with us is jim bianco. what is the yellen trade? what do you do? be when the fed will raise rates. there is rumbling that march might be on the table, or might not be on the table. it would be huge news if she hinted the fed would move in march because the markets have not gotten priced in. you will wait to see if she weighs in on the discussion of the fed reducing the size of their balance sheet or the bonds they hold. we have not heard from the big fed officials like fisher or onl dudley or janet yellen the subject. if they weigh in on that subject , that would be significant. i do not think she will on this go around. david: i feel sorry for mr. locker. should we ignore the people apart from janet yellen? extent, yes. two things seem to drive fed policy, what stanley fischer, bill dudley, janet yellen say, then what the markets price in. over the last 100 to 200 meetings, there has not been a rate hike over the last 25 years that was not priced into the market before they did it. we are at 30% right now, so it would be unprecedented if the fed h