my colleagues, andrew bary, carleton english and jack hough, good to see you again, you are better looking than you were pre-covid. ben: i feel strong, how's my hair and makeup? carleton: i feel good. jack: despite one good day on friday in the market, it is an ugly first half, the worst first half in decades, the worst for bonds. ben: super old as you know. s&p laughed -- last 20%. bonds, deutsche bank said it was the worst half of the 10 year treasury or any of its predecessors since 1788. it was a terrible year. jack: my 401(k) did badly that year. ben: three different bath stocks slipped on a bar of soap. bed, bath and beyond fell 23%, disastrous earnings, bath and body works, restoration hardware doesn't have bathroom in it but they sell things, last 10%, lower lowered guidance for the second time in a month. there is no economic term for triple stock collapse. i call it a bearish naked splash. it hasn't caught on but i'm waiting to see it. is this a broader deterioration for consumers? i will be listening. the consumer is the key to three scooby doo mysteries. how we entered a recess