security if josh appear director of the military balance project a member of the institute for national security studies explores tel aviv's plans to rein in to iran's nuclear ambitions. with me i have if to hear the director of the military balance project at the institute for national security studies here in tel aviv thank you very much for joining us here in r.t. your work and when you sat down together a couple of weeks ago you said it was not in is also interest to launch a military strike on iran why do you think is also not striking around i don't think that is ready or force is large enough or strong enough to actually destroy the iranian nuclear weapon project that might cost them some damage but it would not. destroy it so it could not achieve anything do you think that the u.s. would consider carburetor with israel in such a strike that quietly it first of all there's no quietly in this issue because things will tend to come out sooner or later so to begin with. on the one hand i think president obama has not ruled out an american strike yet even though his military is very reluctant to get

me i have your stuffs up here the director of the military balance project at the institute for national security studies here in tel aviv thank you very much for joining us here in r.t. over when you sat down together a couple of weeks ago you said it was not in israel's interest to launch a military strike on iran why do you think israel should not strike you when i don't think that the israeli air force is large enough or strong enough to actually destroy the iranian nuclear weapon project it might cost them some damage but it would not. destroy it so it would not achieve anything do you think that the u.s. would consider carburetors with his role in such a strike but why didn't it first of all those not working in this issue because things were going to come out sooner or later so to begin with. on the one hand i think president obama has not ruled out an american strike yet even though his military is very reluctant to get into another war in the middle east i don't think he would do it during an election year so can't there be a reason for it all to launch a strike now before there's a new american

different perspective coming up in just twenty five minutes if out of fear from israel's institute for national security studies tells r.t. just water iran has to lose from the fall of. the us the dream has been iran's. closest for over two decades if the us attorney general falls apart iran is standing to lose a very strong me because any government would take place in syria whether it be. western of i am democracy which is not very likely or muslim muslim brothers were sunnis and we're very hostile confused you around any region you either horsehead to iran or far from corporation was around and as much as the bashar al assad regime has been. now from boycotts to marches and protests there is public anger over the killing of teenager trayvon martin across america gunned down while armed only with iced tea and candy the episode has brought attention to the country's laps gun laws which critics say have gone far beyond just security breach of ordinary ports. if the second amendment to the u.s. constitution had a soundtrack. the right to bear arms would best be recognized by gunfire. the land of the free is the

syrian crisis in the region policy or spoke with you have to ship here from israel's institute for national security studies about what regime change could mean for syria's key ally iran full interview coming up in the next hour here's a preview. syria has been and the assad regime has been yuans closest alley for over two decades if us and through june falls apart iran is standing to lose a very strong adly because any government would take place in syria was a. western of our own democracy which is a multitude likely all muslim the muslim brothers were sunnis and were very hostile confused we were on any. other horse then to run. from corporate king with iran as much as the. assad regime has been. controversial us gun laws coming under rising public scrutiny the latest outrage at lax legislation legislation sparked by the killing of an unarmed teenager in florida critics say the right to bear arms and shoot in the name of self-defense go beyond personal safety instead serving the interest of those making and selling the weapons or he's very important has the details. if the second amendment to the u.s. co

perspective coming up in just twenty five minutes time if our shapira from israel's institute for national security studies tells r.t. just what iran has to lose from the fall of us at fault or hubris been and the dream has been iran's closest rally for over two decades if us a true dream falls apart iran is standing to lose a very strong only because any government would pick place in syria would be worse than of our own democracy which is not very likely or muslim muslim brothers who are sunis and were very hostile to. iran any route you either hostile to run or far from corporate community around the earth much of the bashar al assad regime has been. from boycotts to marches and protests there is public anger over the killing of teenager trayvon martin across america gunned down while armed only with iced tea and candy the episode has brought attention to the country's last gun laws which critics say i've gone far beyond just security right of ordinary ports. if the second amendment to the u.s. constitution had a soundtrack. the right to bear arms would best be recognized by gunfire. the land of the fre

crisis in the region our paula slayer also talked to a gift appeared from the israeli institute for national security studies the subject of conversation all about what regime change could lead for i mean for syria's key ally of iran well before that if you are coming up next hour here on r.t. for another way a quick preview. syria's been through and the us the dream has been iran's closest value for over two decades if us and through june falls apart iran is standing to lose a very strong only because any government would click place in syria was a. western ally and democracy which is more true likely all muslim muslim brothers were sunnis and were very hostile confused you around any ridge you would be either hostile to run or far from corporately we're going to run the matter through bashar al assad's regime has been. watching r t a controversial us gun laws are coming under increasing public scrutiny the latest outrage at lax legislation sparked by the killing of an unarmed teenager in florida critics say the right to bear arms and shoot in the name of self defense go well beyond personal safety instead

to the syrian crisis in the region we're also spoke with mr shapiro from israel's institute for national security studies about what regime change could mean for syria's key ally iran full interview coming up later this hour here's a preview. syria has been. and the assad regime has been you rance closest alley for over two decades if us a true team falls apart you ron is standing to lose a very strong because any government would take place in syria was a. western other than democracy which is not very likely or muslim muslim brothers were sunnis of were very hostile to. you on any route you would be either hostile to run or from corporate it was around that as much as the bashar assad regime has been. controversial u.s. gun laws coming under increased public scrutiny the latest outrage of lax legislation sparked by the killing of an unarmed teenager in florida critics say the right to bear arms and shoot in the name of self defense go well beyond personal safety instead serving the interest of those making and selling the weapons or he's worried important explains. if the second amendment to the u.s. c

from a perry different perspective coming up in the next hour here from israel's institute for national security studies tells r.t. just what iran has to lose from the fall of our set. q.b. has been and the game has been the ron's closest i'll be for over two decades if assets regime falls apart iran is going to lose a very strong because and the government will take place in syria whether it be. western ally and democracy which is not very likely or muslim muslim brothers were sunni's and were very hostile to. you on any region you would be either hostile to run or far from corporate can with as much as the bashar al assad regime has been. now from boycotts to marches and protests there is public anger over the killing of teenager trayvon martin across america gunned down while armed only with iced tea and candy the episode has brought attention to the country's lax gun laws which critics say i'm gone far beyond just security or in a partner reports. if the second amendment to the us constitution had a soundtrack. the right to bear arms would best be recognized by gunfire. the land of the free is the m

very different perspective coming up later this hour if josh up here from israel's institute for national security studies tells r.t. just what iran has to lose from the fall of us. syria has been and the us a group team has been you ranz closest ally you for over two decades if us a true team falls apart iran is standing to lose a very strong only because any government would take place in syria or the. west of i and democracy which is most very likely or more through muslim brothers were sunnis and were very hostile to. any rigi would be either hostile to run or far from corporate can get around as much as the bashar assad regime has been. from boycotts to marches and protests there is public anger over the killing of teenager trayvon martin across america gunned down by armed only with iced tea and candy the opposite has brought attention to the country's last gun laws which critics say have gone far beyond just security arena for it now has more. if the second amendment to the u.s. constitution had a soundtrack. the right to bear arms would best be recognized by gunfire. the land of the free is the mo

crisis in the region paul asli also talk to us started up here he's from israel's institute for national security studies on the subject of conversation about what regime change could mean for syria's key ally iran before the interviewer coming away later this hour finale here's a quick preview of what he had to say. cuba has been. and the us the dream has been iran's closest ally for over two decades if asad through june falls apart you run is standing to lose a very strong alley because any government would take place in syria was a. western ally and democracy which is not very likely all muslim muslim brothers were sunnis and were very hostile to. you on any ridge you would be either hostile to run or far from corporately we're going to run out of as much of the. us that routine has been. watching our to live from moscow now controversial us gun laws are coming under increasing public scrutiny of the latest outrage at lax legislation sparked by the killing of an unarmed teenager in florida critics say the right to bear arms and shoot in the name of self defense go well beyond personal safety instead s

i get starstruck pew from israel's institute for national security studies that's also out here at our scene just what iran has to lose from the possible for all of us. syria. and the us the game has been iran's could also style you for over two decades if assets would seem falls apart you ron is standing to lose a very strong alley because any government who would take place in syria would be a western ally and democracy which is not very likely all muslim muslim brothers were sunnis and were very hostile confused you on any ridge you would be either hostile to run or far from core preaching with iran as much as the bashar al assad regime has been. and the interview is coming your way later this hour here in our city but for now from boycotts to marches and protests there is public anger over the killing of teenager trayvon martin all across america gunned down while armed with only ice tea and candy the episode has brought attention to the country's lax gun laws which critics say have gone far beyond just security but this story is art is more important. if the second amendment to th

security program at the center for a new american security. previously, he was the director of the institute for national strategic studies at the national defense university and has had a 25-year career inside government and academic research centers. thank you. we welcome our analysts today. i ask that our witnesses please keep your presentation to no more than five minutes. and without objection, the witness's entire statements, written statements will be inserted into the hearing record. we will begin with mr. fleist. >> thank you, madam chair and members of the committee. it's an who nor to be here today. >> you can put that microphone a little closer. >> i enjoyed working with your on the house intelligence committee staff. i my name is fred fleitz and i'm the managing direct of the langley intelligent group network, a forecast and intelligence service. i formerly worked with the cia and state department. i will focus on north korea's wmd program. the program was a test of an icbm surprised some experts and u.s. diplomats. however, this launch was consistent with past north korea behavior. although it seems counterproductive, north korea h

study from the brookings institution. for more on this and what can be done to address it, i spoke with one of the report's authors who served as the national security director for asia during the clinton administration. thank you for joining us. >> my pleasure. >> two world powers with many this shared interest. what is causing the mistrust? >> really is mistrust about long-term intentions. both sides want to work together. both sides stressed the need for cooperation. where the balance of world power is shifting in very different political systems, and frankly neither of us understands the domestic and political constraints of the other side. china has had a tough historical experience. they do not regard the international and irina -- international arena as a terribly friendly place. each worries that a friendship is not going to be feasible. they have reached an analytical conclusion. is not even emotional. they see things on either side that cause them to worry. >> you stay in your report that china is more sufficient than the united states. >> i think it is because china's suspicions are more historical grounded. the u.s. has been the elephant

security program at the center for new american security. previously dr. grodin was the director of the institute for national strategic studies at the national defense university and has had a 25-year career inside government and academic research centers. thank you. we welcome our panelists today and i ask that our witnesses please keep your presentation to no more than five minutes. without objection, the entire written statements of the witnesses will be inserted into the hearing record. we will begin with mr. fleiss. >> it is an honor to be here today. i enjoyed working with you and the house intelligence staff. i am managing director of the langley intelligence group network, a washington d.c.-based global forecasting an intelligence service. i formerly worked for the cia and the state department. my remarks today will focus on north korea's wmd and rocket program. last week's rocket launch that north korea claims was intended to lift the satellite into orbit but was probably a test of an icbm. it was consistent with north korea's past behavior. although it may seem counterproductive coming after a food aid agreement was

security council resolution. and china's ambassador said the u.n. must do everything possible to diffuse tension rather than inflame the situation. >>> and joining us once again now is the national graduate institute for policy studies or grips, in tokyo. now north korea has acknowledged that the launch has failed. >> right. >> how will it affect kim jong-un? any negative impacts? >> certainly it will have a negative impact on kim jong-un. in the past, north korea has, you know, tried to launch a satellite twice. in 1998 and 2009. and each time the satellite launch failed, but the north korean authority announced that it was successful. but this time, they said it was -- it failed so i was surprised. but anyway, this is sending a message. and even to the leaders, that the future of kim jong-un's new leadership is grim. >> right. so what's north korea's next step then? >> i don't think this fail uure. they continue to play the game as planned. it was a peaceful satellite launch and we are still perfectly willing to abide by the february agreement with the u.s. in which we will freeze the nuclear test -- missile test and operation of the uranium enrichment program. while the united states knew -- decided to provide us

with the peterson institute for international studies, showing a 1% increase in trade by poor countries reduces poverty by 1%. three, to advance our security games. impoverished nations don't govern well. they can't seal their borders. they become failed states and they become breeding grounds for international terrorism, crime, and aquatics trafficking and a lot of that beings. for, to integrate poor countries , bangladeshis, indonesia, pakistan, and two are treating system and that creates future markets for our entrepreneurs, just like the marshall plan. so they get a dividend, but it's down the road a bit. and finally, to enhance rule of law and transparency. bilateral and pleural lateral agreements can accomplish some of this. but because they are geographic reach is so much more narrow, they can accomplish as much. but it's big enough they can stimulate the members of the multilateral community to move forward on multilateral liberalization. the uruguay round had collapsed in brussels in 1991. we came home and begin to negotiate the nafta. president george h.w. bush signed in december of 1992 and it was put through congress the following year. within four or fi

with the peterson institute for international studies showing that a 1% increase in trade by poor countries reduces poverty 1%. three, to advance our security ames. impoverished nations don't govern well. they can't steal their borders. they become field states and they become breeding grounds for international terrorism, crime, narcotics trafficking and a lot of bad things. for cut integrate poor countries. bangladesh and indonesia, pakistan and to our trading system, and that creates future markets for our entrepreneurs just like the marshall plan. so they get a dividend, but it's down the road, and finally to enhance the will fall and transparency. now bilateral agreements can accomplish some of this but because there is a geographic reach much more narrow and, they can't accomplish as much. but if began at the can stimulate the members of the multilateral community to move forward on multilateral liberalization. we saw that with nafta to be the the uruguay round collapsed in brussels in 1991. we came home and began to negotiate nafta. president george h. w. bush signed it in december of 1992 and was put through congress the following year. within four or five mon