i think the sense is that right now we have a chaos president as jeb bush correctly predicted. we are every day at sea as to what the policy is, what's going on, much of nothing is getting done. and i think biden is offering some calm, some maturity, some experience. and there is a statement of the electorate who wants the noise and the craziness to stop. and he is aiming directly at those. so the message is simple. trump is all over the map. he's bonkers and unreliable. steady joe, i've done it before, i can do it again. and that's basically the message. >> i'm always puzzled by this one because our opinion polls indicate the vast majority of people would support basically fairly common sense things about guns. some people don't like to call it gun control. i have zero problem calling it gun control because it is what it is. we would control some access to guns for some people. it's easy to push back on the slippery slope argument the nra makes. why not depart from the president as republicans on his inconsistent positions on guns? the president swaps around his positions, waf

jeb bush went off on twitter. as we're focused on this crisis at hand, by the way the world is on fire and we have a president that has no interest in playing fight fightrefighter on that. apparently jeb bush sees the same thing. >> is this hemlock? this is the world on fire. trump promised chaos and he's delivered. that's what we're looking at on every issue foreign and domestic, the world spinning out of control. i think that is a serious challenge for the president and it's a serious challenge for our political system that will have to operate around this person as commander in chief. >> i don't know if our political system can handle, how much more it can handle. >> i'm in the work of voter registration of encouraging participation and when people say our government is broken, our encourage people to say what happened last november. we had the most diverse set of americans going to the voting booth. we had the most diverse individuals in a hundred years casting a ballot and on january that beauty of what our p

not to mention marco rubio, ted cruz, jeb bush. i only have two hours tonight so i won't go on.he list goes on and on. listen to what the president said about his feud with denmark. >> we can't treat the united states of america the way they treated us under president obama. >> interesting that he mentioned former president barack obama. because guess who is going to denmark? president obama. a source telling cnn that he'll be traving there next month. maybe it is a coincidence that president trump canceled his trip. though he sure does seem to have his predecessor on his mind a lot. even repeating his nonsensical claim the 44th president was somehow outsmarted by vladimir putin. >> russia outsmarted president obama. they took over during his turn. not during mine. crimea. they took over crimea. we spend a lot of time talking about russia at those meetings. and they're not there. i think it would be a good thing if russia were there so we can speak directly. >> did you their reporter say, they're still there. why let them in now? didn't answer that. he kept going. he doesn't hav

last time he ran against the republican establishment first with jeb bush and that was kind of an easytext and then he took on hillary clinton and the wall street and the military and lots of other sort of -- now the media is part of it. he appeals to a middle people in america. and people on the coast, in washington and l.a., they're the enemy and they're cheering for him. >> what do democrats trying to beat him need to know? how do you beat a phenomena like the donald trump you're talking about here? >> one thing you have to recognize where his votes are coming from and try not to fall for -- last time i made the mistakes all reporters did, we all looked at the polls and said it's illim possible he could win because his aunfavorability ratings are too high, and trump did well with voters who disapproved of both candidates. he's not just running to get attention for himself but also running against other candidates. if they're doing poorly and people don't approve of the other side, he tends to win that battle who don't like either candidate. the first is recognizing the extent of his

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jeb bush was right, people may have wanted more chaos than they thought they were getting.'s former rivals are now his buddies and in the administration, one is rick perry. here's what he said about donald trump back during the campaign. >> he offers a barking carnival act that can best be described as trumpism. a toxic mix of demagoguery and mean spiritedness and nonsense that will lead the republican party to perdition if pursued. >> that's a remarkable thing. one last one, don't worry about that, one last one, hillary clinton, remember her? she ran against donald trump in the general election. she made some predictions about his presidency too. let's play that. >> i don't want to rip families apart, i don't want to be sending parents away from chern, i don't want to see the deportation force that donald has talked about in action in our country. >> i mean, talk about predicting donald trump's child separation zero tolerance policy, continuing to be a massive humanitarian and political problem. so we knew and his opponents knew, a lot of the american public knew what they

if it were marco rubio and jeb bush, it would be the same. what is your reaction to that? >> no, no. he has taken it to an extreme we have not seen. was the bush administration as environmentally sensitive as i would have liked? no. but they didn't have a war on science, which this administration clearly has. they are undermining science right, left and center. they won't let us see, for instance, any of the background material that's gone in to figuring out where why they can get away with rolling back this regulation. and that's the good news, because this is going to go to court. >> right. >> you can't just make up your mind that i'm going to do away with this. arsenic is god for you today, i think. so we're going to do away with the arsenic rule. you have to have a thoughtful process that says what has changed that leads you to say that this is no longer a problem. and that can happen. that has happened on some things, and that's appropriate. you should look at regulations from time to time. they're not looking at anything. they're just. >> we've seen that in other plac

they then ask him a normal thing they would ask jeb bush, and they en -- >> he also -- this is a savvyking to the shrubs. with the chopper going in the background. it's like you could barely hear and he points, and then if he doesn't like the question, he goes to someone else. he's created a whole situation in those briefings he gives where he can control follow-up questions or anything like that. >> what if one of the people who was questioning him simply said, mr. president, where is greenland? [ applause ] >> where is kashmir? he says, hindus, muslims, they don't get along. my 6-year-old could do a better answer than that. we take -- we laugh about it. we are also taking him seriously or literally or literally if not seriously. we have to call this stuff out. we need to take about the 25th amendment every day of the week. [ applause ] >> that's the point. >> we all know that. >> calling out or whatever -- there are two constitutional remedies. there's the 25th amendment, which is a higher bar and there's impeachment. we can all talk all we want about the fact that we're watching thi

if a jeb bush or scott walker would not have that credibility. mitch mcconnell is going to run this in the senate, but donald trump is the ultimate decider but it's going to require a sustained effort and he doesn't do a lot of sustained efforts. >> not in the slightest. i'm crazy about the calendar because i think timing really matters here. let us see what the next 12 hours brings because this could shift very quickly. but right now it's a very interesting place. thanks, guys, i appreciate it. it's great to see you. >>> coming up for us, president trump says massive i.c.e. raids in mississippi will help curb illegal immigration. that is a harsh reality to be facing when you see the faces of crying children who were deserted begging for any information on their parents who have been picked up on these raids. one mayor of mississippi calls the raids dehumanizing. he joins us next. >> plus another shakeup at the top intelligence agency. the number two top official resigning. what does this mean for the nation's intelligence apparatus and what abou

my old boss jeb bush unfortunately didn't appeal because he wasn't an angry candidate. so, look. i think what this is in many ways -- >> maybe because jeb was telling the truth often? >> again, i think it was mostly tone. a lot of respects. so i think this reminds me in many ways of 2010. with immigration, we were actually winning the illegal immigration issue on many parts and i think again we can continue that in 2020 if they continue to talk about decriminalizing the border. however, in the last few weeks, as the focus became on the caravan, a lot of republicans running for re-election who were running fairly uncomfortably by about ten points or so including will hurd who announced his retirement suddenly dropped overnight. i think there is a little nervousness from republicans i talked to that it is important we keep winning this issue and not seed any ground on it. >> phil, besides immigration your colleagues at the post discussing paper straws as one of these cultural flash points that the trump campaign is capitalizing on. it is stunning. i know a whole lot of grade school

i think the matter that you just discussed that involved an independent super pac supporting jeb bushed a fine of almost $1 million, which is a large fine for the agency, one of the largest in memory and that shows that the agency was able to come together on a bipartisan basis to address a really serious violation of the law. it doesn't happen all the time, and i wish it happened more often and hopefully it can in the future. >> keep it up. the country needs you. thanks for joining us. >> thank you. >>> coming up next, jeanne moos on the insect pestering donald trump. back then, we checked our smartphones ...zero times a day. times change. eyes haven't. that's why there's ocuvite. screen light... sunlight... longer hours... eyes today are stressed! but ocuvite has vital nutrients... ...that help protect them. ocuvite. eye nutrition for today. [music playing] jerry has a membership to this gym, but he's not using it. and he has subscriptions to a music service he doesn't listen to and five streaming video services he doesn't watch. this is jerry learning that he's still paying for thi

government, my understanding, is that they are now utilizing here in florida -- and this started with jeb bush some the koch brothers, the cato institute, betsy devos, the murphy family, the waltons, started this conversation that is a political conversation, actually. education is not about politics. education is about a social/civic,, and value society. we are in a global society. in a global society, we have now china and india providing their valueen with the common respect. the equity and parity issue in our country regarding funding is s sincet has plagued u the beginning, because we are not a homogeneous nation, like china, we are a diverse nation. us get a response. neal mccluskey. you go first. guest: sure. if we have the federal government in charge of the education, we cannot remove it, because politics is how we operate. that is how we decide who is in charge. i certainly think it is a problem, if the state level, state or local governments, this is how you really will not use your money. certainly it happens all the time. constitutions, look, the state is in charge, and we will de

president of the republic of mali have also performed many times you might be better than them are jeb bush rishi. loves playing in bamako the city which was built on the banks of the revive niger innis one of the fastest growing metro police in the world sometimes at the expense of those who are ruth below the poverty line. must assume he comments on the social change in bamako in his news right. now when he needs to recharge must assume a heads. to the national park in the heart of comical this is why he filmed a very personal video back in 2011 a doctor a muslim and midwife of a piece is dedicated to my mother it was my way of honoring all midwives going to college and he doesn't shy away from political topics in his either that. explain your islam he condemns the jihadists creating fear and violence particularly in the countries not after they really of another song even received death threats. before i wrote my career i have used music to speak out. at times i have been so critical that people have even wondered whether i work for the opposition but i. was never compared for any politi

he didn't expect to beat jeb bush, he expected -- he expected to be booeeaten by jeb bush and then possiblywing the race to his friends, the clintons, and then he was going to start a tv news network. i've said that for years now, based on -- just based on everything that i picked up and knew at the time. people had talked even during the campaign about him teaming up with breitbart news, he and bannon, and they would start trump tv. well, let's fast forward three years. here's a guy who thinks that he could possibly lose the presidency and what's he doing? he's now using fox news as a scapegoat. why? because when he gets out, he's going to be blaming everybody, but he's going to want to blame fox news as well. so after the presidency, he can start trump tv. it's what he had planned before and it's looking more and more like what he's planning now as a fall-back position to re-election. >> yeah, joe, look, you know this because all of us around this table were here on election day in 2016. the most surprised person in the world that he won the presidency was donald trump. followed maybe by

when he drank too much and jeb bush and then to mary first and to study harder interested in public policy and with a job in florida and george in texas but jeb was more likely to win. and that isn't what happened. georgege w one an amazing victory to put them on a path to the presidency jeb lost and ran four yearsd later and won the first of two terms as governor of florida but it was a surprise to the bushes but itha was george w who prevailed and george w who made it to theas white house that makes barbara bush a unique figure history to women both the wife and the mother of a president but only one who survived to see her son into the white house abigail adams died six-year before quincy adams montes john quincy adamsix bentered. he ignored her when she said no and ignored her again over the course of iraq and her husband madeai a vow here. we are going to get you a microphone also. >> one of the things that impressed me. >> can you speak into the microphone. >> at one time he asked for a big cut. he was continuing the excitement from the start. and he refused to live that way. and he

at this time in 2015, we were talking about jeb bush having a super pac.e were not talking about rick santorum, who won the iowa caucus. it is still early and we have a lot of time to make our case. even though we talk about it on an hourly, daily, minute by minute basis, we stop a lot of time to make her case. david: fair enough. during that time, please come back. that is sabrina singh, the national press secretary for cory booker's campaign. michael bloomberg, the owner of helpsg -- of bloomberg fund a program that advocates for gun safety measures. caught in the trade crosshairs. skyworks solutions is positioned well in the 5g smart phone business but is still cutting its earnings forecast. it is our stock of the hour, next. this is bloomberg. ♪ david: you are watching "balance of power." i'm david westin. time for the stock of the hour. skyworks solutions is one of the biggest laggards in the s&p 500 falling 2.5% after the company's guidance missed expectations. kailey leinz will tell us why. kailey: in the third quarter they be on the top and bottom

joe biden has been compared to jeb bush and others based off name recognition.s got them over a hump. one last thing, i have a new podcast, folks, the forecastfest with me. you should listen. it is good stuff. >> congratulations on that. >> thank you. if you like what you heard. the forecast, subscribe via itunes. >> thank you. >> thank you for the invite. >> you didn't get one? >> we'll get you on. >> noted. a new scare in a nation on edge. what we know about a heavily armed man who walked through a walmart and sent police scrambling through the store. that's what happens in golf nothiand in life.ily. i'm very fortunate i can lean on people, and that for me is what teamwork is all about. you can't do everything yourself. you need someone to guide you and help you make those tough decisions, that's morgan stanley. they're industry leaders, but the most important thing is they want to do it the right way. i'm really excited to be part of the morgan stanley team. i'm justin rose. we are morgan stanley. it's something we take personally, and believe in passionately

ted miller who was comedic asians director for jeb bush said this. mind-boggling that there would be several candidates taking shots at barack obama when he is probably popular, trump isn't in the whole point of the enterprise is beating trump. what is going on? >> we had a little bipartisanship, republicans want to the obama administration was an unmitigated disaster and last night democrats agreed. for different reasons but the principle stands. very interesting. at how far the left of the democratic party has moved in just the last few years, barack obama was incredibly progressive, incredibly left-wing and it isn't good enough anymore. kind of fun to watch when they attack their own and joe biden didn't know how to respond to it. he was really taken aback by the harshness and criticism of the obama administration from the left. >> he suggested reaction to the debate that he was sort of surprised they went there. terry sullivan, campaign manager for marco rubio put it this way. obama lost. his record is too right-wing manages of healthcare and imm

the one she would have the toughest time is jeb bush. we know how that turned out. >> exactly. we refined the polling method on. the fox news poll that you put out ten days ago had a great job. we used to only poll -- the pollsters polled people with land lines only. the fox news possible, 2/3s were from cell phones, which is more up to date. >> neil: the president is not 0 a fan of those fox news polls. >> i know. that's what i was going to say. he dismissed it as fake news. and so kudos to fox news for giving us good accurate polling -- >> neil: but we still don't know the results. madison, what i'm saying, let's say they're off base and it's way too early. i agree with all that. if you're the president overseeing a strong economy, strong markets, this doesn't jive with any of that. so what do you have to do or if you look forward to the long campaign ahead, obviously you need a challenger. single individual to focus on. we're a long ways from that. what do you think the president needs to do? >> i think right now the most important thing the president and his team can be doi

. >>> joining the group is tim miller from the jeb bush 2016 campaign and he's a contributor to let's back to the wall. absolute trump eater. without these three americans, theres no president clinton, no george w. bush, and most importantly, no president trump. it's time for america number four to change history. >> look at all the three candidates and then vote your conscience. >> promises to special interest groups over $10 billion. finding out the truth, priceless. there are some things money can't buy. for everything else, there's your voter registration card. >> this is climate madness. two men captaining our shipment of state into more danger. end the climate silence. stand up. >> all right. you told me last week that gary johnson, maybe roger stone was behind it. >> in 2012, roger worked for gary and took new mexico off the map for romney. he's the governor of new mexico. he takes a couple states off for republicans. he's very bad for democrats. particularly last cycle. he raised $13 million. and the world has changed with digital marketing. not only can you raise money but yo

. >> he certainly delivered on being the disrupter in chief and being what jeb bush called the chaos president. you know, it's interesting to me in a sense that i was drawn across the bridge by george w. bush about his notions of compassion and conservatism and it was in large part the democrats' issues on trade that made me become a republican. now president trump is worse than traditional republicans. my big takeaway from all this week is donald trump has remade the republican party in his image. it's unclear what that is day-to-day, but we are going to have to figure that out. he's in a way remaking the democratic party. if we continue to have the disruption and concerns about the economy -- remember, it's not just where the economy is today, it's where voters think it will be. if that gets really bad and there's a lot of signs that it will be, this whole notion of who can win will not be as important and therefore the progressive wing of the party will be ascendent for democrats and it's likely a progressive nominee could win. as a traditional republican who thinks about things li

tim miller who was communications director for jeb bush said it's mind-boggling there would be several at barack obama when he is probably popular, trump isn't in the whole point of the enterprise is beating trump. what's going on? >> for once we have a little bit of bipartisanship. republicans have long said that the obama administration was a disaster and for once democrats agreed. it's interesting how far to the left the democratic party has moved in the last few years. barack obama was incredibly progressive and left-wing and it isn't good enough anymore just a few short years later. it's fun to watch when they attack their own and joe biden didn't know how to respond to it. he was taken aback by the harshness of the criticism. >> shannon: he seemed to suggest that this morning in reaction to the debate last night. obama lost, as record is too far right wing. it's kind of nuts to watch. >> i agree with tim miller, over 95% of democratic voters still support president obama and his policies. it was a gift by some of the candidates on stage last night to vice president biden, they ma

i worked for jeb bush in 2016. he was thought to be the most electable. donald trump was not in anyone's radar. i think with elizabeth warren and bernie and trump in 2016, more than the respective parties than tone. that is where you see biden miss the mark. he is the candidate of the head, but not of the heart. one thing i watch is warren and sanders on the debate stage with biden, which hasn't happened yet, biden has been shaky. he hasn't had the prime competition with him yet. that debate is coming. >> the other thing, juanita, if we are putting too much stock in polls. especially this early in the race. obviously a lot of other factors and those factors go on to the debate stage. including the money you raise. >> exactly. >> when you look at crowds for warren and sanders, they're big. her's in particular. they tend to be vocal. could you read too much into that? in 2016, the crowds turned out to be an indication for president trump and enthusiasm that a lot of polls didn't see. not so much for bernie sanders who drew huge crowds up until the end but d

i don't know that previous republican respects or jeb bush got elected president, they wouldn't be able to take on the nra and win this. this is a president that could. mitch mcconnell and nancy pelosi are important people. this comes down to whether the president will give a sustained push. mitch mcconnell was being very careful there not to get too far out on the ledge. there's a number of times where the president has said he's for something, he will take the lead and then right when the time comes, he backs away and leaves him exposed. i don't think he wants to put his senators out on the ledge here. >> we're seeing movement amongst republicans particularly in communities that have been impacted by this, whether it is mike turner in dayton, mike dewine, our governor in ohio, looking to actually move this ball forward in ways that we have not seep. there's a difference here. >> dana: i'm glad you brought that up. i pulled this and i was like oh, brendan buck is a perfect person to have this. robert acosta went to do some reporting on suburbs. important votes in the suburbs. he writes

was this concern that president trump has an ability to demonize his opponents the way he did with jeb bushd others. you know, we don't know that. and the electability question is a tricky one. at this point, the reality is she has done a lot of good today with this speech. but whether that inoculates her in the general election if she is the nominee. >> it depends who you are talking to. it has been almost a year since warren relezed that much-criticized video. that was yet another time that she found herself having to apologize. does it say anything that she is still apologizing? does it say anything to you? or is it more that the questions keep coming at her? >> i think that the reason the questions came up in the last week was because warren's campaign decided that they wanted to address these issues right now. she came out with a native american proposal just at the end of last week. and that was one of the most exhaustive and comprehensive policy plans to date. it's about double all of the other plans. it's 9,000 words or so. they put that out in the lead up to this conference. and th

correspondent juliaencely, charlie sykes and msnbc contributor michael steele, former senior adviser to jeb bush former spokesman for house speaker john boehner. michael steele, seems to me as a republican, property rights are an article of faith. >> property rights are sacred, eminent domain is a sacrilege. he had control of congress the first two years of his first term and didn't take that opportunity to dot right thing to get the wall built if he wanted to build a wall by passing legislation through congress and he's now trying to ram this through executive actions because he failed to act when he had the opportunity. i hope and expect all of those people getting these instructions remember, he's only in a position to issue pardons if he wins. >> charlie, the whole issue of mexico building the wall, that was a non-starter that poisoned the relationship with mexico in all sorts of ways. mexico has been pressured to do a lot of things, including accepting migrant and asylum applicants on their side of the border and such, but they're not going to pay for the wall. >> no, they're not going to p

i mean, jeb bush was leading the rest of the pack by that kind of margin four years ago.ally believe joe biden, having watched him carefully, two debates, is capable of sustaining a winning presidential campaign between now and the november after this? >> i think he has to stick to his guns. he has to be the old joe biden, the job i did that has served the american people for the last 40 years, not be pulled to the side. let's understand, we have a field that is big, it's hard to get your message across in a couple of seconds of sound bites. at the same time, you are a two-time vice president selling with someone selling crystals and bill de blasio on the other side. you have to compete withth that. as the field shrinks down -- >> tucker: don't put biden near too many democrats because he looks bad? [laughs] >> don't put him next to random crazy ladies selling crystals, some guy who wants to give everybody $1,000 a month. put him in an actual policy debate. let him and kamala hammer things out of how their plans work, how they are funded, instead of having these that don'

lansing jeb bush have i seen the political press unified.od hates sin. yet, here he is all the things wrong he's eating ice cream. >> sandra: can he stand up to donald trump, steve bannon answered that with maria over the weekend. >> i don't see anybody on the stage that can take on donald trump one-on-one. joe biden is weak on china and if the democratic party thinks joe biden will go against donald trump they've got another thing coming. he'll run the table on him. >> it's joe biden's third attempt for president. these things matter. >> bill: what's that mean. >> he's tried two other times and hasn't won. it's a very familiar performance from joe biden. i've said on this to the and other places i think he'll be nominee. voters think he's an insurance policy unless and until somebody else comes along and i think it's between warren and harris. donald trump will have a tough time with either one if it's warren or harris. i don't think it will be biden but people are holding him in the polls until they pick somebody else. >> mary anne said re

previous books i was delighted when they took a phone call from the chief of staff of the governor jeb bush the chief of staff said a big problem for florida was the issue of haitians and dominicans in florida. they were going to place my book on the desk of governor bush and he would come back to see whether they had read the book. i don't know whether bush did read the books that you can bet that the chief of staff wouldn't have called me if my book had been a diatribe against his party. >> thank you for coming tonight. you have given us a lot to think about. i have a cognitive disability so i had to write this down. please bear with me otherwise i'm going to screw it up. first indigenous nations have had massive traumas inflicted upon them. most are not acknowledged by other nations, so there can be no compromises were analyzed. as a result, the people have experienced the consequences related to the multiple generational trauma. you mentioned australia no longer has the policy and the university where your son attended was very dangerous. i used to live blocks from a campus. the website

and republican strategist, justin safety, a former spokesperson for jeb bush.orning. >> the first question to you is about the op-ed that said the threat to trump isn't the trump derangement syndrome. it's trump fatigue. justin, do you think people are ever going to tire of the constant drama? >> well, we'll find out during the elections. one thing you can say about president trump, he's polarizing to a lot of people but one thing you can agree upon, he commands attention. whether he does it intentionally with the combat that he has or twitter arrows that he sends to people, we don't know. and for people following the news endlessly on a 24-hour basis, it's an endless supply of drama almost like a television show. whether or not people will get fatigued by it, we will see. one thing we do see, he's a fighter. when you take on battles against china. i think a lot of americans will respond positively to those types of battles. >> anton, you're shaking your head what do you have to say? >> well, i think to quote something i learn growing up, i think people are fat

he ran as a republican, but look at people who have been in the republican party for a long time, jeb bush, people who are pillars of -- john kasich. people who are pillars of the party. they're not all actively speaking out against donald trump, but what he represents is not conservatism of paul ryan of john boehner of people who were longtime stalwarts of the party. it's just not close. i want to make, don, if i can one other point. your great people built a great graphic for us. it's not just republican politicians who warned us about donald trump. we knew about donald trump. i pulled these numbers in a 2016 exit poll. so donald trump wins this election, but he wins it with 33% of people saying he's honest and trustworthy. he wins it 64 -- two-thirds of people say he wasn't honest and trustworthy. he won that election. this one is stunning to me, 38% of people saying he is qualified to serve as president. these are not current numbers, folks. this is not from a recent cnn poll. this is from the 2016 exit poll, people who had just voted. we knew what we were getting. so how does he win i

jeb bush probably the most famous. he probay didn't raise as much money but they are spu super pas because they are different. y.you can raise tons of mo w in that race in early states for candidates like mitt romney and newt gingrich. democrats, they have been moving away from takingoney from super pacs or other super pacs involved in this. all the democratic candidates say i don't want your money. they are staying away from corporate pacs money. they are staying away from the traditional, old school fund raising of going to these big high dollar. we used to boast about that about, they had bundlers and people would come and lisa would go ask 20 of her friends to write $20 checks and you would get lauded by the campor being that big fund raiser. theyre not doing that now. it means it's not just the way the money at's being raised is different but if you think about these early states who arefloing to have nce in these races. it's going to look a lot dieert than it has in he cent years. >> one reason of course for all

and i think trump shocked the world when he won new hampshire in that primary and defeated jeb bush andt moment. he views corey lewandowski as a key to that. lewandowski's ties to new hampshire. so i think that's explaining a little bit of president trump's favor. >> what committees does he want to serve on, foreign affairs, defense. i mean -- does he really want to be a senator or does he want to be donald trump's man on the senate. look, we should not discount the possibility of this, because who knows with president trump on the ballot, boy, that is a big help. but it's a pretty big gift for jeanne shaheen, the democratic incumbent. >> there aren't all that many potential republican pickups on the 2020 map. and so to cede one to a candidate who's perhaps not the best possible candidate i think is tough, but also there are a lot of trump allies who are hoping that he does run so he won't be around to put bugs in the president's ear and potentially derail his re-election bid. >> the concern from local gopers is they don't think that he could beat shaheen. he doesn't expand the base bey

correspondent steve kornacki, "washington post" writer jonathan capehart, former senior advisor to jeb bush and former spokesman to john boehner michael steele. and joel payne. great all-star panel to break this down. steve, let's begin with you. today, you and i were speaking 24 hours ago, we were talking about the monmouth poll. today, you've got biden's camp saying that the poll itself is a bit of an outlier. how does this line up with the trend which the more important question? >> all of a sudden, the biedzen campaign, yesterday, we were casting doubt on the monmouth poll. today if you're a fan of joe biden you're a big fan of the morning consult poll, they came out with the weekly tracking poll, democratic race. online poll, larger sample, but a bit of different methodology that monmouth uses. biden has been leading in morning consult. they've been doing it all week. double digit advantage over sanders, basically 2 to 1, better than 2 to 1 advantage over elizabeth warren. that's what morning consult has been showing for a while. that's what it showed last night, certainly. that's what

and tim miller who is former communications director for jeb bush's 2016 campaign and a contributor to the bulwark. that's impressive. let me go to neera. i know you better. so i want to ask you about this. there is something in the water, at least going through into the fall. we haven't gotten to the equinox yet. but into the fall, there seems to be something sticking there. what is it for biden? why is he holding on that one-third? >> i think the issue for the president is that he has weathered a fair amount of negative press. he's had two debates, the first one very tough. the second one he performed well, or performed better. and i think the truth is that he still is doing pretty well against trump, and also, trump hasn't figured out a way. >> i think a 16 point spread against him right now. >> they're all doing pretty well against trump, but he does the best against trump. and also, really importantly, trump has not figured out a way to take him down. and i think all of those things together, a lot of democrats are very comfortable with him, they do -- democrats do like the vice p

correspondent, and susan del percent i don't, a political analyst, and michael steele, senior adviser to jeb bush and spokesman for house speaker john boehner. gabe, there's a lot going on there in what we just played, with the president inviting vladimir putin to the g7 next year u. talking about the trade war, about crimea, the annexation back in 2014, but one of the things that stands out is there was no broad agreement twos these countries. >> and no one expected thering to. yesterday again, the last few g7s have ended more or less the same way, ending with something that trump said, and the other leaders meeting by themselves to talk about something entirely. he has a practice of blowing these things up, and at least the sub headlines he used this press conference to sell his own hotel. we're used to this behavior, but we shouldn't be. we're not surprised nothing came because of this. if anything comes of it, it will be despite him. >> every eight years or so, the united states gets to host these. last one was camp david. last seam sea island, georgia. there are other venues that have been u

and that is ahead of where jeb bush was nationally, joe leiberman, 17%. but it's not just nationally. i think the key thing here, jim, is in iowa biden's advantage nationally is translating to iowa. so last week what we saw at 28% in iowa, and that's well ahead where these three folks were. and if you were to basically extrapolate this out, biden would have about a 40% chance of winning. >> that's also the chances the mets make the playoffs, but i might note that. and we're the only two people in the world that care about that. joining me to discuss all this cnn political commentator david swerdlick and cnn analyst, a congressional correspondent at "the new york times." david, the way this race is shaping up as we speak to harry henton who's deep in the numbers is that electability really a big deciding issue for many democratic voters and i want to get your reaction. >> i know that not all of you are committed to my husband. and i respect that. you're candidate might be better on i don't know health care than joe is, but you've got to look at who's going

it feels like her jeb bush moment when he said, "please clap."lege try, you're still a senator. maybe give it a shot again. but it smacks of desperation and it's almost sad to see. >> katie: dagen, should they stop trying to make gillibrand happen? it's is not happening. >> dagen: she was the first center to call for to resign, she said bill clinton should have resigned during the monica lewinsky problem. that turned a lot of people off. remember, she is brag about having long gun under her bed? absolutely. i was going to say, she would be better off selling bottled "eau de desperacion!" because that's what this reeks of, what she's doing. the writing is on the wall. move along. >> katie: who do you think will drop out after the second round? also, do you think this will give top-tier candidates a better position to actually explain their policies rather than 30 seconds here and 30 seconds there? debate each other rather than introducing themselves to the country? >> leslie: absolutely. they will have more time and they will maybe get some suppor

jeb bush said it. if you have this chaos candidate, you'd have a chaos presiden presidency. chaos at the border and now beyond the border. that's what you're going to see with the g7. part of the thing david axelrod has been talking about is this fatigue now. you have people even people who might love the tax cuts, who might like the conservative judges, it's just exhausting. you can't get up every morning for five more years and be afraid to look at your phone because you just don't know what crazy thing is going to leap out to your eyeballs and ruin the next hour of your life. but that's kind of what we've been dealing with. it's a continuation of that. >> to remind folks, the last g7, there's an indelible photograph that folks might remember of just how swimmingly the various world leaders get along. we've got -- >> you asked for a body language expert. i don't need one. >> you don't need one for this one? >> that's the iconic photo we will show you in one second where president trump is basically swarmed by all of the leaders waiting for sort of a response or an answer f

on monday, former jeb bush spokeswoman nicole wallace explained that president trump is planning a ofispanic-americans. watch this. >> wrap it up again to the invasion, warning people of the caravan and words like infestation. what to do with an infestation? with an infestation, the natural conclusion is to attempt and extermination. >> president obama used the power of the presidency to try to pass competence of immigration reform. at latino communities, latino leaders of the table. the president talk about exterminating latinos. >> tucker: exterminating latinos. keep in mind that donald trump as a factual matter got a higher percentage of the hispanic vote than mitt romney did. turns out that not all latinos believe in open borders. a lot of them don't. some of them agree with donald trump on the regression. the left is not telling you and demanding that you believe that anyone who supports donald trump is a whitete supremacist and mut be destroyed. they are telling you that for political reasons. this is election season, obviously, and they want more political power. but there are

p bush is the land commissioner of texas, the grandson of george herbert walker bush, the son of jeb bush, very quick on twitter to describe his 0 career in naval, twitter now have been multiple as a attacks from self declared white terrorists here in the u.s. in the last several months this is a real and present threat we must all denounce and defeat. amy do you think that is singularly suggestive of the bush family at large and do you think it will be something that republicans, will hurd and others will rally around? >> so george p bush is in texas, a state that is obviously incredibly diverse, if he wants to run for higher office in the state of texas, he understands and appreciates what that would look like, the coalition that you need to put together to win in a state like texas, and the age that he is right now, she much younger knowing where we are headed in the future, so i think he reflects where the party needs to go but right now in the age a of trump they are in a place where that is not true. i just wanted to give one statistics right now in congress republicans 0 rent 83 pe

michael steel former adviser to jeb bush and spokesman for john boehner.ll senior director for progressive programming on sirius xm who worked on hillary clinton's campaign. good to see you both this morning. michael, what do you think? does walsh's entrance into the race change anything? >> i don't think it makes it less likely that president trump will be the nominee of the republican party in 2020. there are two important facts here. one, every incumbent president who has failed to be re-elected in the modern era faced a primary challenge. every incumbent president that has been re-elected in the modern era did not. president trump now has two primary challengers and i think is likely to get a third in the form of mark sanford. i think this is a sign that there is a portion of the republican party that still wants a sane, rational, honest, inclusive, conservative, reform minded republican party and they do not see themselves getting that with president trump as their nominee. do i think he is going to win the nomination? no. do i think it's an important

>> yeah, i mean, this is looking a little more like '16 for jeb bush or '16 for scott walker than '12ou got biden cratering that fast based on one poll of 298 democratic primary voters. >> the bigger challenge for me is you've got 40% that seem to be aligned. if you believe the polls, 40% are aligned for a different part of the party. that's biden's problem. he's got a problem with where the voters are and where he is in his relative positioning. that's the bigger challenge. now, if biden's not still ahead by the time we get to september, october, november, then it becomes more of a problem for him. >> let's look at this through the prism of who looks the best out of all of this. whatever poll we see than was before, that's the one consistent thing across all the polling. >> and that mirrors what a lot of us reporters are hearing when we talk to people oengd. you look at the crowd, they're energetic, they're large. people are telling their friends and family about elizabeth warren. there's interest in that. there's growing momentum. one of the things that's interesting about specific

i've said this before where if -- [ applause ] >> if jeb bush or john mccain or john kasich or anotherd become president i wouldn't be doing this because even though i would vehemently disagree with some of their policies, i think all of them would have respected the office and would respect other people. >> yeah. [ applause ] >> pete souza, everybody. the paperback of "shade" is coming out on october 27th, a whole bunch of new photos. thank you so much for being with me. still ahead, michelle gilbert, joey hassan and joy reed are all coming here so join me. don't go anywhere. don't go anywhere. [farmers bell] (burke) at farmers insurance, we've seen almost everything, so we know how to cover almost anything. even a "three-ring fender bender." (clown 1) sorry about that... (clown 2) apologies. (clown 1) ...didn't mean it. (clown 3) whoops. (stilts) sorry! (clowns) we're sorry! (scary) hey, we're sorry! [man screams] [scary screams] (burke) quite the circus. but we covered it. at farmers, we know a thing or two because we've seen a thing or two. ♪ we are farmers. bum-pa-dum, bum-bum-bum