how does jim elsner spend his days figuring out this problem? well, i try to put things together. i put the theory together with the models in the data. i will talk about two theories. these are the two theories that allow us to get some answers about what hurricanes might be like in the future. you probably are not physicists or statisticians, so i will not go that deep, but these are the deep structures and which we can hang our hats on to try to understand what might it be like in the future. we will start with thermodynamics. this is my thermodynamics slide from popular mechanics, which basically describes how a hurricane operates. all you have to keep in mind is a couple prepositions, ok? the first one is in. the second one is up. the third one is out. in, up, and out. that is the circulation of a hurricane, which you are probably not aware of it you think of circulation like this, these things that are spinning. that is the wind that will destroy your home, produce the surge, slide your house. but that is not the circulation that drives the hurricane. it is the in, up, and o

how does jim elsner spend his days thinking about this problem? i tried to put things together. i tried to put the theory together with the models and the data. so i tried to combine these. i am going to talk about two theories today. i am going to talk about thermodynamics and statistics. these are the two theories that allow us to get some answers about what hurricanes might be like in the future. you probably aren't physicists or statisticians so i'm not going to go that deep, but these are the deep structures in which we can hang our hat on to try to understand what might it be like in the future. so we will start with thermodynamics. this is my thermodynamics slide from popular mechanics. it basically describes how the hurricane operates. all you have to keep in mind is a couple prepositions. the first one in, the second one up and the third one is out. in, up, and out. that is the circulation of a hurricane that you are probably not aware of. you think of circulation like this, you think of these things is spinning. that isn't the circulation that drives the hurricane. the