even jason furman, the former cea chair, wrote about this. winter storms in the first quarter. so economically significant storms. so smoothing through that, this number's just about three. but down in the details you can see that the policies are working exactly as you and i have discussed, so there's a big surge in capital data despite the storms. if you go q1 over q1, the average american family because of president trump's policies ge of $2,900. that was in the data as well. stuart: should tell you the numbers were a bit stronger than expected, they've upped the forecast for the quarters still to come. i'm seeing one analyst saying, look, we're going to get to 3.5% annualized growth in the second quarter of the year. that's kind of optimistic, isn't it? >> i think that's about what will happen if we get the normal seasonal pattern. the first quarter has been low by as much as a percentage point, and then in the next couple of quarters it's been maybe a little higher than it should be by an offsetting amount. but, yeah, i think right now y