jonathan: james athey? i want to bring you into the conversation. your thoughts? o be realistic, i am pretty sanguine about the whole trade war thing. i agree with gershon. the u.s. is really able to withstand this because it is a closed economy. actually, when i look at china and the decline in the growth rate over there, to me that very much tallies more tightly with the deleveraging effort, the consolidation of power of president xi and his stepping down on excess capacity, some of the old china heavy manufacturing and the leverage that has driven the infrastructure, etc. to me, the growth really has been flowing in a line with the domestic policy. the trade is laterally more doubling down on some of the negativity. i do not think that is the proximate or primary cause for the slowdown we have seen in germany and sectors across europe and china. trade is a bit of a sideshow. both sides want a deal. whether that can be done as soon as the g20, i'm not sure. it will continue to bug markets, but the underlying fundamentals -- i'm pretty sanguine about that. jonatha