joe donnelley, the democratic incumbent, is behind a little more than 35%. just 4% of the vote in and as i toss it back to you wolf and jake, i will tell you that a democratic source in indiana cautions that a lot of the vote that they're seeing is republican braun country. they're still feeling good about the fact that this could be a very long night, maybe even a good one for the democrats. we'll see. >> yeah, a good point indeed, very, very early in indiana. vermont and virginia, we now know the incumbent democrats, the independent and the democrat, will be reelected. we're about to get some results in florida right now. real results. >> florida, of course, is where everybody is watching, because there are two high-profile races there, a governor's race and a senate race that really both of them are too close to call and there are a number of competitive races, florida being such a swing state with so many swing districts within it. tim kaine, a year ago, people thought that he could have been vulnerable, running in a purple state. we have florida votes?

joe donnelley has been rated the least effective democrat in the united states senate. of that, rated the least -- the least effective. that's why they call him sleeping joe. you got to get out -- just get out and vote. we don't have to do this. just get out and vote. joe donnelley voted against your tax cuts and he joined the democrat, bob, to vote against justice brett kavanaugh. and no man, nobody, was ever abused like then judge kavanaugh. nobody was ever abused. what they did to him, what the democrats did to him is a disgrace, but he's going to be on the bench. now he's going to be the united states supreme court along with justice gorsuch for many, many years. [cheering] donnelly voted to get everywhere welfare tofree illegals and joined every other senate democrats to sponsor dianne feinstein's open border bill. you remember her, right? the people of indiana do not have a one-week memory cycle. the people of indiana have a 60 year memory cycle. was that horrible? did you leak it? right? john cornyn said, did you leak it? no. no. no. i don't think so. no, no, we

in indiana, too early to call, joe donnelley facing mike braun, a very, very tough fight going on ink at the balance of power, see where things stand right now. in the u.s. senate, remember, 25 democrats, they will be in the senate. 42 republicans

joe donnelley in 2012 when he got elected won counties here. hillary clinton was not in the game here. you do see blue popping up. these are not complete. clark county right here. other side of louisville. other side of the river there. early on, but see if you get keeping blue there. in florida, very quickly. we now have in in florida vote wise, has virginia just been called. we have first flip of the night. here sit, the tenth district of virginia. we just told you the democrats got the level of support they needed in the key county in virginia ten. we are now projects virginia ten will be a pickup for democrats. that means barbara the republican defeated for re-election. democrats need a net gain of 23 seats. down to 22. democrats are now 22 away from control of the house. again, we said this is a catastrophe for democrats if they weren't carrying the tenth. we figured this would be the first to be called. mark it down that is the first to be called on this night. quickly to bring you back to florida because we got a lot more vote that just

joe donnelley must win in indiana. florida's going to close at 7:00. again, same category for democrats. bill nelson must hang on there. he's led by a couple points in the late polls. but you're going to need indiana, florida. now you come to tennessee, this one gets interesting. democrats still have some hopes here. they think phil bredesen, very popular personally. the polling, maybe it's coming a little closer toward the end of this race. for now put that in the republican category. you can see it puts the republicans on the cusp of 50 just by getting tennessee. west virginia, manchin's been running ahead. he better hold on for a democrats' sake. texas. we'll get numbers around 8:00 eastern. if beto o'rourke cannot put a surprise there and tennessee is already gone, north dakota, tennessee, texas, that right there would be 50. that could be the end of the night there. but let's say the democrats succeed in shaking one of these loose. let's just say it's texas for the sake of argument right now. let's say they're able to put it in their column. that

because what we've seen, losing heidi heitkamp in north dakota, claire mccaskill in missouri, joe donnelley in indiana, three moderate democrats. they were painted as liberals, but they're moderate democrats. and with those democrats gone and reliably republican votes in their place it means that there's less discussion in the middle. >> so president trump we're told from cnn's senior white house correspondent jim acosta has spoken on the phone with the likely next speaker of the house, nancy pelosi. jim acosta, tell us what you know. >> reporter: that's right, jake. the president did call nancy pelosi to congratulate her on the democrats winning over control of the house. as you said, she's the likely incoming speaker. we don't know for sure. but the fact the president called nancy pelosi is a strong suggestion he knows where things are going. we should also point out, jake, in just the last few minutes you were having the conversation just a second ago about what would happen when the democrats officially take control of the house. kellyanne conway, the white house counselor, was out here

joe donnelley is one of the three most endangered democrats along with joe mansion of west west virginia. and highcamp of north dakota. voted against kavanaugh. that was a difficult decision for him. knew it was going to be difficult in a state like indiana. went for president trump overwhelmingly. the polls leaked decedent for him right now. this is one of those starts like tennessee, like texas where anything could happen. >> you put together an hour by hour look at the races in the congresses. nora said you both know everything about everything. so what are you looking for tonight that gives you an indication of how things are going to go. >> democrats tell us they have multiple wares to knit the 23 seats they need. you can look at a few early states and get a sense of where they might do quite well. virginia, pennsylvania, and new jersey. all three of those. if they win a majority of the competitive races in those states, they're about halfway to the 23 before 10:00 p.m. eastern tonight. virginia ten, just outside washington. and guaranteed democratic pickup if you believe the polls.

. >> reporter: former president obama joined the weekend frenzy with a rally for joe donnelley. >> you get to vote in what i iman election of our lifetimes. >> reporter: on that the two presidents, different in so many ways, almost agreed. >> i don't know if i rate it more important than the last i almost -- it's right there. >> reporter: but their partisan differences remain clear. >> they've racked up enough indictments to field a football team. nobody in my administration got indicted. >> the democrats want to turn back the clock, throw america in reverse and return power to a corrupt selfish ruling class. >> reporter: five people close to mr. trump or his campaign have been indicted. as was mentioned, a three-state campaign blitz today. the president's energy will not be questioned when all the final votes are counted. neither will his strident immigration rhetoric. >> indeed. >>> the republican candidate in georgia's fiery race for governor now accuses the state's democratic party of trying to hack into voter registration files. that follows repeated claims by democrats that brian

tomorrow, he heads to gary, indiana, where he will be campaigning for senator joe donnelley who is also katie beck, thank you. >>> an apparent insider attack in afghanistan left one american service member dead and another wounded. it happened in the capital city of kabul, believed to be a member of the afghan national defense and security forces. he was reportedly killed by afghan forces immediately after the attack. >>> divers have discovered more debris along ind eaonesia's sea, after the plane crash killing all 189 people on board. a ping signal has also been detected giving divers hope, they are closing in on the cockpit's voice recorder which will provide answers as to why the plane went down. >>> dylan is on the plaza with another check of the weather. dylan, there was some real storms overnight. >> we saw some nasty storms. it's a pretty powerful cold front moving eastward. down in baltimore, we did have significant tree damage with the gusty winds, in fact, it did lead to this partial building collapse at an amazon.com warehouse, killing two people inside with the winds and top

our final poll in indiana had joe donnelley, the democrat, ahead by a couple of points. trump won this state by two points two years ago. if donnelley is running head in the early going, that portends well for democrats in indiana. it opens up a similar state in missouri for claire mccaskill. democrats in florida, as well. the one thing i would say is if we start watching early on tonight and we see a wave taking shape on the house side, something on the order of 40 seats or more for the democrats, if, if, if that happens, i think we start that, we will on the air start to have a conversation about the senate because i think when you get a wave on that side, it will necessarily indicate that something has changed on the senate side, too. >> and important for everybody looking at indiana to understand, a very, very republican state, but a state that went for barack obama. and i remember being shocked in 2008, it went for barack obama. and when mike pence was selected as vice president, most political insiders in indiana said a very good thing for mike pence because he was

indiana as you showed yesterday, joe donnelley who was supposed to use, polls are breaking, he's 7 points ahead in that poll. we go three points out that show bill nelson ahead on top of the sitting governor in the state of florida. there's one poll after another poll after another poll that just shows pretty remarkable results. this strategy is failing the president. >> yeah. for all the places that are welcoming donald trump to rallies this weekend and want him there to help prop up a candidate, there are many, many others who want him to stay away. he's talked about him a lot. and a new report suggests that could be a problem for his party. according to the "new york times," the president may prove to be a breaking point in tuesday's contest for educated wealthier white republicans, especially women, the kind of people joe is talking about. "the times" says the group likes the pro business policies, but dislikes president trump's stance on other issues. the times points to hissen continued talk about the migrant caravan and birth right citizenship in the final days before the election,

. >> let's talk about joe donnelley. ic senator has a seven-point lead over republican mike brawn in the fox news poll. an nbc news meris poll shows 48/46 and donnelley up three points in a three-way race. donnelley will get support from president barack obama on sunday at a rally in gary, indiana. how does it shake out here? >> donnelley has been -- this is one of the surprises for democrats this cycle. donnelley caught a break in 2012, as well. he got elected to his first term in 2012 as mitt romney was carrying the state easily in the presidential race. he also had a republican opponent that year, richard murdoch, got himself caught up in a similar flare to todd aiken. a lot of people said this is a fluke victory. the fact that donnelley is not a solid lead, he has consistently had a slight edge in the polling we've seen in this edge. now here we are in late october and we're continuing to see that. i think there is a scenario where donnelley hangs on there. >> would you agree that the pittsburgh murders are a high imp