in the study theyjust imperial college of london in the study they just published imperialcollege of london in the study they just published today that immunity might be waxing and waning pretty quickly here after infection. so that's concept of reaching herd immunity at this point is just so that's concept of reaching herd immunity at this point isjust not feasible. so we have to focus on prevention, eventual vaccination when it becomes available. 12 states have got record numbers of hospitalizations now. it sounds incredibly mortgage backed mortgage to suggest this, we have kept the mortality rate pretty low for the last few months. are you concerned that that mortality rate could pick up that that mortality rate could pick up again? absolutely. especially because it's notjust absolutely. especially because it's not just covid now, absolutely. especially because it's notjust covid now, we are absolutely. especially because it's not just covid now, we are also entering influenza season. so my fear is that we are going to have dual infections, not only from covid but also f

coming up, we talk with stephen , imperial college of london infectious disease professor. talk about asymptomatic cases. that is coming up on bloomberg. ♪ >> we have found ourselves in a dramatic situation. this affects all of us without exception. >> renewed challenges to public health and the growth prospects of the euro area. vulnerable, test, alert, protect. none of that is sufficient in the current situation. >> obviously, there are painful choices. because there is no restrictive measure -- >> we are all wondering when we will come out of this crisis. now is the time for patients, determination, and discipline. leaders onuropean the latest virus measures. in the u k, boris johnson is facing growing pressure to implement another national lockdown. according to the findings of the imperial college london, infections are doubling every 90 days. riley.joining steven professor, thank you for joining bloomberg. when you look at the dynamic in london and in the u k, does track and trace work, or does it not work? track and trace is really test, track, and trace. it provides

whether it is the imperial college of london, baylor, on and on, what you did with novartis.difficult science. jonathan: enter the industry is working really hard to find a solution. coming up on this program, ferridge, state street head of microstrategy. equity futures near session highs. we advanced 0.5%. one weeks ago until we wrap up this election -- one week to go until we wrap up this election. this is bloomberg. ♪ >> we are in an environment now where there is much less leverage in the equity market. >> we have huge levels of debt and we don't want to get into a debt trap. >> it is clear we are going to see downward revisions in many businesses. the question is how strong they are. >> the fed has a lot of upside to accelerate. i think be a going to maintain this pace. >> it is all the same recession. >> covid is the great un-equalizer. the strong get stronger. the weak get weaker. >> this is "bloomberg surveillance" with tom keene, jonathan ferro, and lisa abramowicz. tom: good morning, everyone. "bloomberg surveillance," on radio-t

about a university of edinburgh piece of research which reassessed an earlier study by the imperial college of londoncase scenario, there could be hundreds of thousands of deaths from coronavirus if no action was taken. but the latest reassessment of that study suggests that if schools hadn't been closed and if some kind of immunity had built up among younger sections of the population, it would have been beneficial overall. what are your thoughts on that? research is going on all the time and we are learning all the time. scientists are learning as we go with this virus. so pieces of work like that are important, but we can't change the past. we are where we are and we can only influence the future. i want our schools and universities to be open. i want young people to be interacting and learning. but the consequence of thatis learning. but the consequence of that is that the virus will spread more, so everyone else has to be extra vigilant. young people are very safe with this virus. very few of them get serious consequences. some will get long covid, which is miserable, but the vast majority will

of mishandling the crisis. researchers at imperial college london have found levels of protective antibodies in people who've fought over 65 and in those who hadn't shown any symptoms. extra police and the national guard are being deployed in philadelphia, as the us city sees another night of unrest over another fatal shooting of a black man by police. there are reports of protests turning violent and some looting. now, it's time for panorama. i'm cashjones. i'm 25 and a journalist at the bbc. growing up, i was taught that working hard was the way to get on. i feel like the majority of us are struggling. but seven months since covid first put us into a national lockdown. .. there've been days where i've been just in my room, just crying. ..the virus itself doesn't seem to affect the young as badly as others, but the fallout has been devastating. no—one's telling us what's going on. it's quite depressing. and the future for 16—to—25—year—olds now seems so uncertain. all i want is to learn and progress, but i don't think

of mishandling the crisis. researchers at imperial college london have found levels of protective antibodies in people who've foughtwho hadn't shown any symptoms. extra police as well as the national guard are being deployed in philadelphia, as the us city sees another night of unrest after the fatal police shooting of a black man. there are reports that protests have turned violent and that shops and properties are being looted.

of people are on the streets and violence and looting has broken out. authorities say extra police and the national guard have been deployed. researchers at imperial college londonnfection. the team say the drop was most noticeable in people over 65 and in those who hadn't shown any symptoms.

imperial couege thought. a study by imperial college london from the number of people with covid—19 antibodies have followed byetween june and september. antibodies the best against they block the virus from entering our cells, and stay around in case of reinfection, but the latest research has found they don't last long. it does suggest that immunity is likely to wane over time after you've been infected, and we're now about six months past that first wave of infection. this is not particularly surprising because seasonal coronaviruses, which we've known about for a long time, do tend to produce some immunity, but it does wane after 6—12 months. this is one of the largest surveys of its kind, carried out across england on more than 350,000 people. in june, scientists found that 6% of adults who had been tested had detectible coronavirus antibodies. by september, though, that had fallen to 4.4%. that's a drop of more than a quarter in a matter of months, and the fastest decline was seen in people aged over 75, and in those who'd had the virus with no symptoms. so does this mean you can get covid twice? there h

scientists at imperial college london estimate the number of people infected is doubling every nine days and are calling for tougher restrictions. whether it is tighter restrictions area whether it is tighter restrictions are a change in behaviour of the population, that is really, you know, whatever it is, we have to aim it to get down that r number and get down the numbers. the government says it's planning another national lockdown at the moment we'll be live with our health editor. also this lunchtime... labour apologise after a long awaited report on anti semitism says the party committed unlawful acts of harassment and discrimination. this is a day of shame for the labour party. we have failed jewish people, our members, our supporters and the british public. three dead in the french city of nice after a knife attack near a church the mayor calls it an act of terrorism. donald trump's election rallies could be superspreading coronavirus, according to one of his own medical advisers. and a pride of britain award for the six—year—old boy who raised more than a million pounds for the

of people who've become infected. but there has been some hopeful news. a major study by scientists at imperial college londonates the growth rate of infections could be slowing. their react study estimates the r number — the virus's reproduction rate — appears to have fallen to 1.1 since government measures such as the rule of six were introduced. our first report is from our health correspondent richard galpin. the infection rate here in liverpool has shot up. 13 fold increase in one month. people are not following social distancing rules, part of the problem. there has been a surge of people moving into and around the city recently, including students, but now all of that is about to change. the rules across the liverpool city region will be as follows. we recommend against all social mixing between people in different households. we will bring in regulations as we have in the north—east to prevent in law social mixing between people in different households in all settings except outdoor public spaces like parks and outdoor public spaces like parks and outdoor hospitality. people here in liverpool had been

with your expert eye on some of the news people have been reading this morning about this new 5tudy. reading this morning about this new study. this is the imperial college london seeing the ri5e5 that are being seenin not seeing the ri5e5 that are being seen in the north of england. there i5a seen in the north of england. there is a sort of north south divide. the largest ri5e is a sort of north south divide. the largest rise in the number of cases i5 largest rise in the number of cases is in the north of england, which is why those counties and areas have been put into tighter measures. but even here in london it is steadily going up. what we are seeing is everywhere it is going up comedy cases are going up in all age groups, but the biggest ri5e5 actually in young people. teenagers and young people. and thankfully, they are not generally too ill with they are not generally too ill with the virus, but we need to be very, very careful, because of course tho5e very careful, because of course those young people can affect the older people who are much more vulnerable. when people hear that for example the virus is doubling every nine days, so this was a period b

of mishandling the crisis. researchers at imperial college london have found levels of protective antibodies in people who've foughtff coronavirus "wane quite rapidly" after infection. the team say the drop was most noticeable in people over 65 and in those who hadn't shown any symptoms. extra police as well as the national guard are being deployed in philadelphia, as the us city sees another night of unrest after the fatal police shooting of a black man. there are reports that protests have turned violent and that shops and properties are being looted. now on bbc news — when bury fc collapsed last august 2019, a group of locals made it their mission to bring football back to their town — against massive odds. bury fc is one of the oldest clubs in english football. but in august 2019 it was expelled from the football league. we are heartbroken. bury till i die! just gutted. one group of fans decided to do something about it. i want my kids to be able to grow up with my football club. come hell or high water, this is the right thing to do. kick ourselves if we didn't. this is bury, this is bury. with complete access

experts at the imperial college london, behind the imperial college london, behind the analysis, says the second wave ofto bring the virus under control. doctor simon clarke is an associate professor in cellular microbiology at the university of reading and we can speak to him now. thank you for joining us. what are your conclusions them, having heard the results of this study from imperial couege? results of this study from imperial college? my conclusions are there has been an acceleration in the growth rate in most parts of england. not everywhere. some places that have moved up into tier 2, particularly in the north—east, appear not to have grown their numbers of infections quite so far, so that suggests an early movement on those things, an early adjustment of the tiers, can have an effect. we don't really need to sit like rabbits in the headlights of tier 2, tier 3, sorry, or circuit breakers. we can actually act beforehand, and when we get an indication of a problem developing perhaps we should. scientifically you might be correct, but the politics and economics of this, the sheer impact of peopl

professor helen ward is one of the researchers from the school of public health at imperial college londonne when we write to a random sample of people in england aged 18 and over and ask if they are willing to do an antibody test, and if they agree, which is about one in three, they sign up and we send them a test and they do a finger prick test on themselves, read the result and upload that and let us know what the result is, so we are enormously grateful to those hundreds of thousands of people who have helped with this research. so what is the significance in the drop of the number of people testing positive for antibodies? there is a couple of points that we've found. we know antibodies tend to slowly wane over time after somebody has had an infection, but we are not exactly sure at what point that leaves them vulnerable to reinfection, if that is the problem, so that is one issue. this suggests that in this particular infection it is relatively quick. the second thing is that we have learnt a lot about who was exposed to the virus in the first round and we know it is quite even acros

of hands, face and space, as there's still much we need to learn about coronavirus and immunity. rebecca morelle, bbc news. dr christina aitchison is a clinical fellow in public health medicine at imperial college londonn the programme. thank you for having me. so, people are having to put up with tougher and tougher restrictions. this news is really not what they wanted to hear. are people right to be deflated by this? well, i think it's important to say that even if you know you have covid —— had covid, you can't be sure that you might not get it again. however, we do recommend that the public does stick to the recommendations of hand hygiene, social distancing and wearing a face mask. in general, our study findings do suggest that overall, population immunity is waning. it's waning, and what are the consequences of that, what does that mean? well, like i said, as a whole, this data suggests that decrease in population immunity. this could increase the risk of reinfection as a population with antibody levels declining. sorry, just to jump antibody levels declining. sorry, just tojump in antibody levels declining. sorry, just to jump in there, because we haven't seen many examples of that, haven't se

of the time, anyway. but it's half—term at the minute so we've just popped out to have a little treat, haven't we ? the react survey by imperial college londonghest in england. among the rest, the south—east and east of england are said to be the lowest, at below 70 per 10,000 people. cases are going up, hospitaladmissions, deaths. what is really concerning about the react study is that the most recent round is showing an acceleration, and that‘s the last thing we need. we need it notjust to slow down, the growth, we need growth to reverse, we need cases to come down. and instead, we are seeing the opposite. and that is really worrying. some scientists are calling for tougher restrictions across england. though ministers say they are sticking for now with the current system. we don‘t have a plan today to do a full national lockdown. we can see that there are arguments in favour of that, in terms of simplicity and clarity. but there are very strong arguments against it, as well, in that it is treating all parts of the country the same. nearly 2 million virus tests were processed in england in the middle week of this month. but results from fo

of the time, anyway. but it's half—term at the minute so we've just popped out to have a little treat, haven't we ? the react survey by imperial college london0,000 people, are the highest in england. among the rest, the south—east and east of england are said to be the lowest, at below 70 per 10,000 people. cases are going up, hospitaladmissions, deaths. what is really concerning about the react study is that the most recent round is showing an acceleration, and that's the last thing we need. we need it notjust to slow down the growth, we need growth to reverse, we need cases to come down. and instead, we're seeing the opposite and that is really worrying. some scientists are calling for tougher restrictions across england, though ministers say they're sticking for now with the current system. we don't have a plan today to do a full national lockdown. we can see that there are arguments in favour of that, in terms of simplicity and clarity, but there are very strong arguments against it, as well, in that it is treating all parts of the country the same. data from virus testing is being watched very closely, but results from four out of five

imperial college london. thank you so imperial college london. thank you so much. kevin courtney is in east london and is the general secretary ofation union. good afternoon to you. we heard a little earlier from our education editor that you are calling for a school is to be closed in event of a national lockdown in england. we are expecting a national lockdown but why do you want that to happen? well, if the prime minister calls for a national lockdown of around four weeks, which is what we are hearing, we don't think it should be a half measure. to have the maximum effect we think schools should be pa rt effect we think schools should be part of that closure. we have been looking at data from the office for national statistics which shows that the biggest section, the biggest growth rate, is amongst secondary school pupils, where, according to the ons, our analysis of their figures, cases have increased 50 times since september. far higher than any other age group. and so to get the maximum effect of the lockdown it would be sensible to include schools in it. we all want children to be at school, but we also know that if we j

of developments this morning. the react study, at imperial college london, analysed samples from 84,000 random people. ound that the r number appears to have fallen to around 1.1 since the "rule of six" was introduced. in late august to early september, it was estimated to be as high as 1.7. merseyside could be the next area to face new local lockdown measures. it's expected new rules such as a ban on household mixing will be announced today. there are now more than 200 cases per 100,000 people in the region overall. in liverpool, the figure stands at 258. but there are concerns that new restrictions could harm the economy there. and as of this evening, around a third of the uk population will be subject to extra restrictions, as new rules will come into force in wales across conwy, denbighshire, flintshire and wrexham at 6pm. this report from anna o'neill begins with the emerging situation in merseyside. liverpool city centre last weekend after the pubs closed at ten — no masks, no social distancing, and seemingly nowhere else to go. this is a city where covid—19 cases are rising fast, and which later

of firearms on election day. the state attorney general has vowed to appeal against thejudge's ruling. scientists have found that immunity to coronavirus may decline sooner than had previously thought. a study by imperial college london number of people with covid—19 antibodies had fallen by around a quarter betweenjune and september. adults under the age of 2a had the highest levels of antibodies — but those over 75 the lowest. here's our science correspondent rebecca morelle. antibodies are the immune system's best defence against covid—19. they block the virus from entering our cells, and stay around in case of reinfection, but the latest research has found they don't last long. it does suggest that immunity is likely to wane over time after you've been infected, and we're now about six months past that first wave of infection. this is not particularly surprising because seasonal coronaviruses, which we've known about for a long time, do tend to produce some immunity, but it does wane after 6—12 months. this is one of the largest surveys of its kind, carried out across england on more than 350,000 people. injune, scientists found that 6% of adults who had been tested had detectible coronavirus antibodies. by septe

of people who've become infected. but there has been some hopeful news. a major study by scientists at imperial college londones the growth rate of infections could be slowing. their react study estimates the r number, the virus‘s reproduction rate, appears to have fallen to 1.1 since government measures such as the rule of six were introduced. our first report is from our health correspondent richard galpin. the infection rate here in liverpool has shot up. a 13—fold increase in a month. people partying are not following social distancing rules, part of the problem. there has been a surge of people moving into and around this city recently, including students, but now all that is about to change. the rules across the liverpool city region — warrington, hartlepool and middlesbrough — will be as follows. we recommend against all social mixing between people in different households. we will bring in regulations, as we have in the north—east, to prevent in law social mixing between people in different households in all settings except outdoor public spaces like parks and outdoor hospitality. people here in liver

of people are on the streets and violence and looting has broken out. authorities say extra police and the national guard have been deployed. researchers at imperial college londonave found levels of protective antibodies in people who've fought off coronavirus wane quite rapidly after infection. the team say the drop was most noticeable in people over 65 and in those who hadn't shown any symptoms. it has just it hasjust gone it has just gone 430 in the morning. now on bbc news, it's hardtalk. welcome to hardtalk, i'm stephen sackur. the beheading of a teacher by an 18—year—old outside paris struck a particularlyjarring blow to the french psyche. samuel paty was murdered for teaching his students, including young muslims, about freedom of speech, including the freedom to mock religion. his killing was seen as an attack on france's secular values. my guest is dominique schnapper, president of a council which advises the government on secularism in education. is the macron government getting its response to this tragedy right? dominique schnapper in paris, welcome to hardtalk. welcome. thank you. well, it's a pleasure to have you on the show. i think we have to be

scientists say the proportion of people with coronavirus antibodies has been falling — suggesting immunity may only last a few months. researchers at imperial college london antibodies dropped by around a quarter betweenjune and september. naomi grimley reports. antibodies are a key part of our immune defences and stop the virus from getting inside the body's cells. but a study of 350,000 people who have had antibody tests shows they do not last forever. at the end ofjune, 6% had antibodies, but by september it was only 4%. immunity is likely to wane over time after you have been infected, even if you have, you know that you have had, coronavirus, you have had covid, then you cannot be sure you will not get it again. and therefore we advise everybody to follow recommendations about hand hygiene, mask wearing and keeping distance from people. that is the first thing. and secondly, yes, of course it means that we are really in need of a vaccine which will, hopefully, produce a more long—lived immunity. the tailing off of antibodies may not be the whole story. there is another arm of the immune system called t—cells, and the science on that is still evolving

i don't care she'll a research associate at the school of public health imperial college london thank you for your time thank you very much. a smoking gun or a political flung. or political democrats that senators are calling on the f.b.i. not to investigate the business activities of joe biden and his son they insist it will harm american democracy and if the smear campaign by donald trump team with more. who can forget the russia gate hysterics and the demand from the us senate minority leader chuck schumer that the f.b.i. investigate allegations against trump regarding collusion that's a serious issue and needs a thorough thorough investigation we know director komi was leading an investigation and whether the trump campaign colluded with the russians a serious offense where those investigations getting too close to home for the president the dismissal of director komi establishes a very troubling pattern well it turns out that senator chuck schumer is far less interested in looking into the shady dealings of the biden family in ukraine surprise surprise. we therefore urge you to r

research by one of the largest studies of covid—19 infections in england suggested almost 100,000 people are catching the virus every day. the research by imperial college londond adviser to the government. he says stricter action is needed. one particular thing out of this thatis one particular thing out of this that is really telling is the shift into slightly older people. and we know the, this was said in your report, elderly people are more susceptible to hospitalization and death. it is really clear that cases are rising everywhere. the r rate has risen throughout the country, and tellingly it is higher in areas that have lesser restrictions. this isn't that surprising, but it really goes to show that if we want to avoid a situation where everywhere is in tear —— tier 2 or tier 3 through the christmas period, we need stricter action to turn this around. by what you mean taking a regional approach or something national? what would you advocate? well, and again has been dashed as has been reported in your report, the r number is slightly higher in parts of the country where incident is lower — and this is not surprising because parts of the country where t

be achieved usually anti-bodies having a short shelf life researchers from the imperial college london found the number of people testing positive for anti-bodies has fallen by 26 percent since last on was eased over the summer the study hints that immunity appears to be fading and there's a risk of catching the virus multiple times scientists say herd immunity can only work if iran 50 to 60 percent of the population has protection against the virus so it can no longer transmit efficiently dr christina aitchison is one of the authors of the react to study report she says it's too early to say a vaccination will provide people with longer immunity these are so do not necessarily mean munity arising from x. nation would be short lived or we would see immunity from vaccination behaving in the same way as it does from natural infection a good back to the may well be back to the natural immunity we just don't know we're waiting the results of some of the some of the trials going on that does need further research in terms of whether that nation will provide longer immunity it is possible that people might need

a study by imperial college london found the number of people with covid—19 antibodies had fallen byseptember. adults under the age of 2a had the highest levels of antibodies and those over 75 the lowest. here's our science correspondent rebecca morelle. antibodies are the immune system's best defence against covid—19. they block the virus from entering our cells, and stay around in case of reinfection, but the latest research has found they don't last long. it does suggest that immunity is likely to wane over time after you've been infected, and we're now about six months past that first wave of infection. this is not particularly surprising because seasonal coronaviruses, which we've known about for a long time, do tend to produce some immunity, but it does wane after 6—12 months. this is one of the largest surveys of its kind, carried out across england on more than 350,000 people. injune, scientists found that 6% of adults who had been tested had detectible coronavirus antibodies. by september, though, that had fallen to 4.4%. that's a drop of more than a quarter in a matter of m

a study by imperial college london found the number of people with covid—19 antibodies had fallen byr betweenjune and september. adults under the age of 2a had the highest levels of antibodies — but those over 75 the lowest. here's our science correspondent rebecca morelle. antibodies are the immune system's best defence against covid—19. they block the virus from entering our cells, and stay around in case of reinfection, but the latest research has found they don't last long. it does suggest that immunity is likely to wane over time, after you've been infected, and we're now about six months past that first wave of infection. this is not particularly surprising because seasonal coronaviruses, which we have known about for a long time, do tend to produce some immunity but it does wane after six to 12 months. this is one of the largest surveys of its kind, carried out across england on more than 350,000 people. injune, scientists found that 6% of adults who had been tested had detectible coronavirus antibodies. by september, these had fallen to 4.4%. that is a drop of more than a qua

of the epidemic. professor helen ward from imperial couege professor helen ward from imperial college london, thank youreally tough times. and i know yourfamily has been directly affected — i'm so sorry about your brother, bill. last week, we had 61 deaths in liverpool. bill was one of the 61. this week, it's up to 74. so we know the serious issues facing many, many families in the city. and, of course, bill was taken so suddenly that we never got the chance to say goodbye or to be with him. and both bill and his wife had covid. jenny, i'm glad to say, is fine now — but, of course, the loss of bill is a great blow to us all, because six weeks prior to that, we'd lost my brother through cancer. so it's been a traumatic time, to say the least. and tell us about bill, because he was notjust your brother, but he provided for you, as well. we had a reasonably tough upbringing. my father was in the merchant navy, but very seldom worked. he was an alcoholic. bill went away to sea when he was 16, but provided for the family, sending money allotments, as they were called, to my mum. that kept us going. so i alw

of the trial. let's speak now to professor peter openshaw —— immunologist at imperial college london and member ofespiratory virus threats advisory group. thank you very much forjoining us on bbc news. what is your reaction to what we are hearing about this. because so much was said in the start of the first wave of the pandemic and i we are being told that it was not as good as we previously fought. you would think that an antiviral drug, would be a good idea. you have to realise these big trials and this is a massive trial. so, this is funded by the world health organisation and only 500 hospitals in 30 countries, it is a huge study with over 11,000 patients and it shows conclusively that remdesivir does not help, if anything, there was some in this file, hydroxychloroquine, there was a trend towards a worse effect as there was, with trends that were not significant and i think it really is a massive and very conclusive study. ican imagine a massive and very conclusive study. i can imagine that this is a subgroup of patients with early diseases that might benefit, but they have done this a massi

that basis, coupled with what we already knew in terms of the rate of the increase of the virus, imperial college londont the data is suggesting that thousand —— a lot more people a day are catching the virus at the moment. clearly a lockdown is the last thing any government would want to do unless it was. do so. in terms of what this will mean, we have for example today happens to be the end of the pella scheme. thejob happens to be the end of the pella scheme. the job support happens to be the end of the pella scheme. thejob support scheme effectively comes into force from tomorrow, for all intents and purposes, for most businesses next week. there have been real concerns about whether the funding for that is adequate, particularly in scenarios where businesses are forced to close down. that was going to beat in tier 3, but is now going to beat in tier 3, but is now going to beat in tier 3, but is now going to be the whole of england. do you think the chancellor is going to have to go back and look again at the financial package? have to go back and look again at the financial package ?|j have to go b

19 can be achieved because natural antibodies appear to be wearing off of a time now researchers from the imperial college london university found that the number of people testing positive bodies as fallen by 26 percent since the lockdown was eased over the summer the study hints that immunity appears to be fading and that there is a risk of catching the virus multiple times scientists say herd immunity can only work if around 50 to 60 percent of the population have protection against the virus so it can no longer transmit efficiently dr christina actress and is one of the authors of the react to study report says it's too early to say if a vaccination will provide people with that long term immunity. these results do not necessarily mean immunity arising from wrecks a nation would be short lived or we would see immunity from vaccination and behaving in the same way as it does from natural infection a good vaccine may well be effective the natural immunity we just current we don't know and we're waiting for the results of some of the some of the trials going on that does need further research in terms of whethe

it covered another survey by imperial college london, giving a similar sort of outlook, and saying thathe north of england might possibly be replicated soon across the whole country. now, the thing about these surveys is that they cover a section of the population who don't have symptoms and who have not come forward for tests. notjust those who want to go and get tested. so, that is very important. what does all this mean for the next few weeks? well, it might suggest that restrictions introduced in a few weeks back have not had the desired effect, which is why the government, as we have been hearing, is planning more for england. the problem is hospital admissions which, as we have seen, are rising rapidly in some areas. they relate to cases going back ten days or more. so anything introduced next week will ta ke anything introduced next week will take a while to take effect. people have already got the virus, and they may well become sick. and that may push admissions up even further. and thatis push admissions up even further. and that is what the nhs is concerned about. hugh, thank

of terrorism. scientists at imperial college london are estimating the number of people infected from coronavirus issarah has that. sad news from the world of welsh rugby. tributes are pouring in. the legendary wales, british and irish lions and llanelli wingerjj williams has died at the age of 72. the welsh rugby union described him as one of the greatest wings to play for the country. the lions said he inspired a generation with his incredible running and finishing abilities. he scored 12 tries in 30 tests as wales won four five nations titles during the 1970s, including two grand slams. williams also scored five tries in seven tests for the lions across two tours. jj williams who has died at the age of 72. wales captain alun wynjones will break the world record for most test match appearances when he leads his country against scotland in the six nations on saturday. the second—rower will make his 1a9th appearance for wales and the british and irish lions, overtaking new zealand's world cup—winning skipper richie mccaw. in the last three or four years he started to get the recognition for what he

antibodies are a key part of our immune defences and stop the virus from getting inside the body's cells. the imperial college londonfound the number of people testing positive for antibodies has fallen by 26% betweenjune and september. in the first round of testing, at the end ofjune and the beginning ofjuly, about 60 in 1,000 people had detectable antibodies — that's according to results for the 350,000 people in england who took tests as part of the react—2 study. but in the latest set of tests, in september, only 44 per 1,000 people were positive. well, professor helen ward, from the school of public health at imperial college is one of the researchers on the react—2 study. before i ask about these results, professor ward, please just explain what the react-2 professor ward, please just explain what the react—2 is? professor ward, please just explain what the react -2 is? good morning, victoria. the study is on when we write to a random sample of people in england aged 18 or over and ask if they are willing to do an antibody test, and if they agree, they sign up and we sent them a test sunday to a finger prick t

a major study of the spread of coronavirus estimates that nearly 100,000 people are now being infected every day. the analysis by imperial college londonwhich will move up to the tear to high alert level on saturday. according to the latest survey it has one of the highest levels. in the city of howell today people gave their views on tighter restrictions. economically, it's not the greatest thing is we are struggling. he could see the high street is pretty much empty. but what do you value more of the economy or peoples lives? makes no difference we don't come out that i don't was shielding for the time anyway. we've just popped out to have a little treat, haven't we? the react survey by imperial college london estimates that infections in yorkshire and the humber in the northwest of england at more than 200 per 10,000 people at the highest in england. among the rest of the southeast and east of england are said to be the lowest at below 70 per 10,000 people. said to be the lowest at below 70 per10,000 people. cases hospital admissions, doubts what‘s really concerning is the most recent round is showing an acceleration. that‘s the las

scientists say the proportion of people with coronavirus antibodies has been falling, suggesting immunity may only last a few months. researchers at imperial college londonop the virus from getting inside the body's cells. but a study of 350,000 people who have had antibody tests shows they do not last forever. at the end ofjune, 6% had antibodies, but by september it was only 4%. immunity is likely to wane over time after you have been infected, even if you have, you know that you have had, coronavirus, you have had covid, then you cannot be sure you will not get it again. and therefore we advise everybody to follow recommendations about hand hygiene, mask wearing and keeping distance from people. that is the first thing. and secondly, yes, of course it means that we are really in need of a vaccine which will, hopefully, produce a more long—lived immunity. the tailing off of antibodies may not be the whole story. there is another arm of the immune system called t—cells, and the science on that is still evolving. they are white blood cells that patrol the body, they inspect every cell in the body and they can see cells that have viruses growing in them.

moment but in china infection rates have remained low since the peak of the pandemic early in the year from the imperial college london gave us his views on the differing approaches to the health crisis. it was in $100.00 that a lockdown over there was kind of a different and believe me it's still very different and i would just say that it's all down all those very street not just us but also to the people but back to the u.k. about 4 months ago what i just learned and i've been a request to the south koreans in for 14 days and i want to state as the d.c. koren scene has to be you should that we're entirely. most of the chinese people don't really realize that they flew the ruse and then they flew the street measures and then they get everything back in london for example when they say people don't want a mosque in big data receive fines on the tube right and then. in the u.k. please. find those people who one by one. these community countries very different in europe who some people do themselves not like in china small community society people take. to the u.s. now our democratic senators are calling on the f.b.i.

too much this is the reacts today and it is a combined study between say more of the polling people in imperial college london and they've actually taken antibody studies from the fingerprint blood test from about 350000 people and almost 20000 of those came back positive so they have a very good sample size to judge by they found out about 30 percent of those people are actually asymptomatic and what they did find over the 3 months of the study from june to september that they antibody the people testing positive runty when he went down from 6 percent to 4.4 percent which represents about a 26 percent drop off so we see that the antibodies aren't lasting for very long but what that study doesn't do is test for the memory t. cells because it's probably the case that people get people who get more we'll make more empty bottles because the t. cells haven't already aborted the infection so the t. cells are probably the important thing here and the other reason we think that is we if you think way back in britain to the 2003 saw coronavirus type one pandemic that affected about 8000 people in different parts of t

development dr ana blakeney is a bio engineer working on covert vaccine development at imperial college london she is also a member of the team halo and she says it's important to keep the public informed about vaccine developments. a really great opportunity for us to be able to have a direct pipeline to the public and be able to discuss it and you know outcomes of the trial whatever they maybe we just launched today so i've been making pick talk radio for about 2 weeks but yeah even today i've gotten some really great questions about herd immunity and mutations in the virus so it's really turning into quite a conversation between me and the people that follow us on tick tock something that's really important to us is having really high stringent testing of the back seeing so in the u.k. there's really rigorous clinical trials that we have to go through to be able to license a vaccine so whereas hearing to that protocol and you know i can only really speak from our experience in the u.k. but we do through that go through a number of safety and efficacy testing measures to make sure that it's you know a good enough v

of infections in england over the last week for the week up until last weekend. then we have had imperial couege weekend. then we have had imperial college londonuggesting much the same thing, with higher virus prevalence in the north west of england, followed by the north—east than elsewhere and a warning that those high levels of infection relatively might spread to other parts of the country. these are surveys but they are picking up people who don't think that they have got the virus but who are randomly tested and it shows up as positive and they are seen as shows up as positive and they are seen as being pretty authoritative. they do suggest that previous sets of restrictions, particularly in england, haven't had the desired effect. that is why more are being considered to be introduced next week by the government at westminster. but the problem is, cases that we had seen grow will result in hospital admissions in some cases a couple of weeks down the line, so whatever is introduced next week won't have any immediate impact on those numbers going into hospitals and that is the concern in the nhs. all right, thank you very much now. hugh p

of liver cancer and liver transplant patients ok let's talk now to dr gilbert thompson in london he's author of the book nobel prizes that changed medicine and he's immerses professor at imperial college in london dr thompson good to have you here on the news hour how significant was this discovery. there is significant indeed it revolutionaries they are the safety of blood transfusions for thousands of people. in the past. there was what was called known a known be protectors and this seemed to be associated with transfused blood. that had been in table change from aid donors many of whom i think were probably drug addicts and actually no infections resulting from volunteer donors and the work of. her out of her and out and as i say has completely transformed nansen then he really has saved millions of lives probably quite a bit more than so far the coronavirus has gone does this mean that if the team behind this discovery have discovered and been able to tag and identify the virus by definition i guess we're one step closer to being able to come up with a vaccine you mean with a coronavirus no for this particular condition that we're discussing hepatitis c. yes and. i don't think th

of researchers and clinicians working on various coronavirus vaccines have joined forces to build confidence in vaccine development dr alan blinder is a bio engineer working on covert vaccine development at imperial college here in london and a member of team a halo which you'll find as a hash tag on twitter and various other platforms as so dr blankley thank you so much for joining us here on the or now i'd love to talk a little bit about the team halo sort of project which you're doing anything to make people more aware of what goes on behind making a vaccine but what is your fear behind the creation of this project to do you worry that people are not going to trust the vaccine. yes so as scientists you know we spend actually a lot of time communicating to other scientists about our data but we don't usually have a lot of opportunities to engage with the public so we're just trying to demystify what actually happens in the lab how do we make these vaccines as well as how do we test them yeah and i mean you do that very effectively i confess i'm not all tick tock because i think i'm a bit too old but i am on twitter so i've looked at your hash tag there and you have i guess doctors reciting poems about covert 1000 and

meanwhile, researchers at imperial college in london found the number of people testing positive for covid-19 antibodies has fallen by 26% between june and september, suggesting immunity fades rapidly and people who have recovered can be re-infected. in more medical news, drug maker eli lilly said monday its antibody treatmentas ineffective on hospitalized patients with advanced cases and that a government-sponsored trial would stop administering the drug to new patients. the trump administration imposed sweeping new counterterrorism sanctions on iran's oil sector in a move designed to make it harder for joe biden to undo sanctions if he is elected president. this comes just weeks after the treasury department essentially locked iran out of the global financial system by imposing sanctions on 18 iranian banks. in syria, dozens of turkish-backed fighters have reportedly been killed in suspected russian air strikes on a rebel training camp in the province of idlib. it marks the deadliest strike in the area since a ceasefire was reached in march. it comes as tension is escalating betwee

can be achieved due to anti bodies having a short shelf life researchers from the imperial college london from a number of people testing positive for anti-bodies us fallen by 26 percent since long don was eased over the summer the study hints that immunity appears to be fading and there is a risk of catching the virus multiple times scientists say herd immunity can only work if iran 50 to 60 percent of the population protection against the virus so it can no longer transit transmit efficiently when i speak to dr christina about this she is one of the authors of the reacts to study report and is via skype from london dr acheson thank you so much for being with us so your study found that immunity is fading and that there's a risk of catching the virus multiple time why is that and what does this mean for long term immunity from from govan 1000. ok thank you well like i said this is one of like you said this is one of the largest antibody test the programs in the world . over 365000 adults in england back in june we found the prevalence of detectable antibodies in the population of 6 percent when we went b