i believe that jake powell is not terribly political. he has been doing a very good job over the past, i don't know, a year now, of communicating. it is a dual mandate. now, he is saying it is in balance and so forth. he was crystal clear that inflation has to stay at a level that resembles 2%, or get near 2% and not go higher. if that happens, there could be real disappointments. the good news is, i don't think it will go terribly much higher. another reason i feel that way is the bloomberg commodity index just remains in a protracted downtrend, 200 moving average just keeps dropping and it is below its 200 day moving average. that would not be a catalyst for inflation. the last thing i want to say about commodity prices, with all of these tensions, iran, retaliation, already wars in ukraine and israel, it is interesting that the price of oil does not really go up. that would be indicative of a weakest global economy. we know that europe is acting like it is in recession, we know that china has not been doing well lately. it looks like