west hollywood, >> and now for what has become a black friday tradition for us heren nbr, i'll return to charlie olshey to talk more about the holiday shopping and is who some of the winners and losers may be. he's senior retail analyst at moodies. ck welcome >> good to be here, mr. griffeth, how are you? good. u were among one of the most optimistic of the wall street analysts for this year's shopping seasonorecasting growth of 4%, 4 1/2% this year. very stng. why? >> i jt think the big guys are going to nail it. i think thatn they're better position now, but big i mean the walmarts, targets, costcos, amazons of the world. they're in the best positionn that i've shem in years. they've got the ability to spend, the strategies are spot on. they're adapting, they're they're evolving in this new environment. amazon moving inventory close to the customer to take care of the last mile a little better than they have in the past. and the other guys just ramping up their online businesses and using the stores as weapons and offense and se. and that's something that we thought would happen and