he's harry dent, president of h.s. dent, an economic research firm. and he's author of the new book, "the great crash ahead." harry, welcome to nightly business report. nice to have you with us. >> nice to be here. >> susie: you heard our report. there are some economic statisticstatistics that have bn improving but i take it you don't bay that? why are you so bearish? >> we look at demographics that really predict consumer trends before they happen and not afterwards and the story has been baby boomers would continue to spend more money-- which they did-- they would start to plateau, but 2012 on we swear declining phase as people's kids are getting out of their nest ask they're saving for retirement. this stimulus is not going to keep the economy going, and it's already been struggling thus far. so, yeah, we see, by the second quarter of 2012, the economy is going to slow again and the stimulus back from q.e. 2, which ended in june of 2011 is going to wear off and we'll be back down to zero growth or lower. >> susie: would any kind of federal stimulus