joining us right now is the former president of shell oil, john hofmeister.ost recent provocations from iran and their impact on oil? >> i think what we're looking at is international piracy and as we know from somalia, there's very little penalty for piracy and so i think if we had 10 or 12 captured super tankers lined up in an iranian port it would be dramatic. one or two, every once in a while, i think it's just playing havoc with the region and just keeping the water stirred. the big cutoff point, though, maria, as i see it, is if physical harm comes to whether it's iranian revolutionary guard or whether it's sailors on the ships or whether it's american sailors, if physical harm comes to the region, then i think you'll see a gigantic spike in the price. >> just to elaborate on we've got all these fuel stockpiles and investors are focused on that. what is going to change their mind about that? when we see blips in the market, different reports out of the strait, that doesn't really seem to have any long-term effect on investors' viewpoints. >> it really d