ian shepherdson, you say to yourself, essentially the october 28 election. ill be the mood going into the ballot boxes. ian: that will be ok. we had a terrible first quarter. the fed does not believe it. they said so in the minutes early this week. absolutely. i do not believe those numbers. what is going to happen in the second and third quarter will be a rebound. see probably. accelerating wage gains and probably a lower on a planet if -- lower unemployment rate. if we were fighting the selection on the headline economic embers, clinton would be issuea shoe-in. but we're not. we have not had an election fought on that basis in the u.s. as far as i can remember. it has always about the unemployment. it is not anymore. you can have millions of people feel dispossessed. those people have been energized by sanders and trump. francine: i guess it goes back to the fact it was so difficult to predict the rise of donald trump, because on the face of it, economically, the u.s. is not doing badly at all. wages are picking up. that is the inequality problem. kit: it h