of those on countries already struggling with conflict with me now is the founder of the institute for economics and be steve who published that study a welcome musical laid out for the 1st time you will study has linked peace with climate change why. well when you're looking at the word from climate change in the future we decided to look at the countries which would be most impacted 5 o'clock i speak climatic events and then there were julia as country said we'd have a better understanding of which countries are most likely the. egg they were looking at there was $1000000000.00 people in what we had to close plus a lot of police countries which are likely to be impacted by it and yet major climatic abets but more telling when we looked at the got the 20 part countries of the global peace index 103000000000 people men who are doing the analysis and combined with the likely areas hit by climate challenge. the police with getting our gear what nations most predators are and which ones best to direct out towards them do you have a concrete example of how you link climate change with and risk to pe

for more we're joined by cloudy comfort professor of energy economics and sustainability at the german institute for economic research good morning so just this month president donald trump said that he was considering sanctions on the firms involved in the north stream to project what sort of effect could these threats have on the pipeline. well the project the pipeline project that's already continue it's unlikely that that will be stopped by the end of the year the effect to get sanctions and. cost negative impacts especially to those firms were active also on the west market and that's that's a threat and the other one is the political impact because germany has to react. government puts a lot of pressure to germany here and reactions already that they want to install an infrastructure in germany. but. a real alternative you mention this infrastructure hurdle but what about the cost you know the cost of . u.s. and energy is very expensive it's very high and this is why it's not really an eternity of l.n.g. is an option to germany as well we always recommend it to increase the l.n.g. infrastr

the founder and executive german of the institute for economics and peace. is braced for another day of protests ahead of a second reading of a controversial extradition bill. also on the programme — how california's wine country is feeling the fallout of america's trade war with china. the day the british liberated the falklands. and by tonight, british troops had begun the task of disarming the enemy. in the heart of the west german capital, this was gorby—mania at its height. the crowd packed to see the man who for them, has raised great hopes for an end to the division of europe. michaeljackson was not guilty on all charges. the screams of the crowd, a testament to his popularity and their faith in his innocence. as long as they'll pay to go see me, i'll get out there and kick 'em down the hill. what does it feel like to be the first man to go across the channel by your own power? it's feels pretty neat. feel marvellous, really. welcome back, everyone. this is newsday on the bbc. i'm rico hizon in singapore. yes, thanks for staying with us. i'm kasia made

joining us is the president of the german institute for economic research. . as brussels and the ecb call for germany to spend more, they are going to reduce spending. is this because of a budgetary shortfall? less additional revenue them is planned cash ban planned.ed -- them was matt: there is no budget deficit, in fact, there is still a budget surplus. thee germans like surpluses difficulty is that germany has its own debt break. it means they have to run a surplus. matt: a legal debt ceiling. saying structural deficits of no more than 3.5% of gdp. it essentially means the german government has to run a small surplus. the tragedy of this issue is that the government is not spending enough on public investment or infrastructure. concern that it is going to cut expenditures that are badly needed, thereby weakening economic potential. matt: anna? bit about me a little where you want the government to spend more money. a lot of people talk about infrastructure spending, but there are capacity constraints. i think germany really needs a long-term plan on invest

steve killelea is the founder and executive chairman of the institute for economics and peace.rove its ranking in this year's report. what has happened with syria basically is isis has been defeated. now, it's still got elements, pockets of the fighters left in different parts of the country, but the overall number of people killed in battlefield deaths has dropped 13% in the last year. whereas for afghanistan, it really has not changed. so syria has become slightly more peaceful but still the second—least peaceful country in the world, and so it's still mired in conflict. has any country, has anything particularly stood out for you in these latest findings? well, it's a number of things which actually stood out. i think the first thing is the actual headline that the world has become slightly more peaceful, and that is the first improvement in five years and, and that's since 2014. some thing for europe — it's actually become more peaceful, with 22 countries improving this year, out of the 36 countries in europe. now, what happen in 2014, that is when isis first started to gai

i spoke to claudia comfort professor of energy economics and sustainability at the german institute for economic research i asked her if u.s. liquefied natural gas is a real alternative to russian gas or if it's simply too expensive. u.s. and energy is very expensive it's very high and this is why it's not really an eternity of n.g. is an option to germany as well we always recommend it to increase the l.n.g. infrastructure in the past already instead of those pipelines which are very expensive and the gas demand will decline in the future so we don't need these kind of pipelines but we. export. fracking also environmentalists questionable and this is why we should also import and energy from other sources. ships and sustainability the 2 rarely go hand in hand but now one of germany's leading operators to e is trying to shake that image and bring about something the sea change but critics say more has to be done. mind shift is soon to embark on a voyage to the united kingdom the cruise ship is owned and operated by travel group to eat food supplies for some 2 and a half 1000 passengers are being

china trade with peterson institute for economic development.auren stephen hawkins group talks about the political polarization. be sure to watch c-span's washington journal live monday morning. former special counsel robert mueller at the house intelligence and judiciary committees on wednesday, july 17 at 9 a.m. eastern to testify in open session about his report in two russian interference in the 2016 election. watch live coverage on c-span3. or listen on the free c-span radio app. host: this weekend on "newsmakers," carrie severino, who is the chief counsel and policy director for the judicial crisis network. thank you for being here. carrie: great to be here. host: alex swoyer, the legal reporter with "the washington times" and simone pathe with "rollcall." thank you both. chief justice john roberts is making this court his own. what is your view of the rulings and imprint he is having on this court? >> talking about the gerrymandering case and the census case, what we are seeing is the gerrymandering case was a wonderful opportunity for th

journalist and political commentator from vienna money go to see economist at the vienna institute for international economic studies and from washington d.c. alley vias director of the iran project at the international crisis group gentlemen welcome to you all ali let's start with you is iran's president right as the white house lost its mind. well without any doubt the latest round of sanctions are absolutely counterproductive for an administration that pretends that it's interested in negotiations to target the political leadership of iran and try to designate iran's foreign minister iran's chief diplomat it's really a signal that this administration is not interested in negotiations otherwise it would not increase the political part price of engagement would it $40.00 iranians in way that would actually render talks almost impossible not to go to see in vienna what's the purpose do you think of these sanctions is a diplomatic is it economic what effect they intended to have. well and to my humble opinion i think it has several consequences and several reasons one of the reasons which is which come to my

china trade with peterson institute for economic development.auren stephen hawkins group talks about the political polarization. be sure to watch c-span's washington journal live monday morning. former special counsel robert mueller at the house intelligence and judiciary committees on wednesday, july 17 at 9 a.m. eastern to testify in open session about his report i

journalist and political commentator from vienna money god see economist at the vienna institute for international economic studies and from washington d.c. alley vias director of the iran project at the international crisis group gentlemen welcome to you all ali let's start with you is iran's president right as the white house lost its mind. well without any doubt the latest round of sanctions are absolutely counterproductive for an administration that pretends that it's interested in negotiations to target the political leadership of iran and try to designate iran's foreign minister iran's chief diplomat it's really a signal that this administration is not interested in negotiations otherwise it would not increase the political part price of engagement would it $40.00 iranians in way that would actually render talks almost impossible not to go to see in vienna what's the purpose do you think of these sanctions is a diplomatic is it economic what effect they intended to have. well and to my humble opinion i think it has several consequences and several reasons one of the reasons which is which come to my

years if a lack of skilled workers is not addressed according to a new study by the renowned for economic institute a study released on friday shows that a decline in the workforce due to demographic aging will start a longer economic slow. theri goo is stepping down as chairman of apple supplier foxconn technology mr who has led the business for 45 years is widely expected to honest candid and taiwan's presidential election that leaves the apple supply in uncharted waters is political aspirations come out a sensitive time for the for a company that is acutely vulnerable to the u.s. china trade conflict foxconn is the world's largest contract electronics maker and assembles products for major international brands including apple and qual way go who's been at the helm of folks calling for more than 4 decades announced he was vacating the big chair at the company's annual general meeting in taipei or huge waiting i've already decided to fade myself out from foxconn i already decided to hand over the operations of the company to the 9 person standing committee of the management committee. i have a lot

acted as a catalyst for convergence creating the institutional and economic conditions for the cee economies to adopt highly effective growth strategies their faster convergence shows with high-quality institutions in place, the eu single market can be a powerful engine of growth allowing not only the poorer countries to catch up, but also the richer countries to benefit from a larger market and opportunities. however, in order to maintain convergence and reap lasting benefits from the single market and membership, efforts to ensure institutional quality and good governance have become all the more important given the head winds facing cesee countries. the conditions for stronger growth one of the most powerful mecicism me mechanisms in promoting the deep integration of cesee countries into euro value chains this has happened in two ways, two main ways. first, the single market led to the removal of trade barriers and the option of eu-wide standards which has considerably reduced the cost of doing business across countries. firms have unbundled their production networks and relocated product

know we make this argument about how inclusive economic institutions are create broad based patterns of incentives and opportunities are what you need for sustained economic growth and innovation and entrepreneurship and i think you still do have in the united states i think if you look at these enormously wealthy people like. gates and how did they make their money through through innovation you know they they made their money by selling people things that people valued but i also agree with you that this enormous increase in inequality is is a challenge you know i'm not you know in the book we point out this happened in the 19th century in the united states and the system was able to respond to that you know the inclusive political institutions was able to kind of respond to the enormous increase in inequality and the political challenges that create is to the time the american constitution was written in the in the late 18th century james madison and other people who formulated it they were worried about populism in the 1780s so i think populism is an old thing inequalities and old thing you know what we try to argue in the book is t

he's from the peterson institute for international economics.liz young of bny mellon. at s&p options, they seem to indicate a lot of volatility until july 1, and then it drops off a cliff. what are you seeing, and what is the best trade? amy: first of all, that shouldn't be the case. we seen options come in, and typically this is a pretty boring time of the year. think this time is totally different. what happens out of g20 come of those headlines will be very meaningful. the other thing is if you are cut, wanting that july fed and you have tariffs go to well, is that going to affect that? there's a little game theory. i think options could continue to be morbid. a little down the line asked to be more bid -- to be more bid. we have the debt ceiling expiration in september, so longer term option prices are still fairly attractive, and i think you should be owning them. buy vol. alix: liz, what do you think? liz: amy makes a good point that if we watch what happens with trade discussions for the next couple of days, if there's good news out of th

thank you for coming in, from the institute of economic affairs. e of the other stories making the news. sportswear giant nike has reportedly run into trouble after one of its designers expressed support for protesters in hong kong on instagram. according to the financial times newspaper, the us firm cancelled the sale of a range of shoes in china designed byjun takahashi. the head of the us central bank jerome powell has used a speech to stress the fed's independence. it's widely expected to cut interest rates soon and has been under pressure from president trump to do so. speaking in new york, mr powell said the bank is growing concerned about the outlook for the global economy. apple has taken its self—driving car project up a gear after acquiring the start—up drive.ai for an undisclosed sum. the acqusition will give apple access to the smaller company's engineers and small fleet of test vehicles running in texas. apple hasn't released much detail about the self—driving technology itself. china has suspended some pork imports from canada, adding

today a new report by the the leading economic research group the institute for fiscal studies says suree report. in our new research, we look at the impact sure start has had during the period it was rolled out and operating. we are the first people to provide evidence of sure start over such a long period and we found the programme had big benefits for children's health. hospitalisations at age 11 fell by 18%. did you find this was particularly prominent in poorer areas of the country? absolutely. we find the biggest benefits in the poorest neighbourhoods, whereas in the richest 30% we don't find many impacts. that provides evidence that sure start has been effective at reducing health inequalities as far as hospitalisations are concerned. what has been going on in those centres in poorer neighbourhoods which has led to that reduced admissions to hospital for kids? this is a big challenge, because there was a lot going on at sure sta rt centres. there was a lot going on at sure start centres. education, health care, employment support. we can't pinpoint directly what the cause is but w

for a place of my own. >> reporter: the economic policy institute found in 2018 u.s. teachers earned 13% less than private sector workers with similar levels of education. rounds out the top three at least affordable places for teachers to live is san jose and san francisco. i'm amanda del castillo, "abc7 news." >> we spent an entire week digging into the issues teachers face all over the bay area. we looked at what it takes to find housing. all of our stories are in one place on our website, abc7news.com. search for building a better bay area teachers to find it. >>> b.a.r.t. is getting a big check thanks to the federal government. but will the millions ease overcrowded cars? >>> saving a bit of san jose history. what it took to get this legendary pig dancing again. >> it could be one of the most exclusive pool parties ever. how you can take a dip in the iconic neptune pool. >> here's a look at what's coming up on jimmy kimmel live. jimmy? >> thanks. have a look at this and tell them jimmy sent you. >> we have similar good beards. >> we're similarly handsome. >> you'r

institutions can also act as cultural hubs for latino students. many of whom earn their degree and return to work in their own communities. these institutions are effective engines of economic mobility. they meet students where they are and are dedicated to educating the whole person. hpc use and tcu's in particular and that appreciation for the identity and culture of the students they serve and their foundational mission honoring ancestors, sustaining traditions and engaging honestly as american history all signal to serve students that belong in college. many other institutions like asian american and david -- native american institutions and predominantly black institutions also serve low income students and students of color. these institutions are -- designated as a minority serving institution, colleges must not only enroll in -- a substantial amount of students of color but they must also enroll others. in my own state, the california state university system is a model for how minority serving institutions can help students overcome barriers to higher education. reflecting the population of the state, more than half of s -- cs you have students have students of colo

serving institutions can also act as cultural hubs for latino students, many of whom earn their degree and return to work in their own communities. these institutions are effective engines of economic mobility. because they meet students where they are and are dedicated to educating the whole person. hbcus and tcus in particular emhe had bed appreciation for the identity and culture of the students they serve in their foundational missions, honors ancestors, sustaining traditions and engaging honestly with american history, all serve to signal to students that they belong in college. many other institutions such as asian-american and native american pacific islander serving institutions and predominate dominateny black institutions also serve low income students and students of color. these institutions are forced to do more with less. to be designated as a minority serving institution, colleges must not only enroll a substantial number of students of color but it must also enroll a substantial number of pale students and have fewer resources than peer institutions. in my own state, the california state university system is a model for how minority serving institutions can help stu

know we make this argument about how inclusive economic institutions are create broad based patterns of incentives and opportunities are what you need for sustained economic growth and innovation in the long to ship and i think you still do have in the united states i think if you look at these enormously well.

know we make this argument about how inclusive economic institutions are create broad based patterns of incentives and opportunities are what you need for sustained economic growth and innovation in the long to ship and i think you still do have in the united states i think if you look at these enormously wealthy people like bezos gates and how did they make their money through through innovation you know they they made their money by selling people things that people valued but i also agree with you this enormous increase in inequality is.

know we make this argument about how inclusive economic institutions are create broad based patterns of incentives and opportunities are what you need for sustained economic growth and innovation in the long to ship and i think you still do have that in the united states i think if you look at these enormously wealthy people like bezos gates and how did they make their money through through innovation you know. they make their money by selling people things that people value but i also agree with you that this enormous increase in inequality is is a challenge you know i'm not you know in the book we point out this happened in the 19th century in the united states and the system was able to respond to that you know the inclusive political institutions was able to kind of respond to the enormous increase in the.

bay area economy sean randolph us here he is the senior director of bay area council economic institute, thank you forus today to be here. this is kind of like a double whammy now with to kick in on the tariff the start on monday with a mexico and those will continue to go up. we're not sure what the criteria is to make this turnaround but just talk about the what's going to hit was going to cost more which items well the planned is 5% tariff increase per month up to 25% in the summer on everything coming from mexico. n>so this is on top of higher costs for consumers and businesses because of the tariffs on china. the trick is with mexico mexico is the largest trading partner of california. it's bigger than china. it's bigger than canada. we import a lot from mexico. we imported $44 billion worth of goods last year from mexico. so if you put in 5% tariff that's about another billion in costs for californians. if it goes to 25%. it's about billion in new cause for california consumers of that. this is real it's not a little trading paran enormous and the thing about california particulars mexico's a bo

writer and columnist christina patterson, and the associate director at the institute of economic affairs, kate andrews. stay with us forresident donald trump has praised the relationship between america and the uk, saying it was the "greatest alliance the world has ever known." speaking at a news conference side by side with theresa may, he said washington was committed to what he called a ‘phenomenal post—brexit trade deal‘, insisting everything, including the nhs, would be on the table. today he also held meetings with leading brexiteers in the conservative party, and nigel farage. but mr trump revealed he turned down a request for talks from jeremy corbyn, with the labour leader, addressing thousands of people, protesting mr trump‘s visit. here‘s our political editor, laura kuenssberg. he always draws a crowd. but doesn‘t always please them. when the president comes to town, controversy is never far. the prime minister was his first international guest at the white house. this kodak moment for the mays and trumps will be her last. a press conference with donald trump on a momentous occasion, a grand leaving do for t

economically. funding for public works is in short supply, and research institutes are also affected. water management agency is based in a couple of portable containers. most of the technical equipment was provided by the u.n. what will happen when the project ends? darko: our funding comes from the public sector budget. the money for equipment maintenance is extremely limited. there has been a slight increase, but it's an issue the authorities should be taking more seriously. reporter: the un-backed project has installed 29 measuring points along the vrbas river. their sensors supply data to the early-warning system currently in the pipeline. here, too, the catastrophic flood remains fresh in people's memories. darko: on may 16, 2014, the vrbas river was up to here, eight meters 16. reporter: that's the sound of the new sirens, installed to warn residents of celinac of possible flooding. all high-risk areas now have an emergency plan in place, and trained disaster-response teams. but their equipment is several decades old. branimir: the disaster protection law set the percentage of

throughout the day thank you for that well for more on this let's speak to robert scotts he's a senior international economist at the economic policy institute he now joins us via skype from maryland robert how do we expect this meeting to go is there the possibility of another chance like we saw on one of their. well i think that those 2 leaders have been big and sent is to try and restart the negotiations neither one of them would like to see president trump but impose additional tariffs however the chinese i think are very upset about the fact that the united states has essentially banned while away participation in its telecommunications market especially for the building of the new 5 g. networks here in the usa to spain to us firms from selling while way equipment to make that those products and is trying to discourage other countries from purchasing wild ways of 5 g. products i think this is been going to be very costly for china and they would like to get some relief i don't think trump is going to give them that relief hour and china has a sense of a lead that down as poss of the conditions for any kind of a trade deal for the ban of

about what it takes to have economic prosperity you know it takes innovation that takes on ship and you know for that people you know you need to have a set of economic institutions which can harness all that latent talent and ability in your society but all of you as you know you can't have the whim of some dictator or autocrat or some communist party you know you need to have genuine political participation and accountability to guarantee those economic institutions and so i think you know you see many instances in world history of sort of transitory economic success. you know based on extractive economic institutions but it never lost you know you gave the example of the soviet union between the light and you know the kind of mid late 1920 s. and 1900 the early 1970 is you know that was a very successful experience of economic growth but very narrowly focused you know based on innovation and except in a few very specific spheres you know like military technology and you know china to us. and there is in is in that category too you know since the 1970 s. they've experienced rapid economic growth by making economic institutions much more inclusive than they were

international communist at the economic policy institute robert good to talk to you again so correct me if i'm wrong here this means a short term positive atmosphere with the potential for big negative economic consequences further down the line and that's right we've seen oil prices jump and that has in turn been good for oil producers of shale oil producers have seen their share prices rise and the overall stock market the united states jumped by about one half one percent it was not a huge shift but it was a positive movement and so this is this is good in the short term if it pushes up the price course long term if it results in a major conflict that could push the world economy into a deep downturn and that would be bad early seventy's i think the same $2.00 in 73980 as well it takes a long time for the global economy to come back from this the. certainly those were very deep recessions in those early years of the 1st 2 oil crises and particularly the 1973 shock was devastating and it was led to a very short period of high unemployment us and around the world there is a slightly different mosaic to the negative atmosphere that is surrounding the current situation t

>>will cost american businesses and consumers these is going to be bad for america robert scott with the economic policy institute tells me the auto industry and its workers could take the biggest hit. he says consumers are unlikely to notice a small increase at first, but if the tariffs ratchet up to 25% will be shooting ourselves in sort that also being. >>very damaging to the mexican economy during a news conference in spanish mexico's president andres manuel lopez obrador responded he called for dialog and said his country won't be provoked. the lawmakers are away from the capitol until monday. but the president's plan drew mixed reaction on twitter republican senator lindsey graham wrote mexico needs to do more while opponents including democratic senator dick durbin tweeted the president is killing jobs in washington free jackson. today house speaker nancy pelosi released a statement on the president's threat to impose those tariffs saying in part. >>the president's threat is not rooted in wise trade policy but has more to do with bad immigration policy on his part yet again the president is sowing chaos ov

very connected to political and economic issues being central america it's not going to stop migration in the long term louisa pedro's a research fellow at the institute for latin american studies here in germany thank you very much thank you. now to some of the other stories making news around the world the u.n. says the number of venezuelan refugees is now reached a 1000000 and one of latin america's worst ever humanitarian emergencies who and more people have been flame a socialist country with little sign of a solution to its political and economic crisis. thousands of people have taken to the streets of algeria's capital algiers to protest the 16th consecutive week president abilities but if we could quit in early april after 20 years in power the demonstrators and now pushing for more radical change demanding other senior figures also step down. in budapest rescuers are preparing to try and raise a sightseeing boat that sank in the danube last week 9 people are still missing after the vessel collided with a cruise ship 19 people are already confirmed dead in the disaster. one of russia's top investigative journalists has been charged with large scal

for a place of my own. >> reporter: the economic policy institute found in 2018 13% les private sector workers with similar levels of education. rounding out the top three of leastsan francisco. amanda del castillo, abc 7 news. >> you can find moreries on our website, abc7news.com. such for building a better bay area teachers to find them. >>> never more than seven minutes away from my accuweather forecast. we'll warm up this week end but cool down quickly next week. i'll show you all that coming up in less than seven minutes. first let's talk about some temperatures. mid to upper 50s throughout much of the east bay. 61 in antioch. a little warmer. mid to upper 50s along the bayshore into the south bay. take you to los gatos at 49. pacifica at 52. upper 40s at napa and novato. let's take a look at what's going on as far as your activity planner today. brighter and milder at our beaches. mid to upper 60s with sunshine. if you're out and about, sunglasses and sunscreen. a small craft advisory if you're playing on the bay. eight-hour period, yesterday it st extra hour of calmer conditions. north bay, 50s at 7

connected to political and economic issues being central america it's not going to stop migration in the long term louisa pedro's a research fellow at the gate institute for latin american studies here in germany thank you very much thank you now to some of the other stories making news around the world the u.n. says the number of venezuelan refugees is now reached a few 1000000 it's one of latin america's worst ever humanitarian emergencies more and more people have been fleeing the socialist country with little sign of a solution to its political and economic crisis. in budapest rescuers are preparing to try and raise a sightseeing boat that sank in the danube last week 9 people are still missing after the vessel collided with a cruise ship 19 people are already confirmed dead in the disaster. turkish president wretch of time has served as best man at the wedding of german soccer star and arsenal midfielder mesut ozil quit the german national team last year amid a round of public rout over his turkish roots which came after a photograph of him with murder one drew criticism from. when german foreign minister hiker masses touched down in baghdad on an un

they really are or not that of them as our institutions are not able to perform their responsibilities and the reason for that is the in coordination in the economic decision making mechanism. and the temporary currency controls imposed this thing work and this in present add on was right to impose those measures well on the south an alternate and the government told its citizens to sell their dollars and buy gold and then bring that gold and debit to banks following that they told people to avoid investing in foreign currency they auction foreign exchange bonds and bills all these contradict with each other if you can't preserve the purchasing power and the credibility of your national currency which is your country's decency your people will and voluntarily go after foreign exchange. ken didn't jenna's in. the government doesn't respect the parliament decisions doesn't follow or internalize the central bank is given authority for liberal instruments liberal administration but the political authority intervenes it abuses of the trust and harms the perception and then people are not able to see ahead which stops long term investments also foreign