the minister of defense of russia serhii shugut, the chief of the general staff of the russian army valery gerasimov may be replaced, according to the report of the american institute for the study of warhe wagner group claim that it is not the minister of defense of russia sergei shoigut, the chief of the general staff of the army general valery gerasimov, allegedly on the tula governor oleksiy dun and the deputy commander-in-chief of the ground forces , lieutenant general oleksandr matovnikov, currently the institute for the study of war cannot independently verify any from these reports a-a we include in the conversation the russian opposition leader and political analyst olga kurnosova a-a olya good evening, do you understand ukrainian or better than russian with you understand, but i don’t speak well, well, the main thing is that you can understand my question, because just now harry was in tabakh, he asked him to translate, and look at this story with a possible resignation , er, icu there. yes, this is the american institute for the study of war, er, he says about such possibilities of the resignation of gerasimov and shoigu, today the russian propaganda public is at war with fa

of terror and can be inflicted on the back of people's places yes russia's use of tactical nuclear weapons is evaluated by the american institute for the study of warobability of such a strike is still low, analysts say, radio correspondent svoboda serhii stetsenko spoke with mason clark, an analyst investigating russia's war against ukraine. this is what he said about a possible nuclear strike by russia, the caribbean crisis , today the world is closer than ever to a nuclear war . will be under threat now that russia has annexed the occupied ukrainian territories, how much is the nuclear threat increasing and what might be the response of nato countries to a possible a nuclear attack on the territory of ukraine ann, it will be withounds as you have already noted, the level of nuclear tension is indeed higher than in any other period of the war, the threats come from the kremlin, in particular from dmitry medvedev, but here at the institute for the study of war we believe that the chances that russia will use nuclear tactical weapons in ukraine are low they are definitely trying to intimidate ukraine and force it to back down as well as intimidate

significant success in the area of ​​the estuary in donetsk region and in the north of the kherson region, this is what the new report of the american institute for the study of wars, geolocation footage confirms russian statements that ukrainian troops are continuing their offensive east of the estuary and possibly broke through the border of luhansk region in the direction of flint , analysts note that russian units that were previously considered the strongest are experiencing further failures in the war in the war, the institute for the study of war states how the freed liman lives. and what do the ukrainian military say who continue the offensive in the donetsk direction . see further. i hear now my own as they say for our land for our children so that our people live better there, but at a very expensive price, it all seems to be equipment about the lyman, we brought this equipment from the estuary , this is a russian armored car and now it will to work for our armed forces due to the fact that we are recapturing our land, i am in an uplifted mood because after all we are recapturing our land, it is depressing that we have its losses and wounded wounded, so

, the stocks are running out, moreover, the effectiveness of these strikes is limited, at the same time, russia identified what the institute for the study of war calls an information operation regarding the accusation of ukraine in the preparation of the explosion of a dirty bomb, yes , the experts of the institute they call new calls by russian generals to western military departments and a briefing to the ministry of defense of russia on the same topic as well. we have information that the investigators for insider bellington bellington and the state spy learned about a secret unit in the main accounting center of the military forces of the russian federation and identified 30 military engineers who guided missiles at civilian objects of ukraine. the commander of the missile guidance unit is colonel ihor bagnyuk. we will learn and get to know this investigation in more detail in order to understand who is involved in missile terrorism of the russian federation well, for now we continue to collect operational information in particular, let's talk about the situation in the east serhii cherevaty, the spokesman for the eastern group of troops,

people could be called up putin did not even try to prepare the population of russia for war and mobilization, the american institute for the studyes that the factors that contributed to the mobilization of the population in previous russian wars are now simply absent, they say that there are no ukrainian troops or nato troops on russian soil, and there is no threat of an invasion . the same, the armed forces of russia at least since 2008, they have not created the reserve forces necessary for immediate mobilization , there are no quick solutions to these problems, so the mobilization process will be ugly, the quality of the reservists is low, and their the motivation to fight is even worse, the american institute for the study of war predicts. well, they also add that the problems with the mobilization of the russians are so deep that putin will not be able to solve them in the coming months. it is possible that the russian mobilization years ago will not affect the course of the war in the 22nd year. after announcement of mobilization, more than 200 thousand people left, this number exceeds the number of soldiers who were invol

president putin wants to frighten the west with nuclear threats or to reach an agreement on a ceasefire. he is using this time for rearmament. the institute for the study of wardicts that the latest statements of the head of the kremlin are not fundamentally new, so they do not indicate a quick preparation for the use of nuclear weapons. putin can use them if he is sure. in the passivity of the west and will believe that nuclear weapons will defeat ukraine. the president of russia understands that he can not win a war with ukraine with the forces he has and therefore seeks to freeze hostilities and buy time for regrouping, analysts consider restrictions for russians, several thousand subjects involved in russian aggression and holding pseudo-referendums in temporarily occupied territories will be included in the sanctions list, president of ukraine volodymyr zelenskyi informed about these details, in addition, the verkhovna rada will consider a bill on the nationalization of the assets of the russian federation, there are restrictions against several thousand subjects, the sanctions of ukraine and our partners are being synchronized, new sanctions are being i

absolutely necessary in connection with the attack on the energy systems of our country. of the kakhova npp this is reported by the institute for the study of warcan institution of russia probably continues to prepare the operation under a foreign flag regarding the destruction of the kakhova hpp dam, for which it intends to accuse ukraine of this and other things. we will now talk with ruslan muzychuk, the spokesman of the national guard of ukraine. the national guard withstood an extremely powerful blow with dignity, and now it has to carry out combat missions in all areas where hostilities are conducted, almost 300 have been completed in a week of firing missions to destroy the enemy's manpower. glory to ukraine, mr. spokesman, can you hear us, the hero of the word good day, one of the most hot spots is donetsk region . on the fronts, in particular , in the areas where the national guard takes the most active part, indeed, if such an investment is the result, this week there are 200, almost 300 fire missions, this also applies to the destruction of living the enemy's forces, the destruction of its control points, the destruction of its equip

measures in the border regions, in addition, officials of the russian federation are increasingly trying to reconcile the war in ukraine with religious concepts, according to the institute for the study of war, this should encourage believers of all religions to join the mobilization the first conversation in office with ukraine of the new prime minister of great britain rishi sunok spoke on the phone with the president of ukraine, volodymyr zelenskyi, and immediately received an invitation to visit our country with the new prime minister of britain. i believe that the partnership between our countries and the already traditional british leadership in the defense of democracy and freedom will only strengthen in the future. ukraine and britain have reached their best relations at this time, but still we have the potential to increase our cooperation to give more benefit to our society, supporting ukraine in the united the kingdom will be stronger than ever, and president zelenskyi can count on further solidarity of the british government. this is how the results of the conversation between the leaders of the two countries at downing street were summed up. in addition, rishi sunok note

conduct conventional military operations until 2023 this is stated in the analysis of analysts at the institute for the study of wars the fact that vladimir putin is waiting for winter and for the state of cold in order to understand whether they will not change europe's position in supporting ukraine, according to analysts, the russian partial mobilization should strengthen the defense and can help maintain its positions against the counteroffensive of the armed forces during the rest of the autumn and winter period, this indicates that putin will continue to fight until the 23rd year now we are also in touch with romanenko, deputy chief of the general staff of the armed forces of ukraine from 2006 to 2010, mr. ihor, we congratulate you, i congratulate you, it is the best time. this morning , let's talk about nuclear weapons again russia is constantly blackmailing. please tell me the topic of nuclear deterrence. it is actually the only tool in the world to directly prevent this nuclear war from starting. meanwhile, our world is not turbulent now, and this tool did not justify itself in fact, that is, it had or con

combat-capable personnel in order to influence the course of the war in the short-term perspective, this is stated in the latest report of the american institute for the study of war, analysts note that the deterioration of the morale, discipline and fighting capacity of the russian troops may lead to a temporary suspension of offensive operations in certain areas of the front, how is mobilization in russia? well, we in fact, every day we see numerous videos that are published by mobilized people, but here we have collected the brightest moments. let's take a look on this, and then we will discuss it , the cavalry military enlistment office here, the cops, here he is, i’m on the front, here he is, here he is, thursday, here we are in such a state, everything is in such a state, the guys are driving, they haven’t arrived yet, everything is in the mouth, everything has been brought to which bureau, let’s talk, there’s still going to be a lot of people around no one is standing, no one has anything, they just threw nothing to the ground. this is how we sleep. come on, let's go to the servants. the people are stupidly taught to march, not with automatic machine

, more than 80 settlements will be in the zone of rapid flooding, including kherson, the president of ukraine emphasized, the american institute for the study of war that the russians probably believe that the breach of the dam will cover their withdrawal from the right bank of the dnieper will delay the advance of ukrainian troops across the river, so the russian army can damage the dams and put ukraine responsible for the damage and loss of life, and most importantly, obscure the news about the third humiliating retreat of the russian troops. information was introduced by putin's envoys in kherson that, but in a few months, the counteroffensive of the armed forces multiplied by zero all their statements, 88 settlements were liberated region, the strategic antonov bridge is out of order and russia has decided to cover up all its failures , they are not successful at the front, directly on the ground front, and in particular, the use of aviation in them is a little slowed down at the moment, also in their actions , the message is absolutely clear to us at the moment that they are trying to relocate to the left bank well, it is more obvious that th

the beginning of the invasion, it has turned into such a las vegas, because the russians are sending buses there on flights to visit europe . that the russians and even the institute for the study of warians can blow up the dam at the kakhovsky hpp and, accordingly, blame the ukrainians for this, how much does it affect the people who live around you, you know at some events from the panicked mood that russia spreads with the help of sms and persistent calls, e-e, to those phones that the suns bought, as well as to landline phones that some simply restored due to the lack of ukrainian communication, probably these phones are russian mobile cards of the russian operator, this was the most such promotion which the russians succeeded in, although the majority of kherson residents still managed to purchase them without their own passports, without exchanging them for their own passport data, because the russians sold several cards in one hand, and in this way, people simply preferred repurchases on the secondary market without passport data those who still agreed to provide them still have some problems, some communication today, yes, communication, i will continue my opinion here, you kn

this is confirmed by the analysts of the institute for the study of war . protect them as much as possible. what are russia's real plans and what will it do? the president for the sake of his goal ukraine is waiting for the switch blade 600 mikadze drone from the usa defense minister reznikov confirms this amid expectations and new fighter jets how these weapons will help in the fight against russia and iranian martyrs ukraine the president of guinea-bissau visited, this is the first visit by an african leader since february 24, before that, the ukrainian delegation flew to africa zelenskyi announces agreements, we are interested in building high-quality multi-faceted relations, will they hear the ukrainian position on the african continent and is it really possible to reduce the influence of the kremlin there, see svoboda life greetings vitaly svoboda life my name is serhii stetsenko, we are speaking live on the pages of radio svoboda on facebook and youtube, as well as on the website of the espresso tv channel, questions and comments leave it for streaming

analysts at the institute for the study of war say that the founder of a private military of wagner'spany, prigozhin is creating a military structure in parallel with the russian army . according to the institute, prigozhin is recruiting a volunteer battalion that has now settled down, the so -called ex-minister of defense of the quasi dnr, igor girkin , is known for his criticism of the ministry of defense of the russian federation . which undermines his army, the americans noted, the ukrainian red cross demands tough measures against the russian for collecting money for the families of those mobilized, in particular, in the organization emphasized that the red cross of the russian federation violates the principle of neutrality, because it supported the political action "we are together", it was initiated by the leadership of the aggressor state and provides assistance to military personnel. they also emphasized that the international committee of the red cross and the red cross society in ukraine have no connection with the russian red cross. before our victory, volodymyr zelenskyy

the quality of the s300 launched, two missiles self-destructed, and one more hit a high -rise building in belgorod literally an hour ago. for its propaganda purposes, this is exactly what the institute for the study of war hinting at, or rather frankly speaking, terrorist acts on the territory of the russian federation in the near future will be blamed on ukraine. ended the opinion related to the results of rammstein, us army general mark milley stated that ukraine does not currently control the entire airspace , but many member countries of the contact group on the defense of ukraine have the necessary air defense and anti-aircraft systems, in particular, many countries of the rammstein group have patriot systems, as well as israeli and german ones systems mili states the task of bringing it together install on the ground train personnel ensure that they systems are linked to command and control that there are radars and they can talk have an established connection with each other is difficult from a technical point of view, but it can be achieved and we strive for it, it is clear that the deployment of such an internet system involves satellite support, and ukraine and its partners will now move in th

the kherson flag and protect people from er advancing ukrainian troops , of course ryazan will be found on the corpses of these provolts farm and voronet passports well , you share what the institute for the study of wars in its research, even the last one, let's take today's report that it is very likely that the right bank will be liberated by the end of the year how many troops will be on the right bank transferred by the russians a couple of months ago when it was cool on the right bank to go up to 15,000 people, it was possible to talk about the fact that we would liberate the kherson region in a few weeks at the most during the winter , well, after the russians transferred the same amount of troops to the right bank increased to almost 30,000 russian troops on the right bank, and naturally this process was delayed for a certain time, since the ukrainian troops need to reduce the density of russian troops with their fire, which was done recently at the same time, the same process is taking place, decreasing the implotnosti troops by the destruction method. with this amount , which is now on the right bank, which is not 20,000 e-e 7 can be put somewhere in a month and a half. that is, i think not

for providing the drones, tehran stands alone in its level of support to moscow. geoff: mason clark joins us now. he's the lead russian military analyst at the institute for the study of war so much for being with us. mason:hanks for having me. geoff: and, these so-called "kamikaze drones" -- how exactly do they work and why have they become an increasingly urgent problem for ukraine? mason: right. so iran is providing russia what is known as the shahed-136. they're often, as you said, known as "kamikaze drones," and more technically are known as a 'loitering munition.' they're a very small, propeller driven aircraft, really powered by something the size of a lawnmower engine, and about as loud, that can orbit over a given target area, say downtown kyiv, for hours at a time, waiting to target a specific building or location. they then dive down towards the ground and detonate on impact, causing a good amount of damage, though they are quite small warheads, all things considered. and, in principle, these munitions are very effective at picking out and targeting very specific items. on the battlefield, they would be used to target ukrainian command centers, artillery positi

well, the american institute for the study of war says that they really decorate their success there,e picture, well, the russians really like to advertise their success, they don’t take half of some building, they are advertised as if they took the whole the city and advances forward, flooding the front there, the situation is as follows there, they achieve a certain, certain , well, significant superiority in artillery and throw er at the city of bakhmut, they attack it from two directions, this is eastern and this is southern, that is, from the year of solidar ivangorod, it is experienced and so on. and there now part of the main battle for them, now the main thing is to get hold of the outskirts of this city, well, again, in order to , uh, continue to count on some success and uh, try to take bakhmut, why do they need this tep very much

putin is ready to sacrifice luhansk region in order to obtain the south of ukraine, um, it was news from the institute for the study of war have been mentioning so often for how many months, uh, actually, now we have news from the kherson region that, well, they are scratching like that the chicken is after them, after the russians, eh, for what do you think , if they don’t flee from kherson oblast so quickly, they will leave luhansk oblast alone, and as predicted by the institute for the study of war, will they or will they leave it alone because they will see that their affairs are already quite bad, it is necessary to watch globally globally at the moment the armed forces of the russian federation do not have the opportunity to hold the entire length of the front, all these statements still have a more political basis and here we are talking about the crimea, the provision of the corridor to the crimea about providing crimea with water, there is a lot about control there at our zaporozhye station, so i think that all this attention is focused on the south of our country precisely in the context of maintaining control o

also be the 1st major settlement off the don bus region that ukraine would be able to take back if everything goes as, for example, the institute for the study of war. one of the most influential observers in this war are saying they, i estimating that it might take ukraine up to 3 days to take back this, this settlement. and that would of course, be a strong or so gesture towards the kremlin, which has just annexed these territories. it is bullying and keeps thanks so much. will army offices in between a fossa have announced the overthrow of military lead a pull henry dominga. captain abraham tre or a has been declared the new head of the west african country. on friday, explosions and heavy gunfire were reported near the presidential palace in the capital. why could do good if the king, a fuss as 2nd qu, in just 9 months? women, nikki, army officers address the nation, the national television broadcast, and the doubts over who's now in charge of the military leaders had overthrown their own lieutenant, turned president. and promised to tackle the volatile security situation. was down to note that conscious of our historical responsibility, the pa

where russia is under sanctions, experts have already reached such conclusions of the american institute for the study of warthey state that even strikes on the ukrainian energy system will not break the ukrainians, the analysts' report says that russia simply wasted its missiles on non-military targets, in particular, such as a playground, a park, the german consulate and a business center in kyiv. meanwhile, the head of the center of government communication british correspondent jeremy fleming claims that russia is running out of ammunition after months of grueling fighting. believes that russia's spending on the war in ukraine in terms of both people and equipment is staggering - this is a quote because the successes that the russian troops managed to achieve at the beginning of the invasion have now been nullified, and another piece of news came from washington, the president of the united states, joe biden , in a conversation with volodymyr zelensky promised to provide ukraine with advanced air defense systems, this is stated in the statement of the white house about a week ago, i will remind the ameri

the west in order to stop aid to ukraine. this is reported by analysts of the american institute for the study of the study of war aesw - analystsd that the head of the russian ministry of defense separately called his colleagues from france from turkey of great britain from the usa and did not talk about this dirty only with the secretary of defense of the usa. they must obviously understand that he is not an idiot listening to all this during of these conversations, he claimed that kyiv was preparing to carry out an attack under a false flag using a dirty bomb, in turn kremlin propagandists very quickly picked up and spread this false and ridiculous statement. and they are informing that the ministry of defense is from there about the calls of the place as disagreements. well, there it is indicated that during his conversation with the french a colleague who is discussing the declared steady trend towards further controlled escalation discussed the situation in ukraine and made false statements that ukraine is preparing to use a bomb in his homeland in his conversations with great britain, france and turkey and simply discusse

of the conflict. >> it means one thing. i believe russia will react as harshly as possible. >> i am joined by a russian team institute for the study of war what is your prognosis? >> while his habits were alarming, we think it's a campaign to pressure ukraine as well as western backers. the statement is not unfortunately unique. they claimed back as far as last december the ukrainians were preparing a false flag attack and officials have stated repeatedly as a recurring claim against ukraine. a closely parallels what the russians have done in syria, claiming false flag attacks that never pan out. well we can't rule it out, -- >> worst-case scenario, what would that mean on the ground? >> a dirty bomb is not a nuclear weapon. there is no nuclear fission a close into the explosion. -- goes into the explosion. it would be in the range of a few city blocks. it's unlikely he would have a major battlefield effect. if it were p into practice, it would cause surrenders death and damage but it would not turn the war around for the russians and crucially not provide them the justification they are seeking. the u.s. and allies have done and excelle

occupied territories and create conditions for the curtailment of western support for ukraine, the analyst notes of the american institute for the study of war, the russian dictator will also continue to hint at the possibility of using nuclear weapons and threaten the alliance, the head of the kremlin will throw in combat operations in ukraine by ill-prepared mobilized and waiting for a harsh winter to break the will of europe, american analysts add that the partially completed mobilization of urf shows that putin intends to fight next year, ukraine-turkey and the united nations have agreed to the movement of 14 ships from ukrainian grain in the black sea after the statement of the russian federation to withdraw from the grain agreement, this is stated in the statement of the joint coordination center in istanbul. it is noted that the three delegations agreed on carrying out an inspection on october 31 for forty ships leaving the port, they also inform russia of the decision taken, the total tonnage of food grains of displaced experts of ukraine as part of the initiative is more than 9.5 million tons, russia is blackmailing the world with h

positions in the north of the kherson region for in the last 48 hours, ukrainian troops have achieved significant success in this region , noted the analysts of the institute for the study of warwhile at the same time the occupiers are forced to evacuate the wounded to crossing the dnipro river and destroying their own stocks of ammunition during the retreat, military analysts also suggest that the command of putin 's army may leave the snowmobile in anticipation of attacks by the armed forces of ukraine, this will deprive the russians of control over the ingulets river and further isolate kherson, in turn, the defenders continue to destroy logistics and reserves invaders, 330 more russians do not panic because of the offensive of the ukrainian military, and since the beginning of the full-scale invasion of the enemy army, our defenders have already fought 61,330 peaceful battles they also take care that the equipment of the attackers is not overworked in such a way that 14 tanks, 26 armored combat vehicles, 13 vehicles, 10 artillery systems and three rocket salvo fire systems were turned into scrap metal, in addition, they landed 15 unmanned attackers. they remind the general

informational conditions to justify the planned retreat of the russian army from the territory of the kherson region. this is what the experts of the american institute for the study of war think, under the guise of evacuation from kherson, the russians are trying to deport large groups of ukrainians, tens of thousands of civilians and russian-appointed officials are being resettled before the expected ukrainian offensive after russia captured kherson in march, communication with the content was severely limited, it is difficult for people to share their stories with the outside world journalist from kherson dmytro bagnenko documented for the bbc investigation the beginning of the invasion and three months of life under russian occupation special report more 50 is coming on march 1, russian tanks entered and took control of the ukrainian city of kherson, despite the great risk, journalist dmytro bagnenko films the beginning of the invasion from his window together with wife lydia is trying to distract her five-year-old daughter ksyusha from the war that is unfolding on the street, let's have a dog, good night, a spider, good night, the family is looking for salvation in

directions on the left bank of the oskil river in kharkiv oblast our the defenders are advancing further to the east of kupyansk according to the data of the institute for the study of ware army resumed the offensive in kherson oblast, gained a foothold in golden balka and khreshchenivka, and liberated several more settlements, throwing the occupiers to new defensive positions in donetsk oblast. a city near torskoye, which is already under our control, destroyed a column of russian marauders, they fled with the loot towards the crimea in the luhansk region, at the same time leaving behind a lot of trophies for the armed forces of ukraine. in general, according to the general staff, our military eliminated 320 occupiers during the day, mostly in the kramatorsk and bakhmut areas. also, they neutralized enemy attack su-25s in the kherson region and a helicopter 52 in the latter, a well-hit shot from a ukrainian manpads helped to make a hard landing. this happened in zaporizhzhya direction, the fascist occupiers continue to flee from ukrainian land, followed by the defenders of the republics of the so-called ldr for the fourth day, and after the retreat from the estuary reg

negotiations is the situation on the eastern and southern fronts and as noted by the experts of the american institute for the study of warst russian units in the east and south and the ukrainian army expands the zone of control in the north-east in the directions to krymina and svatov and which has already been said in the kherson region, can the situation on the front line be changed by general mobilization or by them they call a partial general mobilization in the russian federation, this critical mass, a large mass of people who can pass from that side of the front well , first of all, i would like to say that the position of our president is still alive, that is, if putin did not call our president by his last name before, well, he has such a manner he said in ukraine and that's just such rhetoric, then in uzbekistan it's already been two months with requests to stop hostilities and proceed to negotiations, but they understood that they want on their own terms, he called the president for the first time surnamed zelenskiy and also spoke about the actions in ukraine. we will teach them a lot about this russian preside

the shelling, most of them are already safe and the rescue operation is currently ongoing. russia and belarus are unlikely to dare to attack ukraine from the north analysts of the american institute for the study of war believe that, at the same time, russia may try to use its forces in belarus to accumulate and detain ukrainian troops under kyiv and prevent their redeployment to another place or participation in a counteroffensive in the east and south, for now, lukashenko cannot afford the internal consequences of direct belarusian intervention in the war, and russia, meanwhile, has no way to quickly form a ground strike force from scratch, or dense belarusian units have experts and another 240 occupiers will return home in black bags , our soldiers are actively destroying enemy equipment, and nine tanks, 13 armored fighting vehicles, and 10 artillery systems have been turned into scrap metal the invaders and our defenders also landed one plane and 17 drones of the attackers, the russians did not count 8 units of automotive equipment and tank trucks during the day, the defenders destroyed 46 cruise missiles of the muscovites. and the enemy suffered the most losses in the bakhmut avdiiv and kramator

the state duma voted for. i didn’t find out, but that’s roughly the way i see it. the experts of the american institute for the study of wart the kadyrovs, whom you mentioned, publicly undermined putin’s authority because what kadyrov wrote or on his behalf wrote what prigozhin articulated that the highest investigation of the political military leadership of russia is responsible for the failure of the special operation, it will affect how this war will be perceived further away in the russian information space and society. putin is probably responsible for the decision not only to strengthen the estuary or to try to contain it, the facts are probably known at least to a few people from his immediate environment. thus, kadyrov's direct attack on lapin, who now leads the troops in the east of ukraine, is an indirect attack on putin is aware of kadyrov or not. putin and his mouthpieces were extremely tight-lipped about the activities of military commanders or their replacements, which makes kadyrov's statement and its echoes of beauty particularly noticeable. should mr. valentina count on the fact that they will not all bit

the head of the luhansk ovet serhiy gaidai yesterday confirmed the de-occupation by the armed forces of ukraine of a number of settlements in the luhansk region, an analyst of the institute for the study of war believes that there are no signs that the russian military is significantly established themselves in the western part of the luhansk region. well, of course, we will continue to follow the east of our country. since the beginning of october, the armed forces of ukraine have freed more than 400 m² of kherson region from the russian occupiers. this is reported by the head of the joint coordination press center of the defense force of southern ukraine , nataliya humeniuk. occupiers and we are advancing further according to ms. humenyuk in the southern direction without appeal here antinu provided information in the kherson direction let's talk in the same way and about er let's say a complex picture in the south of our country, in particular, our air defense system works tirelessly and shoots down most of the kamikaze drones that attack odessa and the region. six such drones were shot down last night. please tell us what life is like in odessa and the region as of today day and how much

information field for an attack under a false flag at the station to justify the retreat in the south, this is the opinion expressed by the analysts of the american institute for the study of war, the invaders believe that the breakthrough dams will cover their defeats on the right bank of the dnieper and stop or delay the ukrainian advance. such an attack also contributed to russian propaganda, which is trying to expose ukraine as a terrorist state, foreign analysts say, and prior to the situation in mykolaiv oblast, russian troops fired at mykolaiv from s-300 anti-aircraft missile systems, the head of the regional of the military administration, vitaly kim, the night before, the enemy attacked mykolaiv with kamikaze drones, shahid 136, four drones targeted one of the training institutions of the city, another drone fell on a closed private territory, and as a result, two fires broke out in open territories, which were quickly extinguished. no shelling continues on the territory and nearby settlements of the berezneguvat community. meanwhile, in donetsk region, the agency that hunted for positions was neutralized the ukrainian javelins were informed about this by the security

on the road. the invaders are preparing for street battles told comments from cnn head of the main directorate of intelligence kyrylo budanov at the american institute for the study of warmy is strengthening its defenses and preparing for the battle of kherson in the same place russian troops continue to evacuate the local population to the left bank of the dnieper more details yaryna markiv clean we hang the yellow-blue flag glory to ukraine against the background of the successful actions of the armed forces of ukraine in the kherson direction, and there our troops have already liberated dozens of settlements in the ranks of the collaborators of the riots the situation remains stable, we constantly repel the attacks of the ukrainian nazis, everything will be good without panic, the fastest possible evacuation, the supporters began to evacuate their so-called state institutions and their employees from the kherson region to the crimea, and then information appeared that the employees of the fsb and the russian guard are changing clothes and leaving the right bank part of the region, and a few days ago the occupation authorities of the kherson region announced the force

troops are not able to advance to any areas of the front, including in the bakhmut area in the donetsk region , experts of the american institute for the study of warheir daily report. in their opinion, the occupiers are lying about successful offensive on bakhmut in order to show success after a series of unsuccessful ones in the northeast and south of ukraine, analysts note that on october 23, the russian military was able to make some progress towards of the ukrainian stronghold in the city, however , the russian millionaires paid a high price for it. yevgeny prigozhin, who controls a private military company, wagner admitted that he manages to advance 100-200 m in a day. meanwhile, the ukrainian mortars continue to gain the eastern outskirts of bakhmut, as the commander of the department said, before the attack, they carefully study the location of russian troops, the coordinates of which are provided by intelligence on mines, our soldiers write the wishes of the occupier of the chernivtsi region . that is, i want to make at least one of them have such massive successes show on their part that they can do something, yet they are not ready, it h

positions in the north of the kherson region over the past 48 hours ukrainian troops have achieved significant success in this region, noted the analysts of the institute for the study of war, at the same time, the occupiers are forced to evacuate the wounded to the crossings of the dnipro river and destroy their own stocks of ammunition during the retreat, as well as military analysts. they suggest that the command of putin's army may leave the snowmobile waiting for the ukrainian armed forces. this will deprive the russians of control over the ingulets river and further isolate kherson in in turn, the defenders continue to destroy the logistics and reserves of the invaders, they are almost deserted and in ruins, strewn with mines, without water and electricity, such are the settlements after the russian occupation of the estuary donetsk was not an exception, how the city is coming back to life again under the blue-yellow flag, our correspondent vitaly bakumenko saw it, he is already preparing the material, and for now, without comment , we will look at the footage from the liberated city, we did not go out and ate in the basement, where she was born, baptized , her paren

ukrainian general staff how this could affect the course of the war facts of the week exclusively asked the analyst of the american institute for the study of war, george baros, you can take 500,000 soldiers and force them work independently of each other without good coordination and they will be ineffective, you can take the same 500,000 soldiers and train them to operate in squad structures of escort platoons battalions, regiments, brigades, and it’s good to coordinate them, and you will find that the same 500,000 soldiers will be much more effective. the second option is exactly this , of course, putin does not have time for serious preparation of the resource to provide also with tampons and pads instead of turnstiles with rusty kalashnikovs and tanks without ammunition. it’s simple a wall of live meat that will have to be ground by the armed forces, so all that the president of russia can win is a lot of time at the cost of many lives. putin still does not want to announce full mobilization because he understands it significant political losses and, frankly speaking, the way the russians carry out mobilization by sending untrained

the guilty after the war so fundamentally important for the history and post-war recovery of the affected country and the world and the recently liberated territories of kharkiv region? infrastructure, the institute for the study of war predicted and believed that the crimes we saw in buch and other towns in the kyiv region would be repeated in other temporarily occupied territories, because this is the general model of the behavior of the russian military, this is the massive destruction of civilian infrastructure. i am sure that it is a similar situation in absolutely all cities that were temporarily located or are under russian occupation. of the population, she was seen in kharkiv and again drew attention to the countless russian soldiers in ukraine and prompted to talk again about the attraction to the responsibility of the aggressor for them in order to understand who can punish whom for them and how to understand the basic concepts of russia's actions on the territory of ukraine can now fall under the four categories of international law war crimes crimes against humanity genocide and the crime of aggression first about war crimes war crimes are called serious violations of international law of humanita

bridge, the failures of russian troops at the front and problems with mobilization caused criticism of putin among radicals, according to analysts of the american institute for the study of war, the leader of the occupiers is criticized for his inability to respond to important events. putin is called to take revenge for the kerch bridge, otherwise it will be seen as weakness . russians also already doubt putin's ability to carry out the promised so-called denazification of ukraine. this may undermine the electorate's loyalty to putin , american analysts say. gradually returning to normal life after a month of occupation, the other day they started laying a new centralized water supply there, which was previously destroyed by the rashim about life the villages will tell. my colleagues know how to smoke it very well, even though we are the same people, we cook food here, we have a sink, the guys help us in a group, bring water to pour here , this is how we live here, this is sadova street in gorynka , there are not a single high-rise buildings here, despite the lack of electricity, gas and water, dozens of people continue to live in their apartments. olena petrivna returned t

the dam of the kakhovka hydroelectric power station to cover their departure and to prevent ukrainian forces from pursuing russian forces deep into the kherson region, according to estimates analysts of the american institute for the study of war, the occupiers will surely accuse our state of undermining the dam, but ukraine has no material interest in its undermining, which could flood 80 ukrainian cities along with people, noted that president volodymyr zelenskyi emphasized that if the russian federation is really preparing a terrorist attack on the kakhovsky hydroelectric plant, this means that she already understands that she will not be able to get the south of ukraine, four rows of cement pyramids appear in this form, the so-called wagner defense line built by the occupiers, the invaders' fortification is located near a mountain in the luhansk region. in this way, the attackers hope that they will not allow the tanks and armored vehicles of our soldiers to pass further east to the borders of ukraine. however , the fortification extends only 1.6 km. therefore, it will not prevent the ukrainian military from bypassing it , corresponding satellite images made public by maksar technology, it can also be seen that there is a

serhiy grabsky of ukraine, thank you very much for your time in the ukrainian troops in the north of the kherson region , analysts of the american institute for the study of war also confirm according to their data officials occupying administrations are already being urged by russian forces to prepare for major battles and build new lines of defense about the tempo of the ukrainian offensive and the operational crisis of the russians bbc also asked british military analyst risk assessment company employee justin crump the uk in my opinion, ukraine maintains the momentum of the offensive now events on the eastern front are developing somewhat more slowly than at the beginning of the offensive, when the ukrainians very quickly captured a huge territory around kharkiv, it took a little while to capture the estuary more time the russian forces tried for a long time to get it but in the end they were forced to retreat by the ukrainian forces there was some delay to get the opportunity to launch a surprise attack it was slow compared to their past campaigns on but purposeful and designed to achieve the big goal of encircling the russians theoretically the russians

the military command of the russian federation expressed their dissatisfaction kremlin propagandists complain about the lack of transparency regarding the events of the war noted at the institute for the study of war analysts note kremlin-sponsored mass media and russian bloggers a well-known telegram community consisting of russian military correspondents of former trustees and nationalists mourn the loss of the estuary and at the same time criticize the bureaucratic failures of mobilization kadyrov's statement and the entrance to the american experts publicly undermine putin's authority 320 more russians have become good and all thanks to the armed forces of ukraine since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, the enemy's army has decreased by 60,000,430 soldiers, they are losing attackers and equipment, namely three tanks and 16 armored combat vehicles 15 vehicles and one rocket salvo fire system, in addition, our defenders knocked out the wings of one aircraft, one helicopter and eleven drones of the invaders of the largest losses per day the enemy suffered in the kramatorsk and bakhmut directions approximate data are noted in the general headquarters, the heroes among us in the cond

undermine his authority for the rest of his life for everything future life well, this is his fate, he chose it himself, the generals, experts of the american institute for the study of war say that putin is preparing for a long war, and not for escalation or a nuclear strike. and they explain that , in fact, putin will try to keep currently occupied territories and conquer new ones, but it is unlikely that he plans a sharp escalation, for example, in the form of using nuclear weapons or, on the contrary , a cease-fire, or whether putin will have the strength and capabilities to wage a long war with the ukrainian state. and what does a long war with russia mean for us but we need to prepare for it only for one simple reason, that we understand that if we want to preserve the main potential of the ukrainian army, we don’t need, no, no, we don’t need some kind of frontal attacks, i don’t know. er episodes, we need the liberation of our territory er maybe gradually pushing the enemy out, but definitely moving forward, the enemy has no way to hold these territories , they have no financial, er, other opportunities to ensure er this is a group located in ukraine, experts have

for the implementation of this element of our defense plan, the ukrainian army will be able to liberate liman in donetsk region in the next 72 hours of analytics of the american institute for the study of ware that russian troops still control the liman, but having retreated in drobyshev and yampol, the attackers have only one road from the liman to the torskoye while the ukrainians blocked the drobyshevo-torske road in the area of ​​ponds on the svatovo-torske road near the estuary, a reconnaissance group of the armed forces of ukraine is operating, the russians are retreating near atorskoe, and ukrainian artillery is covering them, and the defenders are also making precise strikes on russian military facilities in starobilsk and near alchevsk in general withdrawal of enemy troops from the estuary is reminiscent of a chaotic retreat in kharkiv oblast, summarize american analysts, the occupiers detained the general director of the zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, igor murashov, the president said energoatom petro kotin the day before, the rashi patrol stopped a car - marrashov and forcibly took him blindfolded in an unknown direction. at the moment, there is no information about murashov'

the us minister of defense, that ukraine was preparing to detonate some dirty nuclear bomb in order to blame after the russian federation in this crime, the analysts of the institute for the study of warhis phone call i would say is to stop aid and what do you think is the purpose of the entire minister of defense me it seems that such comments are more logical to be announced to the minister of foreign affairs and not to the minister of defense about the preparation of some kind of nuclear provocation . russia's attempts to accuse ukraine of preparing to use a potentially dirty bomb do not make any sense, it will in no way affect support for ukraine, and in fact they nullified this attempt by the russians to somehow translate the current the situation on the attempt of a new negotiation process between russia and other countries in order to start discussing the situation around ukraine outside the borders of ukraine if without ukraine itself, i think that this dynamic would not have had any success in principle at the same time, the conversation about one bomb really is extremely strange, because in fact, until now, there has not been a single case of the use of the so-called dirty b

they would expose any attempt by the kremlin to use these accusations as a pretext for escalation, let's remind the analyst of the american institute for the study of war convinced that the minister of defense of the russian federation serhii shoigun tried to slow down military aid to ukraine from western partners and to weaken nato with statements about a dirty bomb. in september, inflation in ukraine rose to the level of 24.6%. the process is evidenced by the data of the state statistics, on the other hand, ukraine has become the leader in raising food prices among european countries, how much did the consumer basket become more expensive in the story of my colleagues, chicken eggs have doubled in price in the last month, this is the situation all over ukraine, because suppliers began to sharply increase the price of products on the counters of stores and markets today, eggs can be bought from 65 hryvnias, although the prices are biting, but there are no less buyers from that, according to the sellers, the jump in the price of goods is related to the war this year, as there was a bomb there, there was a bomb they planted it at the beginning of august

however, these drones will not change anything on the battlefield, according to the researchers of the institute for the study of warretary of the national security and defense council, oleksiy danilov, said in an interview with radio nv of the armed forces of ukraine, up to 90% of the urals are shot down by drones belarus is introducing a regime of counter-terrorist operation, self-proclaimed president oleksandr lukashenko said about it, he explained it as a kind of aggravation of the situation on the borders of belarus, an allied group of troops is being deployed in the country, as the belarusian newspaper nasha niva writes. at the first stage, it will not affect large cities, first of all, we will mobilize the rural population, the emphasis is on the military specializations that are currently in short supply in the russian army in russia, while mobilization is planned to be completed by the end of october, 222,000 of the planned three hundred thousand people have already been drafted into the army, this is the official data that vladimir putin made public when the so-called partial mobilization in russia was ann

have already been thrown into the loop of the occupied parts of ukraine exclusive facts of the week according to an analyst of the american institute for the study of warlive on the air printed people ran in all directions in such a peculiar way a 25-year-old resident of ust-illinsk, irkutsk region responded to putin's mobilization and fired six bullets at the head of the local conscription commissions in other cities of russia carried out silent sabotage during this week, almost 50 military commandos were set on fire there, the first wave will be suicide bombers, it was immediately clear and many experts said that in the sense that it was necessary to plug the holes, but even i can't imagine that they will go to the front in the afternoon, but that's how it is, with a trembling voice, a freshly mobilized person who has already managed to be captured by ukraine tells his short story about his participation in the war. i am vashkov oleksiy vladimirovich 77 years old military by the moscow military enlistment office on september 21, 20

the possibility of providing our country with about 1.5 billion euros russia and belarus are unlikely to dare to attack ukraine from the north, according to analysts of the american institute for the study of war at the same time russia may try to use its forces in belarus in order to accumulate and detain ukrainian troops near kyiv and prevent their redeployment to another place or participation in a counteroffensive in the east and south. at the moment, lukashenko cannot afford the internal consequences of direct belarusian intervention in the war, and russia in the meantime experts believe that the new commander of the joint group of occupation forces in ukraine, serhiy , is not able to quickly form ground strikes from scratch or units operating from belarus surovikino will be drafted, it will be difficult to fulfill the political tasks of the kremlin, this is due to a lack of resources and disputes between several factions, a change in the defense of the russian federation, british intelligence reports about this, let me remind you that surovikino was appointed to be responsible for conducting the so-called special military operation against ukraine in russia, previously he commanded the a

was important for them and this should have happened back in september, because the situation was critical in september, and even according to the research of the institute for the study of warptember , the military leadership of the racists suggested that putin leave the right bank part of kherson oblast like this as they are suffering heavy losses and they will not be able to hold out for a long time. but putin personally gave the order to hold on at any cost to the corner for more than a month, but i understand that they can no longer, so they are preparing what is necessary they will get away with what they paid for this month of delaying these difficult decisions. the number of victims is insane, and we see that they cannot even compensate them with the number of new mobs they send. because those new mobs immediately become cannon fodder well, and accordingly, the lend-lease that was from the rashists in the de-occupied settlements of the kherson region. and by the way, our military showed in their photos how many weapons they threw and even uh, even with uh, shells for salvo systems fire was left in large quantities, that is, but for them there is no price for them, pe

troops achieved significant successes in the lyman area and in the kherson region, as analysts write of the american institute for the study of war, even the most elite russian military forces are increasingly degraded as the war continues, the armed forces of ukraine are successfully advancing north of the estuary and have liberated sheykivka , izyumske, and privlovivka from the occupiers. at the same time, ukrainian defenders have strengthened their positions around the recently deoccupied estuary and have probably achieved success in the direction of the luhansk region experts also noted the successes of the armed forces of ukraine in the north of the kherson region, in particular the liberation of such residents points such as mykhailivka havrylivka and novoaleksandrivka in gorishni plavnya, the memorial to the compatriots who died in the war is already half ready at the military cemetery , the main composition is a granite trident , which is stylized according to the one embroidered on the chevrons of the soldiers of the armed forces, more materials of my colleagues, the trident is made of the rock of three the symbolic colo