jack's back with "the cafferty file." jack? >> the question this hour is how big a threat to the united states is russia? mitt romney made some comments that we should be very afraid. tim writes, a better question is how big a threat are we to them. their only offensive weapon in a conventional military sense is for the destruction of the world. this is a country with such -- ryan writes,adicanadian, i married a russian 18 months ago, i have news for romney, russia's been capitalist for 20 years, it's a caucasian country like canada. i love the place, the people are warm and friendly. just like north america, they're all fed up with their politicians. j.k.k.? mcinn not as much as you would like to believe. larry in rhode island, as big a threat is santorum is to romney for the nomination. russia is clearly not a best friend, but they're nowhere near the threat the soviet union is? renee says russia is clearly not our best friend, but they continue to fall back on those good old-fashioned scare tactics. and j.d. writes russia is about the last thing on my list of things to worry about. if you want to comment, go to my blog, cnn.com/caffertyfile. >> you have a lot of canning tornadoian viewers. >> we get a tremendous number of e-mails from canada. >> cold. >> now the summers are great. >> buffalo? >> the summers are great in buffalo. winters are great in buffalo. >> no, they're not. >> don't speak ill of buffalo. >>> coming up next hour, a lottery mystery worth hundreds of millions of dollars, one winner's story simply doesn't add up. >>> and a toddler trapped in a 40-foot well, we're going to show you the emotional rescue. ♪ ♪ wow... ♪ [ female announcer ] sometimes, all you need is the smooth, creamy taste of werther's original caramel to remind you that you're someone very special. ♪ werther's original caramels. the chevy cruze eco also offers 42 mpg on the highway. actually, it's cruze e-co, not ec-o. just like e-ither. or ei-ther. or e-conomical. 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[ laughs ] [ car door shuts ] [ male announcer ] visit your local chevy dealer today. now very well qualified lessees can get a 2012 chevy cruze ls for around $159 per month. e.p.a. estimated 36 miles per gallon highway. but when she got asthma, all i could do was worry ! specialists, lots of doctors, lots of advice... and my hands were full. i couldn't sort through it all. with unitedhealthcare, it's different. we have access to great specialists, and our pediatrician gets all the information. everyone works as a team. and i only need to talk to one person about her care. we're more than 78,000 people looking out for 70 million americans. that's health in numbers. unitedhealthcare. the healthcare law gives us powerful tools to fight it... to investigate it... ...prosecute it... and stop criminals. our senior medicare patrol volunteers... are teaching seniors across the country... ...to stop, spot, and report fraud. you can help. guard your medicare card. don't give out your card number over the phone. call to report any suspected fraud. we're cracking down on medicare fraud. let's make medicare stronger for all of us. with odor free aspercreme. powerful medicine relieves pain fast, with no odor. so all you notice is relief. aspercreme. >>> here's a look at today's hot shots. in fiji, travellers sleep on an airport floor after flooding from a tropical cyclone displaces 8,000 people. in myanmar, a group of nones excitedly await the convoy of the newly elected reformist. and in japan, a macaca enjoys snacking on cherry blossom plants, that's the macaca right there. >>> another powerful earth quake in southern mexico. lisa sylvester is monitoring that. lisa, what do you have? >> this was a magnitude 6.3 after shock that was -- today's earthquake was felt hundreds of miles away in mexico city, but unlike the bigger earthquake, there are no reports of damages or injuries today. >>> the crash of a russian airliner with 40 people on board, 31 were killed, including all three crewmembers. 12 passengers survived. the twin engine atr was trying to make an emergency landing when it went down. and the death toll in iraq has fallen to a nine-year low despite continued violence. 112 civilians and soldiers were killed in march. and it was a happy ending to a harrowing ordeal in southwest china where a 2-year-old boy fell into a 40-foot dry well. they made repeated attempts to get him out but he kept slipping from the ropes. his family is relieved to learn that hess going to be just fine. all things considering, that 40-foot dry well drop, it is going to be okay, so that is good news. >>> and you're in "the situation room." breaking news, six people reported dead in a california shooting. the syrian regime pledging immediate withdrawal. is it just another empty promise? or is it an end to the year-long slaughter finally in sight? and former president bill clinton and his wife, the secretary of state hillary clinton are both piling on to romney who says that the front runner is out of touch and can't win the race. >>> and there's 23 megamillions lottery winners. some say the controversial story is just not adding ing up. we want to welcome our viewers from the united states and around the world, you're in "the situation room." >>> let's get to the breaking news right now, six, yes, six people reported dead, three others injured after a has shooting broke out at oikos university. police say a suspect is in custody. let's bring in a reporter henry lee at the san francisco chronicle. he's joining us on the phone. what's the very latest information you're getting? you're on the scene? >> reporter: i'm at the scene of this mass shooting. i just saw a suspect being detained and hanged cuffed outside of a safeway store. a witness said she thought she was being arrested for shoplifting. a very terrible day here in the city of oakland and also here in aftermath here in alameda, california, not far from the shooting scene. >> do you know anything about the shooter. >> reporter: he is a korean american. he was identified early on and he did have many korean men at gunpoint around the school. this was a korean religious school so they did not know who he was, but he was of larger build and wearing khakis and a hat. >> i have seen some suggestions he may have been a student there, had some connection to the university, what if anything, henry, do you know about that? >> what if any connection so far, wolf, it remains to be seen if there is any definite connection at this time. >> what about the car being taken, this is a car belonging to the suspect? >> reporter: this is a blue -- the suspect may have arrived at the school in a different vehicle, possibly an suv. so we don't know if he used a second vehicle, if it was a carjacking, but the oakland police are here in the neighboring jurisdiction of alameda analyzing what happened over here. >> as of now, henry, we just want to be precise. the working assumption is one individual shooter involved, not part of some broader plot or anything along thoselines right? >> yes, the police are telling us a single, lone gunman who is responsibility for this shooting is in custody. >> henry, thank you. paul buchanan is also doing some independent reporting on what's going on. what else are you hearing, paul? >> well, wolf, just to underscore this again, oakland police are telling me that they say that six have been killed, nine total shot, these numbers are not necessarily final, both those numbers could rise. they also say that an unspecified firearm was used. they like to point out that this is of mixed commercial use, so the university is interspersed with other businesses. they do not know if the shooter was connected with the college what we do know now is that six total killed, nine total shot. >> we're following the breaking news, horrible situation, six people reportedly being killed in this shooting spree out in oakland, california. >>> let's move to other news, a major milestone for the devastating syrian crisis. the syrian government is promising u.n. officials they will be pulling people out of the population centers and complete the withdrawal by next week. but the promise is being met with skepticism here in the united states and elsewhere around the world. >> let's be realistic, we are now speaking in my national capacity, we have seen over the course of the last many months, promises made and promises broken. we have seen commitments to end the violence, followed by massive intensification of violence. so the united states for one, would look at these commitments and say, yet again, the proof is in the actions not in the words. and past experience would lead us to be skeptical and to worry that over the next several days, they would rather than a demunition of the violence, we would see an escalation of the violence. >> all this after the killings of another 65 people just today, and horrifying opposition reports of 80 bodies found tortured in a hospital refrigerator. professor ijami thank you for coming in, do you believe that assad has ordered a cease fire and to stop the killing? >> these are pledges made and pledges broken. there's no possibility that assaad would pull his troops after these major contested cities. he pulls his troops out, the entire population of these cities would rise in rebellion against them. >> why even make a pledge to kofi annan, the special envoy that's trying to ease this crisis, why would he make a statement like that if he didn't have any intention of living up to it. >> assad and his wife, these are very cynical people, they believe they can run out the clock. they believe in many ways they may have even won this fight. they may have gotten the attention of the world away from there fight. if they hunker down, the world would leave them be and they could prevail. there is no way that the syrian people are going to put their, somehow not organize a rebellion. >> there's going to be mounting pressure including on the u.s. to start providing weapons, arms to these rebels. so far the u.s. have resisted. although some in the arab world are willing to provide weapons to these rebels. the argument is made by u.s. officials, they don't know who these rebels are, so why should we should arming them. >> these are ordinary civil people, and it's a sad comment on american diplomacy, that we keep calling into question the identification of these people. and you saw just a while ago, secretary of state hillary clinton questioning whether mitt romney could win or lose. that's not the task of a secretary of state, she should be paying attention to the rebellion in syria. and the united states has in many ways, the force has been holding back arming the civilian defectors. >> in fairness to the secretary of state, she was asked be mitt romney's statement that russia is a geo political country. >> the secretary of state has made some remarkable statements and these statements were not against bashar, but she's made remarkable statements against the opposition. she has called into question whether damascus has risen in rebellion. she said we don't know these people. she even provided a mockery in support of the civilian rebellion. she said do we really want to be on the side of the rebellion? a at some point we are going to probably arm the syrianlater. >> the muslim brotherhood is saying they will in fact have a candidate that runs for the presidential election in may. >> a stunning development, because this is the last cookie on the plate and the muslim brotherhood said we're not going participate in the election. one of the principle reasons for doing so is that the muslim brotherhood think they could win. they want to make sure -- >> will the military accept the outcome of that election? >> obviously we are talking about the muslim brotherhood, the military and in the end this very, very weak secular movement and i think it's a bargain between the military and the muslim brotherhood. >> what was happening a year ago in tahrir square, the rebellion, is that over? >> the secular movement in egypt, the liberals in egypt. the people you and i would know, the people you and i would call on. >> sarah palin goes on morning television to battle katie couric and the jabs are already beginning. >>> and a mystery woman claims to be one of the megamillions lottery winners, we're going live to the store where that winning ticket was bought. >>> and 75,000 for a team building exercise and you paid for it all. we have the story of an $800,000 conference that has calls for the chief to step down. infinit. i love those. they just...and then drop off... ...kind of like the negotiator. narrator: save right now on thousands and thousands of hotels during the spring sale at priceline. homicide of young people in america has an impact on all of us. how can we save these young people's lives? 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