let's bring in david seaberg and jeremy siegel. guys, good to speak with you.rofessor, you are known to be a bull and you sort of walked it back because last november you said that dow 20,000 was a real possibility. february you said, i have to revise that. now you say dow 19,000 by the end of the year. what's changed and has the factors disis sy pated in the first quarter? >> well, i think 19,000 is still possible by the year end but i think we're going to be in a range from 17,000 to 18,000. i really want to see the earnings increase. i mean, we had a very severe earnings recession last year and when we had the deflationary forces of crashing oil prices, you know, we were worried about a chinese devaluation and that produced the panic that we saw in late january and early february. now, those two worries are very much alleviated now. i mean, oil is back to 40, seems to have found some sort of a base there. china's actually appreciating its currency lather than devaluing its currency so those deep fears of deflation which weighed so much on the market have bee