joining us today robert stein, senior economist at first trust advisers and harry, ceo and portfolio manager of ans a sit management firm that has his name. let me start with you, bob, i was looking at your notes and you say it. the way you see the economy would a lot of these people waiting for things to pull back because nothing is fundamental. you say we're in a v-shaped recovery and going to do 4% and you say the market is backed up by what's happening in the economy. >> that's right. when you look at inventories, look at a declining trade deficit, look at what is the beginning stages of a rebound in home building, remember, now, i haven't mentioned consumption yet. which will grow, but probably more slowly than the rest of the economy. you can get 4% plus over the next year and a half rather easily. and that justifies a lot of the rally we've seen in the stock market over the past several months. >> that's what everybody's hanging their at on. it's the market obviously has got things wrong in terms of the economy. it's almost like a lot of these guys that are looking at the stoc