please welcome ian bremmer! ♪ ♪ [cheers and applause] ian bremmer. here. >> michael: how can you help me make sense of what is happening right now? why did hamas attack right now and how can we make sense of this? >> so you know that story of the frog in the boiling pot? >> michael: yes. >> and you turn it up a little bit hotter and the frog doesn't move, doesn't jump out, just dies? whoever came up with that story has never been to gaza. >> michael: okay. >> okay. what has happened over the past years is that israel has gotten itself in a much stronger position. they are creating diplomatic deals with other countries around the region that want to work with them on investment and trade and tourism and even national security. and while that has been going on, the situation for the palestinians has only gotten worse. so if you are sitting on the ground in the occupied territories, you feel like your friends in the region don't really care about you anymore. meanwhile, i got to tell you, i've been on tv a lot talking about israel over the last year, no

let's discuss that with eurasia group president ian bremmer. he joins us now with his look at what is a fluid situation. a lot going on here. initially these attacks came out of gaza. the reports were horrific in terms of mass murder, rapes, hostagetaking. now we are here reports of shelling out of southern lebanon, which implies that hezbollah has acted as well. is iran a part of this attack? ian: the united states government says that there is no evidence as of now that the iranians were behind the attack. let's be clear, they are not nice people as a government. the iranian supreme leader and president for throated lee supported the hamas attacks, have provided not just diplomatic cover but also weapons and financial support to hamas directly over the years. i would be very surprised if they were unaware of the attack, but there is a big gap between unaware and orchestrated. i will tell you, life has been going reasonably well for the iranians as of late. remember, the chinese facilitated diplomatic engagement, breakthrough between iran and

. >>> ian bremmer on the conflict in israel. he joins us in a few minutes. >>> we're watching defense stocks, as we said. the entire sector is higher. here in hawaii there is always time. there's time to spend with family, time to enjoy with friends. there's always time to listen or lend a helping hand. here we have all the time in the world, but no time to waste. at humana, we believe your healthcare should evolve with you, and part of that evolution means choosing the right medicare plan for you. humana can help. hi, my name is sam davis and i'm going to tell you about medicare advantage prescription drug plans that can provide more coverage than original medicare, including prescription drug coverage, all wrapped up into one convenient plan. with original medicare you're covered for hospital stays and doctor office visits, but you have to meet a deductible for each. and then you're still responsible for 20% of the cost. next, let's look at medicare supplement plans. if a service is covered under original medicare, then a medi

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ian bremmer, president of eurasia group says it's an increasingly reluctant but necessary role. >> we living in a world where the united states is increasingly uncomfortable and unwilling to act as the global policeman. but there is no one else remotely close to playing that role. >> reporter: the president used a rare oval office address to announce he was sending an emergency funding request that would include $14 billion in assistance for israel and 61 billion for ukraine. >> it's a smart investmen that's going to pay dividends for american security for generations. help us keep american troops out of harm's way. >> reporter: but tieing assistance for israel to money for ukraine may have an uphill climb in congress. >> was a defensive speech. this was a speech that attempted to explain to americans, hey, we need to do this, or else. >> a speaker has not been elected. >> reporter: republicans, of course, have a more immediate problem, finding a speaker. representative jim jordan's third attempt at the gavel collapsed this past friday, and the weeks-long paralysis has left everyday a

i want to go to ian bremmer now, world renowned global affairs columnist. you've said this is israel's 9/11. to hear talk about this, a massive attack months in the planning, the former prime minister of israel was saying that to me, as well. and now they have to be fears of what else they don't know. i mean, such an intelligence failure by such a -- an elite intelligence force, right? one of the world's -- the creme de la creme. how unprecedented is this? >> it's the gold standard, erin. you know, many intelligence forces would tell you that, it's their surveillance, digital surveillance. it's their surveillance on the ground with human intelligence, operatives. it's their border security, and it's also the israeli defense forces and all of them failed in unprecedented fashion. i remember a few months ago when you and i were talking about israel before, we weren't talking about the palestinians. we were talking about something else that was unprecedented -- demonstrations that were going on, larger than you've ever seen, every day, you know, consistently a

live now to ian bremmer, a political scientist and president and founder of the political risk consultingmuch for coming on the programme. thank you very much for coming on the programme-— thank you very much for coming on the programme. sure, my pleasure. so let's take a look _ the programme. sure, my pleasure. so let's take a look at _ the programme. sure, my pleasure. so let's take a look at what _ the programme. sure, my pleasure. so let's take a look at what has _ the programme. sure, my pleasure. so let's take a look at what has been - let's take a look at what has been called now phase two of this military operation, what is your assessment of it so far?- military operation, what is your assessment of it so far? well, my understanding _ assessment of it so far? well, my understanding from _ assessment of it so far? well, my understanding from talking - assessment of it so far? well, my understanding from talking to - assessment of it so far? well, my understanding from talking to us| understanding from talking to us officials and others that are engaging with israel is that this de

ian bremmer is here. >>> sam bankman-fried will take the stand.s bipartisanship is gone how cong

ian bremmer says it's a reluctant but necessary role. >> we're living in a world where the united statesely close to playing that role. >> reporter: the president used a rare oval office address to announce he was sending an emergency funding request to congress that would include $14 billion in assistance for israel and $61 billion for ukraine. >> it's a smart investment that will pay dividends to americans for generations, help us keep american troops out of harm's way. >> reporter: it may have an uphill climb in congress. >> it was a defensive speech. this was a speech that attempted to explain to americans, hey, we need to do this or else. >> a speaker has not been elected. >> reporter: republicans, of course, have a more immediate problem, finding a speaker. representative jim jordan's third attempt at the gravel collapsed this pat rafter friday. the weeks' long paralysis has left everyday americans wondering if we can't help ourselves, how do we have the capacity to help everyone else? foreign wars don't feel so foreign. from big cities to small towns, the coast to the rockies, the

ian bremmer telling us the failure of israeli intelligence to stop the attacks will be prime ministerovernment has said there is no evidence as of now that the iranians were behind the attack. let's be clear, they are not nice people as a government. the iranian supreme leader and the president for throated he supported the hamas terrorist attacks and they have provided not just diplomatic cover but also weapons and financial support to hamas directly over the years. i would be very surprised if they were unaware of the attack but there is a very big gap between unaware and orchestrated. and you know, i will tell you that life has been going reasonably well for the iranians of late. you will remember that the chinese facilitated a diplomatic engagement -- a breakthrough between iran and saudi arabia in the past months. you also know that the biden administration came to an agreement both to get five american citizens held hostage by iran back to the united states and also was planning to provide 6 billion dollars of iranian assets on frozen back to the iranian regime. the iranians hav

tom: ian bremmer would say that and we will see that tomorrow we will have coverage on that.ings in full force. look for bloomberg technology on the analysis for that around noon. we have a huge value and then steven ricchiuto joins us from mizuho securities . we all get that we were wrong we are in the vicinity of 5% q3 gdp, great, i have an ia, a g and then next on the backend, will they help the booming consumer? stephen: that is a real question. you can look for a little bit of the trade. the key question is the government component. to be honest with you we do not have good priority data when it comes to government spending have the treasury -- but those do not translate well in the gdp accounts. they do not translate as clearly as other components do. but we look closely another component saying nothing else is contributing. so we have to look at trade and how much we get from government. tom: is there separation in the eye -- in the profitable microsoft businesses like investment. but others are flat on the back. steven: it is. when you look at the noncapital goods, th

ian bremmer also putting out on x, formerly known as twitter, that no one is asking about ukraine.up, the latest on the economy. frances donald of manulife, that's next. ♪ ind your personal style. endless hardie® siding colors. textures and styles. it's possible. with james hardie™. hi, i'm jason and i've lost 202 pounds on golo. so the first time i ever seen a golo advertisement, it's possible. i said, "yeah, whatever. there's no way this works like this." and threw it to the side. a couple weeks later, i seen it again after getting not so pleasant news from my physician. i was 424 pounds, and my doctor was recommending weight loss surgery. to avoid the surgery, i had to make a change. so i decided to go with golo and it's changed my life. when i first started golo and taking release, my cravings, they went away. and i was so surprised. you feel that your body is working and functioning the way it should be and you feel energized. golo has improved my life in so many ways. i'm able to stand and actually make dinner. i'm able to clean my house. i'm able to do just simple tasks that