. >>> and ian bremmer, how china is continuing to try to win the world over from saudi arabia, south america and, of course, coming on the heels of macron's visit to beijing >> a lot of chatter about the geopolitical events over the weekend. >>> the dow is doing the best of the three major averages, down only 43 thanks to strength in groups like materials and industrials and energy at the top of the market today. along with financials, which did just go positive the s&p is down 0.60, being weighed down by tech, communication services and consumer discretionary with the nasdaq down about 1% >> getting some fresh research from the new york fed, let's get to steve liesman with that steve? >> carl, good morning. the fed new york survey of consumer expectations showing a surprising increase in one-year inflation expectations something to watch closely by the federal reserve. up half a point to 4.7%. we have been coming down for about five straight months now, it's a little better when you look a little further out. to be fair, the fed looks a little more time periods where the three-year

joining me right now is ian bremmer. he is the president and founder of the asia eurasia group. it's great to see you, ian. let's start with you heard fred had that conversation with the spokesman for the i d f earlier in the show and the idea of spokesman saying today we want to deescalate. what do you make of that? what is a pretty clear message? well we haven't seen this kind of activity across the israel lebanon border in almost 20 years. 2006 you know you've got 10,000 u. n observers slash peacekeepers there. both sides have wanted to keep the border pretty quiet. so i think the surprise here is the fact that you've seen missile strikes. this is not from the occupied territories. this is directly from lebanon. it's hard to imagine that you'd see that many missile strikes without hezbollah being aware and giving their at least tacit approval so that that's the surprise, but i mean, you know our is it going to be over in terms of just these one? back and forth? we don't know the answer that what we i do know is that israel has been through unprecedented domestic turmoil. ask y

we are back with ian bremmer and bret stephens. in um it seems to me you know, congress getting involved in foreign policy is always a complicated issue. and on this one, it just feels like i was surprised when, after, um nancy pelosi went to taiwan. i talked to a number of times when these people and if you look at the polls in taiwan, they did not like the fact that you went to taiwan. they felt that your endangering or you're playing politics with our lives. we you know, we are the ones who are gonna have to face the wrath of china. is there a danger that taiwan is now becoming a kind of american, you know, part of the american political debate. let's be clipped. pelosi's trip wasn't about congress was about her individually. her legacy. biden couldn't stop her. he tried to privately before the trip was leaked into the press. she wanted to make this her last foreign trip. that's right. and i do. i think an 85 year old member of congress should be making foreign policy by herself. no, i don't. but but this week what we've seen is

let's go to ian bremmer, retired air force kel nel, cedric leighton. ian, let me start with you, though, on what prosecutors are arguing. they're saying that teixeira, 21-year-old is a flight risk. they say he's an attractive candidate for foreign government to recruit. back to that spotlight because i felt like that showed so much, at least to me. there was a pennant in his room, the colors, symbol of the russian government and military, right? the military insignia there. when you put all this together, ian, what do you think? fair to say flight risk? >> fair to say 21 years old, this is a kid -- we know pretty strongly from what he was sharing and what he was saying on his gaming group that this is a kid that was showing off. it's not a kid that had any significant level of access to decision making, but, of course, he did have -- access to real documents. do i think he could make a real difference in terms of sort of russian leadership and national security? not really. not from what we've seen already. but i think he is a danger to the country and

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today the middle east iraq as another house speaker meets with taiwan's president, sai groups ian bremmernd new york i screwed up. mhm. i got us t-mobile home internet. now cell phone users have priority over us. and your marriage survived that? you can almost feel the drag when people walk by with their phones. oh i can't hear you... you're froze-- ladies, please! you put it on airplane mode when you pass our house. i was trying to work. we're workin' it too. yeah! work it girl! woo! i want to hear you say it out loud. well, i could switch us to xfinity. those smiles. that's why i do what i do. that and the paycheck. i screwed up. mhm. i got us t-mobile home internet. now cell phone users have priority over us. and your marriage survived that? you can almost feel the drag when people walk by with their phones. oh i can't hear you... you're froze-- ladies, please! you put it on airplane mode when you pass our house. i was trying to work. we're workin' it too. yeah! work it girl! woo! i want to hear you say it out loud. well, i could switch us to xfinity. those smiles. that's why i do what

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occupational and intellectual journey, alicia mentioned that for two years i was working as -- ian bremmer whose known walmart personally -- who is known personally. received a contract from the chinese economic trade research organization to do a study for businesses in china moving forward 15 years ago, i was asked to direct that study group, to make a long story short, but we saw were significant risks that we felt should inspire businesses especially japanese businesses but all businesses to basically think as to whether they were becoming too dependent on china whether for markets or sources of supply, whether they were resources or components or finished goods. we basically advocated not complete decoupling but a partial decoupling or at least diversification. the japanese picked up on this, the phrase that would be used is that china one strategy, that you would not want to be overly dependent on china in any of those dimensions, the way that i like to put it now, we put the word dependent back in the word interdependent. interdependent means both sides are dependent on the other. a

occupational and intellectual journey, alicia mentioned that for two years i was working as -- ian bremmer whose known walmart personally -- who is known personally. received a contract from the chinese economic trade research organization to do a study for businesses in china moving forward 15 years ago, i was asked to direct that study group, to make a long story short, but we saw were significant risks that we felt should inspire businesses especially japanese businesses but all businesses to basically think as to whether they were becoming too dependent on china whether for markets or sources of supply, whether they were resources or components or finished goods. we basically advocated not complete decoupling but a partial decoupling or at least diversification. the japanese picked up on this, the phrase that would be used is that china one strategy, that you would not want to be overly dependent on china in any of those dimensions, the way that i like to put it now, we put the word dependent back in the word interdependent. interdependent means both sides are dependent on the other. a