joe: we have a lot of respect for the work that jan hatzius and his team do.y, one way or another. i don't think the fed will move. the question for me is september and december. lisa: why are hearing a crescendo of noise coming out from fed officials, trying to warn the market? joe: there has been a level of market complacency over the last number of months. i think the fed should be sensitive to surprising the market. so there is some chance, that if you have a live meeting in june youuly of an increase, don't want to surprise the market. when markets gets a prize, everything sells off. if they raised in june, it shouldn't be a surprise. they keep saying they could do it that given the numbers, the markets would be shocked. all they talk about is data-driven and data-driven. that doesn't suggest june is likely. coming off the first quarter with a .5% gdp growth. lisa: it depends what the data is. if you look at core inflation, you start to see a real pickup. signs that inflation has not died. so for the fed, what data are they looking at? going to show a wil