it's great to get your perspective on this do appreciate that thanks very much indeed that's jeff colgan professor of political science. all right now to a comprehensive coronavirus coverage and there have been nearly 100000 deaths worldwide the worst hit country is the united states and we'll get the latest from there shortly with complete heloc at the 1st as a christian tsunami reports there are signs of improvement with a drop in hospital admissions part island is new york city's potter's field where those with no family or means to arrange a funeral are laid to rest they used to bury 25 people a week here in the age of the coronavirus it's about that number every day. counting the dead is now part of the daily routine for the gov 911 was supposed to be the darkest day in new york for a generation we lose 2753 lives on 911 we've lost over 7000 lives through this crisis. that is so shocking and painful and breathtaking i can't i don't even have the words for. as the daily death toll continues to reach new heights and the state builds more temporary hospitals like this 350 bed the sylla

industry waits and worries until all the pumps return to service john hendren al-jazeera chicago jeff colgan is a professor of political science at brown university he's also the author of petro aggression when oil causes war he joins us now from providence in rhode island via skype sir thank you for joining us here on al-jazeera were you surprised by these latest developments or do you think you and perhaps a lot of other people should have seen it coming well i said on al-jazeera about 10 days ago that the price of oil was going down and lo and behold this is what we have but this is partly because of the fundamentals of the oil physical deliveries but mostly because of the financial markets and how investors were holding or oil contracts that come due tomorrow and they suddenly don't want the oil there's nowhere to put it so you say that these contracts are due tomorrow so are we seeing a blip right now the price actually being negative and it will stabilize a little bit after those contracts or how do you see this playing out over the next few days well right now the price for june deliv

intelligence that is an industry analysis company and in providence rhode island in the united states jeff colgan a professor of political science a brown university and he's also author of the book petro aggression when oil causes war welcome to you all gentlemen thanks very much for joining us i just want to try and remind our viewers of how we've ended up where we are today and i'll start with you mikhail if i can ask you did when russia refused to join the opec production cuts did russia miscalculate the response from saudi arabia you think yes i believe it was her own and there is the mission of to put down some of saudi arabia and this show industry in the united states and it wasn't all where is the mission of the 1st of all russian you know the story which has led to the decision to war depart abruptly you know all of us and can i ask you jeff russia has previously aligned itself with opec to sort of give it clout politically in the middle east why this change of topic. well russia did join with opec but if you actually look at the numbers the degree to which it was willing to cut product

will further reduce its output to help mexico and jeff colgan is a professor of political science at brown university and author of petro aggression when oil causes war he says it's unrealistic to believe the deal will stabilize the oil markets any time soon. oil markets have actually fallen on news of the deal as opposed to rising as opec plus had hoped that it would happen they were looking for a boost of up to $15.00 a barrel and in fact prices are going into reverse and that's striking because i think there's really 2 things that are happening because of what's happening here one is that while the deal does contain some substantive cuts most of what's being announced are so-called market cuts meaning that these are the kinds of things are going to happen deal or no deal these are decisions made by individual producers reacting to the change in market conditions that are you know ramping down because of lower oil prices so in some sense that this is more hype than real substance and the 2nd thing that matters for the prices is the fact that there is a can persistent overhang in su

more than $67.00 a barrel in december when the virus was 1st detected of a 21 dollars this month jeff colgan is a professor of political science at brown university and author of the book petro aggression when oil causes war he says russia's compliance will be the key to the deal working all eyes now turn to compliance in the past the gulf monarchies saudi arabia kuwait and others have been reasonably strong on compliance but the big question here is about russia it has promised to come to reduce its production and its record of doing so over the last few years is not as strong as what opec would like to see president trouble of course is going to claim credit for the deal but actually it's really not clear that he was a major factor the major thing that he tried to do was to bring mexico to the table but mexico held firm and refused to be a part of it and so in fact this deal was largely done between saudi arabia and russia and president trump is doing what president trump does which is to try to claim credit for. iran has recorded 117 deaths in 24 hours that brings the nationwide death tol