in the view of men like john brown gordon, radical republicans broke that promise by affording civil rights tax slaves and white southerners in turn fulfill the promise when they redeemed the region from northern misrule. as john brown gordon put it in testimony before congressional committee in 1871, grant and the union army had been deferential to the confederates at appomattox promising we should not be disturbed so long as we obey the laws. a radicals have broken a promise by telling confederates your former slaves are better fitted to administer the laws than you are. gordon's message was clear -- the peace was to leave the white south alone to manage its own affairs. in short, for african-americans no less than for whites appomattox came to represent a lost promise, a betrayal of the promise of freedom. a betrayal both by those whites who rejected black citizenship and by those who gave up the fight for it. however compelling and comforting the image of a surrender is a gentleman's agreement may be, it doesn't begin to capture this complex legacy of appomattox. deep into the 19t

john, i think it only might be a few. he tend to leave things alone. anna: will he use that opportunity? >> --- anna: i remember 11 chancellor is reducing the whiskey. >> gordon brown said he would have mineral water. i think we won't see any alcohol. geroge seems to get a little tight on the voice. i think he might reach the water three or four times. i'm not sure he will make much money that way. anna: let's look at the election. who do you have ahead of and what is the success rate looking at the polls? >> in terms of the pundits, they are the winners. in 2011, we got it a little wrong. this budget feel different. it all started with the reverend of. referendum. that is normally w -- that is when we went into this budget. roughly, eight ahead of labor. is not what everyone's doing. s&p is the story of this election. 41 seats. anna: it is compared to the polls. >> three or 4% disappointment for the s&p. i will go from winning 20 seats to 55. there is a volatility. not many people believe the s&p avalanche 11. they would think the referendum is happening. we're kind of hedging our bets. we are pitching at high compared to where they are now. we are seeing a lot of