stuart: a very bearish prediction from harry dent last summer.rica. they say we will see a 10-15% drop by the fall, dow down, that is from merrill lynch bank of america. harry dent is with us joining us from tampa. his book is called "demographic cliff." the sticking with your prediction and the timing of your prediction? >> i am roughly. we're getting a bubblelike move. we have had three bubbles in the last few years. now here in early 2014 moving up in a clear channel. for the s&p 500 the most clear on april 4 we got near the top of the channel, i was looking at over 1900. here is the key thing, if we break below 1700, a 10% correction, it says this bubble is over and we have a bigger crash starting sooner. the other scenario, if we go down eight or 10%, go back up and test the top of the channel one more time, that would be even more clear cell signal coming at 17,000 on the dow. this market is boxing itself in, and i do believe we will see a crash by the summer. bubbles do not just correct for, that is what a bull market does. stuart: our vie