jason brady, bloomberg investment management, and sarah ponczek. mnuchin says they will decide later on lifting the china currency manipulator designation. there is a lot that is still uncertain out there. of the aside the details trade discussion for now, and i don't think anything is going to be totally buttoned up for a , and maybe even that is optimistic, what is your view on the economy? do you see evidence that from a global perspective, at least, maybe things are trough and -- troughing, that maybe we are behind the worst? >> i'm not sure things are troughing. pmi affected a lot by this trade tension. those tend to be leading, and they continue to climb in the u.s. what i'm watching is as we look at the fed and central banks generally who have pulled forward a lot of demand by keeping rates lower the last decade or so, are they going to move to the idea that this is no longer an insurance or small midcycle correction? are we really going into kind of preventing recession? to me, that is pretty critical. if you see that three-month or 10-year