadley allowed jackson to shave his hair, explaining to his students that judging someone else for their reaction to cancer or anything is just plain wrong. soon after jackson said even the students who teased him the most came up to him and complimented his new haircut. pretty great to see. thank you so much for being with us tonight. coming up on cnn after this, cnn special reports, fareed zakaria speaks with president obama about his legacy. that is right now on cnn. have a great night. have a great night. i'll see you back here tomorrow. -- captions by vitac -- www.vitac.

hadley. >> well, hey there.an energy minister tells me he welcomes president trump's refocus on energy even if that means america's energy independence. he also wants the united states and russia to go back to that pre-ukraine crisis dialogue. let's listen in on what he had to say. >> translator: it's very pleasant for us energy occupies first place in the new administration's program. it would make sense in the future to resume the dialogue we enjoyed before 2014. >> and of course this comes at a time when most governments around the world are looking to really decipher the tea leaves on just what president trump's foreign policy doctrine is really going to look like. we heard earlier today from the foreign minister sergei lavrov saying mr. putin and mr. trump share many of the same views on geopolitics and of course the whole nomination question about rex tillerson, i had the chance to ask russian energy about that, he waited. he basically said, we welcome his appointment and think it will be good for the ener

hadley's had. >> you educate the heart, i think you can educate the mind. >> reporter: and the kids wereistening. >> it doesn't matter what you look like because everybody on the inside is the same. >> when someone really needs support, everyone comes together as one for someone. >> just don't judge a book by its cover because there could be a deeper story in it. >> you reshaved it again? >> yeah. >> i should have done mine. >> reporter: sometimes life's best lessons aren't just found in a book. get well soon papa rick. nbc news, iowa. >> that's going to do it for us on a tuesday night. i'm lester holt for all of us at nbc news, thank you for watching and good night. rah's surprise new job on "60 minutes." >> is she the network's secret weapon to take on megyn kelly sunday nights? now on "extra." ♪ extra, extra >>> oprah's top-secret new deal revealed. why she's joining "60 minutes" just before megyn kelly's rumored sunday night news show for nbc. how much cbs shelled out for queen o and did her best friend gayle help broker the deal? >>> the new melania mystery. >> why the first lady dr

. >> reporter: notice that principal hadley has a tight haircut, too. called an assembly, where, to make a point, he went under the razor. in fact, he had jackson do the job. the point was made. >> probably the number one principal ever. >> reporter: now, jackson's papa is next for the full head haircut, as soon as he's feeling a little better. but knowing what just happened, the story of jackson's haircut has got to help. john donvan, abc news. >> tonight, we salute jackson and mr. hanley for being "america strong." "gma" first thing in the morning. david muir right back here tomorrow night. i'm tom llamas in new york. have a great evening. good night. friend of yours? that's frequent heartburn. it's always lurking around. but i'm safe. i took my prevacid®24hr today. i didn't. one pill prevents the acid that causes heartburn, all day, all night. prevacid®24hr. >> straight ahead on abc 7 news, the massive effort to ensure donald trump's inauguration goes off without a hitch. on the chopping block, the affordable care act. and rallies to save it. where p

the region, and that is our traditional allies and then working in the long run to tap what steve hadley and madam albright saw. youth to point to prosperity. and also, a point to russia, and if china is the threat over time, it is a stakeholder now, and it has a huge amount at stake right now. we can't put ourselves into the conflict with china if we want the global system to be reinvigorate and readjust and survive and we have to do it together with china. along those line, i really think that we then have to double down the relationships with the allies in the far east, because if we are strong with our al allies with japan, with south korea and others, we will be able to have a much more positive relationship with china, and so those are the three u.s./europe/middle east/china/asia. >> thank you. senator cotton, i want to go with you on this, what do you sense that the donald trump's priorities will be? we have seen the tweets and the things that he has said in the campaign and since he is president-elect, and what is your sense of the priorities in terms of the foreign policy? >> we

cnbc's hadley gamble with a look at the middle east. >>> good morning.ve heard from iran and iraq in terms of the possibility of a rea tailia tory respaunts. certainly president donald trump spoke with the prince of saudi arabia. they owl so doumed about told and ecmemmeric piercet 3 frfs and essentially that was all about security as well. the head had of security services waiting for me to go who and this was domestic matter.. at the end of the eeday eas esaengsally failed states and there are kbegzs are enough to keep foams here. so a lot of open ended kpulds. that's cert..ly in the gulf. guys. >> some people have sited of course some off the possible explanations including the fact that donald trump's family has business tide what are the other possible relations. >> oh, absolutely and you have to remember we're talking about a charge air force base. so at the end of the day they'll makeup and play. the uae. they've been working hard and terms of air travel and nothing. it's important to keep that information and that relationship serpt and. >> squic

institute of peace and for peace and i especially want to thank steve hadley and many of the national security advisers and other cabinet officers for their graciousness, their time and their counsel over these past two months. with the current and former national security advisers in the way of current and former national security council staffers and others that are in the room here today this really represents the collective wisdom and experience of some of america's greatest national security thinkers, practitioners and stewards and what i would like to do is make up brief pause because i'm in awe of secretary albright was sitting here that front today and i would like everybody to give her a round of applause. thank you so much. [applause] as susan just demonstrated and as secretary albright has also demonstrated just a grace, dignity and an elegance and a commitment to this country that goes beyond our wildest imagination to people outside don't realize the sacrifices and what you see in.arise, ambassador rice and secretary albright and i think that transcends who we are. it is

hadley joins us out of dubai. what's the reaction in the uae to these travel bans?> reporter: good morning. essentially it's been rather muted. interestingly enough the ceo of bai airport -- you have to remember it's one of the busiest international airports in the world with all of that international travel and we heard from the general of federal security in dubai in support of this ban saying that there countries have the right to keep themselves safe. of course we heard from iran and iraq saying there could be retaliatory measures to what president donald trump has inaugurated over the last few days with his executive order and this really does come down to where you're sitting. in the gulf, in the united arab emirates, the conversation has been about social and economic forward planning and about creating safe zones in syria and yemenugees and taking the fight to the islamic state as opposed to talking about this ban. but in terms of what it means for folks thinking about doing businesses in this part of the world and vice versa biggerer questions. >> thank you

hadley caught up with the turkish prime minister and asked him whether the country is facing a currency crisis. chb chb >> the lira has been under pressure, largely because of traumatic experiences in the past year and terror attacks in turkey and also structural deficit. it's quite likely this is not going to last for longer. simply because policy response is in the making. central bank has responded. and it's likely to continue to focus on that. because while we don't have a target level for lira, we clearly are concerned about the implications for inflation price stability but also, you know, turkish real sector has shown fx position and we have to pay attention to that. clearly it's also to do, as i said, with uncertainty surrounding the constitution amendments. they're likely to clear the parliament soon, probably over the next day or two. then we'll have the referendum process completed within 2 1/2 months. once we get clarity on this front, i believe that turkey will be back on track. because we do have a strong reform agenda. and this constitution amendment will provide visibili

. >>> hadley gamble joins us from bay route. we know isis has claimed responsibility for the attack. how does that change the efeffo goes forward? because the crowd was a very international one as well. >> reporter: this is pretty consistent with what they've been encouraging them to do, these loan wolf attacks and i think that when we go forward in terms of talking specifically about terrorism, it's going to be interesting to see how this relationship with vladimir putin develops. part of that is how they tackle terrorism. both of these leaders, this is something very close to home because they both have significant minorities including the pkk for turkey and how they tackle that problem going forward and the kurds. and russian president vladimir putin has his own problem with militants in his own country. and as we see the new administration in washington take over in just a couple of weeks. a and really what this relationship is going to look like between turkey as a native member and president elect, donald trump. >> thank y

we've had stephen hadley, robert gates, condoleezza rice and heavyweights with foreign policy with theaith and confidence they need to support tillerson and his experience in not just the private sector but his experience in building national and global relationships which are critical to this role. russia is the key factor and the key issue but you have to look at the full context of this experience that it's a reason why so many in the gop and as we saw in manu's piece, cory booker of all people saying in addition to the hearings said i expect you to be the secretary of state and he looks forward to working with him. so you need to take a look at that. >> to that point, patty, do you think if rubio wants a political future in the national stage, he's risking that and goes against a lot of these established heavyweights? if he doesn't vote for him? >> i think that marco rubio did not fare very well during the election and trying to gain back some of, you know, his political mojo in this hearing and he did just that. i think he really put rex tiller season on the ropes and i think rex

. >> steve hadley played a crucial role in doing that. >> those are two good examples, 30s the unification germany within nato from april 1989 when eastern europe started vibrating all the way through september 1990. when germany was unified in nato. that was one not born out of failure but out of an on anticipated event which was gorbachev and the loosening of control over eastern you europe and the consequences. the president in this case the spring of 1989 seen these events basically created the policy of going as fast as one could toward german unification and evolving gorbachev deeply in that process. so is really basically trilateral endeavor to bush, cole, gorbachev opposed as we recall but it was responding to events. so there are of good examples when this works. if you go back to say the case i'm most familiar with which is the 1i just mentioned it was because of the trust in baker and cheney brent and the president worked their way through tactical disagreements without a bump. that's what it takes to implement the policy and the examples we have been using and we will see if th

independent women's voice hadley manning.f course, many people are asking these type of questions about the women's march in d.c. over the weekend. what do you make of it all? >> you know, there's an important place for protest in our society, for asking members of our federal government to change policies in order to serve the people better, and i think emotions are running high right now right after inauguration day in response to this election. but there's also, we have to keep in mind that protest is just an expression, that if we really want to see change in our society, a lot of that is on our shoulders as individuals to get involved and be active ourselves. charles: yeah and, again, you know, from what i understand, for instance, the women's march was planned for a long time, and out morphed into sort of an anti-trump movement, if you will. but to what you just said, when do individuals and even organizations start to say, hey, we're going to work toward solutions rather than sort of the perpetual complaints that reall

from president clinton to president bush, that was very short, but we met with conde rice, stephen hadley, the national security adviser. they went around the each office the meet the team that was there and also to get a better perspective on what each office was doing. the challenge for general flynn and casey mcfarland is get up to speed as quickly as possible. there will be career people that are staying. they're going to understand what the current state of affairs are and all the issues they'll inherit tomorrow. >> woodruff: general flynn is the incoming national security advise your to the president. casey mcfarland is his deputy. mark landler, give us a picture of the national security council staff. how many of those positions are going to be holdovers if any, and how many are going to be empty when the trump team comes in? >> well, roger knows more about this than i do, but at the level of the professional staff, you have a lot of directors in the n.f.c. the senior directors tend to be political appointee, most if not all of those jobs will be vacant and will be filled by the in

hadley. >> reporter: hey, good morning, joe.o essentially what i heard from russia's energy minister is that he welcomes this plan that could tap into trillions of theres in resource and he wants a return to the dialogue that the u.s. and russia enjoyed before the ukrain crisis and at a time when most foreign governments are trying to read the tea leaves of what mr. trump's foreign policy is going to read like. he is the foreign minister of russia who was saying that president trump and putin share a lot of the same geopolitical views and we heard from folks about the appointment of rex tillerson. and we're expecting a vote on his nomination. i asked the russian energy minister about that and he says he thinks he will be good for the oil industry. >>> coming up soon. on the weekend, winners on the football field and at the box office. we need to talk about the super bowl and now that we have a line up, i wish we were on planes when the good games were being played so that looking forward to the two games yesterday and it's like

hadley get on top of that regulatory burden so we can help our economy grow small businesses? area had been get the debt and deficit down and under control? obviously far he familiar with the p3 projects with the partnerships into cut into the backlog of those leveraged resources. so we can start with the regulatory burden d using that one size fits all or should we have flexibility for what goes on? because there is differences in those laboratories of democracy. >> and looking for ideas to be creative about medicaid there may be ideas out there how to use in carolinas and the dakotas in a different way that is so is something we should explore. of but to get on top of that burden regarding the retroactive analysis of regulations for we have not clear that off the books. thank and, with the system with best of intentions and at the end of the pipeline the regulation that comes out that doesn't who accomplish and with that certainty to help encourage and empower investment? >> absolutely that goes to the second point to get the debt under control, a tb perfectly e candid perfe

soud hadley, massachusetts, democrats line. next up. go ahead. caller: good day, happy new year.l the upcoming events of the new administration the investigation of russian hacking that will be going on in or the , if media congress will persist in uestioning whether president-elect trump had conversations with mr. putin or russian official prior to say the summer of last year? and if he knew of the hacking did e the c.i.a. or f.b.i. and approved it and in some way thus was involved. host: the president-elect has said come tomorrow or wednesday information or insinuate more to say on the hacking.the russian that might be expected mid-week. ohio, lan caster, republican line. you are next up. hi. what i hey, this is take. when they spend our money, it is free and when they go to ass laws, they need to be more careful. they don't need to change the the carpet. host: so your focus is spending, what i'm hearing? caller: yeah. host: where would you like to it comes to t when paying attention to spending? what area of the government? going to happen when donald trump steps in there. in