thanks hoviton- _ since the 1840s. thanks hoviton. pretty - since the 1840s. thanks . hoviton.hoviton. pretty respectable for a by—election. as the highest turnout we've seen in this parliament, to suggest that voters there. they are pretty motivated to go out and vote in the polls. wakefield, a bit lower. we expect that. a more urban seat, labour oriented. perfectly respectable. it's not unusual to see turnout in a by—election. 30%, 20% on occasion. voters seem really motivated to go out and vote. which in itself is something to point out. what is at stake, let me put it that way. what's at stake. 0n the conservative government and boris johnson. what's government and borisjohnson. what's at government and boris johnson. what's at stake is boris johnson's authority and the further erosion of boris johnson's authority. we know he's having a torrid political time. talking to conservative ministers and mps there, talking about ten years of borisjohnson. politically hegemonic. you may still be there for ten years. it's been a very difficult period. you had a political may malaise

while in hoviton, about 1500 votes for labour. message comes out that you don't like the conservatives, this is what you have to do, that can have a snowball effect as we head towards a general election. i as we head towards a general election. . r' as we head towards a general election. . ,~' , ., as we head towards a general election. . i, , ., election. i asked you before what we _ election. i asked you before what we knew _ election. i asked you before what we knew what - election. i asked you before what we knew what the - election. i asked you before i what we knew what the results were, what a very good lab result would look like, and you said, just a win would do. this is a 12% swing, how does that feel? it is a 12% swing, how does that feel? . . ~ feel? it is excellent. we did have a lengthy _ feel? it is excellent. we did have a lengthy discussion i feel? it is excellent. we did - have a lengthy discussion about the size — have a lengthy discussion about the size of the swing and what that would mean in terms of winning

. —— hoviton. we are a bit. there are bigger rings.b dems. tie: best result for the lib dems. in terms of the numerical swing. in terms of the size of the majority, in the sense they have never been competitive. but for both, very good result and has been saying, what they point to is the idea that you can see a very clear path to a non— conservative majority of the next election. as soon as they stop having a majority. it's very likely they are out of office. i think what's really striking about this in a way, if we transport ourselves back two years. we're going to have a situation in two years' time with the labour party takeback wakefield, a redwall seat on 12% swing, and the lib dems take north shropshire, and they take tiverton, all three of those heavily leave voting seats, and the lib dems essentially stood on a policy of revocation, certainly both parties stood on a second referendum policy on the 2019 general election. we would have found that extraordinary, that brexit would continue to be a defining issue. that's not to say