jack lewis spoke exclusively with bloomberg markets, asia about the risks he sees ahead.k: historically, the yield curve has been a very stable predictor. it has accurately predicted almost every downturn and i don't believe it has had more than one false positive in terms of predicting a recession when there wasn't one. if you saw an inverted yield curve, you would see people getting quite nervous now. when becauseoment of changing policies, there is going to be stress on spreads and it may not be a normal time in terms of the yield curve being the leading indicator, but i do think it warrants careful attention. it doesn't show a lot of confidence in the long-term when you don't see long-term rates starting to creep up when short-term rates are being forced up by changes in monetary policy. of reasonere is a lot to be nervous about the economy. obviously, we are in the 90 or of a recovery and will probably break a record. >> it is actually one of the longest. jack: i am proud the first seven years of it were on our watch. we did a lot to drive this recovery and i hope it