iran. there are prominent politicians willing to criticize the israeli p government even saying thick israel. or netanyahu's words on iran sound like a calculated preparation for a reckless adventure. or israel is making a mistake -- i would love to play sound bites of those quotes because they are in hebrew because in israel you are allowed to criticize israel add still [cheers and applause] >> jon: welcome back. my guest tonight she's tremendous actress is. her new nilsome called "game change." >> are you 100% committed to going forward with this project. >> absolutely. i have or servant's heart and if you really think i can help this ticket and this country then absolutely i'll do this with you. >> your private life be subjected to harsh often unfair attacks. nothing can prepare you for how ugly this can be. >> i do understand here. here is the deal. i went through a tough primary in alaska and i know how ugly it account get. >> governor things can get quite a bit rougher on the national stage. >> i don't know alaska is pretty rough. >> >> jon: please welcome back to the program julianne

iran. there are prominent politicians willing to criticize the israeli p government even saying thick israeltroyed. or netanyahu's words on iran sound like a calculated preparation for a reckless adventure. or israel is making a mistake -- i would love to play sound bites of those quotes because they are in hebrew because in israel you are allowed to criticize israel add still ♪ ♪ and the flowers and the trees all laugh when you walk by ♪ ♪ and the neighbors' kids... what does being true to yourself have to do with being healthy? everything. ♪ but you're not ♪ you're the one ♪ one, one, one, one, one ♪ the one ♪ one, one, one, one, one ♪ the one ♪ one, one, one... a route map shows you where we go. but not how we get there. because in this business, there are no straight lines. only the twists and turns of an unpredictable industry. so the eighty-thousand employees at delta... must anticipate the unexpected. and never let the rules overrule common sense. this is how we tame the unwieldiness of air travel, until it's not just lines you see... it's the world. [cheers and applause] >> jon: welc

the question is can israel, feeling its of being enclosed, feeling iran reached as owner of immunity after which israel could never strike, and iran will paternal have a bomb to hang over israel's head -- does israel have the right to defend itself? every indication is that obama is restraining israel. if anybody has a diplomatic solution, they are whistling in the dark. the reason i'm concerned is that there are no limits set on the talks. they are open ended, and will be like the previous seven years and will give iran all the time it needs to develop a bomb and finish the program. >> if you accept the premise laid out by the former head of mossad that it is the rational regime, and therefore interested in its own self preservation, talks make as much sense as they did with the soviet union. that is the first point. the second point is, missing in all of this debate and mitt romney it rattling sabers he does not know even exist is what is the compelling national security interest of the united states that he sees? what is the last resort before going to military power? what is the p

iran. there are prominent politicians willing to criticize the israeli p government even saying thick israelestroyed. or netanyahu's words on iran sound like a calculated preparation for a reckless adventure. or israel is making a mistake -- i would love to play sound bites of those quotes because they are in hebrew because in israel you are allowed to criticize israel add still so, this is my honda civic. not as much fun to drive as i thought it would be. people are selling their old rides, looking for something new. whoa, check this out, you guys. they are having way too much fun without me. i need better gas mileage. so, up, up to 40 on the highway? then myford touch just said the temperature. she listened. she did listen. now, get a focus with up to $2,000 cash back. get into the new at your local ford dealer today. out with the old, in with the new. we're the new. [cheers and applause] >> jon: welcome back. my guest tonight she's tremendous actress is. her new nilsome called "game change." >> are you 100% committed to going forward with this project. >> absolutely. i have or servant's h

-israel-iran triangle. to preface it, when you have significant changes, transformation, as was mentioned earlier, taking place in the region, it forces all actors to take into account there's new moving parts. have you to put them into the new equations, figure out how they fit, how they don't fit. you have to reassess and calibrate their interests, vis-a-vis not only their enemies but vis-a-vis their friends. that's a natural process. it's now taking place in the way iranians are dealing successfully with the arab world but also something interesting to analyze on how the perspectives, diverging perspectives between the united states and israel is taking place on the issue of iran. i'll get back to that later. on the first issue of iran and the arab world, i think it was quite correct that iran's basis for soft power in the region has taken a significant hit. it's taken a significant hit because of the way these arab uprising developed. iranians welcomed it, hoped for it to happen. they thought it would t

does not have a nuclear weapon israel has hundreds of nuclear weapons iran subscribes to the i.a.e.a. the international atomic energy agency its nuclear program is monitored israel won't sign the nuclear nonproliferation treaty israel routinely invades its neighbors as it has over the past four decades iran has never started a war so when you look at all of these actual facts you would say the real menace to the peace in the middle east is israel iran is not a menace is iran is being targeted and i think this is part of the israeli hype arrogating to itself the right to strike as it did in iraq in one nine hundred eighty one against nuclear facilities as it did in syria in two thousand and seven as it would like to do now in iran but the united states government is somewhat afraid that if israel carries out a unilateral straight within the middle east this will play out as a paradigm by the israelis ainus government against the middle eastern country and those lines all of the middle east will unite against israel and so the united states as i was concerned that israel mi

, after which israel would never strike and iran would internally have a bomb hanging over its head, from every indication, the pressure of the obama administration is to restrain israel. we are beginning talks. if anybody has a diplomatic solution, they are whistling in the dark. there are no limits set on the dark. as long as they are open ended, they will be like the previous seven years. it would give it iran and the timing needs to develop the program. >> if you accept the premise laid out by the former head of mossad that i.t. is a rational regime, and therefore interested in its own self-interest and sell provision, talk make as much sense as they did with the soviet union. that is the first point. the second point is that missing in this debate about the united states and mitt romney rattling sabers that he does not even know exist -- what is the compelling national security interest of the united states that he sees? what is the last resort before going to military power? what is the popular support for it? what are the consequences? what is the exit strategy? romney is makin

interview with the atlantic last week he was asked what would your peak position be on iran's nuclear program israel isn't weren't in the picture he said it would still be a profound national security interest the united states to prevent iran from getting a nuclear weapon the one difference i think between the two countries is in terms of timing the united states wants to give more time for biting sanctions to bring iran to the table for serious concessions and israel is concerned because they don't they may not have the military capability in six months to stop iran's program and so i think there's kind of a calendar issue between the two countries all right we still have a little bit more time but ali what do you think about that i mean how aligned are israel united states here i personally can't see how iran is a really big threat to the united states maybe except for maybe proliferation. i think that israel and the united states are more or less aligned in terms of their on their sort of the way they ascertain the threat but i think it's really a question as or instead of how to deal with that

problem for israel. if iran will win, we may all of us lose the middle east and lose the oil supply. it's a very serious problem and the group that is running iran today doesn't have any respect for law, for humanity or for reason. you know, i remember it was said of all the options in life, moral corruption is the most dangerous one. >> rose: moral corruption? >> yes. and i do believe that iran is today the center of moral corruption of all time. they kill people, they support terror, the they are highly ambitious. so it's a problem not just for israel. israel is just part of it. and i think the world understands it. i think under president obama we have the highest level of corporation and security and if you ask me, at the highest respect for president obama. he, too, has to face difficult situations. but i think he's a great president and i think he's a great friend. >> rose: of israel? >> of israel, yes. and i say it without hesitations. i don't want to participate in your elections. (laughter) but that's n

israel, iran, and turkey. those three countries are still capable of acting, and i'm not suggesting always for the good, in ways that can change the nature of conflict or peace making in this region. just a said of observations. i have the moderator's prerogative. i'm going to ask each of you the question i presume is on the minds of everyone in this room and most of official and unofficial washington but i want to do it in a very provocative manner. so here is the question. by the end of this calendar year, will iran's nuclear sites, by the end of this calendar year, will iran's nuclear sites be struck in military action. i'm going to be very hard on this one. i want a yes or no from each of you initially, and i want a one -- if the answer is no, i want a one sentence, maybe two sentence explanation as to why. will israel or the united states strike iran's nuclear sites by the end of this calendar year? and if not, very briefly, why not? i would gladly give you my view after you give me yours. so why don't we

running back or from the answer coalition says israel not iran which should be considered a major threat in the middle east. i don't think israel's assertions are real at all i think it's part of the game plan it's part of a coordinated assault iran does not have a nuclear weapon israel has hundreds of nuclear weapons around subscribes to the i.a.e.a. the international atomic energy agency its nuclear program is monitored israel won't sign the nuclear nonproliferation treaty israel routinely invades its neighbors as it has over the past four decades iran has never started a war so when you look at all of these actual facts i would say the real menace to peace in the middle east is israel iran is not a menace is targeted and i think this is part of the israeli high arrogating to itself the right to straight hasn't been in iraq in one thousand you want to gets nuclear facilities as it did in syria in two thousand and seven as it would like to do in iran but the united states government is somewhat afraid that if israel carries out a unilateral strait within the middle east this will play o

what's clear, however, that you and i can agree to today is that tensions between israel and iran are at multi-year highs around fear that it may not be a question of if israel will find itself at war with iran, but whether and how that will be averted in assessing the sexual threat in iran and ghinish iing it. keep in mind, all of this is against a background of an already existing lower tension level that's a war between israel and iran. back and forth with diplomatic attacks and iran saying israel assassinated their nuclear scientists. to dig into this further with a specific agenda for a threat assessment from iran and towards the stability that we have in a relationship to influence israel's fear of iran, which we presume is influenced by that assessment we start with anthony schaffer and rama ballup. tony, i want to start with you. the number one thing is the tension levels are at multiyear highs. fear is the number one liability. you have one actor in israel that is easily provoked as it pertains to escalated fear, and it would seem the best way to deal with that directly is an

so there is tension in the world, between israel iran and the u.s. and iran. w we are hearing, of course, as both sides would like you to believe, there is no daylight between the u.s. and if israel, we are on the same page as far as this goes. but there has been some tension with israel doing more sabre rattling, saying they are ready to launch a preemptive strike because now is the time, you don't want them to dig deeper and hide their uranium enrichment facilities and make them inpenetrable to american or israeli bombs upon so time is running out, some say. but the president says we do need to give diplomacy and sanctions more time. we expect to hear that. we will see the language he uses in just a few minutes when he appears here in washington. >> it does seem, steve, as we have tracked this, certainly on this sunday morning hour, we have had our eye on iran, that time is not a friend to the u.s. or israel when it comes to iran's intentions, or their plans where nuclear power and possible weaponry is concerned. what about any reaction from iran? they know t

look at all of these actual facts you would say the real menace to the peace in the middle east is israel iran is not a menace is iran is being targeted and i think this is part of the israeli high arrogating to itself the greatest scrape hasn't been in iraq in one thousand eighty one of its nuclear facilities as it did in syria in two thousand and seven as it would like to do now in iran but the united states government is is somewhat afraid that if israel carries out a unilateral scrape within the middle east this will play out as a paradigm by the israelis against the middle eastern country and those lines all of the middle east will unite against israel and so the united states is concerned that israel might be too promptly in terms of carrying out unilateral military aggression and i still have you on the program here in our with some believing that u.s. decision making is influenced by forces outside the government our president reporter on the streets of new york find out what people think about state or media promoting ideology. from if there is people that saw it want you to believe s

is iran a direct threat to israel? hich is only 1,000 miles from those potential nuclear facilities in iran. >> you know, i think honesty requires us to say that were we israeli jews, we might evaluate us this threat somewhat differently. i'm not an israeli jew, i'm an american. and i believe that the basis for deciding when and where the united states rolls the dice to go to war needs to be informed above all by a calculation of what serves the interest of the american people. you know, it's very difficult to read israeli intentions. israel has a tradition of risk-taking on matters of security. we alluded a few minutes ago to the suez crisis is a good example of that. contriving this war in order to overthrow nasser because they perceived nasser to be a looming threat to the well-being of israel. >> took a great risk with the six-day war. >> took a risk when they invaded lebanon in 1982. >> twice. >> twice. >> bombing the nuclear facility in iraq in 1981. >> so it would not be out of character for israel to attack iran

allies and few good options. >> if iran wants the united states in the military fight along side israel, iran then escalates and expands the war. >> iran is isolated, so i think iran will be cautious in its response. >> reporter: for all the president's warnings about loose talk of war, those who follow iran closely say the odds of an attack later this year are high, perhaps as high as 50%. darren gersh, "nightly business report," washington. >> susie: tensions with iran have pushed prices at the pump to an average $3.77 cents a gallon nationwide according to triple-a. >> tom: rising fuel prices could threaten a fledgling u.s. economic recovery and it's shaping up to be a huge issue in this year's presidential election. it's all the talk in houston this week where global energy leaders are in town for a summit on energy security. our diane eastabrook is there as well, diane? >> reporter: tom, houston is the epicenter of big oil here in the u.s. this is a city that likes high oil prices but not too high, obviously, because high pump prices can strangle the u.s. consumer. this afternoon i spoke

he is saying to israel, do not attack iran. trust me, if iran gets weapons, we will do it. you have to believe me we will do it. you do not have to do it now. that is the message to israel. the message to iran is that we are serious. i do not think it will work, but he is saying to them that you have to stop building weapons. >> he is talking of a snowball effect in the middle east. if iran gets a weapon, the saudis will want a weapon wi. >> the point charles made last week is open for discussion. an attack on iran might get applause in riyad, amman, in baghdad. the prospect of a shiite government concerns other parts of the middle east as well. it is a serious calculation. i think they all want to see iran not have the capacity to launch a nuclear weapon. i think president obama has made it clear that the united states will take all the steps it has to to prevent iran from having a nuclear weapon with or without the israelis taking action. >> there is a serious point of view in israel's intelligence establishment that this is not a good idea for all sorts of technical reaso