what to look for in the returns, i recently sat down with pbsee newshournd special correspondent jeff greenfield. >> t so much for being here >> my pleasure >> thompson: so you say on tuesday you will look for clues very early in the evening. india is the first state to report and that's where one of the endangered democratic senatorss is fighting for his life, joe don nelley, he loses that is going to tell us whatever slim chance the democrats think they hae of taking the senate is even slimmer, but also going to be looking at conditions, a district where retired marine fighter pilot amy mcgraph is waging a tough campaign against incumbent >> this is a deeply red district, if sheuld pull off an upset that is an early clue there may be in fact a democratic blue wave billion stg florida and georgia, they both ha gotten a lot of attention from the governor races >> yes, even though there is a tight sete race in florida, bill neil nielsen 0 governor the governor scott, running for senate, those race got enormous attention because both ina florwith andrew gillam and stacey abrams we are talking abou

so pbsewshour special correspondent jeff greenfield, we talked to him once befniore t. we want to talk to him again. jeff you've been watching some of these numbers and hearing thr cotion what are you thinking. >> i'm thinking for a lot of democrat that is going to start feeling a little like ground hog day. just about this time two years ago the confidence thiaary clinton was going to win was winning to ebb. i notice 5mented 38.com is like the oracle of kill fi where they check in 20 times a day. this morning he had democrats with and exseven chance of holding the house. the last number i saw and it changes radically is five and nine. a suggestion it's going to be tuch much closer than the aun misses on the democratic side thought. i think amy is right we're looking very hard at new jersey pennsylvania and some extents new york where there are as many as ten competitive house seats and the deocrats now ed to win most if not all of them to be back in the captain seat anthen maybe wait for california. i think the other thing we need to remember is that wheowe lok for inst

also jeff greenfield. >> i've actually come to talk about among other things, suppose the probabilities, democratic house. it would occur to me that if you looked at history to tell you what's going to happen after, you'd be looking at the wrong place. historically clinton got clobbered, kind of worked with newt gingrich. obama got clobbered. harry truman got clobbered and built a bipartisan foreign policy. if you think that's going to happen after the midterms, i would suggest you're probably wrong, because history as we saw two years ago is on vacation. you've got a president who will accept no responsibility for what happens if his par si loty. he'll claim george soros smuggled 5 million people from the caravan to vote. you've got a democratic majority if it happens in the house. if you look at those committee chair chair chai chairs, these are the veterans more liberal. you've got a republican caucus. who's going to lose tonight, the more moderate republicans, which means that the freedom caucus is going to be stronger in the house in january than now. that's a formula for what hist